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Business Case Development
           What, Why and How

     Dave Angelow – Executive Principal
              A-SPIN Austin
                April 2011
Tonight’s Plan
• Discussion of Why a Business Case is Needed

• Review of What is contained in a business case

• Discuss how to create a business case
Who is Dave Angelow
• Expert in value-stream mapping, process improvement and business case
  development
    – Focus on start-ups and high-growth companies
    – Primary assistance is driving improvements in revenue or costs

• 12 years experience in systems integration, business operations and
  program management with high-tech companies
    – Dell
    – Applied Materials
    – Freescale/Motorola
• Over 10 years management consulting experience
    –   Deloitte Consulting
    –   Ernst & Young
    –   Kalypso
    –   Business Foundations
Why Create a Business Case?
•   Executive Management is charged with making decisions on effective use of corporate
    resources

•   A business case helps organizations estimate the costs and benefits from project
    efforts

•   Comparing the expected outcomes from different efforts, management is able to
    determine where to allocate resources
     – Every organization has constraints and needs to determine where to invest resources
           Facilities and Equipment, Materials and Supplies, Payroll/Personnel


Assumption – materials in this presentation focus on internal improvement, a business case for
new products/development is different

Assumption #2 – You own building the business case, or have a key role to contribute data for the
business case and understanding where the business case fits organizationally
What is a business case?
• A business case captures the reasoning for initiating a project or
  task.
    – The logic of the business case should help evaluate the costs and
      benefits of resource consumption
    – Business cases are most often used to evaluate projects to make
      decisions – they are the initial screen for a project
        • Should we initiate the project – go/no-go
        • If a go – what priority should we give the project


• A business case is not financial model
    – Financial modeling tools like NPV, IRR, WACC, etc. can be applied to
      business case data; however the data from the case are just an input
      into models
    – Financial models can be complex and are more often used for
      accounting or finance applications
How is business case information used
         in decision-making
• Business activities fall into two major
  categories – Operations or Projects
  – Operations are the core value-adding activities
    needed to generate profits
  – Projects are temporary efforts to achieve a
    specific outcome
• The information from the business case
  enables understanding the costs and expected
  benefits from a project
Companies need to make decisions on how to
           allocate limited resources
• Many companies develop an annual budget and allocate a
  portion to Projects                 Annual Expense Budget

                                     Selling General and Admin Expense       $   200,000
• A majority of the budget is        Cost of Goods Sold                      $ 1,250,000
                                        Labor                                              $   300,000
  consumed by Operations                Material                                           $   800,000
                                        Overhead                                           $   150,000
• Projects are often a               Inventory                               $    40,000
                                     Facilities/Rent                         $    20,000
  component of “other”               Interest Expense                        $     5,000
  expenses                           Other
                                        Projects
                                                                             $
                                                                             $
                                                                                 325,000
                                                                                 175,000
   – The cost estimates for a                Internal Labor                                $    50,000
                                             Consulting/3rd Party Services
     project(s) are compared to              and Labor
                                                                                           $    20,000

     budget for decision-making              Equipment                                     $    30,000
                                             Software                                      $    75,000
   – Benefits are often not             Travel                               $    50,000
     budgeted, yet a critical part      Emergency Funds                      $   100,000

     of the business case            Total Budget                            $ 2,165,000
The difference between Projects and
               Operations
• Projects - “A temporary endeavor to create a unique
  product, service or result” – 4th Edition of PMBOK
    – The temporary nature of a project indicates a defined
      beginning and end; the end is reached when the project’s
      objectives are achieved or it’s determined they cannot be
      achieved (note, temporary does not necessarily mean
      short in duration)
• Operations – Recurring work effort that follows
  generally defined processes, procedures and existing
  organizational capabilities.

