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10 Hot
Consumer
Trends 2017
An Ericsson Consumer Insight Summary Report
December 2016
ERICSSON
CONSUMERLAB
2  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
Contents
2	METHODOLOGY
3 	 TRENDS 2017: REALITY TIME
4 	 AI EVERYWHERE
5 	SETTING THE PACE FOR
INTERNET OF THINGS
6 	PEDESTRIANS DRIVE
AUTONOMOUS CARS
7 	 MERGED REALITY
8 	 BODIES OUT OF SYNC
9 	THE SMART DEVICE
SAFETY PARADOX
10 	SOCIAL SILOS
11 	AUGMENTED PERSONAL REALITY
12 	THE PRIVACY DIVIDE
13 	BIG TECH FOR ALL
14 	INFOGRAPHIC
METHODOLOGY
the voice of
the consumer
The insights in this report are mainly based on an online survey
of 7,138 advanced internet users in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta,
Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San
Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney,Tokyo andToronto
that was carried out in October 2016.
Respondents were advanced internet users aged 15−69, who
have an urban early adopter profile with high average use
of new digital technologies such as fitness trackers, smart
watches and virtual reality headsets.
Correspondingly, they represent only 27 million citizens out
of the well over 200 million living in the metropolitan areas
surveyed, and this, in turn, is just a small fraction of consumers
globally. However, we believe their early adopter profile makes
them important to understand when exploring future trends.
Some trends also rely on insights from other studies that have
been conducted by Ericsson ConsumerLab during 2016.
When such data has been used, source information is given
separately on each page.	
Ericsson ConsumerLab has more than 20 years’
experience of studying people’s behaviors and values,
including the way they act and think about ICT products
and services. Ericsson ConsumerLab provides
unique insights on market and consumer trends.
Ericsson ConsumerLab gains its knowledge through a
global consumer research program based on interviews with
100,000 individuals each year, in more than 40 countries
– statistically representing the views of 1.1 billion people.
Both quantitative and qualitative methods are used, and
hundreds of hours are spent with consumers from different
cultures. To be close to the market and consumers,
Ericsson ConsumerLab has representatives throughout
Ericsson’s global presence, developing an international
understanding of the ICT market and business models.
All reports can be found at:
www.ericsson.com/consumerlab
The internet has shifted from being a predominately
text-based source of information to one that is comprised
of 70 percent video traffic. This is no wonder, since our
brains are hardwired to understand the world graphically.
For example, a study from MIT says we only need
13 milliseconds to identify an image.1
That is about
10 times faster than we are able to move our eyes.
Ericsson ConsumerLab research shows that online video
consumption is rising every year. Video is also viewed
increasingly on the move and in real time, with video calls,
online games and live event broadcasts. Recently, we have
also seen user generated real-time broadcasts moving
into the mainstream, for example with Facebook Live.
Going beyond real time, several of the trends for 2017
point towards everything around us increasingly being
interpreted as moving images. Cars start understanding
the world graphically when they become autonomous,
as do many artificial intelligence (AI) powered robots
and Internet of Things (IoT) applications.
This means that rather than just real time, we
should start talking about reality time.
Virtual reality (VR) is currently the fastest growing form
of video traffic, with Cisco predicting that it will grow
61-fold between 2015 and 2020.2
When video literally
means the world, computing power will be directed
at our visual cortex rather than our fingertips.
VR and augmented reality (AR) are key features of
the major Q1 2017 update to Microsoft Windows 10.
And in fact, more than 40 percent of advanced
internet users we have surveyed would like a
computer with VR/AR as its main interface.
But our research clearly indicates that these technologies
must be truly mobile to become popular. As an early
VR adopter complained to us: “I have wires coming
out of my head.” Wires simply must go. At the
same time, 70 percent do not want to worry about
charging mobile device batteries all the time.
Hence, as consumers increasingly rely on IoT devices,
and begin moving within VR/AR – and in autonomous, AI
controlled cars – demand for battery-friendly, high speed,
near-zero latency connectivity is set to grow rapidly.
Reality time means it is time for 5G networks.
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  3
TRENDS 2017:
REALITY TIME
1
news.mit.edu/2014/in-the-blink-of-an-eye-0116
2
Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2015–2020 White Paper, Cisco, 2016
40% of advanced
internet users would like
a computer with VR/AR
as its main interface
Reality time means it
is time for 5G networks
The idea that a manmade creature could gain awareness has
been around for a very long time – it can be seen in folklore
about anthropomorphic golems, and AI sci-fi stories, for
example. In modern science, the idea of creating a digital
brain was already around in the 1940s.
Today, AI research and development is booming all over the
world, from Tokyo to San Francisco. And stories about how
AI can help us build a flourishing society or – at the other end
of the spectrum – instill fear through the rise of the machines,
are seen everywhere in media.
But AI is no longer a sci-fi story. Today AI technology has
many applications. It is behind the recommendations that
streamed media services make based on consumption
habits, in the assistants in our phones and as advisors in
areas such as healthcare and legislation. And consumers
believe it is here to stay.
Not only do advanced internet users want assistants to
support their daily life, they also see that AI could help the
companies they work for. More people want an AI advisor at
work (35 percent) than those who do not (24 percent). And
even though more than two in five are against it, almost one
in four would even like an AI as a leader of a company.
But while consumers see possibilities with AI, they also worry
about risks; almost half of respondents are concerned that AI
robots will soon make a lot of people lose their jobs.
Still, if you can’t beat them, join them. A third would rather
technologically enhance their own intelligence than rely on an
AI assistant, and almost as many want to upload their minds
to the internet and become AIs themselves. While that may
or may not become possible, the very thought points to an
existential dilemma consumers are already starting to face.
