Presentation from Feb 8th Ofcom event defining the "Future Wireless World" and spectrum policy in the era of IoT, 5G & AI. Covers standardisation, redefining the nature of a "service" & the need for spectrum-sharing to support Industrial IoT and other use-cases.
A full discussion & explanation is at http://disruptivewireless.blogspot.com/2017/02/my-presentation-at-ofcom-what-year-2030.html
6. What is a service provider?
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
MNO
MVNO
TowerCo
WISP
Roaming
Car-SP
Private MNO
PS-Org
SliceNO
eSIM SP
Fixed telco
Cable MSO
Biz. MSP
AltNet
Fix-Wireless
Wholesale
FibreCo
SD-WAN
Sec-aaS
Community
Mobile Fixed
Broadcast
Satellite
ISP/Hosting
VenueSP
cPaaS
IndustrySP
CDN
Call Ctr
SaaS
IoT-SP
Other
What is a “service”?
Subscription basis?
Service vs. feature?
Substitution risks?
Infrastructure?
Boundary with software?
Uncertainties
7. What will the word “service” mean in 2030?
“Service” ITU Definition : “A set of functions offered to a user by an organisation”
This definition seems to exclude:
A set of functions owned & self-provisioned by a user
A set of functions offered to a developer by an organisation
A set of functions embedded in a 3rd-party product or other non-radio service
A set of functions made available as a public amenity
A set of functions owned & consumed by an autonomous organisation
A set of functions enshrined as a human right
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
9. Many ways to solve any problem: arbitrage is everywhere
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
The same is true for connectivity options:
Substitution parallels competition
10. Pervasive AI will deeply impact network demand & supply
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
Least-cost
routing
Energy
Management
Quasi-QoS
Multiple
variables
Autonomous
& Offline
Path
Optimisation
Capacity
Planning
IoT data
management
11. IIoT & Industry 4.0 has many domain-specific requirements
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
12. “National” policies & licenses may not always work
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017
Power station
Car factory
Airport
Oil refinery
Port
Offshore
windfarm
Shared Spectrum rules could enable private, regional industrial-grade 5G/WiFi
networks for IoT & Industry 4.0 (Perhaps with a blockchain register?)
16. What might 2030 mean for spectrum policy?
IoT, software & mobile continues to change everything
Revisit the definition of “services” & SPs
Wireless connectivity ownership gets democratised
Substitution = Functional Competition
Industrial IoT will bring many unique requirements
Consider mechanisms for geo-fenced licencing
Many tech pathways for any “outcome”
AI will have profound & unexpected impacts
Question network “monoculture” vs “diversity”
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017February 2017