As organizations mature, there is often a greater focus on “improvement
projects” with a goal of increasing profitability
Simplified Business Model – Financial
       components of a business case
                                          Revenue




                     Organization
                                      Asset Utilization
                     Profitability




Three levers impact profitability          Costs
   • Increase Revenue
   • Increase utilization of Assets
   • Reduce Costs
Creating a business case requires
            critical thinking
• Business case development is a value-added
  activity and requires four major components
  – Understand costs/resources that a project will
    require
  – Define the benefits that will be derived upon
    completion
  – Identify risks that may occur during the course of
    the effort
  – Capture the assumptions behind the estimates
Approach for Business Case
                         Development

                    Estimate Costs


                                        Use/Develop             Perform        Prepare
Identify Project
                    Project Benefits   Business Case           Sensitivity   Management
    Needs
                                       Template (reuse)         Analysis     Presentation

                      Document
                                                   Document Non-
                     Assumptions
                                                   financial factors
                     and Rationale
Assumptions on the case
• Implementation of new internal-use software
  capability
• Uncertainty on benefits – different people on
  the team have different opinions on
  magnitude of impact
• Cost estimates are from quotes and have
  higher degree of accuracy than benefit
  estimates
Estimating Costs
• Cost estimates are frequently based on quotes or bids, or values from
  finance/accounting

• Good practice is to outline broad cost categories and decompose to
  ensure all elements are included
    – Categories could include areas like:
         •   Hardware Costs
         •   Development/Test Tools Software Costs
         •   Internal Staffing Costs
         •   External Staffing Costs
         •   Etc


• Categorize costs as One-time, or Recurring
    – Challenge with one-time costs is to be sure they don’t recur or have some
      portion that recurs (maintenance fees, etc.)
    – Recurring costs should be estimated to have periodic increases – Cost of Living
      Adjustments, increases in rates, etc.
Sample Cost Estimating Template
           Cost Categories                   One Time Fees                                     Recurring Fees
Software Costs                                                       Yr1                 Yr2                    Yr3               Yr4
                     Application
                                         $     100,000           $    17,000         $    17,000          $      20,000       $    25,000
                     Software
                     Database Software   $      25,000           $     4,250         $     4,250          $       5,000       $     6,250
                     Additional 3rd
                                         $        5,000          $         850       $         850        $       1,000       $     1,250
                     Party Software
                 Subtotal                $     130,000           $    22,100         $    22,100          $      26,000       $    32,500

Hardware Costs
                     Application Server $       50,000           $     2,500         $     5,000          $       7,500       $    12,500
                     Other
                 Subtotal               $       50,000           $     2,500         $     5,000          $       7,500       $    12,500

Infrastructure Costs
                    Network              $               -       $     5,000         $     5,000          $       8,000       $     8,000
                    Other                $               -
               Subtotal                  $               -       $     5,000         $     5,000          $       8,000       $     8,000

Implementation Costs
                 Internal IT Staff       $     150,000           $    50,000         $    52,500          $      55,125       $    57,881
                 Internal Business
                                         $     250,000           $    60,000         $    63,000          $      66,150       $    69,458
                 Staff
                 Software Services       $      25,000
                 3rd Party Systems
                                         $     500,000
                 Integrator
             Subtotal                    $     925,000           $   110,000         $   115,500          $     121,275       $   127,339

Grand Total                              $ 1,105,000         $   139,600         $   147,600          $   162,775         $   180,339
Estimating Benefits
• Creating an estimate of benefits can be more complex than
  estimating costs because…
   – Efficiency gains may not translate into financial benefits
       • “Step-function” – within a range costs are the same (450 min phone
         plan, no benefit if you use 200 or 449 min)
       • Saving hours may not reduce costs, people have more free time but
         payroll is flat unless someone leaves
   – Confirmation Bias – tendency for people to favor information
     that confirms their preconceptions regardless of whether the
     information is true
       • “We need this project and we’ll make it so”
• Like estimating costs, the best approach is to outline
  benefit categories, determine if one-time or recurring, and
  be sure to include changes over time
Sample Benefit Estimating Template
    Benefit                                          One Time
                                                                                    Recurring Fees
   Categories                                        Benefits
                                                                    Yr1           Yr2           Yr3            Yr4
Increased Efficiency
                   Manual Process Elimination    $      -       $   20,000    $ 100,000     $ 300,000     $   500,000
                   Cycle-time reduction          $      -
                   Other (describe below)        $      -
                      Subtotal                   $          -   $   20,000    $ 100,000     $ 300,000     $   500,000