Having AI as a separate trend makes sense as people
now see AI spreading. At the same time, many of the
other trends contain AI aspects – further evidence that
AI is everywhere.
More people want an AI advisor
at work than those who do not
Almost half are concerned that
AI robots will soon make a lot
of people lose their jobs
1. AI Everywhere
4  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
Figure 1: Consumer willingness to interact
with AI in different contexts
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot ConsumerTrends 2017, 2016
Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta,
Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco,
São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney,Tokyo andToronto
Willing Unwilling
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Have an AI
as a leader of
your country
Have an AI
as a leader
of a company
Have an
AI as as a
manager
Upload your
mind and
become an
AI yourself
Have an AI
as an advisor
at work
IoT is rather abstract and may be difficult for consumers
to relate to. But as they increasingly use automated
applications, they are gradually discovering how IoT can
support their needs. In this way, consumers set the pace
for IoT adoption.
Many already have apps on their smartphones that remotely
control media playback, house alarms and even unlock cars
or steer drones in flight. Smartphones may also be key to
IoT beyond the remote control paradigm.
As two in five advanced internet users believe their
phones will soon learn what we do and perform
activities for us automatically, smartphones could soon
interact with a wealth of other devices on our behalf.
One in two smartphone owners believes they will be
able to talk to household appliances.3
Furthermore,
almost three in four believe multiple wearables and
sensors will help them interact with other devices
and physical things around them.4
Although a future full of machines performing the same
activities as humans may seem cold and sterile, the opposite
may also be true. Almost half of smartphone owners
surveyed say they spend too much time in front of computer
and smartphone screens, and just as many say they also
have family members with the same issue. Having some
tasks performed by IoT instead could free up our time.
Having some tasks
performed by IoT could
free up our time
A large majority believe multiple
wearables and sensors will help
them interact with other devices
and physical things around them
2. Setting the Pace for
Internet of Things
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  5
3
10 Hot Consumer Trends 2016, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2015
4
Wearable Technology and the Internet, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016
Two in five believe smartphones
will learn their habits and perform
activities on their behalf automatically
TICKETS
Here is your
ticket, sir.
3. Pedestrians Drive
Autonomous Cars
6  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
If you read the news, self-driving car technology seems
to be developing at a rapid pace. Not only are major
manufacturers promising autonomous drive functionality
within only a few years, Tesla is already installing (albeit
not yet enabling) full self-drive capability in all cars.5
As autonomous cars will ultimately make drivers extinct,
we need to shift perspective away from drivers when
talking about the future car market. Since it is predicted
that autonomous driving could make car sharing the basic
mode of transportation6
, taking the perspective of car
owners also seems uncertain. Furthermore, although the
passenger perspective remains valid, a lot of traffic today
is about transporting goods rather than people. Therefore,
the most valid consumer perspective in traffic might
actually be that of the pedestrian. When crossing a street,
pedestrians are more vulnerable than other traffic subjects.
For this reason, one in four pedestrians would already feel
safer today if all cars were autonomous.7
And 65 percent of
those who say so would also very much prefer to have an
autonomous car rather than one they have to drive themselves.
Interestingly, many advanced internet users also want self-drive
functionality when walking.Two in five want their phone to warn
against obstacles, and one in three even wants street signs
and lights embedded in pavements. It won’t save lives, but at
least it could help pedestrians avoid bumping into each other
because their eyes are locked onto their smartphone screen.
5
www.cnbc.com/2016/10/20/tesla-fully-self-driving-car-watch-video-could-pick-you-up-from-across-the-country.html
6
www.govtech.com/transportation/Driverless-Cars-Could-Reduce-Traffic-by-80-percent.html
7
25, 329 smartphone users in 17 countries, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016
One in three wants
street signs and lights
embedded in pavements
A quarter of
pedestrians would
feel safer crossing
a street if all cars
were autonomous
4. Merged Reality
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  7
Although VR and AR today are still focused on gaming, our
research shows that people want to use such technologies
for more everyday activities. But for such broader use,
they express a strong need for physical, virtual and
augmented realities to merge into one seamless reality.
Just like internet use has become inseparable from many
physical activities, the same may happen with VR and AR.
For example, early adopters who have played table tennis
in a room-scale VR environment have come to realize that in
the not-so-distant future, the table tennis world champion
and the table tennis VR champion may be the same person.
However, early VR adopters say that the mixed reality
experience of today creates contradictions by not being
merged with the real world. VR lets users go anywhere in
virtual worlds, but by blocking the physical view, it makes
it near impossible to go anywhere in the real world. VR
also isolates users in experiences that need to be shared
with friends in the real world to fully enjoy. Although
VR and AR now offer up fantasy, making the everyday
more fantastic is what consumers are really seeking.
In this sense, consumers need a more coherent experience,
and many in fact believe a merged reality will happen soon.
Almost four out of five of those who use both fixed and
mobile VR believe these experiences will be indistinguishable
from physical reality in only three years. Furthermore, three
in five of them already consider online meetings to be
like meetings in real life, while less than a third of non-VR
users think so. Half of the respondents are also interested
in gloves or shoes that allow you to interact with virtual
objects as if they were part of the physical surroundings
It actually makes a lot of sense to compare it to how the
internet has already become inextricably embedded in
shopping, media use, social interaction, leisure, work
and learning. In fact, four out of five of those who use
both fixed and mobile VR think both VR and AR will be
used as commonly as the internet in only three years.
