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Algorithms & IoT
World Change Driven By
The Unseen
March 31, 2017
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T
HELPING YOU CREATE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE INFUSED APPS & SERVICES
2
Applied AI Strategy
Product Management
From Build To Launch
Process Mentoring
Invent, Learn, Turn
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T
HELPING YOU CREATE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE INFUSED APPS & SERVICES
3
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Today
4
Internet of
Things
Change by
innovation
Artificial
Intelligence
Machine
Learning
Algorithms
Change
“Learning and innovation go hand
in hand. The arrogance of
success is to think that what you
did yesterday will be sufficient for
tomorrow.”
William Pollard
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
6
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
7
Inflexion
Market	insiders	
rarely	predict	the	
expansion	duration	
correctly
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
8
13	y1900 1913
HORSE
CAR
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
9
7 y1993
Expected	900K
2000	(109M)
Landline
Cell Phone
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
10
5	y
2020
20%	efficient
$15,000	in	gas
2,000+	moving	
parts
2025
95%	efficient
$1,500	in	gas
18	moving	parts
Greater	torque
$30k	unsubsidized
GAS AUTO
ELECTRIC CAR
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
11
12	y
2018
No	more	peakers
2009	zero	money	down
Since	2000	doubles	capacity	every	2	
years
Below	grid	parity	worldwide	by	2017
2030	=	100%	PV
2400	x	improvement	in	cost	over	oil
Solar	is	6000x	cheaper	than	N-gas
OIL & GAS SOLAR
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
12
50+ billion
connected things
by 2020
Inflexion
Internet of Things
“…in retrospect it looks like the
rapid growth of the World Wide
Web may have been just the
trigger charge that is now setting
off the real explosion, as things
start to use the Net.”
Neil Gershenfeld
“When Things Start to Think”
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
"In the next century, planet
earth will don an electronic skin.
It will use the Internet as a
scaffold to support and transmit
its sensations.
- Neil Gross, Business Week
“
14
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
WHAT IS IOT?
15
The Internetworking of physical devices /
"connected devices”
/ "smart devices”. Embedded with electronics, software, sensors, actuators,
and network connectivity that enable these
objects to collect and exchange data
and be controlled remotely.
Creating opportunities for more direct integration of the physical world into
computer-based systems, improved efficiency, accuracy and economic benefit
in addition to reduced human intervention.
Is expected to usher in
increased automation in nearly all fields.
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
WHY IT MATTERS SO MUCH?
16
If everything / person / place generates
fine-grained streams
of information…
More information = larger the
problems
we can solve .
We will see what could
never could be seen
before…
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
HOW
BIG IS
IoT?
connected
devices by
2020
$15
billion
Spent on smart
home in 2015
$2
trillion
Industrial impact
by 2020
$500
B/y
Driverless market
$100
B/y
smart office
50+
billion
Spent on IoT
in next 5 years
$6
trillion
biz
Lower costs,
increase
productivity,
open markets
gov
Improve
citizens quality
of life
$1
trillion
Smart city market
$2
t/y
smart factory
market
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
20
The sausage
making
of IoT
is AI
Artificial Intelligence
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
AI IS ALREADY EVERYWHERE
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
24
AI
Artificial Creativity –
Artificial life –
Automated planning and scheduling –
Automated reasoning –
Automation –
Automatic target recognition –
Biologically inspired computing –
Computer Audition –
Computer vision –
Diagnosis (artificial intelligence) –
Expert system –
Game artificial intelligence –
Hybrid intelligent system –
Intelligent agent –
Intelligent control –
Knowledge management –
Concept mining –
E-mail spam filtering –
Information extraction –
Knowledge representation –
Semantic Web –
Machine learning –
Natural language processing –
Nonlinear control –
Pattern recognition –
Robotics –
Speech generating device –
Strategic planning –
Vehicle infrastructure integration –
Virtual Intelligence –
Virtual reality –
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Machine Learning
“Doctors can be replaced by
software – 80% of them can. I’d
much rather have a good
machine learning system
diagnose my disease than the
median or average doctor.”
