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The views expressed in this presentation do not necessarily reflect the views of AT&T.
WebRTC: State of the Market
Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
AT&T Developer Conference, Las Vegas, 5th January 2015
dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
About Disruptive Analysis
 Independent analyst house & strategic consulting firm
 Advisor to telcos, vendors, developers, regulators & investors
 Contrarian with controversial opinions
 Covering WebRTC since June 2011
 Reports on WebRTC Markets & Strategies Feb’13 & Sep’14
 Recognised with a WebRTC Pioneer Award
Twitter @disruptivedean Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
The question I always ask at telecoms events…
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Why do people make phone
calls, or video calls, anyway?
Old distant voice [Tele-phone]
>100 years ago
Pretty good for the 19th century...
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
But apart from mobility, not much has changed
Communications makes more sense in context
Phone calls are jacks-of-all trades. Many use-cases:
Gossip
Meeting up
Flirting
B2C Cust Svc
B2B internal
Spam
Showing off
Work
Wasting time
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Diagram is illustrative, not actual data
Enter WebRTC…
WebRTC is a way to “democratise” the use of voice & video
communications beyond traditional phone calls.
It enables developers to embed “real time” communications
directly into websites & apps in innovative ways.
WebRTC can also be integrated with all sorts of existing
communications systems & platforms
This significance of this is huge & underestimated.
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
3 trends: competition, embedding & substitution
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Cheaper,
better,
“calls”
Better ways
to perform
tasks
Non-call &
embedded
voice
Skype Appear.in Viber
iMessage Amazon Snapchat
Uber Facebook Kayak
Realtime comms is becoming purpose- and context-specific
Video
optional
Original “web” vision of WebRTC (2012 view)
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Web server
Javascript APIs W3C
(connect, use cam/mic, send data)
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
(codecs, transport, security etc)
Browser
P2P
Voice
Video
Realtime
Data
No pre-defined
signalling, IDs etc
Javascript APIs W3C
(connect, use cam/mic, send data)
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
(codecs, transport, security etc)
Browser
Open-source, no plug-ins Open-source, no plug-ins
Evolved vision of WebRTC (2013/14 view)
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Gateway or
platform
[media,
signalling,
identity,
security etc]
SS7/IMS
UC
Contact
centre
etc
Javascript APIs W3C
(connect, use cam/mic, send data)
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
(codecs, transport, security etc)
Browser
Open-source, no plug-ins
Web server
Built-into apps / OS
And in 2015: Technology purists need not apply
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
“WebRTC” is more a philosophy
than a fixed standard
Javascript WebRTC
APIs W3C
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
Browser
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
(+maybe modifications)
3rd party APIs & cloud
platforms
Plug-ins
ORTC API
ORCA API
IETF RTCWeb Protocols
Browser + ???
??
Gateways
IMS
UC
Call centre
etc
WebRTC on >6bn devices by 2019
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Million WebRTC
devices worldwide,
year-end
Source: Disruptive Analysis 2014 Edition WebRTC Report
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Other (TV+M2M/IoT)
Smartphones
Tablets
PCs
Devices
& IoT
WebRTC use-cases & platforms
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Enterprise
Telcos,
TV &
other
SPs
Cloud Platforms, APIs & SDKs Tool & Enablers
Consumer
Web/Apps
Lead WebRTC use-cases, Jan’15
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC report update Sep 2014
Customer service & platforms
• Mayday, Amex etc video support
• Contact centres (internal / call-me)
• Developer SDKs/platforms
• Analytics & processing
• Mobile consumer VoIP & social chat
• Remote 1-1 education/training/healthcare
• Free standalone video-calling
• Conferencing niches & web extensions
• Innovative UC & collaboration
Live &
commercial
• Full-scale corporate conferencing & UC
• Telco VoLTE/IMS extension
• CDNs, File/screen-sharing & anonymous search
Pilots /
pre-commercial
Trials &
demos
• Entertainment & consumer electronics
• IPTV & personal broadcast
• M2M & IoT
• Public Safety
New models for customer service & support
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
• Two-way audio
• One-way video
• Remote control
• Screen-sharing
Innovator:
Amazon Mayday
Future?
Website support
goes beyond IM
Video check-in agents
at smaller airports
Video tellers at ATMs
for added confidence &
personalisation
Enterprise comms becoming “dis-unified”?