Half of respondents are
already interested in gloves
or shoes that allow you to
interact with virtual objects
People express a strong
need for physical, virtual and
augmented realities to merge
into one seamless reality
Almost four out of five
VR users believe VR will
be indistinguishable from
reality in only three years
When trains started to appear in the late 1820s in England,
prospective passengers worried that the human body was
simply not built to withstand movement at such incredible
speeds – around 15 miles per hour at the time. In fact,
some even thought it would not be possible to breathe.
Although they were completely wrong in the details, they
were intriguingly right in a more abstract sense. When inside
vehicles, our brains are easily confused when some senses
detect movement while others don’t. So even with 200 years
of motorized transportation, we still get car sick; in fact one
in five feels nausea in cars or buses every week, even today.
Consumers believe car sickness will become even worse
with autonomous cars. When we all become passengers,
we will want to read, watch movies, join in video conferences
and more while on the road. Hence, as many as 3 in 10
foresee using car sickness pills in autonomous cars.
But car sickness is no longer just about the car. As we
are now starting to move in alternate realities, we begin
fooling our senses in new ways. Among early adopters
of VR, for example, motion sickness experiences
are very common, and people are trying to find their
“VR legs” just like sailors had to find their sea legs.
Consequently, one in three survey respondents said they
want VR/AR motion sickness pills. In fact, more than half
of those who use both fixed and mobile VR even say it is
acceptable for parents to give children such pills.
Humans continue to want to do more things, and
technological remedies to help our bodies adjust will
multiply. As an example, two out of five want implants that
adjust blood values, oxygen, enzymes and hormones to
help the body adapt to sports, work and other activities.
5. Bodies Out of Sync
8  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
As many as 3 in 10 foresee
using car sickness pills in
autonomous cars
One in five feels nausea
in cars or buses every
week, even today
A third want motion sickness
pills for use with VR and
AR technology
6. The Smart Device
Safety Paradox
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  9
8
Public Safety Goes Personal, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016
9
Wearable Technology and the Internet, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016
Consumers increasingly
rely on their devices
to help them out of
dangerous situations
Nowadays, we take our phones everywhere we go. If we get
lost we can call, text, look up information on the internet or
navigate using GPS – all with our phones. For example, more
than half of smartphone users already use emergency alarms,
tracking or notifications on their smartphones. Another three
in five have emergency contacts stored in their phone.
But what happens if you lose your phone while still
looking for your destination? Or you have an accident in
a remote area of town while your phone is not charged?
In many ways the basic features of your smartphone
can make you safer – and around two in five citizens
in five major cities surveyed agree.8
But here’s the
paradox: three in five of those who say so take more risks
because they rely on their phone to keep them safe.
The smartphone may just be the starting point. As it
happens, one in three smartphone users believes they will
wear at least five wearables beyond 2020. Not only that,
but three out of five smartphone users are confident that
wearables will have uses beyond health and wellness.9
The
next area of interest is in safety and security, such as items
like panic buttons, smart locators and identity authenticators.
Given current behavioral tendencies, reckless behavior
could greatly increase in only a few years’ time.
Consumers increasingly rely on their devices to help
them out of dangerous situations rather than trying to
avoid ending up in such situations in the first place.
One in three smartphone
users believes they will
wear at least five wearables
beyond 2020
Three in five of those who
think their phone makes
them safer take more risks
?
As many as one out of three states that social networks
are their prime source of news, and only one out of four
thinks that established news channels and newspapers can
always be trusted to be accurate. In fact, 28 percent say
that their contacts are a more reliable source of information
than what is said on TV, radio and in newspapers. This
line of thinking extends to political views as well. More
than one in four thinks their contacts’ opinions are
more important than what politicians say. And nearly
half of those who say so are willing to have an AI as a
political leader, pointing to a lack of trust in society.
Going forward, there is a risk that the walls of these
social silos will become ever more impenetrable, as one
out of four on a weekly basis continues to un-friend people
or refuse invites on social networks because of the
other person’s opinions.
7. Social Silos
10  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
For some time, search and social network algorithms have
been accused of hindering users from coming across news
and information beyond their own interests. This limits users’
chances of being exposed to opposing ideas, which will also
limit people from getting a diversified view of the world.10
But, it is, in a way, more shocking that people take
steps to achieve the same effect even when algorithms
won’t do the trick. In an increasingly globalized world, it
may feel good to know that there are many like-minded
people around, creating so-called echo chambers
where groups repeat and amplify similar ideas.
The combined effect is that rather than connecting
people all over the world, social networks increasingly
separate different groups in closed-off social silos.
10
Pariser, Eli. The Filter Bubble: What the Internet Is Hiding fromYou, (NewYork, May 2011)
More than a quarter values
their contacts’ opinions more
than politicians’ viewpoints
Social networks increasingly
separate different groups
in closed-off social silos
One out of three
states that social
networks are their
prime source of news
Half of those who value
contacts’ opinions over those
of politicians would be willing to
have an AI as a political leader
8. Augmented
personal reality
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  11
Figure 2: Consumer interest in different applications for AR glasses
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017, 2016
Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburg, London,
Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney, Tokyo and Toronto
Paint over disturbing elements (e.g.
graffiti, garbage, badly dressed people)
Make people look like aliens, elves or
even characters from their favorite movie
Modify surroundings by adding birds,
flowers, or to mimic their favorite movie
Edit out street signs, shop windows
or billboards of no interest
Mark and highlight things that could
be dangerous when out and about
Find and pick up digital bonus
items related to games you play
Lighten up surroundings when
it is too dark to see well
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
34%
35%
37%
38%
41%
50%
55%
In early 2016, few consumers knew what AR was and
even fewer had tried it out. But in the course of just a
few weeks, AR became the talk of the whole world, with
hundreds of millions of people hitting the streets to play
Pokémon GO. The story of Pokémon GO really proves that
a new technology can become mainstream overnight.