Vinod Khosla
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
27
“SmartMode”
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Typical ML Cycle
Historical
source data
Predicted
outcomes
Incident
Data
Test data
Training data
80%
20%
Machine
Learning
Training
Machine
Learning
Models
Model weights
Quality Metric
Predicted
outcomes
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
30
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Deep Learning
Showing impressive results
for language modeling, POS
tagging, named entity
recognition, sentiment
analysis and paraphrase
detection
Performs well without any
external hand-designed
resources or time-intensive
feature engineering
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Kinect for Windows
“…we	are	
not	really	
sure	how	it	
works.”	
MSFT	Lead
Algorithms
34
35
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
Decisions that affect our
lives — are being made
by mathematical models.
In theory, this should lead
to greater fairness:
Everyone is judged
according to the same
rules, and bias is
eliminated
Living in the Age of the algorithm
DECISIONS FAIRMODELS
=
38
Travelingsalesman
39
Runwayschedulingheuristic
40
"Atourofmachinelearningalgorythms"JasonBrownlee
412015 © PIVIT, LLC. Rest Devices, the Mimo smart baby onesie
“I am in the camp that is concerned about super
intelligence. First the machines will do a lot of
jobs for us and not be super intelligent. That
should be positive if we manage it well. A few
decades after that though the intelligence is
strong enough to be a concern. I agree with
Elon Musk and some others on this and don’t
understand why some people are not
concerned.”
Bill Gates
“Success in creating AI would be the biggest
event in human history,…”
“Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless
we learn how to avoid the risks. In the near
term, world militaries are considering
autonomous-weapon systems that can choose
and eliminate targets.”
“…humans, limited by slow biological evolution,
couldn’t compete and would be superseded by
A.I.”
Stephen Hawking
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
45
PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T
46
Thank You
Get in touch with us!
46
Karl Seiler | President
PIVIT – TURN SMART
karl@piviting.com
Piviting.com
@pivitguru
+321 750 5165

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IoT Change Driven By Algorithms & AI

  • 1. Algorithms & IoT World Change Driven By The Unseen March 31, 2017
  • 2. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T HELPING YOU CREATE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE INFUSED APPS & SERVICES 2 Applied AI Strategy Product Management From Build To Launch Process Mentoring Invent, Learn, Turn
  • 3. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T HELPING YOU CREATE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE INFUSED APPS & SERVICES 3
  • 4. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 Today 4 Internet of Things Change by innovation Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning Algorithms
  • 5. Change “Learning and innovation go hand in hand. The arrogance of success is to think that what you did yesterday will be sufficient for tomorrow.” William Pollard
  • 6. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 6
  • 7. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 7 Inflexion Market insiders rarely predict the expansion duration correctly
  • 8. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 8 13 y1900 1913 HORSE CAR
  • 9. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 9 7 y1993 Expected 900K 2000 (109M) Landline Cell Phone
  • 10. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 10 5 y 2020 20% efficient $15,000 in gas 2,000+ moving parts 2025 95% efficient $1,500 in gas 18 moving parts Greater torque $30k unsubsidized GAS AUTO ELECTRIC CAR
  • 11. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 11 12 y 2018 No more peakers 2009 zero money down Since 2000 doubles capacity every 2 years Below grid parity worldwide by 2017 2030 = 100% PV 2400 x improvement in cost over oil Solar is 6000x cheaper than N-gas OIL & GAS SOLAR
  • 12. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 12 50+ billion connected things by 2020 Inflexion
  • 13. Internet of Things “…in retrospect it looks like the rapid growth of the World Wide Web may have been just the trigger charge that is now setting off the real explosion, as things start to use the Net.” Neil Gershenfeld “When Things Start to Think”
  • 14. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 "In the next century, planet earth will don an electronic skin. It will use the Internet as a scaffold to support and transmit its sensations. - Neil Gross, Business Week “ 14
  • 15. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 WHAT IS IOT? 15 The Internetworking of physical devices / "connected devices” / "smart devices”. Embedded with electronics, software, sensors, actuators, and network connectivity that enable these objects to collect and exchange data and be controlled remotely. Creating opportunities for more direct integration of the physical world into computer-based systems, improved efficiency, accuracy and economic benefit in addition to reduced human intervention. Is expected to usher in increased automation in nearly all fields.
