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eCommerce Industry Outlook 2016
Satisfying shoppers who want anything, anywhere, anytime!
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
Here’s to a fantastic 2016!
2016 will be another amazing year for the eCommerce industry, as consumers increasingly use
multiple devices for online shopping and mobile transactions skyrocket. This year has other exciting
milestones in store with NASA's Juno spacecraft expected to reach Jupiter, the Olympic Games in
Brazil and the U.S. presidential elections.
In 2015, Criteo hit an annual revenue run rate in Q3 of $1.2 billion, thanks to the 9,000+ advertisers
and 11,000+ publishers working with us. We have greater expectations in 2016 as we continue to
expand our client base, and successfully launch and grow disruptive products in search, email and
cross-device advertising.
I’m pleased to share with you this report highlighting the major trends that we believe will have a big
impact on eCommerce this year. I hope you find these trends as interesting as I do.
Happy reading, and have a great year ahead.
Eric Eichmann
Chief Executive Officer
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
The seven big eCommerce trends for 2016
#1 The Consumer
Will complete most shopping
journeys via multiple devices
#2 The Device
Smartphone shopping will
continue to gain ground
#3 The Selling
Expect more big online
shopping days with even
bigger sales
#4 The Merchant
Retailers will see a high
web influence on their in-
store sales
#5 The Marketing
Will shift from being device-
focused to people-focused
#6 The Advertising
Ads will become more
relevant and non-intrusive
#7 The Service
Instant delivery services will
become common
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#1. Most shopping journeys will be multi-device
Source: Criteo, State of Mobile Commerce Report, Q3 2015 *Where the customer has more than
one device. Based on Criteo’s Universal Match product providing exact matches of users across multiple devices.
64
56 53 52 51 50 49 47 47
40
Share of Retail eCommerce Transactions* Using Multiple Devices
Half of all eCommerce transactions are
already made using multiple devices. As
that figure crosses the 50% mark in 2016,
retailers will need to redesign the online
buying experience for this new reality.
Multiple device users are also 20% more
likely to complete their purchase on mobile
than the average user.
Implication - Retailers will need to redesign
their online buying experience to reflect the
fact that the majority of users visit them via
multiple devices. Campaigns must be activated
on all devices and all properties fully tagged to
leverage mobile and desktop.
Global Average 50%
70%
0%
South
Korea
Brazil Italy France Japan Netherlands UK Germany Spain U.S.
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#2. Smartphone shopping will continue to gain ground
Source: Criteo, State of Mobile Commerce Report, Q3 2015
Criteo
Spokesperson
8%
9%
10%
12%
13%
14%
17%
18%
41%
45%
11%
12%
4%
10%
16%
4%
13%
22%
6%
1%
Smartphone and Tablet Share of Retail eCommerce Transactions
Mobile is now the first screen for the
majority of consumers, especially as larger
smartphone screens make mobile shopping
more convenient.
Smartphones account for over 40% of
eCommerce transactions in Japan and
South Korea. Smartphone share is steadily
catching up with tablets in the UK, Germany,
France and Russia.
Implication – As an increasing share of
transactions happens on smartphones, retailers
need to prioritize their mobile app strategy and
optimize their mobile buying experience. While
on tablets people can use websites that aren't
mobile-optimized, on smartphones it’s crucial to
have either a mobile-optimized website or an
app.
South Korea
Japan
UK
U.S.
Turkey
Germany
Italy
Brazil
France
Russia
SMARTPHONE
TABLET
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#3. Expect more big online shopping days with even bigger sales
Source: Adobe, Alibaba, Statista
eCommerce Spending on Shopping HolidaysIn the U.S., Cyber Monday remained the
biggest online shopping day of the year
with $3bn in sales, according to Adobe.
Singles Day (Nov 11) celebrated in China
was the world's biggest online shopping
day of the year, with Alibaba alone
reporting sales worth $14.3bn, a 60%
increase from last year.
These big online shopping days will get
even bigger in 2016.
Implication – Retailers will need to
rebalance their online and in-store strategies
for these big shopping days. Brick and click
retailers should expect more traffic online
than in-store on the year’s biggest sales
peaks.