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
UC
core
WebRTC APIsCustomer
interaction
Collaboration &
conferencing
Vertical
apps
Mobility
Horizontal
apps
UC extended by WebRTC
via WebRTC
app framework
UC marginalised by WebRTC
User UC
Conferencing
Integrated app
needing legacy
telephony etc
Comms-enriched
apps & cloud
services
Federated apps,
common platform
Standalone apps
Mobile apps
Completely new concepts are possible (1)
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Completely new concepts are possible (2)
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Completely new concepts are possible (3)
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
WebRTC-enabled “things” already here
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Not just voice & video – also realtime data
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
De-lamination of communications
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2014November 2014
Connectivity
UI / UX
Cloud / Processing / APIs
Application Logic
Identity / Security / Interoperability
Firewall traversal APIs
Bandwidth estimation
WebRTC IaaS
Decomposed
functions or
auxiliary
services
Transcoding aaS
Public network gateway
Identity APIs
Cloud platform & APIs
Open-source libraries
Comms-enabled OS
Mobile SDKs & APIs
Cloud storage
Analytics aaS
Browse / app / hybrid
A/ B testing
3rd-party buttons/APIs
Developers have a huge range of choices of how to create apps/experiences
New stakeholders in service/app creation
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Telco /
MSO
End-user
Vendors
&
standards
Services creation
Experiences
consumption
Experiences curator
Experiences designer
Experiences developer
Cloud
API
player
IT
vendorPlatform creation
Open-
source
In-
house
dvlpt
Element creation
WebRTC vendor / platform space very complex
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
General +
mobile SDK
Products Services
Functions
Solutions
Platforms
Gate-
ways/
SBCs
API
pltfms
2013
2014
App
Pltfm
TURN
Media
Server
aaP
Video
chat
IMS/
WebR
TC
Vertical SaaS
(CRM, HR etc)
Media
servers
UC &
UCaaS
Messaging
CRM
/CCs
UC
WebRTC is likely to touch a large % of Internet users
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
Million
Internet Users,
year-end
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Users of app-embedded VoIP/Video comms
Internet users not using app-embedded VoIP/video
Source: Disruptive Analysis 2014 Edition WebRTC Report
Conclusion
 WebRTC is maybe most exciting thing in comms for 10 years
 “Democratisation” of voice & video into web & apps
 Not just about “calls” but new ways to interact
 Already here & being used
 Not just about browsers – mobile growing fast
 A “movement” as well as a standard
 Important role for platform / API providers
 Many options for telecom providers to become involved
 A new ecosystem for developers, telcos & cloud players
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
2014/15 Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Report
 196 pages
 >100 tables & charts
 Primary research
 Detailed forecasts
 Author is WebRTC Pioneer
 Telecom, business, consumer &
M2M use-cases
 Analysis of platforms/cloud
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
www.disruptive-analysis.com
disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
@disruptivedean
information@disruptive-analysis.com
Skype:disruptiveanalysis
WebRTC: appear.in/disruptiveanalysis
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015

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WebRTC Market Status & Voice/Video Overview

  • 1. The views expressed in this presentation do not necessarily reflect the views of AT&T. WebRTC: State of the Market Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis AT&T Developer Conference, Las Vegas, 5th January 2015 dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 2. About Disruptive Analysis  Independent analyst house & strategic consulting firm  Advisor to telcos, vendors, developers, regulators & investors  Contrarian with controversial opinions  Covering WebRTC since June 2011  Reports on WebRTC Markets & Strategies Feb’13 & Sep’14  Recognised with a WebRTC Pioneer Award Twitter @disruptivedean Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 3. The question I always ask at telecoms events… Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Why do people make phone calls, or video calls, anyway?
  • 4. Old distant voice [Tele-phone] >100 years ago Pretty good for the 19th century... Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 But apart from mobility, not much has changed Communications makes more sense in context
  • 5. Phone calls are jacks-of-all trades. Many use-cases: Gossip Meeting up Flirting B2C Cust Svc B2B internal Spam Showing off Work Wasting time Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Diagram is illustrative, not actual data
  • 6. Enter WebRTC… WebRTC is a way to “democratise” the use of voice & video communications beyond traditional phone calls. It enables developers to embed “real time” communications directly into websites & apps in innovative ways. WebRTC can also be integrated with all sorts of existing communications systems & platforms This significance of this is huge & underestimated. Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 7. 3 trends: competition, embedding & substitution Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Cheaper, better, “calls” Better ways to perform tasks Non-call & embedded voice Skype Appear.in Viber iMessage Amazon Snapchat Uber Facebook Kayak Realtime comms is becoming purpose- and context-specific Video optional
  • 8. Original “web” vision of WebRTC (2012 view) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Web server Javascript APIs W3C (connect, use cam/mic, send data) IETF RTCWeb Protocols (codecs, transport, security etc) Browser P2P Voice Video Realtime Data No pre-defined signalling, IDs etc Javascript APIs W3C (connect, use cam/mic, send data) IETF RTCWeb Protocols (codecs, transport, security etc) Browser Open-source, no plug-ins Open-source, no plug-ins
