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Emergence:
     Get with it...



       ...or fade away...

Dan Keldsen - Co-founder @
But First... What is Emergence to
              YOU?
Do you make it easy for...
  Customers
  Employees
  Partners
  Press
               To plug in - and spread
                      the word?
Are you giving people
    food for thought?

   Disgusting food?
   Meat for vegans?
   Cows for hindus?
        Tasty food?
You won’t GET
feedback, unless
  you PROVIDE
    feedback
MECHANISMS...
Cream rises to the
top, automagically,
 but how can YOU
improve the odds
that your creamy
meme will grow?
Luck is not a strategy

  Stack the deck
After all...



      The meme just might be YOU...
Loops & Emergence
Source: www.gapingvoid.com/0804enrich.jpg
OODA loop
  Observe
   Orient
  Decide
    Act




             Source: www.thefabricator.com (graphic)
            Col. John "40 second" Boyd, USAF (model)
Wiki Adoption Loop




From “Organisational Wiki Adoption” by Mike Cannon-Brookes (Atlassian) @ http://www.slideshare.net/mcannonbrookes/organisational-wiki-adoption/
The Knowledge Chain



    Awareness




Responsiveness



                        External                                Internal
                 Source: Carl Frappaolo, “Exec Express Knowledge Management,” Capstone, 2006
Real flow...
                      Analysis by RockYou!
(makers of SuperWall and other apps for Facebook, MySpace, etc.)
Metrics for viral loop

                                Call to action to
   User                          invite friends
                                                                                   x = invited
                                                                                       friends

                                                            Yes
                                                                          Accept?
                        y% = accept rate

                                                                                   No

x * y > 1 gives you viral growth!

       Source: rockyou! “Arch Viral - Creating Social Apps for Social Platforms”
Typical viral numbers
Install flow
 –x = 5 (friends invited on average)
 –y = 22% (acceptance rate for invites)
 –Viral factor = 5 * 0.22 = 1.1                                  VIRAL!!!
Engagement flow
 –x = 20 (friends invited on average)
 –y = 6% (acceptance rate for invites)
 –Viral factor = 20 * 0.06 = 1.2                                    VIRAL!!!

       Source: rockyou! “Arch Viral - Creating Social Apps for Social Platforms”
Use multiple flows and channels
Install flow
 –x = 5
 –y = 10%
 –Viral factor = 5 * 0.1 = 0.5       0.5 + 0.3 + 0.3 = 1.1
Engagement flow, invite channel             VIRAL!!!
 –x = 3 (invites)
 –y = 10% (acceptance rate for invites)
 –Viral factor = 3 * 0.1 = 0.3
Engagement flow, notification channel
 –x = 6 (notifications)
 –y = 5% (acceptance rate for notifications)
 –Viral factor = 6 * 0.05 = 0.3

         Source: rockyou! “Arch Viral - Creating Social Apps for Social Platforms”
Supplement with Ads
Install flow
 –x = 5
 –y = 10%                          0.5 + 0.3 = 0.8
 –Viral factor = 5 * 0.1 = 0.5     NO GROWTH
Engagement flow, invite
 channel                       Paid ad for 30% additional flow
                                     Growth factor = 0.3
 –x = 3 (invites)
 –y = 10% (acceptance rate for
  invites)                     0.5 + 0.3 + 0.3 = 1.1
 –Viral factor = 3 * 0.1 = 0.3       GROWING!!!

         Source: rockyou! “Arch Viral - Creating Social Apps for Social Platforms”
It’s total chaos!
Magnification of Small Effects
Malcolm Gladwell
 Connectors, mavens, salesmen
Lorenz’ Butterfly
  Welcome back to the 60s and
90s!
Start Shareability
      Show Signs
WordPress › Add to Any Share/Save/
Bookmark Button « WordPress Plugins
Create connections
  (Hint: Keywords for multiple audiences)




          SnapShot of
  johnmccain.com (rank #56,772),
barackobama.com (#842) - Compete
Don’t underestimate the power of the
Dark Side... er, of recommendations...
YouTube provided 500% online video
         penetration for Google




            Worth the price?
Why was YouTube so much more successful?
The Rise and Fall
     There goes MySpace...




  Why has Facebook taken off?
And why is MySpace falling down?
Twitter
Ripe for Experimentation
Tweeting Through the Ranks and
    Followers | O2S Media
TwitterCounter Stats
Top 10 Leaderboard




                       multiplication
                        Magic of
Mmm...
Power Laws
Show Me The Social!
Blip the Blip
Show the Badge
Make it visible
Reward the Rewarders
 (Double the Reward)
Make it easy to grow the network




   And... easy to REMOVE...
5,566
4,355


 5,917

  9,423
Slideshare Sharing
Feedback for Friendly Folks




               Uservoice.com
(one of several choices for hosted feedback)
The (Social) Network
       Effect
LinkedIn - My First Few Months
                          March
                          2004
A Year Later
5 Years Later
My LinkedIn network as of:
     March 16, 2009
The Power of a Retweet
     (twitip.com)
Retweet Influence = Tunkrank




      Source: The Noisy Channel (Daniel Tunkelang - Endeca)




      Pagerank for Twitter
   (I’ll take his word for it!)
Tunkrank.com




                        Ego booster
                     For the geeks
To spread the meme
Retweetrank.com
Power of Network to Give?

                Mike Volpe of
                HubSpot
                (@mvolpe)




Dan Keldsen
(@dankeldsen)
From Gaming
 iPhone Apps/Games
iDracula - iPhone App




No leaderboard - how do I compare?
Zombie Attack! - iPhone App




Leaderboard *AND* My Top Ten
Wrapping up
Are you, your site and your content...
             Magnetic?
Is your site engaging?
      Or purely...
Make engagement
stronger by giving
 users the tools to
  MAKE CHANGE
         HAPPEN
If you DO NOT support emergence
inside and outside your company...


        You’re doing it
                wrong
Does Feedback Make an Impact?
Negative Feedback Works Too!
What do YOU think?
Does Emergence still mean the same
          thing to you?
Incredibly useful
     reading
DOW
                                    NLO
                                www      AD/V
                                    .slide      IEW
                                           shar     AT:
                                  dan.
                                       keld e.net/
                                            sen/




   Let’s Discuss...
              Dan Keldsen
Co-founder @ Information Architected, Inc.

 dk<at>InformationArchitected<dot>com
          www.BizTechTalk.com
    www.linkedin.com/in/dankeldsen
         twitter.com/dankeldsen

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Emergence: Get with it...or fade away