1.2 1.5 1.7
2.3 2.6 3
5.7
9.3
14.3
2013 2014 2015
$Billions
BLACK FRIDAY (U.S.) CYBER MONDAY (U.S.) SINGLES DAY (CHINA)
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
327
1,812
1,660
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
#4. Retailers will see a high web influence on their in-store sales
Source: Forrester Research, U.S. Web Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, 2011 to 2016
Web Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, U.S.
As the majority of consumers now research
online before visiting a store, understanding
a shopper’s prior online activity is vital for
retailers. According to Google, 8 out of 10
shoppers with a smartphone are using it
inside the store to help them shop, even
though most later purchase at the POS
(point of sale).
Retailers are starting to get a better view of
the customer’s shopping journey by
connecting with them via their app, and/or
by using beacons and technologies to match
the customer email ID or loyalty program at
the POS.
Implication – As retailers invest in these
technologies, they must make sure that they
also have the expertise and operating resources
in place to manage customer interaction in real-
time.
PURE ONLINE PURE OFFLINE ONLINE-OFFLINE
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
38%
Web-influenced offline
sales
55%
Non-web-influenced
offline sales
50% Growth
<10% Growth
$Billions
7%
Online sales
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#5. Marketing will shift from device-focused to people-focused
That to add text
Source: Association of National Advertisers (ANA), McKinsey & Company and GfK, 2015 Marketing Disruption Survey
Only a handful of companies are able to effectively
leverage customer data across devices and platforms
today. Even with probabilistic and deterministic
matching now possible, most retailers still struggle with
tracking cross-device sales and customers’ movement
across apps and browsers.
In 2016, marketers will prioritize their spend to enable
them to understand how consumers are moving across
devices, platforms and publishers to consume
information. Consequently, we will start to see more
evidence of true people-focused marketing.
Implication - Consumers don't think about their media
consumption by device, browsing environment, or by
publisher in a silo; therefore, neither should marketers. B2C
organizations need to restructure their marketing teams to
fully understand consumer intent and to look beyond the
walled gardens.
KNOW ME
RECOGNIZE
MY NEEDS
REACH ME
WITH USEFUL
CONTENT
MAKE MY
LIFE EASY
REWARD ME
Very Important Capabilities/Skills for Responding to Marketing Landscape
Disruptions According to U.S. Marketers
78%
Analytics capabilities to understand customer behavior
78%
Developing content and experiences across the entire customer
journey
74%
Delivering relevant personalized customer experiences
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#6. Ads will become more relevant and non-intrusive
Source: Magnetic and Retail TouchPoints.,“Closing the Gap between People’s Expectations & Retail Realities,” Oct 2015
The annoying pop-ups, overlays and pre-roll ads are
on the way out, especially on mobile. Consumers
expect non-intrusive ads and personalized content,
and advertisers must deliver.
Ad-blocking will also accelerate the move toward non-
intrusive ad formats. The good news? According to
Adblock Plus, 75% of users don’t mind receiving non-
intrusive ads.
Implication – Shifting to non-intrusive and relevant ads
will help advertisers to achieve genuine engagement with
consumers, and lead to higher conversions.
Types of Retailer Ads that Internet Users in North America Find Frustrating
27%
Retailers don’t recognize me
on different devices
45%
Digital ads that promote
products I already
purchased, not what I am
looking to buy next
49%
Digital ads that are irrelevant
to what I am interested in
buying
50%
Digital ads that are irrelevant
to my personal tastes and
preferences
Copyright © 2016 Criteo
#7. Instant delivery services will become common
Click to add text
Criteo
Spokesperson
Order fulfilment will be a big focus for retailers in
2016, with many offering delivery options to
match Amazon’s Prime Now service.
Both online and brick and click retailers will be
trying this strategy through specialized third
parties like Instacart.
Faster delivery at lower charges will also drive
growth of cross-border shopping as consumers
won’t mind buying from other countries to save
money.
Implication – Retailers offering same-day delivery –
or even faster – will enjoy a significant competitive
edge in 2016. This trend will also drive a lot of
advertisers to adopt the “in the moment” style of
advertising and driving conversions.