Now consumers want to use that same technology
to customize their very experience of reality. We are
already accustomed to receiving personalized search
results, media feeds, advertising and even spam.
We can also customize settings on everything from
phones to cars, but this may be just the beginning.
For example, the fact that more than half of advanced
internet users would like to use AR glasses to light up dark
surroundings in order to highlight potentially dangerous
people approaching may not be surprising. But more
than one in three would also like to edit out disturbing
elements around them, such as graffiti, garbage, or
even badly dressed people. At least as many would like
to erase street signs, uninteresting shop windows and
billboards. This could be a real nightmare to brands
that do not manage to capture consumer imaginations
– they might simply be wiped from view for good.
Although this changes the fundamental way we perceive
reality around us, it doesn’t stop there. Instead consumers
want to use AR to change the world into something
that reflects their own personal moods. Around two
in five want to change the way their surroundings
look and even how people appear to them.
Almost as many would like to have AR glasses that
let you find and pick up digital game items, like in
Pokémon GO. It is very likely that this will not be the only
game to become integrated in people’s physical reality.
The majority would like to use
AR glasses to illuminate dark
surroundings and highlight dangers
More than one in three would
like to edit out disturbing
elements around them
9. The Privacy Divide
12  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
Two in five want to use encrypted services only. Another 46% say
they need the encrypted protection these services offer
Although privacy has been debated for some time,
the heat of the debate is only set to increase.
Some people only want to use encrypted services,
whereas others believe that all encryption can be
hacked and the idea of privacy no longer exists.
Most major messaging apps now offer end-to-end
encryption and some even have it as the default setting.
This is good news to many, as two in five want to use
encrypted services only. Another 46 percent say they really
need the encrypted protection these services offer.
But consumers are divided over this. One in three advanced
internet users believes that governments should be able
to access any personal data including their own, in order
to fight crime and terrorism. And 45 percent think that
companies should always comply when authorities ask
for data about their customers for such purposes.
In fact, almost half of advanced internet users would
like to just have reasonably good privacy across all
services. Reasonable privacy can be difficult to define.
It might be more about the feeling of control, as three in
five just want a notification if someone eavesdrops.
And who are we protecting our information from? Given
that more than half do not know what tracking information
their devices send to various companies or what it is used
for, it seems that those who provide you with the best
encryption also collect the most information about you.
This might explain the loss of faith in privacy. Shockingly,
more than one out of three believes privacy is over,
and that in the future, all information about people,
organizations and governments will be available publicly.
More than a third
believe privacy
no longer exists
One in three believes that
governments should be able
to access any personal data in
order to fight crime and terrorism
10. Big Tech for All
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  13
When the morning bus is late, commuters routinely
consider alternatives – take the train, use an app to share
a taxi, commute digitally? As a result, consumers easily
make comparisons across industries that companies
may not have considered. The internet is opening up
the ability for people to compare almost anything.
As a consumer, if you give Google your position,
Google helps you find the quickest way to the
supermarket. Similarly, if you give the supermarket
your position, you may want it to show you the
quickest way to the product shelf you are looking for.
Hence, more than two out of five advanced internet
users are interested in having the biggest IT companies
provide them all the products they need, across all
types of product categories – from care to cars.
As a result, traditional companies need to reinvent
themselves as IT companies very quickly. In fact, three
in four advanced internet users who are open to the
idea believe the biggest five companies will provide
all products they need in only five years’ time.
Given that almost half think such IT companies know
more about them than anyone else, these companies may
indeed be better positioned to develop new products and
services. However, such intimate consumer knowledge
could also become an integrity concern and backfire: two
in five advanced internet users today already would pay to
ensure personal data is never used without their consent.
Figure 3: Percentage of consumers who are very interested
in the biggest five IT companies providing different services
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017, 2016
Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago,
Jakarta, Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork,
San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney, Tokyo and Toronto
Rented apartments
and housing
Hospitals and
elderly care
Home security
services
Cars
Home smart meters for
electricity and water
Schools and
universities
Internet and
mobile broadband
access services
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
34%
39%
40%
40%
42%
45%
51%
More than two out of five are
interested in having the biggest
IT companies provide them
all the products they need
Almost half think big IT
companies know more about
them than anyone else
2
3
9
8
4
5
67
10
1
AIs can support all
aspects of our lives
hot consumer
trends 2017
14  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017
AI Everywhere
Setting the
Pace for IoT
Pedestrians Drive
Autonomous Cars
Merged Reality
Bodies Out
of Sync
The Smart
Device Safety
ParadoxSocial Silos
Augmented
Personal Reality
The Privacy Divide
Big Tech for All
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  15
2. Setting the Pace for IoT
Consumers are increasingly using
automated applications, influencing
overall IoT adoption
3. Pedestrians Drive
Autonomous Cars
Autonomous cars could replace
drivers – and pedestrians say
this would make them feel safer
4. Merged Reality
Advanced VR users think virtual,
augmented and physical reality will
fully merge in only three years’ time
5. Bodies Out of Sync
As autonomous cars and virtual
and augmented reality become
more common, consumers see
motion sickness increasing
6. The Smart Device
Safety Paradox
Phones help keep us safe, but
consumers take more risks because
they rely on smart devices
8. Augmented
Personal Reality
Consumers want to use AR to
customize the way the world
looks around them
9. The Privacy Divide
Some people only want to use
encrypted services, but others
believe privacy no longer exists
1. AI Everywhere
AI is spreading beyond assistants
– actively influencing people’s
daily lives and workplaces
7. Social Silos
People turn their social
networks into silos, limiting their
exposure to opposing ideas
10. Big Tech for All
Most advanced internet users
believe that in five years they
will buy everything from the
biggest five IT companies
Ericsson is the driving force behind the Networked Society – a world leader in
communications technology and services. Our long-term relationships with every
major telecom operator in the world allow people, business and society to fulfill
their potential and create a more sustainable future.