Headcount Reduction
               Austin                            $      -       $ 100,000
               Design Centers                    $      -                     $ 250,000     $ 500,000
                    Subtotal                     $          -   $ 100,000     $ 250,000     $ 500,000     $          -

Infrastructure Benefits

                   Eliminate CSS Support         $     10,000

                   Consolidate Number of Tools   $    500,000
                   Other                         $      -

                       Subtotal                  $    510,000   $         -   $         -   $         -   $          -

     Grand Total                                 $    510,000   $ 120,000     $ 350,000     $ 800,000     $   500,000
Non-financial factors are also
     components of a business case
• Non-financial factors are those which are
  difficult to dollarize, yet are material to the
  decision-making
• Typical categories for non-financial factors
      • Organizational Risks, resistance to change
      • Employee Satisfaction, potential turn-over
      • Other Risks (governmental, environmental, competitor
        response, etc.)
Assumptions and Rationale
• Documenting the assumptions and rationale for
  both costs and benefits is critical
   – “All estimates are wrong, some are useful”
      • Estimates are imperfect, providing details as to behind the
        numbers are relevant to help with understanding
   – Discussions around the relevant range is critical
• Business cases are essentially sales tools – selling
  finance, product management or others on an
  idea and direction, and getting project $$$
   – Assumptions and rationale bring the numbers to life
     and create the entire picture
Sample Completed Business Case
                                                 (most likely)
                                        One Time                                                     Benefit         One Time Benefits                                 Recurring Fees
          Cost Categories                                          Recurring Fees
                                          Fees                                                                                                               Yr1      Yr2         Yr3       Yr4
Software Costs                                           Yr1       Yr2      Yr3         Yr4     Increased Efficiency
                                                                                                                Manual Process
          Application Software          $ 100,000    $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $        25,000                 Elimination                 $    -        $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000
                                                                                                                Cycle-time reduction        $    -
          Database Software             $ 25,000     $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $            6,250
                                                                                                                Other (decribe below)       $    -
          Additional 3rd Party
                                        $    5,000   $     850 $     850 $ 1,000 $        1,250                   Subtotal                  $        -    $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000
          Software
             Subtotal                   $ 130,000    $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $        32,500
                                                                                                Headcount Reduction
Hardware Costs                                                                                               Austin                         $    -        $ 100,000
         Application Server             $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500              Design Centers                 $    -                  $ 250,000 $ 500,000
         Other                                                                                                 Subtotal                     $        -    $ 100,000 $ 250,000 $ 500,000 $         -
            Subtotal                    $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500
                                                                                                  Infrastructure Benefits
Infrastructure Costs
           Network                      $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000                  Eliminate CSS Support      $   10,000
           Other                        $       -                                                                Consolidate Number of
              Subtotal                  $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000                  Tools                      $   500,000
                                                                                                                 Other                      $     -
Implementation Costs                                                                                                Subtotal                $   510,000   $      - $       - $       - $        -
        Internal IT Staff               $ 150,000    $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $        57,881 Grand Total                                 $   510,000   $ 120,000 $ 350,000 $ 800,000 $ 500,000
        Internal Business Staff         $ 250,000
        Software Services               $ 25,000                                                  4 Yr Total     $              2,280,000
        3rd Party Systems
                                        $ 500,000              $ 50,000             $    50,000
        Integrator
            Subtotal                    $ 925,000    $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $       107,881
                                                                                                               Projected
Grand Total                             $1,105,000   $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $       160,881                                             1.45
                                                                                                               Return
4 Yr Total $                1,576,706
Sample Completed Business Case – Sensitivity 1
                              (pessimistic)                                                         Benefit
                                                                                                                                                                          Recurring Fees
                                                                                                   Categories        One Time Benefits
                                        One Time
          Cost Categories                                          Recurring Fees                                                                               Yr1      Yr2         Yr3           Yr4
                                          Fees
Software Costs                                           Yr1       Yr2      Yr3         Yr4       Increased Efficiency
                                                                                                                  Manual Process
                                                                                                                  Elimination                 $     -        $ 20,000 $ 250,000 $          -   $         -
          Application Software          $ 100,000    $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $        25,000                   Cycle-time reduction        $     -
          Database Software             $ 25,000     $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $            6,250                   Other (decribe below)       $     -
          Additional 3rd Party
                                        $    5,000   $     850 $     850 $ 1,000 $        1,250
          Software                                                                                                Subtotal                    $         -    $ 20,000 $ 250,000 $          -   $         -
             Subtotal                   $ 130,000    $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $        32,500
                                                                                                  Headcount Reduction
Hardware Costs                                                                                                 Austin                         $     -        $ 100,000
         Application Server             $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500                Design Centers                 $     -                  $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000
         Other                                                                                                   Subtotal                     $         -    $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000
            Subtotal                    $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500
                                                                                                  Infrastructure Benefits
Infrastructure Costs                                                                                              Eliminate CSS Support       $    100,000
                                                                                                                  Consolidate Number of
          Network                       $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000
                                                                                                                  Tools                       $    250,000
          Other                         $       -                                                                 Other                       $      -
             Subtotal                   $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000                      Subtotal                 $    350,000   $      - $        - $       - $       -
                                                                                                  Grand Total                                 $    350,000   $ 120,000 $ 350,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000
Implementation Costs
        Internal IT Staff               $ 150,000    $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $        57,881   4 Yr Total     $                1,020,000
        Internal Business Staff         $ 250,000
        Software Services               $ 25,000
        3rd Party Systems
                                        $ 500,000              $ 50,000             $    50,000
        Integrator
            Subtotal                    $ 925,000    $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $       107,881