  • 16. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 WHY IT MATTERS SO MUCH? 16 If everything / person / place generates fine-grained streams of information… More information = larger the problems we can solve . We will see what could never could be seen before…
  • 17.
  • 18. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 HOW BIG IS IoT? connected devices by 2020 $15 billion Spent on smart home in 2015 $2 trillion Industrial impact by 2020 $500 B/y Driverless market $100 B/y smart office 50+ billion Spent on IoT in next 5 years $6 trillion biz Lower costs, increase productivity, open markets gov Improve citizens quality of life $1 trillion Smart city market $2 t/y smart factory market
  • 19.
  • 20. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 20 The sausage making of IoT is AI
  • 22. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 AI IS ALREADY EVERYWHERE
  • 23. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
  • 24. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 24 AI Artificial Creativity – Artificial life – Automated planning and scheduling – Automated reasoning – Automation – Automatic target recognition – Biologically inspired computing – Computer Audition – Computer vision – Diagnosis (artificial intelligence) – Expert system – Game artificial intelligence – Hybrid intelligent system – Intelligent agent – Intelligent control – Knowledge management – Concept mining – E-mail spam filtering – Information extraction – Knowledge representation – Semantic Web – Machine learning – Natural language processing – Nonlinear control – Pattern recognition – Robotics – Speech generating device – Strategic planning – Vehicle infrastructure integration – Virtual Intelligence – Virtual reality –
  • 25. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165
  • 26. Machine Learning “Doctors can be replaced by software – 80% of them can. I’d much rather have a good machine learning system diagnose my disease than the median or average doctor.” Vinod Khosla
  • 27. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 27 “SmartMode”
  • 28.
  • 29. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 Typical ML Cycle Historical source data Predicted outcomes Incident Data Test data Training data 80% 20% Machine Learning Training Machine Learning Models Model weights Quality Metric Predicted outcomes
  • 30. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 30
  • 31. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 Deep Learning Showing impressive results for language modeling, POS tagging, named entity recognition, sentiment analysis and paraphrase detection Performs well without any external hand-designed resources or time-intensive feature engineering
  • 32. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 Kinect for Windows “…we are not really sure how it works.” MSFT Lead
  • 34. 34
  • 35. 35
  • 36. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 Decisions that affect our lives — are being made by mathematical models. In theory, this should lead to greater fairness: Everyone is judged according to the same rules, and bias is eliminated Living in the Age of the algorithm DECISIONS FAIRMODELS =
  • 37.
  • 41. 412015 © PIVIT, LLC. Rest Devices, the Mimo smart baby onesie
  • 42.
  • 43. “I am in the camp that is concerned about super intelligence. First the machines will do a lot of jobs for us and not be super intelligent. That should be positive if we manage it well. A few decades after that though the intelligence is strong enough to be a concern. I agree with Elon Musk and some others on this and don’t understand why some people are not concerned.” Bill Gates
  • 44. “Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history,…” “Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks. In the near term, world militaries are considering autonomous-weapon systems that can choose and eliminate targets.” “…humans, limited by slow biological evolution, couldn’t compete and would be superseded by A.I.” Stephen Hawking
  • 45. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 45
  • 46. PIVIT | Turn Smart karl@piviting.com l www.piviting.com | +1 321 750 5165 O U R C O M P A N Y A B O U T U S I N F O G R A P H I C S C O N T A C T 46 Thank You Get in touch with us! 46 Karl Seiler | President PIVIT – TURN SMART karl@piviting.com Piviting.com @pivitguru +321 750 5165