  • 9. Evolved vision of WebRTC (2013/14 view) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Gateway or platform [media, signalling, identity, security etc] SS7/IMS UC Contact centre etc Javascript APIs W3C (connect, use cam/mic, send data) IETF RTCWeb Protocols (codecs, transport, security etc) Browser Open-source, no plug-ins Web server
  • 10. Built-into apps / OS And in 2015: Technology purists need not apply Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 “WebRTC” is more a philosophy than a fixed standard Javascript WebRTC APIs W3C IETF RTCWeb Protocols Browser IETF RTCWeb Protocols (+maybe modifications) 3rd party APIs & cloud platforms Plug-ins ORTC API ORCA API IETF RTCWeb Protocols Browser + ??? ?? Gateways IMS UC Call centre etc
  • 11. WebRTC on >6bn devices by 2019 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Million WebRTC devices worldwide, year-end Source: Disruptive Analysis 2014 Edition WebRTC Report 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Other (TV+M2M/IoT) Smartphones Tablets PCs
  • 12. Devices & IoT WebRTC use-cases & platforms Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Enterprise Telcos, TV & other SPs Cloud Platforms, APIs & SDKs Tool & Enablers Consumer Web/Apps
  • 13. Lead WebRTC use-cases, Jan’15 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC report update Sep 2014 Customer service & platforms • Mayday, Amex etc video support • Contact centres (internal / call-me) • Developer SDKs/platforms • Analytics & processing • Mobile consumer VoIP & social chat • Remote 1-1 education/training/healthcare • Free standalone video-calling • Conferencing niches & web extensions • Innovative UC & collaboration Live & commercial • Full-scale corporate conferencing & UC • Telco VoLTE/IMS extension • CDNs, File/screen-sharing & anonymous search Pilots / pre-commercial Trials & demos • Entertainment & consumer electronics • IPTV & personal broadcast • M2M & IoT • Public Safety
  • 14. New models for customer service & support Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 • Two-way audio • One-way video • Remote control • Screen-sharing Innovator: Amazon Mayday Future? Website support goes beyond IM Video check-in agents at smaller airports Video tellers at ATMs for added confidence & personalisation
  • 15. Enterprise comms becoming “dis-unified”? Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 UC core WebRTC APIsCustomer interaction Collaboration & conferencing Vertical apps Mobility Horizontal apps UC extended by WebRTC via WebRTC app framework UC marginalised by WebRTC User UC Conferencing Integrated app needing legacy telephony etc Comms-enriched apps & cloud services Federated apps, common platform Standalone apps Mobile apps
  • 16. Completely new concepts are possible (1) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 17. Completely new concepts are possible (2) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 18. Completely new concepts are possible (3) Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 19. WebRTC-enabled “things” already here Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 20. Not just voice & video – also realtime data Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 21. De-lamination of communications Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2014November 2014 Connectivity UI / UX Cloud / Processing / APIs Application Logic Identity / Security / Interoperability Firewall traversal APIs Bandwidth estimation WebRTC IaaS Decomposed functions or auxiliary services Transcoding aaS Public network gateway Identity APIs Cloud platform & APIs Open-source libraries Comms-enabled OS Mobile SDKs & APIs Cloud storage Analytics aaS Browse / app / hybrid A/ B testing 3rd-party buttons/APIs Developers have a huge range of choices of how to create apps/experiences
  • 22. New stakeholders in service/app creation Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Telco / MSO End-user Vendors & standards Services creation Experiences consumption Experiences curator Experiences designer Experiences developer Cloud API player IT vendorPlatform creation Open- source In- house dvlpt Element creation
  • 23. WebRTC vendor / platform space very complex Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 General + mobile SDK Products Services Functions Solutions Platforms Gate- ways/ SBCs API pltfms 2013 2014 App Pltfm TURN Media Server aaP Video chat IMS/ WebR TC Vertical SaaS (CRM, HR etc) Media servers UC & UCaaS Messaging CRM /CCs UC
  • 24. WebRTC is likely to touch a large % of Internet users Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015 Million Internet Users, year-end 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Users of app-embedded VoIP/Video comms Internet users not using app-embedded VoIP/video Source: Disruptive Analysis 2014 Edition WebRTC Report
  • 25. Conclusion  WebRTC is maybe most exciting thing in comms for 10 years  “Democratisation” of voice & video into web & apps  Not just about “calls” but new ways to interact  Already here & being used  Not just about browsers – mobile growing fast  A “movement” as well as a standard  Important role for platform / API providers  Many options for telecom providers to become involved  A new ecosystem for developers, telcos & cloud players Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015
  • 26. 2014/15 Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Report  196 pages  >100 tables & charts  Primary research  Detailed forecasts  Author is WebRTC Pioneer  Telecom, business, consumer & M2M use-cases  Analysis of platforms/cloud Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015January 2015