Our services, software and infrastructure – especially in mobility, broadband and
the cloud – are enabling the telecom industry and other sectors to do better business,
increase efficiency, improve the user experience and capture new opportunities.
With approximately 115,000 professionals and customers in 180 countries, we combine
global scale with technology and services leadership. We support networks that
connect more than 2.5 billion subscribers. Forty percent of the world’s mobile traffic
is carried over Ericsson networks. And our investments in research and development
ensure that our solutions – and our customers – stay in front.
EAB-16:020334 Uen
© Ericsson AB 2016
Ericsson
SE-164 80 Stockholm, Sweden
Telephone +46 10 719 0000
www.ericsson.com

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10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017: Reality Time/TITLE

  • 1. 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017 An Ericsson Consumer Insight Summary Report December 2016 ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB
  • 2. 2  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 Contents 2 METHODOLOGY 3 TRENDS 2017: REALITY TIME 4 AI EVERYWHERE 5 SETTING THE PACE FOR INTERNET OF THINGS 6 PEDESTRIANS DRIVE AUTONOMOUS CARS 7 MERGED REALITY 8 BODIES OUT OF SYNC 9 THE SMART DEVICE SAFETY PARADOX 10 SOCIAL SILOS 11 AUGMENTED PERSONAL REALITY 12 THE PRIVACY DIVIDE 13 BIG TECH FOR ALL 14 INFOGRAPHIC METHODOLOGY the voice of the consumer The insights in this report are mainly based on an online survey of 7,138 advanced internet users in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney,Tokyo andToronto that was carried out in October 2016. Respondents were advanced internet users aged 15−69, who have an urban early adopter profile with high average use of new digital technologies such as fitness trackers, smart watches and virtual reality headsets. Correspondingly, they represent only 27 million citizens out of the well over 200 million living in the metropolitan areas surveyed, and this, in turn, is just a small fraction of consumers globally. However, we believe their early adopter profile makes them important to understand when exploring future trends. Some trends also rely on insights from other studies that have been conducted by Ericsson ConsumerLab during 2016. When such data has been used, source information is given separately on each page. Ericsson ConsumerLab has more than 20 years’ experience of studying people’s behaviors and values, including the way they act and think about ICT products and services. Ericsson ConsumerLab provides unique insights on market and consumer trends. Ericsson ConsumerLab gains its knowledge through a global consumer research program based on interviews with 100,000 individuals each year, in more than 40 countries – statistically representing the views of 1.1 billion people. Both quantitative and qualitative methods are used, and hundreds of hours are spent with consumers from different cultures. To be close to the market and consumers, Ericsson ConsumerLab has representatives throughout Ericsson’s global presence, developing an international understanding of the ICT market and business models. All reports can be found at: www.ericsson.com/consumerlab
  • 3. The internet has shifted from being a predominately text-based source of information to one that is comprised of 70 percent video traffic. This is no wonder, since our brains are hardwired to understand the world graphically. For example, a study from MIT says we only need 13 milliseconds to identify an image.1 That is about 10 times faster than we are able to move our eyes. Ericsson ConsumerLab research shows that online video consumption is rising every year. Video is also viewed increasingly on the move and in real time, with video calls, online games and live event broadcasts. Recently, we have also seen user generated real-time broadcasts moving into the mainstream, for example with Facebook Live. Going beyond real time, several of the trends for 2017 point towards everything around us increasingly being interpreted as moving images. Cars start understanding the world graphically when they become autonomous, as do many artificial intelligence (AI) powered robots and Internet of Things (IoT) applications. This means that rather than just real time, we should start talking about reality time. Virtual reality (VR) is currently the fastest growing form of video traffic, with Cisco predicting that it will grow 61-fold between 2015 and 2020.2 When video literally means the world, computing power will be directed at our visual cortex rather than our fingertips. VR and augmented reality (AR) are key features of the major Q1 2017 update to Microsoft Windows 10. And in fact, more than 40 percent of advanced internet users we have surveyed would like a computer with VR/AR as its main interface. But our research clearly indicates that these technologies must be truly mobile to become popular. As an early VR adopter complained to us: “I have wires coming out of my head.” Wires simply must go. At the same time, 70 percent do not want to worry about charging mobile device batteries all the time. Hence, as consumers increasingly rely on IoT devices, and begin moving within VR/AR – and in autonomous, AI controlled cars – demand for battery-friendly, high speed, near-zero latency connectivity is set to grow rapidly. Reality time means it is time for 5G networks. ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  3 TRENDS 2017: REALITY TIME 1 news.mit.edu/2014/in-the-blink-of-an-eye-0116 2 Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2015–2020 White Paper, Cisco, 2016 40% of advanced internet users would like a computer with VR/AR as its main interface Reality time means it is time for 5G networks
  • 4. The idea that a manmade creature could gain awareness has been around for a very long time – it can be seen in folklore about anthropomorphic golems, and AI sci-fi stories, for example. In modern science, the idea of creating a digital brain was already around in the 1940s. Today, AI research and development is booming all over the world, from Tokyo to San Francisco. And stories about how AI can help us build a flourishing society or – at the other end of the spectrum – instill fear through the rise of the machines, are seen everywhere in media. But AI is no longer a sci-fi story. Today AI technology has many applications. It is behind the recommendations that streamed media services make based on consumption habits, in the assistants in our phones and as advisors in areas such as healthcare and legislation. And consumers believe it is here to stay. Not only do advanced internet users want assistants to support their daily life, they also see that AI could help the companies they work for. More people want an AI advisor at work (35 percent) than those who do not (24 percent). And even though more than two in five are against it, almost one in four would even like an AI as a leader of a company. But while consumers see possibilities with AI, they also worry about risks; almost half of respondents are concerned that AI robots will soon make a lot of people lose their jobs. Still, if you can’t beat them, join them. A third would rather technologically enhance their own intelligence than rely on an AI assistant, and almost as many want to upload their minds to the internet and become AIs themselves. While that may or may not become possible, the very thought points to an existential dilemma consumers are already starting to face. Having AI as a separate trend makes sense as people now see AI spreading. At the same time, many of the other trends contain AI aspects – further evidence that AI is everywhere. More people want an AI advisor at work than those who do not Almost half are concerned that AI robots will soon make a lot of people lose their jobs 1. AI Everywhere 4  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 Figure 1: Consumer willingness to interact with AI in different contexts Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot ConsumerTrends 2017, 2016 Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney,Tokyo andToronto Willing Unwilling 0% 20% 10% 30% 40% 50% 60% Have an AI as a leader of your country Have an AI as a leader of a company Have an AI as as a manager Upload your mind and become an AI yourself Have an AI as an advisor at work
