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TRENDS FRAMEWORK
A way to simplify the
change in the world

  Ville Tikka, 2008
Trends can be seen as future tendencies –
assumptions about progress, development or
evolution of a certain thing.
There are sooooo many ways to define a trend
and so many areas where we can identify
trends. Trends can mean anything from the
new black on the catwalk to the economic
recession.

This complexity often makes it difficult to
understand how the trends link to each other
and what is the level that helps to identify
relevant opportunities.
Therefore the
TRENDS FRAMEWORK:
Megatrends / 10 − 50 years
Socio-cultural trends / 5 − 10 years
Consumer trends / 2 − 5 years
Behavioral trends / Months − 1 year
Solutions & products
Megatrends
are large social, economic, political,
environmental or technological changes. They
are the big underlying forces that drive other
trends.




10 - 50 years
>>> Impacts of climate
change is one of the big
megatrends



Image: Flickr, wanderingnome
Socio-cultural trends
are culturally specific sociological tendencies,
which modify the value system, the moral, the
ways of thinking and behaving.
Socio-cultural trends are way for individuals and
society to adapt to megatrends.



5 - 10 years
>>> Environmental & social
awakening are increasing
because of climate change



Image: Flickr, joaofaissal, Societty of Graphic Designers Canada
Consumer trends
are changes in consumer lifestyle and broader
consumption behavior that socio-cultural trends
drive.




2 - 5 years
>>> Urban and educated
youth are starting to
rethink the consumption



Image: Intelligence Group, Cassandra Report, Future Issue 08
Behavioral trends
are new practices within consumption or service
and technology usage, etc.




Months - 1 year
>>> Green practices, such
as unpackaged shopping




Images: www.beunpackaged.com
Solutions & products
that enable or support the behaviors – these
include design or technology examples of socio-
cultural, consumer and behavioral trends.
>>> Reusable shopping
bags, etc products
All these trends can be
mapped to a simple
model, a trends
framework, that helps us
to understand:
WHY things or change are
happening
>>> the climate change
WHO are the people
driving the change and
what are they doing
>>> youth rethinking the
consumption
HOW are they doing it in
practice
>>> shopping without
packages or with
sustainable packages
WHAT solutions they are
using to do it
>>> reusable shopping
bags, biodegradable
plastic bags
WHERE are these
behaviors taking place
>>> urban areas,
developed markets −
shopping & at home
Therefore the
TRENDS FRAMEWORK:
Drivers         People     Practices Solutions Domains
 Why?                       How?         What? Where?
                 Who?




                                         Solutions,
                 Consumer
 Megatrends                 Behavioral                Markets &
                                         products &
                   trends     trends                   contexts
Socio-cultural                              other
   trends                                 examples

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Trends Framework Simplifies Change

  • 1. TRENDS FRAMEWORK A way to simplify the change in the world Ville Tikka, 2008
  • 2. Trends can be seen as future tendencies – assumptions about progress, development or evolution of a certain thing.
  • 3. There are sooooo many ways to define a trend and so many areas where we can identify trends. Trends can mean anything from the new black on the catwalk to the economic recession. This complexity often makes it difficult to understand how the trends link to each other and what is the level that helps to identify relevant opportunities.
  • 5. Megatrends / 10 − 50 years Socio-cultural trends / 5 − 10 years Consumer trends / 2 − 5 years Behavioral trends / Months − 1 year Solutions & products
  • 6. Megatrends are large social, economic, political, environmental or technological changes. They are the big underlying forces that drive other trends. 10 - 50 years
  • 7. >>> Impacts of climate change is one of the big megatrends Image: Flickr, wanderingnome
  • 8. Socio-cultural trends are culturally specific sociological tendencies, which modify the value system, the moral, the ways of thinking and behaving. Socio-cultural trends are way for individuals and society to adapt to megatrends. 5 - 10 years
  • 9. >>> Environmental & social awakening are increasing because of climate change Image: Flickr, joaofaissal, Societty of Graphic Designers Canada
  • 10. Consumer trends are changes in consumer lifestyle and broader consumption behavior that socio-cultural trends drive. 2 - 5 years
  • 11. >>> Urban and educated youth are starting to rethink the consumption Image: Intelligence Group, Cassandra Report, Future Issue 08
  • 12. Behavioral trends are new practices within consumption or service and technology usage, etc. Months - 1 year
  • 13. >>> Green practices, such as unpackaged shopping Images: www.beunpackaged.com
  • 14. Solutions & products that enable or support the behaviors – these include design or technology examples of socio- cultural, consumer and behavioral trends.
  • 16. All these trends can be mapped to a simple model, a trends framework, that helps us to understand:
  • 17. WHY things or change are happening >>> the climate change
  • 18. WHO are the people driving the change and what are they doing >>> youth rethinking the consumption
  • 19. HOW are they doing it in practice >>> shopping without packages or with sustainable packages
  • 20. WHAT solutions they are using to do it >>> reusable shopping bags, biodegradable plastic bags
  • 21. WHERE are these behaviors taking place >>> urban areas, developed markets − shopping & at home
  • 23. Drivers People Practices Solutions Domains Why? How? What? Where? Who? Solutions, Consumer Megatrends Behavioral Markets & products & trends trends contexts Socio-cultural other trends examples