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airbnb
Lora Julien – Morand David
IMBA IEA Lyon
2016
1
Agenda
2
 Industry under Porter’s glasses
 Airbnb business model
 Structural change due to IT
 New market... New competition
 Conclusion
Industry
 Lodging and accommodation
 Service industry within hospitality industry
3 http://www2.unwto.org/content/why-tourism
Tourism
Hospitality
Lodging/
Accommodatio
n
Industry
 Market figures
 International tourist (overnight
visitors) have reached 1 133
millions in 2014 : +4.3%
 Continuous growth over last 5
years
 “UNWTO forecasts a growth in
international tourist arrivals of
between 3% and 4% in 2015”
4 UNWTO Tourism Highlights, 2015 Edition
Industry
5
 Market figures
 Europe 51% - Americas 16% - APAC 23% – AMEA 10%
 53 % travel for leisure
 14 % travel for business
 27 % travel for other purpose (visit relatives, religious, health
treatment …)
Industry
6
 Average occupancy in Europe
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/tourism/statistics-illustrated
Industry
7
 Total expenses in Europe
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/tourism/statistics-illustrated
Industry
8
Average daily rate RevPar
RevPAR = Rooms Revenue /Rooms Available
European cities hotel forecast for 2014 & 2015.18 gateway cities,Amsterdam to Zurich, March 2014, PWC
Industry
 Types of companies
 Multi-national chain
 Private hotels
 Hostels
 Types of clients
 Private tourism & Leisure
 Business travellers
 Convention / Event
 Tour operator
 Monopolistic competition
 Many suppliers with differentatied products and many buyers
 One should keep in mind that supply is restricted to available rooms and
can not be increased over demand
 When demand > supply : supply becomes inelastic to price
9
EFFECT
OF
COST
EFFECT
OF
PRICE
Industry
10
 Porter’s 5 forces
Rivalry
among
competitors
Threat of
new entrants
Bargaining
power of
buyers
Threat of
substitutes
Bargaining
power of
suppliers
Joan Magretta, 2012, Understanding Michael Porter, BHrvard Business Review Press
PRICE – COST =
PROFIT
Industry
11
 Porter’s 5 forces
 Threat of new entrants
 High barriers to entry due to cost of and lack suitable location
 Adaptation to local culture under worldwide scale
 Legal and local policy can prevent settling a place
 Threat of substitutes
 Substitute can be internal between international and domestic
 No real outside substitutes
 Bargaining power of suppliers
 Low as wide range of suppliers compared to industry players
 Bargaining power of buyers
 As strongly segmented buyers have low power
 Only tour operator could have in specific segment
 Economic & political situations will change buyer behaviour
 Rivalry among competitors
 Strongly segmented market will keep rivalry aside with low fight on price
 Price inelasticity of supply for high demand prevent rivalry on price when demand is high
Value chain
12
Value chain
13
Building / Real
estate
• Find a place
• Build a place
• Rent a place
Marketing and Sales
• Advertise
• Reserve a stay
• Schedule arrival of guests
Operations
• Clean place
• Prepare commodity
• Secure place
• Provide info and rules
• Receive host
After sales
• Insurance
• Service on demand
• Complementary offers
Business model
14
 “…Airbnb is a trusted
community marketplace for
people to list, discover, and
book unique
accommodations around
the world — online or from
a mobile phone or tablet.”
 Airbnb is offering a
market place for both
hosts and travellers
https://www.airbnb.com/about/about-us?locale=en viewed on 01/12/2015
Business model
15
 Registration to Airbnb
is free
 Airbnb charges
 3% to travelers
 6-12% to hosts
 Airbnb guarantees
hosts’ location up to
800 k€
https://www.airbnb.com/about/about-us?locale=en viewed on 01/12/2015
Business model
16
 So far Airbnb...
 ...owns no rooms...
 Is widely international
 Enables hosts to adjust price vs. demand
 Enables travellers to judge and mark hosts
 Expects 150 Million lost(*)for the year but…
 …Is valuated at 24 billion $(*) ...
