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Dealing with AI
as a Dystopian Threat to Humanity
Igor Markov
Google and The University of Michigan
The views expressed are those of my own and do not represent my employers
June 2, 2017
…
5. Virtual reality = reality (late 2020s)
4. Computers surpass humans soon (2029)
3. Humans become machines (2030)
2. Earth will be made of computers (2045)
1. Universe will be a supercomputer (2099)
A new Intel study reports that self-driving vehicle services, including
ride-hailing, cargo delivery, and in-car entertainment, will be worth
$7 trillion by the year 2050. Intel calls this the "passenger economy."
A new CRISPR trial, which hopes to eliminate the human papillomavirus (HPV), is set to be the first to
attempt to use the technique inside the human body. In the non-invasive treatment, scientists will apply a
gel that carries the necessary DNA coding for the CRISPR machinery to the cervixes of 60 women between
the ages of 18 and 50. The team aims to disable the tumor growth mechanism in HPV cells.
The trial stands in contradistinction to the usual CRISPR method of extracting cells and re-injecting them
into the affected area; although it will still use the Cas9 enzyme (which acts as a pair of ‘molecular scissors’)
and guiding RNA that is typical of the process. 20 trials are set to begin in the rest of 2017 and early 2018.
The physical world is changing
faster than we can keep up
New technologies affect
how we live and how we die
Threats to humanity?
Threats to humanity?
An evolutionary obsession
with survival
How did the homo sapiens survive?
• by being smart
• by knowing the adversary
• by controlling physical resources
• by using the physical world to advantage
Now, back to the dystopian AI myth
• AI may become smarter than us
• Possibly malicious
• The physical embodiments are unclear
Black Death killed 50M people in XIV c
Intelligence – hostile or friendly –
is limited by physical resources
Computing machinery is designed using
an abstraction hierarchy
• From transistors to CPUs to data centers
• Each level has a well-defined function
• Each level can be regulated
Introduce hard boundaries between
different levels of intelligence, trust
• Can toasters and doorknobs be trusted?
• Who can use weapons?
• Each agent should have a key weakness
Limit self-replication, self-repair
and self-improvement
Limit AIs access to energy
• Firmly control the electric grid
• No long-lasting batteries, fuel cells
or reactors
Tame potential threats
and use them for protection
Constraints on AI to intercept dystopian threats
1. Hard boundaries between levels of intelligence and trust
2. Limits on self-replication, self-repair and self-improvement
3. Limits on access to energy
4. Physical and network security of critical infrastructure
Tame potential threats and use them for protection
Specific dystopian scenarios vs.
abstract constraints on AI
Analysis of specific vulnerabilities
1. Nuclear weapons & early warning systems
2. Disruption and abuse of existing energy facilities
3. Risks in mass transit
4. Smart artificial deceases
Abstract rules and constraints
• AI will be applied in many new ways
• We can’t foresee all dystopian scenarios, superhuman AI
• Accidental, unexpected interactions may turn dangerous
Us and them?

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Igor Markov, Software Engineer, Google at The AI Conference 2017

  • 1. Dealing with AI as a Dystopian Threat to Humanity Igor Markov Google and The University of Michigan The views expressed are those of my own and do not represent my employers June 2, 2017
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. … 5. Virtual reality = reality (late 2020s) 4. Computers surpass humans soon (2029) 3. Humans become machines (2030) 2. Earth will be made of computers (2045) 1. Universe will be a supercomputer (2099)
  • 5. A new Intel study reports that self-driving vehicle services, including ride-hailing, cargo delivery, and in-car entertainment, will be worth $7 trillion by the year 2050. Intel calls this the "passenger economy."
  • 6. A new CRISPR trial, which hopes to eliminate the human papillomavirus (HPV), is set to be the first to attempt to use the technique inside the human body. In the non-invasive treatment, scientists will apply a gel that carries the necessary DNA coding for the CRISPR machinery to the cervixes of 60 women between the ages of 18 and 50. The team aims to disable the tumor growth mechanism in HPV cells. The trial stands in contradistinction to the usual CRISPR method of extracting cells and re-injecting them into the affected area; although it will still use the Cas9 enzyme (which acts as a pair of ‘molecular scissors’) and guiding RNA that is typical of the process. 20 trials are set to begin in the rest of 2017 and early 2018.
  • 7. The physical world is changing faster than we can keep up New technologies affect how we live and how we die
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. How did the homo sapiens survive? • by being smart • by knowing the adversary • by controlling physical resources • by using the physical world to advantage
  • 15.
  • 16. Now, back to the dystopian AI myth • AI may become smarter than us • Possibly malicious • The physical embodiments are unclear
  • 17. Black Death killed 50M people in XIV c
  • 18. Intelligence – hostile or friendly – is limited by physical resources
  • 19.
  • 20. Computing machinery is designed using an abstraction hierarchy • From transistors to CPUs to data centers • Each level has a well-defined function • Each level can be regulated
  • 21.
  • 22. Introduce hard boundaries between different levels of intelligence, trust • Can toasters and doorknobs be trusted? • Who can use weapons? • Each agent should have a key weakness
  • 24. Limit AIs access to energy • Firmly control the electric grid • No long-lasting batteries, fuel cells or reactors
  • 25. Tame potential threats and use them for protection
  • 26. Constraints on AI to intercept dystopian threats 1. Hard boundaries between levels of intelligence and trust 2. Limits on self-replication, self-repair and self-improvement 3. Limits on access to energy 4. Physical and network security of critical infrastructure Tame potential threats and use them for protection
  • 27. Specific dystopian scenarios vs. abstract constraints on AI Analysis of specific vulnerabilities 1. Nuclear weapons & early warning systems 2. Disruption and abuse of existing energy facilities 3. Risks in mass transit 4. Smart artificial deceases Abstract rules and constraints • AI will be applied in many new ways • We can’t foresee all dystopian scenarios, superhuman AI • Accidental, unexpected interactions may turn dangerous