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Southeast Asia-
Some perspectives
Warren Leow
Sept 2016
Hello. My name is Warren
and I wore many hats
I’m still an economist/trader at heart.
Hence, I chose marketplaces as a topic.
650 million people across 10 countries
Attractiveness
• Young, mobile-savvy population
• GDP per capita increasing rapidly
• Relative political stability
• Several markets with more than 60m people
• Investor attention is increasing, especially
amongst Japanese, Korean, Chinese investors
• Deals are ‘relatively’ cheap compared to other
overheated markets such as US, China, India
Source: World Bank; screenshot from Jungle Ventures slide deck on SEA funding;
valuations from public sources
SEA Addressable market = bigger than
India, but lower valuations
$15b
$4b
<$2b
$5b
<$2b
Challenges
• Not many technology entrepreneurs with scaling
experience
• Not many regional companies so far which are
large enough for worthwhile exits
• Fragmented market with each major country
having its own language
• Logistics, infrastructure and regulatory
developments are not homogenous nor
harmonised
• No customs union nor full mobility of labour
Examples of SEA startups
Ecommerce Classifieds Marketplaces
Examples of SEA startups
On-demand Media Games
Examples of SEA startups
Enablers Payment
Gateways
Fintech
Observations
• ’Large’ companies emerging along 2 themes: 1) Indonesia and 2) regional
• Multi-usage local platforms are taking shape (e.g. Grab and Go-Jek) which
are built around high frequency use cases (instead of just chat)
• Series B is where the opportunity lies; Current Series B gap is covered by
sovereign wealth funds, Japanese investors and Rocket Internet. Some US
private equity presence are surfacing (Coatue, Warburg Pincus, KKR)
• Unlike other markets, SEA family offices and conglomerates can and are
writing massive cheques (e.g. $500m for Matahari Mall)
• Governments trying to play a larger role (e.g. Temasek, Khazanah)
• Emergence of some companies with no need to exit: Tokopedia,
Bukalapak, Traveloka, Grab, Go-Jek, Fusionex
• >$500m exits (Jobstreet, iProperty) will accelerate over the next 3-5 years
with more having a path towards being acquired (e.g. iFlix, aCommerce)
• Very limited IPO market. Some successes on Australian Stock Exchange.
Hence, IPO arbitrage is also possible. SEA needs a MOTHERS index.
Opportunity sets
• Exploit arbitrage and competitive advantage
between US/Europe, JKTC and SEA, especially
in terms of technical talent
• Key globalisation success is to find route to
market partners to roll-out quickly before the
US startups saturate SEA
• Choose 10 ideas and back each one with $10-
25m to scale
• Work on exit paths with 5 year horizons

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Southeast Asia Technology Investment Landscape

  • 2. Hello. My name is Warren and I wore many hats I’m still an economist/trader at heart. Hence, I chose marketplaces as a topic.
  • 3. 650 million people across 10 countries
  • 4. Attractiveness • Young, mobile-savvy population • GDP per capita increasing rapidly • Relative political stability • Several markets with more than 60m people • Investor attention is increasing, especially amongst Japanese, Korean, Chinese investors • Deals are ‘relatively’ cheap compared to other overheated markets such as US, China, India
  • 5. Source: World Bank; screenshot from Jungle Ventures slide deck on SEA funding; valuations from public sources SEA Addressable market = bigger than India, but lower valuations $15b $4b <$2b $5b <$2b
  • 6. Challenges • Not many technology entrepreneurs with scaling experience • Not many regional companies so far which are large enough for worthwhile exits • Fragmented market with each major country having its own language • Logistics, infrastructure and regulatory developments are not homogenous nor harmonised • No customs union nor full mobility of labour
  • 7. Examples of SEA startups Ecommerce Classifieds Marketplaces
  • 8. Examples of SEA startups On-demand Media Games
  • 9. Examples of SEA startups Enablers Payment Gateways Fintech
  • 10. Observations • ’Large’ companies emerging along 2 themes: 1) Indonesia and 2) regional • Multi-usage local platforms are taking shape (e.g. Grab and Go-Jek) which are built around high frequency use cases (instead of just chat) • Series B is where the opportunity lies; Current Series B gap is covered by sovereign wealth funds, Japanese investors and Rocket Internet. Some US private equity presence are surfacing (Coatue, Warburg Pincus, KKR) • Unlike other markets, SEA family offices and conglomerates can and are writing massive cheques (e.g. $500m for Matahari Mall) • Governments trying to play a larger role (e.g. Temasek, Khazanah) • Emergence of some companies with no need to exit: Tokopedia, Bukalapak, Traveloka, Grab, Go-Jek, Fusionex • >$500m exits (Jobstreet, iProperty) will accelerate over the next 3-5 years with more having a path towards being acquired (e.g. iFlix, aCommerce) • Very limited IPO market. Some successes on Australian Stock Exchange. Hence, IPO arbitrage is also possible. SEA needs a MOTHERS index.
  • 11. Opportunity sets • Exploit arbitrage and competitive advantage between US/Europe, JKTC and SEA, especially in terms of technical talent • Key globalisation success is to find route to market partners to roll-out quickly before the US startups saturate SEA • Choose 10 ideas and back each one with $10- 25m to scale • Work on exit paths with 5 year horizons