(*)“The Secret Math of Airbnb’s $24 BillionValuation”, http://www.wsj.com/article_email/the-secret-math-of-airbnbs-24-billion-valuation-
1434568517-lMyQjAxMTI1MTA0NDcwMzQzWj accessed on 4/12/2015
Business model
17 “What’s an Airbnb ListingWorth in 2015?” http://skift.com/2015/06/19/whats-an-airbnb-listing-worth-in-2015/ accessed on 3/12/2015
Industry changed by IT
18
 Porter’s 5 forces
 Threat of new entrants
 High barriers to entry due to cost of and lack suitable location
 Adaptation to local culture under worldwide scale
 Legal and local policy can prevent settling a place
 Threat of substitutes
 Substitute can be internal between international and domestic
 No real outside substitutes
 Bargaining power of suppliers
 Low as wide range of suppliers compared to industry players
 Bargaining power of buyers
 As strongly segmented buyers have low power
 Only tour operator could have in specific segment
 Economic & political situations will change buyer behaviour
 Rivalry among competitors
 Strongly segmented market will keep rivalry aside with low fight on price
 Price inelasticity of supply for high demand prevent rivalry on price when demand is high
 No tangible assets as hosts owns locations
 Localization of offers using a global network community
 From BtoC to C to C : shared economy
 Community help judging service and recommendations are base of quality
 Hosts are integrated to development
 Competition is not promoted ; help from community is pushed towards hosts
Industry
19
 Porter’s 5 forces changed
Rivalry
among
competitors
Threat of
new entrants
Bargaining
power of
buyers
Threat of
substitutes
Bargaining
power of
suppliers
EFFECT
OF
PRICE
EFFECT
OF
COST
PRICE – COST = PROFIT
Airbnb does not promote to make profit for its hosts but rather to value their assets
Building / Real
estate
• Find a place
• Build a place
• Rent a place
Marketing and Sales
• Advertise
• Reserve a stay
• Schedule arrival of guests
Operations
• Clean place
• Prepare commodity
• Secure place
• Provide info and rules
• Receive host
After sales
• Insurance
• Service on demand
• Complementary offers
Value chain influenced by IT
20
 Airbnb has increased the perceived value of place using IT
and marketing
 Operational costs in on the side of the hosts
Building / Real
estate
• Find a place
• Build a place
• Rent a place
Marketing and Sales
• Advertise
• Reserve a stay
• Schedule arrival of guests
Operations
• Clean place
• Prepare commodity
• Secure place
• Provide info and rules
• Receive host
After sales
• Insurance
• Service on demand
• Complementary offers
Influence of IT
 Airbnb can be seen as a multi-sided platform
 It brings together two distinct but interdependent groups of
actors
 Here hosts & travellers are linked by Airbnb
 It facilitates interactions
 It grows on network effect (viral addition of people form each
group)
Business Model Generation:A Handbook forVisionaries, Game Changers, and Challengers,
2010, John Wiley & Sons : p 77-79
21
Influence of IT
22
 Technology
 Sophisticated algorithm for searching locations
 Build to be translated from the beginning
 Open source code to facilitate browsing
 Mobile application realeased
 Idea of sharing and community to developers
 nerds.airbnb.com
 Technical blog for developers
 airbnb.io
 Access to open source code
Influence of IT
23
 Strong use of web tools
 Use of the network for promotion
 https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=635
 Google ads, Google analytics
 https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=728
 But also... Be present locally
 https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=260
Going for Global: 5 GuerrillaTacticsWhen the Slick Stuff Fails
Rebecca Rosenfelt, Growth Product Manager,Airbnb
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U3oICoTN1-M
Competitive advantage
 Brand recognition
 Notion of community is core value
 Focus on both hosts and travellers user experiences
 Wish list for travellers
 “Airbnb Neighborhoods” : guidance website
 Price setting tool (yield management) for hosts
 Photographers for hosts
 Defence of hosts (happened) vs local govt.
24
Competitors
 Traditional hotel chain
 Direct competitors : HomeAway,Wimdu, 9flats
 Hotel Reservation sites : Expedia, Priceline
 Other market places : EBay,Amazon
 Travel site :Tripadvisor
25
Competitors
26 “What’s an Airbnb ListingWorth in 2015?” http://skift.com/2015/06/19/whats-an-airbnb-listing-worth-in-2015/ accessed on 3/12/2015
+ market value extracted from yahoo finance on 3/12/2015 at 16pm
Competitors
27
Airbnb
Direct
competitors
Hotels
Booking
sites
Market
Place
Travel site
Internet
Experience
Lodging
Experience
Qualitative representation of competitors vs. Lodging and internet
experience
•Financial situation yet not profitable
•Management may not be experienced
to sustain growth
•Volatility of hosts
•Highly dependable on economical
situation
•Law suit from local govt.
