IEEE Sensors 2019 conference in Montreal presentation: Brief overview of "Conscious-Technology" and related future AI issues with focus on exploring future governance of the transition from artificial narrow to artificial general intelligence.
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Governance of the Transition from Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificial General Intelligence
1. Governance of the Transition from
Artificial Narrow Intelligence to
Artificial General Intelligence
IEEE – Sensors 2019: Montreal, Canada
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO
The Millennium Project
3. Simplification/Generalization of History
and an Alternative Future
Age /
Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural
Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-
Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
4. Living in AR and eventually VR
Record video, pictures to
iPhone, internet access, face
recognition, and other AI…
Samsung and Google
competing for this now.
5. Human Augmentation: AI-Brain Interface
as a “Neural Lace”
The
World
Artificial
Intelligence
Human
Brain
“Neural lace:” a mesh of
electronics [and photonics] that
will allow AI and the brain to
work together. – Elon Musk
This could help human brains
keep up with future
enhancements in AI.
https://www.neuralink.com/ is hiring now
11. Three Forms of Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Narrow
Intelligence
Artificial General
Intelligence
Artificial Super
Intelligence
12. A thought:
As the reptilian brain is like the ANI to run our bodies
… and the cerebrum is like AGI to evolve our mind
So too the ANI will help run infrastructure of civilization
… while AGI with help give it direction.
13. What is possible… will change
Moore’s Law & Nielsen's Law
+
Artificial Intelligence acceleration to AGI
+
Computational science
+
Synergies among NT
These four together will change what we think is possible.
14. Increasingly Decisions are Made by ANI
Therefore we have to
audit AI’s Algorithms if
we are to confirm the
basis for decisions.
A few words about the
problem of the “utility
matrix” in AI
development.
We need Global ANI to
AGI Governance
Source: Cornerstone/blog
15. China Goal: Lead the World in AI by 2030
Who ever leads AI... rules the world - Putin
Human Brain Projects:
USA, EU, China
Artificial Brains:
IBM, Google, Facebook, Baidu,
Microsoft, Alibaba, Apple, Amazon
The Great Brain
Race is on!
16. These Technologies Could Also Make
This Combination Far More Powerful…
Organized
Crime
CorruptionTerrorism
Information
Warfare
…Making Democracy
and Free Markets…
…An Illusion
17. G5 Health Impact Studies should include
1. Frequency
2. Amplitude
3. Duration
4. Distance
5. Dosimetry
18. ANI – AGI Global Governance
• It is argued that creating rules for governance of AI too soon will
stifle its development.
• Some AGI experts believe it is possible to have AGI as soon as
ten years.
• Since it is likely to take ten or more years to
• develop ANI to AGI international agreements
• design and international governance system
• begin implementation
Then it is wise to begin exploring governance approaches now.
19. Some initial explorations
• University of Oxford’s Center for the Governance of AI (cultural issues)
• United Arab Emirates Ministry of State for AI
• UN Interregional Crime and Justice Research Institute’s AI Center
• Future of Life Institute (identified 26 nation & 6 international strategies)
• Partnership on AI
• China AI Industry Alliance
• AI for Good Foundation
• SingularityNet and Decentralized AI Alliance
• Harvard Future Society
• United Nations University (common platform for papers on AI governance)
20. Some Potential Governance Models
1. IAEA-like model or WTO-like with enforcement powers
2. IPCC-like model in concert with international treaties
3. International S&T Organization (ISTO) as an online real-time global
collective intelligence system; governance by information power
GGCC (Global Governance Coordinating Committees) flexible but
enforced by national sanctions, ad hoc legal rulings in different
countries, and insurance premiums
4. ISO standards affecting international purchases
5. Put different parts of AGI governance under different bodies like ITU,
WTO, WIPO
6. TransInstitution
21. Proposed Global Governance Study
1. Assess current studies of governance issues, questions, concepts,
and models
2. Conduct Real-Time Delphi (RTD) study on questions not asked or
poorly answered
3. Draft detailed alternative governance scenarios based on RTD
results
4. Review of the feasibility, viability, and effectiveness of the ANI to AGI
governance models in each scenario by the RTD panel; and
5. Produce a report on each step concluding with recommendations for
international governance of the transition from ANI to AGI to
simulate global discussion
23. … Acts like a TransInstitution
UN
Organizations
NGOs
and
Foundations
Universities
GovernmentsCorporations
The Millennium
Project
Created in 1996
24. 65 Nodes...and two regional networks in
Europe and Latin America
Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews,
special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in:
Tunisia
Yerevan
Sri Lanka
25.
26. For further information
Info@Millennium-Project.org
The following are resources are available at:
http://www.millennium-project.org
• Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions
• State of the Future 19.1
• Futures Research Methodology 3.0
• Global Futures Intelligence System