3. “Properly practiced
advertising MUST result
in greater sales more
economically achieved.”
- Bill Bernbach
Monday, 17 October 2011
4. DETERMINING THE EFFECTS OF ADVERTISING
The naive approach
The media approach
The creative approach
The economic approach
The psychological approach
Monday, 17 October 2011
5. WHO INFLUENCES MORE MARKETERS TODAY?
Daniel Bernoulli Mark Zuckerberg
(8th February, 1700 to 8th March, 1782) (b. 14th May, 1984)
Monday, 17 October 2011
6. WHO INFLUENCES MORE MARKETERS TODAY?
“Rational consumers
make decisions based on
the expected outcomes
of their decisions”*
Daniel Bernoulli
(8th February, 1700 to 8th March, 1782)
*Source: Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk, 1738
Monday, 17 October 2011
8. “Economists, and other social scientists with an interest in decision-
the difference between the
making, have found that
rational model (how decisions ought to be made) and the
real world (what decisions are made) is so significant
that rational models are of little use”
*Source: http://www.gresham.ac.uk/lectures-and-events/why-do-people-play-the-lottery-make-up-your-mind
Monday, 17 October 2011
10. 1. What people are really like
2. How people really choose brands
3. How communication really works
4. Implications for doing your job
Monday, 17 October 2011
11. 1. What people are really like
2. How people really choose brands
3. How communication really works
4. Implications for doing your job
Monday, 17 October 2011
12. 1. What people are really like
2. How people really choose brands
3. How communication really works
4. Implications for doing your job
Monday, 17 October 2011
13. 1. What people are really like
2. How people really choose brands
3. How communication really works
4. Implications for doing your job
Monday, 17 October 2011
15. A SIMPLE TEST TO MAKE SURE YOUʼRE AWAKE!
A bat and a ball together cost $1.10.
If the bat costs $1 more than the
ball, how much does the ball cost?
Monday, 17 October 2011
16. HISTORIC VIEW OF THE BRAIN
The “rational mind
fallacy”
Supremacy of reason
Emotions are
dangerous and need
controlling
Monday, 17 October 2011
18. DAMASIO’S DISCOVERY
“A brain that canʼt
feel canʼt make up
its mind”
Monday, 17 October 2011
19. IN OTHER WORDS...
Reason and emotions are linked
The thinking brain depends on the
emotional brain
Emotional processing, not reason,
dominates our decisions
Monday, 17 October 2011
21. WHY ARE EMOTIONS THE MASTER?
“When evolution was building our
brain, it didnʼt bother to replace all
those emotional processes with new
operations under our explicit control.
The result? The uniquely human
parts of the mind depend on the
primitive mind underneath”
The Decisive Moment, Johan Lehrer
Monday, 17 October 2011
24. LEARNINGS FROM LT. COMMANDER RILEY
Much of what we “think” is really driven by our
emotions
Every feeling is really a summary of
unconscious data
Feelings are an accurate short-cut... a
compression of decades worth of experience
Monday, 17 October 2011
25. WHATʼS THE RIGHT ANSWER?
A bat and a ball together cost $1.10.
If the bat costs $1 more than the
ball, how much does the ball cost?
The ball is 5¢
The bat is $1.05
Monday, 17 October 2011
26. TWO SYSTEMS
System 1 System 2
“Intuitive / Emotional” “Reasoning”
Honed by evolution Still in beta
~100,000,000 years old ~100,000 years old (?)
Automatic Controlled
Fast Slower
Non-conscious Conscious
Non-verbal Verbal
Drives decision making Can think, but canʼt decide
95% 5%
Monday, 17 October 2011
28. LIKE HOMER, WE FAVOUR THE LEAST LINE OF RESISTANCE
Cognitively and behaviourally!