Grand Total                             $1,105,000   $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $       160,881
                                                                                                                     Projected
                                                                                                                                                  .65
4 Yr Total $                1,576,706                                                                                Return
       Projected Return                     0.65
Sample Completed Business Case – Sensitivity 2
                              (optimistic)
                                                                                                    Benefit
                                                                                                                                                                           Recurring Fees
                                                                                                   Categories        One Time Benefits
                                        One Time
          Cost Categories                                          Recurring Fees                                                                              Yr1        Yr2         Yr3         Yr4
                                          Fees
Software Costs                                           Yr1       Yr2      Yr3         Yr4       Increased Efficiency
                                                                                                                  Manual Process
                                                                                                                  Elimination                 $     -       $ 20,000 $ 700,000 $ 900,000 $ 700,000
          Application Software          $ 100,000    $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $        25,000                   Cycle-time reduction        $     -
          Database Software             $ 25,000     $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $            6,250                   Other (decribe below)       $     -
          Additional 3rd Party
                                        $    5,000   $     850 $     850 $ 1,000 $        1,250
          Software                                                                                                Subtotal                    $         -   $ 20,000 $ 700,000 $ 900,000 $ 700,000
             Subtotal                   $ 130,000    $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $        32,500
                                                                                                  Headcount Reduction
Hardware Costs                                                                                                 Austin                         $     -       $ 100,000
         Application Server             $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500                Design Centers                 $     -                 $ 500,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000
         Other                                                                                                   Subtotal                     $         -   $ 100,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000
            Subtotal                    $   50,000   $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $           12,500
                                                                                                  Infrastructure Benefits
Infrastructure Costs                                                                                              Eliminate CSS Support       $   700,000
                                                                                                                  Consolidate Number of
          Network                       $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000
                                                                                                                  Tools                       $   500,000
          Other                         $       -                                                                 Other                       $     -
             Subtotal                   $       -    $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $            8,000                      Subtotal                 $ 1,200,000   $      - $          - $         - $        -
                                                                                                  Grand Total                                 $ 1,200,000   $ 120,000 $ 1,200,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,200,000
Implementation Costs
        Internal IT Staff               $ 150,000    $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $        57,881   4 Yr Total     $                5,120,000
        Internal Business Staff         $ 250,000
        Software Services               $ 25,000
        3rd Party Systems
                                        $ 500,000              $ 50,000             $    50,000
        Integrator
            Subtotal                    $ 925,000    $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $       107,881