•Increase of competitors in premium
sectors
•Event at major city change business
(Paris’ attacks)
•Disinterest of guests as several
businesses are taking the host market in
big cities
•Buy by competitors
SWOT
28
•Business travellers
•Trends from known people
•Increase of mobile devices use
•Extension into complementary offers
S
W
O
•Brand recognition
•Host and traveller services centric
•Lower price
•Market value attracts investors
T
Conclusion
29
 Airbnb has created a full ecosystem based on IT
 It succeeded in breaking the trade-off of bringing a unique
stay experience at a low cost
 It would face threats from political law that can prevent
its hosts to gain advantage of renting their accomodations
Thank you
Lora Julien – Morand David
30

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Airbnb - Business analysis based on Porter 5 Forces

  • 1. airbnb Lora Julien – Morand David IMBA IEA Lyon 2016 1
  • 2. Agenda 2  Industry under Porter’s glasses  Airbnb business model  Structural change due to IT  New market... New competition  Conclusion
  • 3. Industry  Lodging and accommodation  Service industry within hospitality industry 3 http://www2.unwto.org/content/why-tourism Tourism Hospitality Lodging/ Accommodatio n
  • 4. Industry  Market figures  International tourist (overnight visitors) have reached 1 133 millions in 2014 : +4.3%  Continuous growth over last 5 years  “UNWTO forecasts a growth in international tourist arrivals of between 3% and 4% in 2015” 4 UNWTO Tourism Highlights, 2015 Edition
  • 5. Industry 5  Market figures  Europe 51% - Americas 16% - APAC 23% – AMEA 10%  53 % travel for leisure  14 % travel for business  27 % travel for other purpose (visit relatives, religious, health treatment …)
  • 6. Industry 6  Average occupancy in Europe http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/tourism/statistics-illustrated
  • 7. Industry 7  Total expenses in Europe http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/tourism/statistics-illustrated
  • 8. Industry 8 Average daily rate RevPar RevPAR = Rooms Revenue /Rooms Available European cities hotel forecast for 2014 & 2015.18 gateway cities,Amsterdam to Zurich, March 2014, PWC
  • 9. Industry  Types of companies  Multi-national chain  Private hotels  Hostels  Types of clients  Private tourism & Leisure  Business travellers  Convention / Event  Tour operator  Monopolistic competition  Many suppliers with differentatied products and many buyers  One should keep in mind that supply is restricted to available rooms and can not be increased over demand  When demand > supply : supply becomes inelastic to price 9
  • 10. EFFECT OF COST EFFECT OF PRICE Industry 10  Porter’s 5 forces Rivalry among competitors Threat of new entrants Bargaining power of buyers Threat of substitutes Bargaining power of suppliers Joan Magretta, 2012, Understanding Michael Porter, BHrvard Business Review Press PRICE – COST = PROFIT
  • 11. Industry 11  Porter’s 5 forces  Threat of new entrants  High barriers to entry due to cost of and lack suitable location  Adaptation to local culture under worldwide scale  Legal and local policy can prevent settling a place  Threat of substitutes  Substitute can be internal between international and domestic  No real outside substitutes  Bargaining power of suppliers  Low as wide range of suppliers compared to industry players  Bargaining power of buyers  As strongly segmented buyers have low power  Only tour operator could have in specific segment  Economic & political situations will change buyer behaviour  Rivalry among competitors  Strongly segmented market will keep rivalry aside with low fight on price  Price inelasticity of supply for high demand prevent rivalry on price when demand is high
  • 13. Value chain 13 Building / Real estate • Find a place • Build a place • Rent a place Marketing and Sales • Advertise • Reserve a stay • Schedule arrival of guests Operations • Clean place • Prepare commodity • Secure place • Provide info and rules • Receive host After sales • Insurance • Service on demand • Complementary offers
  • 14. Business model 14  “…Airbnb is a trusted community marketplace for people to list, discover, and book unique accommodations around the world — online or from a mobile phone or tablet.”  Airbnb is offering a market place for both hosts and travellers https://www.airbnb.com/about/about-us?locale=en viewed on 01/12/2015
  • 15. Business model 15  Registration to Airbnb is free  Airbnb charges  3% to travelers  6-12% to hosts  Airbnb guarantees hosts’ location up to 800 k€ https://www.airbnb.com/about/about-us?locale=en viewed on 01/12/2015
  • 16. Business model 16  So far Airbnb...  ...owns no rooms...  Is widely international  Enables hosts to adjust price vs. demand  Enables travellers to judge and mark hosts  Expects 150 Million lost(*)for the year but…  …Is valuated at 24 billion $(*) ... (*)“The Secret Math of Airbnb’s $24 BillionValuation”, http://www.wsj.com/article_email/the-secret-math-of-airbnbs-24-billion-valuation- 1434568517-lMyQjAxMTI1MTA0NDcwMzQzWj accessed on 4/12/2015
  • 17. Business model 17 “What’s an Airbnb ListingWorth in 2015?” http://skift.com/2015/06/19/whats-an-airbnb-listing-worth-in-2015/ accessed on 3/12/2015