Which of the following would you consider to be “fast shipping”?
10%
18%
63%
92%
96%
96%
90%
82%
37%
8%
4%
4%
Same-Day
Delivery
Next-Day
Delivery
Within
2 days
Within
3-4 days
Within
5-7 days
Within
1-2 weeks
FAST SHIPPING NOT FAST SHIPPING
Source: Deloitte 2015 Holiday Survey
There’s plenty of change on the horizon in consumer expectations, retail investments and marketing strategies in 2016. Social media will continue to
have a big influence on online shopping and improved mobile payment services will also help drive eCommerce growth in the new year.
Key takeaways for eCommerce success in 2016
Copyright © 2016 Criteo Download the full PDF report at www.criteo.com/resources
2016 will be another exciting year for eCommerce, but there are also major challenges. Retailers and advertisers must consider the following to make
the most of the eCommerce opportunity this year:
The massive growth of mobile shopping is driven by smartphones. Investing in a mobile app is therefore worth
considering as it can bring a significant uplift in sales.
Advertisers must develop capabilities to understand their customers’ shopping journey across devices, browsers
and apps, and ensure a unified customer experience across devices and channels.
Advertisers should look for an ad tech partner who can enable them to optimize their online conversions by
delivering personalized and non-intrusive ads for genuine engagement with consumers.
There’s plenty of change on the horizon in consumer expectations, retail investments and marketing strategies. Social media will continue to have a big
influence on online shopping, and improved mobile payment services will also help drive eCommerce growth in 2016.
Retailers should focus more on the opportunity to sell online during the big shopping periods e.g. Black Friday and
Cyber Monday. Consumers will increasingly buy online to avoid the rush at the stores.
This and other Criteo reports can be found at:
www.criteo.com/resources
Criteo delivers personalized performance marketing at an extensive scale.
Measuring return on post-click sales, Criteo makes ROI transparent and easy to
measure. Criteo has over 1,700 employees in 27 offices across the Americas,
Europe and Asia-Pacific, serving over 9,250 advertisers worldwide with direct
relationships with over 11,000 publishers.
Criteo ads reach over 1 billion unique Internet users (comScore, March 2015).
About Criteo

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Criteo eCommerce Industry Outlook 2016

  • 1. eCommerce Industry Outlook 2016 Satisfying shoppers who want anything, anywhere, anytime!
  • 2. Copyright © 2016 Criteo Here’s to a fantastic 2016! 2016 will be another amazing year for the eCommerce industry, as consumers increasingly use multiple devices for online shopping and mobile transactions skyrocket. This year has other exciting milestones in store with NASA's Juno spacecraft expected to reach Jupiter, the Olympic Games in Brazil and the U.S. presidential elections. In 2015, Criteo hit an annual revenue run rate in Q3 of $1.2 billion, thanks to the 9,000+ advertisers and 11,000+ publishers working with us. We have greater expectations in 2016 as we continue to expand our client base, and successfully launch and grow disruptive products in search, email and cross-device advertising. I’m pleased to share with you this report highlighting the major trends that we believe will have a big impact on eCommerce this year. I hope you find these trends as interesting as I do. Happy reading, and have a great year ahead. Eric Eichmann Chief Executive Officer
  • 3. Copyright © 2016 Criteo The seven big eCommerce trends for 2016 #1 The Consumer Will complete most shopping journeys via multiple devices #2 The Device Smartphone shopping will continue to gain ground #3 The Selling Expect more big online shopping days with even bigger sales #4 The Merchant Retailers will see a high web influence on their in- store sales #5 The Marketing Will shift from being device- focused to people-focused #6 The Advertising Ads will become more relevant and non-intrusive #7 The Service Instant delivery services will become common
  • 4. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #1. Most shopping journeys will be multi-device Source: Criteo, State of Mobile Commerce Report, Q3 2015 *Where the customer has more than one device. Based on Criteo’s Universal Match product providing exact matches of users across multiple devices. 64 56 53 52 51 50 49 47 47 40 Share of Retail eCommerce Transactions* Using Multiple Devices Half of all eCommerce transactions are already made using multiple devices. As that figure crosses the 50% mark in 2016, retailers will need to redesign the online buying experience for this new reality. Multiple device users are also 20% more likely to complete their purchase on mobile than the average user. Implication - Retailers will need to redesign their online buying experience to reflect the fact that the majority of users visit them via multiple devices. Campaigns must be activated on all devices and all properties fully tagged to leverage mobile and desktop. Global Average 50% 70% 0% South Korea Brazil Italy France Japan Netherlands UK Germany Spain U.S.