Grand Total                             $1,105,000   $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $       160,881                   Projected
                                                                                                                                              3.25
4 Yr Total $                1,576,706                                                                             Return
       Projected Return                     3.25
Tips, Trick and Techniques (pitfalls to avoid)
• Ensure data as complete as possible
   – Creating estimates requires data, be sure data is as complete as
     possible – (IE, multi-year project will likely have increased labor
     costs)
• Document Assumptions
   – Developing business cases requires making projections into the
     future; document all assumptions
• Build models using variables not fixed values
   – Assume you’ll have to explain the impact of a change in value
     for any financial item – construct models to make changing any
     value easy
• Don’t Sandbag
   – Use sensitivity analysis/scenario analysis to box upper and lower
     expectations
Presenting the Business Case
• Pre-sell – meet with finance early and get buy-in
  – Ask for templates and formats that are preferred
  – Seek a review to gain feedback/agreement with cost
    and benefit estimates
• Make Recommendation
  – Say why the project matters and what will happen if
    you don’t do it
  – Support the position with assumptions and rationale
  – Have different models with various assumptions
     • Best-case, Worst-case, Most Likely
Recap
• Business cases help organizations evaluate
  project efforts and determine go/no-go and
  priority
• Sensitivity analysis should be included – test the
  upper and lower ranges to understand impact of
  assumptions and risks
• The business case is the foundation for
  investment decision-making
   – Complexity of the business case is often a factor of
     investment size

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Business Case Development - How and Why