  • 18. Industry changed by IT 18  Porter’s 5 forces  Threat of new entrants  High barriers to entry due to cost of and lack suitable location  Adaptation to local culture under worldwide scale  Legal and local policy can prevent settling a place  Threat of substitutes  Substitute can be internal between international and domestic  No real outside substitutes  Bargaining power of suppliers  Low as wide range of suppliers compared to industry players  Bargaining power of buyers  As strongly segmented buyers have low power  Only tour operator could have in specific segment  Economic & political situations will change buyer behaviour  Rivalry among competitors  Strongly segmented market will keep rivalry aside with low fight on price  Price inelasticity of supply for high demand prevent rivalry on price when demand is high  No tangible assets as hosts owns locations  Localization of offers using a global network community  From BtoC to C to C : shared economy  Community help judging service and recommendations are base of quality  Hosts are integrated to development  Competition is not promoted ; help from community is pushed towards hosts
  • 19. Industry 19  Porter’s 5 forces changed Rivalry among competitors Threat of new entrants Bargaining power of buyers Threat of substitutes Bargaining power of suppliers EFFECT OF PRICE EFFECT OF COST PRICE – COST = PROFIT Airbnb does not promote to make profit for its hosts but rather to value their assets
  • 20. Building / Real estate • Find a place • Build a place • Rent a place Marketing and Sales • Advertise • Reserve a stay • Schedule arrival of guests Operations • Clean place • Prepare commodity • Secure place • Provide info and rules • Receive host After sales • Insurance • Service on demand • Complementary offers Value chain influenced by IT 20  Airbnb has increased the perceived value of place using IT and marketing  Operational costs in on the side of the hosts Building / Real estate • Find a place • Build a place • Rent a place Marketing and Sales • Advertise • Reserve a stay • Schedule arrival of guests Operations • Clean place • Prepare commodity • Secure place • Provide info and rules • Receive host After sales • Insurance • Service on demand • Complementary offers
  • 21. Influence of IT  Airbnb can be seen as a multi-sided platform  It brings together two distinct but interdependent groups of actors  Here hosts & travellers are linked by Airbnb  It facilitates interactions  It grows on network effect (viral addition of people form each group) Business Model Generation:A Handbook forVisionaries, Game Changers, and Challengers, 2010, John Wiley & Sons : p 77-79 21
  • 22. Influence of IT 22  Technology  Sophisticated algorithm for searching locations  Build to be translated from the beginning  Open source code to facilitate browsing  Mobile application realeased  Idea of sharing and community to developers  nerds.airbnb.com  Technical blog for developers  airbnb.io  Access to open source code
  • 23. Influence of IT 23  Strong use of web tools  Use of the network for promotion  https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=635  Google ads, Google analytics  https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=728  But also... Be present locally  https://youtu.be/U3oICoTN1-M?t=260 Going for Global: 5 GuerrillaTacticsWhen the Slick Stuff Fails Rebecca Rosenfelt, Growth Product Manager,Airbnb https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U3oICoTN1-M
  • 24. Competitive advantage  Brand recognition  Notion of community is core value  Focus on both hosts and travellers user experiences  Wish list for travellers  “Airbnb Neighborhoods” : guidance website  Price setting tool (yield management) for hosts  Photographers for hosts  Defence of hosts (happened) vs local govt. 24
  • 25. Competitors  Traditional hotel chain  Direct competitors : HomeAway,Wimdu, 9flats  Hotel Reservation sites : Expedia, Priceline  Other market places : EBay,Amazon  Travel site :Tripadvisor 25
  • 26. Competitors 26 “What’s an Airbnb ListingWorth in 2015?” http://skift.com/2015/06/19/whats-an-airbnb-listing-worth-in-2015/ accessed on 3/12/2015 + market value extracted from yahoo finance on 3/12/2015 at 16pm
  • 28. •Financial situation yet not profitable •Management may not be experienced to sustain growth •Volatility of hosts •Highly dependable on economical situation •Law suit from local govt. •Increase of competitors in premium sectors •Event at major city change business (Paris’ attacks) •Disinterest of guests as several businesses are taking the host market in big cities •Buy by competitors SWOT 28 •Business travellers •Trends from known people •Increase of mobile devices use •Extension into complementary offers S W O •Brand recognition •Host and traveller services centric •Lower price •Market value attracts investors T
  • 29. Conclusion 29  Airbnb has created a full ecosystem based on IT  It succeeded in breaking the trade-off of bringing a unique stay experience at a low cost  It would face threats from political law that can prevent its hosts to gain advantage of renting their accomodations
  • 30. Thank you Lora Julien – Morand David 30