  • 5. IoT is rather abstract and may be difficult for consumers to relate to. But as they increasingly use automated applications, they are gradually discovering how IoT can support their needs. In this way, consumers set the pace for IoT adoption. Many already have apps on their smartphones that remotely control media playback, house alarms and even unlock cars or steer drones in flight. Smartphones may also be key to IoT beyond the remote control paradigm. As two in five advanced internet users believe their phones will soon learn what we do and perform activities for us automatically, smartphones could soon interact with a wealth of other devices on our behalf. One in two smartphone owners believes they will be able to talk to household appliances.3 Furthermore, almost three in four believe multiple wearables and sensors will help them interact with other devices and physical things around them.4 Although a future full of machines performing the same activities as humans may seem cold and sterile, the opposite may also be true. Almost half of smartphone owners surveyed say they spend too much time in front of computer and smartphone screens, and just as many say they also have family members with the same issue. Having some tasks performed by IoT instead could free up our time. Having some tasks performed by IoT could free up our time A large majority believe multiple wearables and sensors will help them interact with other devices and physical things around them 2. Setting the Pace for Internet of Things ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  5 3 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2016, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2015 4 Wearable Technology and the Internet, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016 Two in five believe smartphones will learn their habits and perform activities on their behalf automatically TICKETS Here is your ticket, sir.
  • 6. 3. Pedestrians Drive Autonomous Cars 6  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 If you read the news, self-driving car technology seems to be developing at a rapid pace. Not only are major manufacturers promising autonomous drive functionality within only a few years, Tesla is already installing (albeit not yet enabling) full self-drive capability in all cars.5 As autonomous cars will ultimately make drivers extinct, we need to shift perspective away from drivers when talking about the future car market. Since it is predicted that autonomous driving could make car sharing the basic mode of transportation6 , taking the perspective of car owners also seems uncertain. Furthermore, although the passenger perspective remains valid, a lot of traffic today is about transporting goods rather than people. Therefore, the most valid consumer perspective in traffic might actually be that of the pedestrian. When crossing a street, pedestrians are more vulnerable than other traffic subjects. For this reason, one in four pedestrians would already feel safer today if all cars were autonomous.7 And 65 percent of those who say so would also very much prefer to have an autonomous car rather than one they have to drive themselves. Interestingly, many advanced internet users also want self-drive functionality when walking.Two in five want their phone to warn against obstacles, and one in three even wants street signs and lights embedded in pavements. It won’t save lives, but at least it could help pedestrians avoid bumping into each other because their eyes are locked onto their smartphone screen. 5 www.cnbc.com/2016/10/20/tesla-fully-self-driving-car-watch-video-could-pick-you-up-from-across-the-country.html 6 www.govtech.com/transportation/Driverless-Cars-Could-Reduce-Traffic-by-80-percent.html 7 25, 329 smartphone users in 17 countries, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016 One in three wants street signs and lights embedded in pavements A quarter of pedestrians would feel safer crossing a street if all cars were autonomous
  • 7. 4. Merged Reality ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  7 Although VR and AR today are still focused on gaming, our research shows that people want to use such technologies for more everyday activities. But for such broader use, they express a strong need for physical, virtual and augmented realities to merge into one seamless reality. Just like internet use has become inseparable from many physical activities, the same may happen with VR and AR. For example, early adopters who have played table tennis in a room-scale VR environment have come to realize that in the not-so-distant future, the table tennis world champion and the table tennis VR champion may be the same person. However, early VR adopters say that the mixed reality experience of today creates contradictions by not being merged with the real world. VR lets users go anywhere in virtual worlds, but by blocking the physical view, it makes it near impossible to go anywhere in the real world. VR also isolates users in experiences that need to be shared with friends in the real world to fully enjoy. Although VR and AR now offer up fantasy, making the everyday more fantastic is what consumers are really seeking. In this sense, consumers need a more coherent experience, and many in fact believe a merged reality will happen soon. Almost four out of five of those who use both fixed and mobile VR believe these experiences will be indistinguishable from physical reality in only three years. Furthermore, three in five of them already consider online meetings to be like meetings in real life, while less than a third of non-VR users think so. Half of the respondents are also interested in gloves or shoes that allow you to interact with virtual objects as if they were part of the physical surroundings It actually makes a lot of sense to compare it to how the internet has already become inextricably embedded in shopping, media use, social interaction, leisure, work and learning. In fact, four out of five of those who use both fixed and mobile VR think both VR and AR will be used as commonly as the internet in only three years. Half of respondents are already interested in gloves or shoes that allow you to interact with virtual objects People express a strong need for physical, virtual and augmented realities to merge into one seamless reality Almost four out of five VR users believe VR will be indistinguishable from reality in only three years