  • 5. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #2. Smartphone shopping will continue to gain ground Source: Criteo, State of Mobile Commerce Report, Q3 2015 Criteo Spokesperson 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 14% 17% 18% 41% 45% 11% 12% 4% 10% 16% 4% 13% 22% 6% 1% Smartphone and Tablet Share of Retail eCommerce Transactions Mobile is now the first screen for the majority of consumers, especially as larger smartphone screens make mobile shopping more convenient. Smartphones account for over 40% of eCommerce transactions in Japan and South Korea. Smartphone share is steadily catching up with tablets in the UK, Germany, France and Russia. Implication – As an increasing share of transactions happens on smartphones, retailers need to prioritize their mobile app strategy and optimize their mobile buying experience. While on tablets people can use websites that aren't mobile-optimized, on smartphones it’s crucial to have either a mobile-optimized website or an app. South Korea Japan UK U.S. Turkey Germany Italy Brazil France Russia SMARTPHONE TABLET
  • 6. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #3. Expect more big online shopping days with even bigger sales Source: Adobe, Alibaba, Statista eCommerce Spending on Shopping HolidaysIn the U.S., Cyber Monday remained the biggest online shopping day of the year with $3bn in sales, according to Adobe. Singles Day (Nov 11) celebrated in China was the world's biggest online shopping day of the year, with Alibaba alone reporting sales worth $14.3bn, a 60% increase from last year. These big online shopping days will get even bigger in 2016. Implication – Retailers will need to rebalance their online and in-store strategies for these big shopping days. Brick and click retailers should expect more traffic online than in-store on the year’s biggest sales peaks. 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.6 3 5.7 9.3 14.3 2013 2014 2015 $Billions BLACK FRIDAY (U.S.) CYBER MONDAY (U.S.) SINGLES DAY (CHINA)
  • 7. Copyright © 2016 Criteo 327 1,812 1,660 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 #4. Retailers will see a high web influence on their in-store sales Source: Forrester Research, U.S. Web Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, 2011 to 2016 Web Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, U.S. As the majority of consumers now research online before visiting a store, understanding a shopper’s prior online activity is vital for retailers. According to Google, 8 out of 10 shoppers with a smartphone are using it inside the store to help them shop, even though most later purchase at the POS (point of sale). Retailers are starting to get a better view of the customer’s shopping journey by connecting with them via their app, and/or by using beacons and technologies to match the customer email ID or loyalty program at the POS. Implication – As retailers invest in these technologies, they must make sure that they also have the expertise and operating resources in place to manage customer interaction in real- time. PURE ONLINE PURE OFFLINE ONLINE-OFFLINE 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 38% Web-influenced offline sales 55% Non-web-influenced offline sales 50% Growth <10% Growth $Billions 7% Online sales
  • 8. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #5. Marketing will shift from device-focused to people-focused That to add text Source: Association of National Advertisers (ANA), McKinsey & Company and GfK, 2015 Marketing Disruption Survey Only a handful of companies are able to effectively leverage customer data across devices and platforms today. Even with probabilistic and deterministic matching now possible, most retailers still struggle with tracking cross-device sales and customers’ movement across apps and browsers. In 2016, marketers will prioritize their spend to enable them to understand how consumers are moving across devices, platforms and publishers to consume information. Consequently, we will start to see more evidence of true people-focused marketing. Implication - Consumers don't think about their media consumption by device, browsing environment, or by publisher in a silo; therefore, neither should marketers. B2C organizations need to restructure their marketing teams to fully understand consumer intent and to look beyond the walled gardens. KNOW ME RECOGNIZE MY NEEDS REACH ME WITH USEFUL CONTENT MAKE MY LIFE EASY REWARD ME Very Important Capabilities/Skills for Responding to Marketing Landscape Disruptions According to U.S. Marketers 78% Analytics capabilities to understand customer behavior 78% Developing content and experiences across the entire customer journey 74% Delivering relevant personalized customer experiences
