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State of the
App Economy:
3 Opportunities and
3 Challenges
Eric Benjamin Seufert
Online Marketing Rockstars
March 3rd, 2017
Who I am
Heracles Mobile Dev Memo Freemium Economics
Who I am
Presentation Structure
Presentation Structure
1) Current State of the App
Economy;
Presentation Structure
1) Current State of the App
Economy;
2) 3 Challenges & Opportunities
in 2017.
Presentation Structure
1) Current State of the App
Economy;
2) 3 Challenges & Opportunities
in 2017.
Current State of the App Economy
• Tech giants own considerable mobile
audience and that audience is growing;
Current State of the App Economy
Source: Nielsen
Current State of the App Economy
- 8 / 10 of the most used
apps (in terms of unique
audience) owned by
Facebook & Google;
- “Legacy” apps like
Facebook, YouTube, Gmail
still growing at >10% YoY.
Source: Nielsen
Current State of the App Economy
- Many of these apps are ad
channels and / or
third-party content
distribution channels.
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Source: Nielsen
Current State of the App Economy
Google Maps is an ad
channel and / or
third-party content
distribution channel?
Current State of the App Economy
Current State of the App Economy
• Tech giants own considerable mobile
audience and that audience is growing;
• Tech giants are turning their apps into
content consumption platforms;
Current State of the App Economy
Current State of the App Economy
Current State of the App Economy
• Tech giants own considerable mobile
audience and that audience is growing;
• Tech giants are turning their apps into
content consumption platforms;
• Increased consumer engagement / spending
on mobile continues to drive advertising
budgets.
Current State of the App Economy
Source: SensorTower
Current State of the App Economy
Source: SensorTower / Unity
*Applies specifically to mobile gaming
Current State of the App Economy
Source: Flurry
Current State of the App Economy
Source: eMarketer
Current State of the App Economy
Source: eMarketer
Source: Zenith
Current State of the App Economy
Source: eMarketer
Current State of the App Economy
Source: eMarketer
Current State of the App Economy
Facebook is at the center of much of this
growth, pushing new innovations in video
and other mobile placements;
Current State of the App Economy
Source: Facebook Q4 2016 10-Q
Current State of the App Economy
Source: Facebook Q4 2016 10-Q
Current State of the App Economy
Presentation Structure
1) Current State of the App
Economy;
2) 3 Challenges &
Opportunities in 2017.
Challenge / Opportunity:
Making sense of proliferation of
new platforms for user
engagement / content
consumption.
When every device is connected, every device appears to
be a platform on which to develop & reach a new
audience:
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
When every device is connected, every device appears to
be a platform on which to develop & reach a new
audience:
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all
emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”;
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all
emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”;
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all
emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”;
• New platforms are appealing (first mover advantage,
lack of price discovery, etc.) but developers need to be
able to discern hype & time deployment correctly.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Example: VR vs. Mobile Gaming
Source: SensorTower / Unity
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
OPPORTUNITY: Opportunities to reach new audience
emerge constantly as connected devices proliferate and
create platforms;
CHALLENGE: Difficult to know which platforms will truly
reach scale, and being early same as being wrong.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
Challenge / Opportunity:
As mobile video advertising
surges, attribution and ROI
calculation becomes
problematic.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Many developers rely on patchwork
marketing infrastructure comprised of many
3rd party tools:
Data Warehouse
(S3, etc.)
Data Visualization
Tool (Tableau,
etc.)
Attribution
Platform
Ad Network Cost
Aggregation
Platform
Ad Networks
N1
N2
N3
PMD
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
Data Warehouse
(S3, etc.)
Data Visualization
Tool (Tableau,
etc.)
Attribution
Platform
Ad Network Cost
Aggregation
Platform
Ad Networks
N1
N2
N3
PMD
Marketing Team
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
Data Warehouse
(S3, etc.)
Data Visualization
Tool (Tableau,
etc.)
Attribution
Platform
Ad Network Cost
Aggregation
Platform
Ad Networks
N1
N2
N3
PMD
Marketing Team
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Shifting to video complicates this further
because clicks / installs aren’t attributable;
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Shifting to video complicates this further
because clicks / installs aren’t attributable;
• Formats such as Facebook Live / Influencer
Campaigns can be totally contextual;
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• Shifting to video complicates this further
because clicks / installs aren’t attributable;
• Formats such as Facebook Live / Influencer
Campaigns can be totally contextual;
• Probabilistic models help advertisers match
clicks / installs to campaigns.
