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4 Signs of the Shift Toward Financial Conservatism

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Publié dans : Économie & finance
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4 Signs of the Shift Toward Financial Conservatism

  1. 1. of theSigns4Global Shift Toward Financial Conservatism From The State of the Global Markets Report—2016 Edition: "The End of the Mania Era, a Global Snapshot"
  2. 2. The IPO Party Cycle is Over The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast identified the IPO market as ripe for reversal in the fall of 2014. Citing a “euphoria” surrounding Alibaba, which remains the largest IPO ever, EWFF noted a similarity to the record- setting deals that hit the market in November 1999 and March 2008. After each ebullient period, the overall market fell sharply. u
  3. 3. vInvestors are Turning Away from Risk The relationship between the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the MSCI World Index shows a trend away from risk that will gradually widen into a trend out of all equities. v
  4. 4. Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks For companies issuing buyback announcements “cheers invariably turn to jeers” as the stock market reverses from up to down. In the first three quarters of 2015, buybacks were the strongest since the record year 2007, when stocks made a major top. w
  5. 5. M&A Activity Hits Record Levels Corporate mergers are another peak-market metric that generally moves to record levels as stocks complete major bull markets. According to Dealogic, the current record total marks a 38% increase over the same period in 2014. The prior record of $3.9 trillion came as stocks topped in 2007. LEARN MORE » x
  6. 6. Bear markets move fast and are intensely emotional; investors and traders who are prepared have greater opportunities on the downside than on the upside.” Robert Prechter President, Elliott Wave International
  7. 7. 1st 10,000 Copies Free of Charge! 1. 50 chart-filled pages 2. Big-picture forecasts 3. Eye-opening commentary www.elliottwave.com/wave/SOTGM2016 The State of the Global Markets Report—2016 Edition