  • 1. Business Case Development What, Why and How Dave Angelow – Executive Principal A-SPIN Austin April 2011
  • 2. Tonight’s Plan • Discussion of Why a Business Case is Needed • Review of What is contained in a business case • Discuss how to create a business case
  • 3. Who is Dave Angelow • Expert in value-stream mapping, process improvement and business case development – Focus on start-ups and high-growth companies – Primary assistance is driving improvements in revenue or costs • 12 years experience in systems integration, business operations and program management with high-tech companies – Dell – Applied Materials – Freescale/Motorola • Over 10 years management consulting experience – Deloitte Consulting – Ernst & Young – Kalypso – Business Foundations
  • 4. Why Create a Business Case? • Executive Management is charged with making decisions on effective use of corporate resources • A business case helps organizations estimate the costs and benefits from project efforts • Comparing the expected outcomes from different efforts, management is able to determine where to allocate resources – Every organization has constraints and needs to determine where to invest resources Facilities and Equipment, Materials and Supplies, Payroll/Personnel Assumption – materials in this presentation focus on internal improvement, a business case for new products/development is different Assumption #2 – You own building the business case, or have a key role to contribute data for the business case and understanding where the business case fits organizationally
  • 5. What is a business case? • A business case captures the reasoning for initiating a project or task. – The logic of the business case should help evaluate the costs and benefits of resource consumption – Business cases are most often used to evaluate projects to make decisions – they are the initial screen for a project • Should we initiate the project – go/no-go • If a go – what priority should we give the project • A business case is not financial model – Financial modeling tools like NPV, IRR, WACC, etc. can be applied to business case data; however the data from the case are just an input into models – Financial models can be complex and are more often used for accounting or finance applications
  • 6. How is business case information used in decision-making • Business activities fall into two major categories – Operations or Projects – Operations are the core value-adding activities needed to generate profits – Projects are temporary efforts to achieve a specific outcome • The information from the business case enables understanding the costs and expected benefits from a project
  • 7. Companies need to make decisions on how to allocate limited resources • Many companies develop an annual budget and allocate a portion to Projects Annual Expense Budget Selling General and Admin Expense $ 200,000 • A majority of the budget is Cost of Goods Sold $ 1,250,000 Labor $ 300,000 consumed by Operations Material $ 800,000 Overhead $ 150,000 • Projects are often a Inventory $ 40,000 Facilities/Rent $ 20,000 component of “other” Interest Expense $ 5,000 expenses Other Projects $ $ 325,000 175,000 – The cost estimates for a Internal Labor $ 50,000 Consulting/3rd Party Services project(s) are compared to and Labor $ 20,000 budget for decision-making Equipment $ 30,000 Software $ 75,000 – Benefits are often not Travel $ 50,000 budgeted, yet a critical part Emergency Funds $ 100,000 of the business case Total Budget $ 2,165,000
  • 8. The difference between Projects and Operations • Projects - “A temporary endeavor to create a unique product, service or result” – 4th Edition of PMBOK – The temporary nature of a project indicates a defined beginning and end; the end is reached when the project’s objectives are achieved or it’s determined they cannot be achieved (note, temporary does not necessarily mean short in duration) • Operations – Recurring work effort that follows generally defined processes, procedures and existing organizational capabilities. As organizations mature, there is often a greater focus on “improvement projects” with a goal of increasing profitability
  • 9. Simplified Business Model – Financial components of a business case Revenue Organization Asset Utilization Profitability Three levers impact profitability Costs • Increase Revenue • Increase utilization of Assets • Reduce Costs
  • 10. Creating a business case requires critical thinking • Business case development is a value-added activity and requires four major components – Understand costs/resources that a project will require – Define the benefits that will be derived upon completion – Identify risks that may occur during the course of the effort – Capture the assumptions behind the estimates
  • 11. Approach for Business Case Development Estimate Costs Use/Develop Perform Prepare Identify Project Project Benefits Business Case Sensitivity Management Needs Template (reuse) Analysis Presentation Document Document Non- Assumptions financial factors and Rationale
  • 12. Assumptions on the case • Implementation of new internal-use software capability • Uncertainty on benefits – different people on the team have different opinions on magnitude of impact • Cost estimates are from quotes and have higher degree of accuracy than benefit estimates