OPPORTUNITY: Continued popularity of video on mobile
creates endless new opportunities for audiences to be
reached (sometimes cheaply);
CHALLENGE: Fuzzy attribution makes it difficult for
advertisers to understand ROI.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
Challenge / Opportunity:
Growth of Walled Garden
advertising platforms.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• The biggest mobile advertising platforms are
becoming siloed, both in terms of tool
offerings and inventory offerings;
Existing / Old
Paradigm:
Inventory
Pool
Mobile Gaming
Advertisers
Mobile Commerce
Advertisers
Dating App
Advertisers
Mobile Gaming
Publishers
Dating App
Publishers
Mobile Commerce
Publishers
Ad Networks /
Native Inventory Sources
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
Emerging
Paradigm:
Mobile Gaming
Advertisers
Mobile Gaming
Publishers
Dating App
Advertisers
Dating App
Publishers
Mobile Commerce
Advertisers
Mobile Commerce
Publishers
& travel, etc.
Brand Advertisers
& travel, etc.
Retail Advertisers
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• The biggest mobile advertising platforms are
becoming siloed, both in terms of tool
offerings and inventory offerings;
• Owned inventory platforms have created
vertical-specific inventory pools;
Ad Networks /
Exchanges
Owned Inventory
● Retail;
● Brand;
● Mobile
commerce;
● High-LTV /
High-CTR
Games.
● Intent-based
advertising
(travel,
in-store
retail).
● Brand;
● Youth-oriented
retail;
● Entertainment.
● Games;
● Finance
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
• NOTE: This segmentation is soft. Every type
of app is & will continue to be advertised
everywhere;
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
OPPORTUNITY: Platform-specific tools and inventory
help advertisers reach appropriate audiences more
efficiently;
CHALLENGE: Walled gardens create scaling difficulty for
advertisers. Analytics / infrastructure “lock in” can limit
growth.
3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
http://hrcls.co
eric@hrcls.co
@eric_seufert
Thank You!

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Eric Seufert - State of the App Economy: 3 Opportunities and 3 Challenges

  • 1. State of the App Economy: 3 Opportunities and 3 Challenges Eric Benjamin Seufert Online Marketing Rockstars March 3rd, 2017
  • 2. Who I am Heracles Mobile Dev Memo Freemium Economics
  • 5. Presentation Structure 1) Current State of the App Economy;
  • 6. Presentation Structure 1) Current State of the App Economy; 2) 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017.
  • 7. Presentation Structure 1) Current State of the App Economy; 2) 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017.
  • 8. Current State of the App Economy
  • 9. • Tech giants own considerable mobile audience and that audience is growing; Current State of the App Economy
  • 10. Source: Nielsen Current State of the App Economy
  • 11. - 8 / 10 of the most used apps (in terms of unique audience) owned by Facebook & Google; - “Legacy” apps like Facebook, YouTube, Gmail still growing at >10% YoY. Source: Nielsen Current State of the App Economy
  • 12. - Many of these apps are ad channels and / or third-party content distribution channels. * * * * * * * Source: Nielsen Current State of the App Economy
  • 13. Google Maps is an ad channel and / or third-party content distribution channel? Current State of the App Economy
  • 14. Current State of the App Economy
  • 15. • Tech giants own considerable mobile audience and that audience is growing; • Tech giants are turning their apps into content consumption platforms; Current State of the App Economy
  • 16. Current State of the App Economy
  • 17. Current State of the App Economy
  • 18. • Tech giants own considerable mobile audience and that audience is growing; • Tech giants are turning their apps into content consumption platforms; • Increased consumer engagement / spending on mobile continues to drive advertising budgets. Current State of the App Economy
  • 19. Source: SensorTower Current State of the App Economy
  • 20. Source: SensorTower / Unity *Applies specifically to mobile gaming Current State of the App Economy
  • 21. Source: Flurry Current State of the App Economy
  • 22. Source: eMarketer Current State of the App Economy
  • 23. Source: eMarketer Source: Zenith Current State of the App Economy
  • 24. Source: eMarketer Current State of the App Economy
  • 25. Source: eMarketer Current State of the App Economy
  • 26. Facebook is at the center of much of this growth, pushing new innovations in video and other mobile placements; Current State of the App Economy
  • 27. Source: Facebook Q4 2016 10-Q Current State of the App Economy
  • 28. Source: Facebook Q4 2016 10-Q Current State of the App Economy
  • 29. Presentation Structure 1) Current State of the App Economy; 2) 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017.