  • 8. When trains started to appear in the late 1820s in England, prospective passengers worried that the human body was simply not built to withstand movement at such incredible speeds – around 15 miles per hour at the time. In fact, some even thought it would not be possible to breathe. Although they were completely wrong in the details, they were intriguingly right in a more abstract sense. When inside vehicles, our brains are easily confused when some senses detect movement while others don’t. So even with 200 years of motorized transportation, we still get car sick; in fact one in five feels nausea in cars or buses every week, even today. Consumers believe car sickness will become even worse with autonomous cars. When we all become passengers, we will want to read, watch movies, join in video conferences and more while on the road. Hence, as many as 3 in 10 foresee using car sickness pills in autonomous cars. But car sickness is no longer just about the car. As we are now starting to move in alternate realities, we begin fooling our senses in new ways. Among early adopters of VR, for example, motion sickness experiences are very common, and people are trying to find their “VR legs” just like sailors had to find their sea legs. Consequently, one in three survey respondents said they want VR/AR motion sickness pills. In fact, more than half of those who use both fixed and mobile VR even say it is acceptable for parents to give children such pills. Humans continue to want to do more things, and technological remedies to help our bodies adjust will multiply. As an example, two out of five want implants that adjust blood values, oxygen, enzymes and hormones to help the body adapt to sports, work and other activities. 5. Bodies Out of Sync 8  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 As many as 3 in 10 foresee using car sickness pills in autonomous cars One in five feels nausea in cars or buses every week, even today A third want motion sickness pills for use with VR and AR technology
  • 9. 6. The Smart Device Safety Paradox ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  9 8 Public Safety Goes Personal, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016 9 Wearable Technology and the Internet, Ericsson ConsumerLab, 2016 Consumers increasingly rely on their devices to help them out of dangerous situations Nowadays, we take our phones everywhere we go. If we get lost we can call, text, look up information on the internet or navigate using GPS – all with our phones. For example, more than half of smartphone users already use emergency alarms, tracking or notifications on their smartphones. Another three in five have emergency contacts stored in their phone. But what happens if you lose your phone while still looking for your destination? Or you have an accident in a remote area of town while your phone is not charged? In many ways the basic features of your smartphone can make you safer – and around two in five citizens in five major cities surveyed agree.8 But here’s the paradox: three in five of those who say so take more risks because they rely on their phone to keep them safe. The smartphone may just be the starting point. As it happens, one in three smartphone users believes they will wear at least five wearables beyond 2020. Not only that, but three out of five smartphone users are confident that wearables will have uses beyond health and wellness.9 The next area of interest is in safety and security, such as items like panic buttons, smart locators and identity authenticators. Given current behavioral tendencies, reckless behavior could greatly increase in only a few years’ time. Consumers increasingly rely on their devices to help them out of dangerous situations rather than trying to avoid ending up in such situations in the first place. One in three smartphone users believes they will wear at least five wearables beyond 2020 Three in five of those who think their phone makes them safer take more risks ?
  • 10. As many as one out of three states that social networks are their prime source of news, and only one out of four thinks that established news channels and newspapers can always be trusted to be accurate. In fact, 28 percent say that their contacts are a more reliable source of information than what is said on TV, radio and in newspapers. This line of thinking extends to political views as well. More than one in four thinks their contacts’ opinions are more important than what politicians say. And nearly half of those who say so are willing to have an AI as a political leader, pointing to a lack of trust in society. Going forward, there is a risk that the walls of these social silos will become ever more impenetrable, as one out of four on a weekly basis continues to un-friend people or refuse invites on social networks because of the other person’s opinions. 7. Social Silos 10  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 For some time, search and social network algorithms have been accused of hindering users from coming across news and information beyond their own interests. This limits users’ chances of being exposed to opposing ideas, which will also limit people from getting a diversified view of the world.10 But, it is, in a way, more shocking that people take steps to achieve the same effect even when algorithms won’t do the trick. In an increasingly globalized world, it may feel good to know that there are many like-minded people around, creating so-called echo chambers where groups repeat and amplify similar ideas. The combined effect is that rather than connecting people all over the world, social networks increasingly separate different groups in closed-off social silos. 10 Pariser, Eli. The Filter Bubble: What the Internet Is Hiding fromYou, (NewYork, May 2011) More than a quarter values their contacts’ opinions more than politicians’ viewpoints Social networks increasingly separate different groups in closed-off social silos One out of three states that social networks are their prime source of news Half of those who value contacts’ opinions over those of politicians would be willing to have an AI as a political leader
  • 11. 8. Augmented personal reality ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  11 Figure 2: Consumer interest in different applications for AR glasses Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017, 2016 Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney, Tokyo and Toronto Paint over disturbing elements (e.g. graffiti, garbage, badly dressed people) Make people look like aliens, elves or even characters from their favorite movie Modify surroundings by adding birds, flowers, or to mimic their favorite movie Edit out street signs, shop windows or billboards of no interest Mark and highlight things that could be dangerous when out and about Find and pick up digital bonus items related to games you play Lighten up surroundings when it is too dark to see well 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 34% 35% 37% 38% 41% 50% 55% In early 2016, few consumers knew what AR was and even fewer had tried it out. But in the course of just a few weeks, AR became the talk of the whole world, with hundreds of millions of people hitting the streets to play Pokémon GO. The story of Pokémon GO really proves that a new technology can become mainstream overnight. Now consumers want to use that same technology to customize their very experience of reality. We are already accustomed to receiving personalized search results, media feeds, advertising and even spam. We can