  • 13. Estimating Costs • Cost estimates are frequently based on quotes or bids, or values from finance/accounting • Good practice is to outline broad cost categories and decompose to ensure all elements are included – Categories could include areas like: • Hardware Costs • Development/Test Tools Software Costs • Internal Staffing Costs • External Staffing Costs • Etc • Categorize costs as One-time, or Recurring – Challenge with one-time costs is to be sure they don’t recur or have some portion that recurs (maintenance fees, etc.) – Recurring costs should be estimated to have periodic increases – Cost of Living Adjustments, increases in rates, etc.
  • 14. Sample Cost Estimating Template Cost Categories One Time Fees Recurring Fees Software Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Application $ 100,000 $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $ 25,000 Software Database Software $ 25,000 $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $ 6,250 Additional 3rd $ 5,000 $ 850 $ 850 $ 1,000 $ 1,250 Party Software Subtotal $ 130,000 $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $ 32,500 Hardware Costs Application Server $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Other Subtotal $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Infrastructure Costs Network $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Other $ - Subtotal $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Implementation Costs Internal IT Staff $ 150,000 $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $ 57,881 Internal Business $ 250,000 $ 60,000 $ 63,000 $ 66,150 $ 69,458 Staff Software Services $ 25,000 3rd Party Systems $ 500,000 Integrator Subtotal $ 925,000 $ 110,000 $ 115,500 $ 121,275 $ 127,339 Grand Total $ 1,105,000 $ 139,600 $ 147,600 $ 162,775 $ 180,339
  • 15. Estimating Benefits • Creating an estimate of benefits can be more complex than estimating costs because… – Efficiency gains may not translate into financial benefits • “Step-function” – within a range costs are the same (450 min phone plan, no benefit if you use 200 or 449 min) • Saving hours may not reduce costs, people have more free time but payroll is flat unless someone leaves – Confirmation Bias – tendency for people to favor information that confirms their preconceptions regardless of whether the information is true • “We need this project and we’ll make it so” • Like estimating costs, the best approach is to outline benefit categories, determine if one-time or recurring, and be sure to include changes over time
  • 16. Sample Benefit Estimating Template Benefit One Time Recurring Fees Categories Benefits Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Increased Efficiency Manual Process Elimination $ - $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000 Cycle-time reduction $ - Other (describe below) $ - Subtotal $ - $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000 Headcount Reduction Austin $ - $ 100,000 Design Centers $ - $ 250,000 $ 500,000 Subtotal $ - $ 100,000 $ 250,000 $ 500,000 $ - Infrastructure Benefits Eliminate CSS Support $ 10,000 Consolidate Number of Tools $ 500,000 Other $ - Subtotal $ 510,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Grand Total $ 510,000 $ 120,000 $ 350,000 $ 800,000 $ 500,000
  • 17. Non-financial factors are also components of a business case • Non-financial factors are those which are difficult to dollarize, yet are material to the decision-making • Typical categories for non-financial factors • Organizational Risks, resistance to change • Employee Satisfaction, potential turn-over • Other Risks (governmental, environmental, competitor response, etc.)
  • 18. Assumptions and Rationale • Documenting the assumptions and rationale for both costs and benefits is critical – “All estimates are wrong, some are useful” • Estimates are imperfect, providing details as to behind the numbers are relevant to help with understanding – Discussions around the relevant range is critical • Business cases are essentially sales tools – selling finance, product management or others on an idea and direction, and getting project $$$ – Assumptions and rationale bring the numbers to life and create the entire picture
  • 19. Sample Completed Business Case (most likely) One Time Benefit One Time Benefits Recurring Fees Cost Categories Recurring Fees Fees Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Software Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Increased Efficiency Manual Process Application Software $ 100,000 $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $ 25,000 Elimination $ - $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000 Cycle-time reduction $ - Database Software $ 25,000 $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $ 6,250 Other (decribe below) $ - Additional 3rd Party $ 5,000 $ 850 $ 850 $ 1,000 $ 1,250 Subtotal $ - $ 20,000 $ 100,000 $ 300,000 $ 500,000 Software Subtotal $ 130,000 $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $ 32,500 Headcount Reduction Hardware Costs Austin $ - $ 100,000 Application Server $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Design Centers $ - $ 250,000 $ 500,000 Other Subtotal $ - $ 100,000 $ 250,000 $ 500,000 $ - Subtotal $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Infrastructure Benefits Infrastructure Costs Network $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Eliminate CSS Support $ 10,000 Other $ - Consolidate Number of Subtotal $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Tools $ 500,000 Other $ - Implementation Costs Subtotal $ 510,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Internal IT Staff $ 150,000 $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $ 57,881 Grand Total $ 510,000 $ 120,000 $ 350,000 $ 800,000 $ 500,000 Internal Business Staff $ 250,000 Software Services $ 25,000 4 Yr Total $ 2,280,000 3rd Party Systems $ 500,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Integrator Subtotal $ 925,000 $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $ 107,881 Projected Grand Total $1,105,000 $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $ 160,881 1.45 Return 4 Yr Total $ 1,576,706