  • 30. Challenge / Opportunity: Making sense of proliferation of new platforms for user engagement / content consumption.
  • 31. When every device is connected, every device appears to be a platform on which to develop & reach a new audience: 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 32. When every device is connected, every device appears to be a platform on which to develop & reach a new audience: 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 33. • Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”; 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 34. • Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”; 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 35. • Tech media sometimes uncritically promotes all emerging platforms as ascendant “next big thing”; • New platforms are appealing (first mover advantage, lack of price discovery, etc.) but developers need to be able to discern hype & time deployment correctly. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 36. • Example: VR vs. Mobile Gaming Source: SensorTower / Unity 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 37. OPPORTUNITY: Opportunities to reach new audience emerge constantly as connected devices proliferate and create platforms; CHALLENGE: Difficult to know which platforms will truly reach scale, and being early same as being wrong. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 38. Challenge / Opportunity: As mobile video advertising surges, attribution and ROI calculation becomes problematic.
  • 39. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • Many developers rely on patchwork marketing infrastructure comprised of many 3rd party tools:
  • 40. Data Warehouse (S3, etc.) Data Visualization Tool (Tableau, etc.) Attribution Platform Ad Network Cost Aggregation Platform Ad Networks N1 N2 N3 PMD 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 41. Data Warehouse (S3, etc.) Data Visualization Tool (Tableau, etc.) Attribution Platform Ad Network Cost Aggregation Platform Ad Networks N1 N2 N3 PMD Marketing Team 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 42. Data Warehouse (S3, etc.) Data Visualization Tool (Tableau, etc.) Attribution Platform Ad Network Cost Aggregation Platform Ad Networks N1 N2 N3 PMD Marketing Team 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 43. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • Shifting to video complicates this further because clicks / installs aren’t attributable;
  • 44. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • Shifting to video complicates this further because clicks / installs aren’t attributable; • Formats such as Facebook Live / Influencer Campaigns can be totally contextual;
  • 45. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • Shifting to video complicates this further because clicks / installs aren’t attributable; • Formats such as Facebook Live / Influencer Campaigns can be totally contextual; • Probabilistic models help advertisers match clicks / installs to campaigns.
  • 46. OPPORTUNITY: Continued popularity of video on mobile creates endless new opportunities for audiences to be reached (sometimes cheaply); CHALLENGE: Fuzzy attribution makes it difficult for advertisers to understand ROI. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 47. Challenge / Opportunity: Growth of Walled Garden advertising platforms.
  • 48. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • The biggest mobile advertising platforms are becoming siloed, both in terms of tool offerings and inventory offerings;
  • 49. Existing / Old Paradigm: Inventory Pool Mobile Gaming Advertisers Mobile Commerce Advertisers Dating App Advertisers Mobile Gaming Publishers Dating App Publishers Mobile Commerce Publishers Ad Networks / Native Inventory Sources 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 50. Emerging Paradigm: Mobile Gaming Advertisers Mobile Gaming Publishers Dating App Advertisers Dating App Publishers Mobile Commerce Advertisers Mobile Commerce Publishers & travel, etc. Brand Advertisers & travel, etc. Retail Advertisers 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 51. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017 • The biggest mobile advertising platforms are becoming siloed, both in terms of tool offerings and inventory offerings; • Owned inventory platforms have created vertical-specific inventory pools;
  • 52. Ad Networks / Exchanges Owned Inventory ● Retail; ● Brand; ● Mobile commerce; ● High-LTV / High-CTR Games. ● Intent-based advertising (travel, in-store retail). ● Brand; ● Youth-oriented retail; ● Entertainment. ● Games; ● Finance 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 53. • NOTE: This segmentation is soft. Every type of app is & will continue to be advertised everywhere; 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017
  • 54. OPPORTUNITY: Platform-specific tools and inventory help advertisers reach appropriate audiences more efficiently; CHALLENGE: Walled gardens create scaling difficulty for advertisers. Analytics / infrastructure “lock in” can limit growth. 3 Challenges & Opportunities in 2017