also customize settings on everything from phones to cars, but this may be just the beginning. For example, the fact that more than half of advanced internet users would like to use AR glasses to light up dark surroundings in order to highlight potentially dangerous people approaching may not be surprising. But more than one in three would also like to edit out disturbing elements around them, such as graffiti, garbage, or even badly dressed people. At least as many would like to erase street signs, uninteresting shop windows and billboards. This could be a real nightmare to brands that do not manage to capture consumer imaginations – they might simply be wiped from view for good. Although this changes the fundamental way we perceive reality around us, it doesn’t stop there. Instead consumers want to use AR to change the world into something that reflects their own personal moods. Around two in five want to change the way their surroundings look and even how people appear to them. Almost as many would like to have AR glasses that let you find and pick up digital game items, like in Pokémon GO. It is very likely that this will not be the only game to become integrated in people’s physical reality. The majority would like to use AR glasses to illuminate dark surroundings and highlight dangers More than one in three would like to edit out disturbing elements around them
  • 12. 9. The Privacy Divide 12  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 Two in five want to use encrypted services only. Another 46% say they need the encrypted protection these services offer Although privacy has been debated for some time, the heat of the debate is only set to increase. Some people only want to use encrypted services, whereas others believe that all encryption can be hacked and the idea of privacy no longer exists. Most major messaging apps now offer end-to-end encryption and some even have it as the default setting. This is good news to many, as two in five want to use encrypted services only. Another 46 percent say they really need the encrypted protection these services offer. But consumers are divided over this. One in three advanced internet users believes that governments should be able to access any personal data including their own, in order to fight crime and terrorism. And 45 percent think that companies should always comply when authorities ask for data about their customers for such purposes. In fact, almost half of advanced internet users would like to just have reasonably good privacy across all services. Reasonable privacy can be difficult to define. It might be more about the feeling of control, as three in five just want a notification if someone eavesdrops. And who are we protecting our information from? Given that more than half do not know what tracking information their devices send to various companies or what it is used for, it seems that those who provide you with the best encryption also collect the most information about you. This might explain the loss of faith in privacy. Shockingly, more than one out of three believes privacy is over, and that in the future, all information about people, organizations and governments will be available publicly. More than a third believe privacy no longer exists One in three believes that governments should be able to access any personal data in order to fight crime and terrorism
  • 13. 10. Big Tech for All ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  13 When the morning bus is late, commuters routinely consider alternatives – take the train, use an app to share a taxi, commute digitally? As a result, consumers easily make comparisons across industries that companies may not have considered. The internet is opening up the ability for people to compare almost anything. As a consumer, if you give Google your position, Google helps you find the quickest way to the supermarket. Similarly, if you give the supermarket your position, you may want it to show you the quickest way to the product shelf you are looking for. Hence, more than two out of five advanced internet users are interested in having the biggest IT companies provide them all the products they need, across all types of product categories – from care to cars. As a result, traditional companies need to reinvent themselves as IT companies very quickly. In fact, three in four advanced internet users who are open to the idea believe the biggest five companies will provide all products they need in only five years’ time. Given that almost half think such IT companies know more about them than anyone else, these companies may indeed be better positioned to develop new products and services. However, such intimate consumer knowledge could also become an integrity concern and backfire: two in five advanced internet users today already would pay to ensure personal data is never used without their consent. Figure 3: Percentage of consumers who are very interested in the biggest five IT companies providing different services Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2017, 2016 Base: 7,138 advanced internet users aged 15–69 in Berlin, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburg, London, Mexico City, Moscow, NewYork, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney, Tokyo and Toronto Rented apartments and housing Hospitals and elderly care Home security services Cars Home smart meters for electricity and water Schools and universities Internet and mobile broadband access services 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 34% 39% 40% 40% 42% 45% 51% More than two out of five are interested in having the biggest IT companies provide them all the products they need Almost half think big IT companies know more about them than anyone else
  • 14. 2 3 9 8 4 5 67 10 1 AIs can support all aspects of our lives hot consumer trends 2017 14  ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017 AI Everywhere Setting the Pace for IoT Pedestrians Drive Autonomous Cars Merged Reality Bodies Out of Sync The Smart Device Safety ParadoxSocial Silos Augmented Personal Reality The Privacy Divide Big Tech for All
  • 15. ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB 10 HOT CONSUMER TRENDS 2017  15 2. Setting the Pace for IoT Consumers are increasingly using automated applications, influencing overall IoT adoption 3. Pedestrians Drive Autonomous Cars Autonomous cars could replace drivers – and pedestrians say this would make them feel safer 4. Merged Reality Advanced VR users think virtual, augmented and physical reality will fully merge in only three years’ time 5. Bodies Out of Sync As autonomous cars and virtual and augmented reality become more common, consumers see motion sickness increasing 6. The Smart Device Safety Paradox Phones help keep us safe, but consumers take more risks because they rely on smart devices 8. Augmented Personal Reality Consumers want to use AR to customize the way the world looks around them 9. The Privacy Divide Some people only want to use encrypted services, but others believe privacy no longer exists 1. AI Everywhere AI is spreading beyond assistants – actively influencing people’s daily lives and workplaces 7. Social Silos People turn their social networks into silos, limiting their exposure to opposing ideas 10. Big Tech for All Most advanced internet users believe that in five years they will buy everything from the biggest five IT companies
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