  • 20. Sample Completed Business Case – Sensitivity 1 (pessimistic) Benefit Recurring Fees Categories One Time Benefits One Time Cost Categories Recurring Fees Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Fees Software Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Increased Efficiency Manual Process Elimination $ - $ 20,000 $ 250,000 $ - $ - Application Software $ 100,000 $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $ 25,000 Cycle-time reduction $ - Database Software $ 25,000 $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $ 6,250 Other (decribe below) $ - Additional 3rd Party $ 5,000 $ 850 $ 850 $ 1,000 $ 1,250 Software Subtotal $ - $ 20,000 $ 250,000 $ - $ - Subtotal $ 130,000 $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $ 32,500 Headcount Reduction Hardware Costs Austin $ - $ 100,000 Application Server $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Design Centers $ - $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 Other Subtotal $ - $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 Subtotal $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Infrastructure Benefits Infrastructure Costs Eliminate CSS Support $ 100,000 Consolidate Number of Network $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Tools $ 250,000 Other $ - Other $ - Subtotal $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Subtotal $ 350,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Grand Total $ 350,000 $ 120,000 $ 350,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 Implementation Costs Internal IT Staff $ 150,000 $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $ 57,881 4 Yr Total $ 1,020,000 Internal Business Staff $ 250,000 Software Services $ 25,000 3rd Party Systems $ 500,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Integrator Subtotal $ 925,000 $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $ 107,881 Grand Total $1,105,000 $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $ 160,881 Projected .65 4 Yr Total $ 1,576,706 Return Projected Return 0.65
  • 21. Sample Completed Business Case – Sensitivity 2 (optimistic) Benefit Recurring Fees Categories One Time Benefits One Time Cost Categories Recurring Fees Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Fees Software Costs Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Increased Efficiency Manual Process Elimination $ - $ 20,000 $ 700,000 $ 900,000 $ 700,000 Application Software $ 100,000 $ 17,000 $ 17,000 $ 20,000 $ 25,000 Cycle-time reduction $ - Database Software $ 25,000 $ 4,250 $ 4,250 $ 5,000 $ 6,250 Other (decribe below) $ - Additional 3rd Party $ 5,000 $ 850 $ 850 $ 1,000 $ 1,250 Software Subtotal $ - $ 20,000 $ 700,000 $ 900,000 $ 700,000 Subtotal $ 130,000 $ 22,100 $ 22,100 $ 26,000 $ 32,500 Headcount Reduction Hardware Costs Austin $ - $ 100,000 Application Server $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Design Centers $ - $ 500,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Other Subtotal $ - $ 100,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000 $ 500,000 Subtotal $ 50,000 $ 2,500 $ 5,000 $ 7,500 $ 12,500 Infrastructure Benefits Infrastructure Costs Eliminate CSS Support $ 700,000 Consolidate Number of Network $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Tools $ 500,000 Other $ - Other $ - Subtotal $ - $ 5,000 $ 5,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Subtotal $ 1,200,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Grand Total $ 1,200,000 $ 120,000 $ 1,200,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 1,200,000 Implementation Costs Internal IT Staff $ 150,000 $ 50,000 $ 52,500 $ 55,125 $ 57,881 4 Yr Total $ 5,120,000 Internal Business Staff $ 250,000 Software Services $ 25,000 3rd Party Systems $ 500,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Integrator Subtotal $ 925,000 $ 50,000 $102,500 $ 55,125 $ 107,881 Grand Total $1,105,000 $ 79,600 $134,600 $ 96,625 $ 160,881 Projected 3.25 4 Yr Total $ 1,576,706 Return Projected Return 3.25
  • 22. Tips, Trick and Techniques (pitfalls to avoid) • Ensure data as complete as possible – Creating estimates requires data, be sure data is as complete as possible – (IE, multi-year project will likely have increased labor costs) • Document Assumptions – Developing business cases requires making projections into the future; document all assumptions • Build models using variables not fixed values – Assume you’ll have to explain the impact of a change in value for any financial item – construct models to make changing any value easy • Don’t Sandbag – Use sensitivity analysis/scenario analysis to box upper and lower expectations
  • 23. Presenting the Business Case • Pre-sell – meet with finance early and get buy-in – Ask for templates and formats that are preferred – Seek a review to gain feedback/agreement with cost and benefit estimates • Make Recommendation – Say why the project matters and what will happen if you don’t do it – Support the position with assumptions and rationale – Have different models with various assumptions • Best-case, Worst-case, Most Likely
  • 24. Recap • Business cases help organizations evaluate project efforts and determine go/no-go and priority • Sensitivity analysis should be included – test the upper and lower ranges to understand impact of assumptions and risks • The business case is the foundation for investment decision-making – Complexity of the business case is often a factor of investment size