  • 9. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #6. Ads will become more relevant and non-intrusive Source: Magnetic and Retail TouchPoints.,“Closing the Gap between People’s Expectations & Retail Realities,” Oct 2015 The annoying pop-ups, overlays and pre-roll ads are on the way out, especially on mobile. Consumers expect non-intrusive ads and personalized content, and advertisers must deliver. Ad-blocking will also accelerate the move toward non- intrusive ad formats. The good news? According to Adblock Plus, 75% of users don’t mind receiving non- intrusive ads. Implication – Shifting to non-intrusive and relevant ads will help advertisers to achieve genuine engagement with consumers, and lead to higher conversions. Types of Retailer Ads that Internet Users in North America Find Frustrating 27% Retailers don’t recognize me on different devices 45% Digital ads that promote products I already purchased, not what I am looking to buy next 49% Digital ads that are irrelevant to what I am interested in buying 50% Digital ads that are irrelevant to my personal tastes and preferences
  • 10. Copyright © 2016 Criteo #7. Instant delivery services will become common Click to add text Criteo Spokesperson Order fulfilment will be a big focus for retailers in 2016, with many offering delivery options to match Amazon’s Prime Now service. Both online and brick and click retailers will be trying this strategy through specialized third parties like Instacart. Faster delivery at lower charges will also drive growth of cross-border shopping as consumers won’t mind buying from other countries to save money. Implication – Retailers offering same-day delivery – or even faster – will enjoy a significant competitive edge in 2016. This trend will also drive a lot of advertisers to adopt the “in the moment” style of advertising and driving conversions. Which of the following would you consider to be “fast shipping”? 10% 18% 63% 92% 96% 96% 90% 82% 37% 8% 4% 4% Same-Day Delivery Next-Day Delivery Within 2 days Within 3-4 days Within 5-7 days Within 1-2 weeks FAST SHIPPING NOT FAST SHIPPING Source: Deloitte 2015 Holiday Survey
  • 11. There’s plenty of change on the horizon in consumer expectations, retail investments and marketing strategies in 2016. Social media will continue to have a big influence on online shopping and improved mobile payment services will also help drive eCommerce growth in the new year. Key takeaways for eCommerce success in 2016 Copyright © 2016 Criteo Download the full PDF report at www.criteo.com/resources 2016 will be another exciting year for eCommerce, but there are also major challenges. Retailers and advertisers must consider the following to make the most of the eCommerce opportunity this year: The massive growth of mobile shopping is driven by smartphones. Investing in a mobile app is therefore worth considering as it can bring a significant uplift in sales. Advertisers must develop capabilities to understand their customers’ shopping journey across devices, browsers and apps, and ensure a unified customer experience across devices and channels. Advertisers should look for an ad tech partner who can enable them to optimize their online conversions by delivering personalized and non-intrusive ads for genuine engagement with consumers. There’s plenty of change on the horizon in consumer expectations, retail investments and marketing strategies. Social media will continue to have a big influence on online shopping, and improved mobile payment services will also help drive eCommerce growth in 2016. Retailers should focus more on the opportunity to sell online during the big shopping periods e.g. Black Friday and Cyber Monday. Consumers will increasingly buy online to avoid the rush at the stores.
  • 12. This and other Criteo reports can be found at: www.criteo.com/resources Criteo delivers personalized performance marketing at an extensive scale. Measuring return on post-click sales, Criteo makes ROI transparent and easy to measure. Criteo has over 1,700 employees in 27 offices across the Americas, Europe and Asia-Pacific, serving over 9,250 advertisers worldwide with direct relationships with over 11,000 publishers. Criteo ads reach over 1 billion unique Internet users (comScore, March 2015). About Criteo