Monday, 17 October 2011
29. SYSTEM 1 HEURISTICS LEAD TO COGNITIVE BIASES
Bandwagon effect Framing Neglect of probability
Base rate fallacy Hyperbolic discounting Normalcy bias
Bias blind spot Illusion of control Not Invented Here
Congruence bias Impact bias Omission bias
Choice-supportive bias Information bias Outcome bias
Confirmation bias Irrational escalation Planning fallacy
Contrast effect Just-world phenomenon Post-purchase rationalization
Déformation professionnelle Loss aversion Pseudocertainty effect
Denomination effect Mere exposure effect Reactance
Distinction bias Money illusion Restraint bias
Endowment effect Moral credential effect Selective perception
Experimenter's or Expectation Need for Closure Semmelweis reflex
bias
Neglect of probability Status quo bias
Extraordinarity bias
Normalcy bias Von Restorff effect
Information bias
Not Invented Here Wishful thinking
Irrational escalation
Omission bias Zero-risk bias
Focusing effect
Outcome bias
Monday, 17 October 2011
30. AVAILABILITY HEURISTIC
Risk assessment by feeling not facts
Recency and salience versus
incidence
So fear of fear of plane crashes
higher than fear of skin cancer from
sunbathing
The emotional brain prevailing over
the rational
Monday, 17 October 2011
31. SUMMARY
1. Human beings make
decisions primarily on
emotions and then post-
rationalise their decisions
Monday, 17 October 2011
32. 2. How people really choose brands
Monday, 17 October 2011
33. SHOPPING IS COMPLEX & OPEN-ENDED
Buying decisions cannot be made algorithmically
Monday, 17 October 2011
34. We are always assessing brands unconsciously.
Long before we choose, system 1 has short-listed
factors & options.
When we come to choose, feelings & intuitions
guide our thinking.
System 1
System 2
Cross-checks & finalises the
decision.
Thought can challenge & re-direct
system 1
But post-rationalisation is more
common.
Monday, 17 October 2011
35. DECISION STATES
System 1 System 2
When decision is complex When decision is simple
In early phase of decision In final phase of decision
For regular purchases When we buy for 1st time
When products are similar When products are functionally different
For cheap items For expensive items
For low risk items For high risk items
For impulse purchases For considered purchases
Time poor Time rich
When we are highly aroused When we are calm
When we are not paying attention When we are paying close attention
When we are happy? When we are grumpy?
Try and think of a purchase that is pure System 2
Monday, 17 October 2011
38. EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION
Appeal to emotions / feelings not logic / reason
How we say things may be much more important than what we say
This includes; humour, gesture, etc!
Communication may influence us without us consciously being
aware / thinking
Changing our minds / teaching new things, not easy tasks for
communication
Monday, 17 October 2011
39. PROBLEM IS...
Rational mind fallacy
Rational message fallacy
Monday, 17 October 2011
40. TYPICAL QUESTIONS
What is the main message of the communication?
What is the single-minded product proposition ?
How believable is this message?
What is unique about this message?
What are the supporting reasons to believe?
How likely is this ad to persuade you to buy the product?
Monday, 17 October 2011
41. SONY BRAVIA
Objectives:
Create an emotional attachment that
justifies the Sony price premium
Encourages consumers to commit to
the brand before they reach the point
of sale
Help Sony retake the number one
position in the flat screen TV market.
Rational approach
“Superior colour definition”
Monday, 17 October 2011
42. SONY BRAVIA
Results:
Bravia-advert.com had 2m visitors /
1.8m TVC viewings in the 3 months
after launch
Est. 5.3m viewings on Google Video,
YouTube and others
Sales resulted in product shortage
(UK); orders in Dec 05 delivered in
March 06
Sony’s LCD MS grew to 14 % (vs
10%, EU)
Monday, 17 October 2011
43. ITʼS NOT WHAT YOU SAY…
Content = message or the “communication”
Typically; clear, recognisable, easily analysed,
rational (and fades quickly!).
Rel
Content
Relationship
Relationship = non-verbal or the “meta-
communication”
Typically: subtle, hard to analyse, highly
emotional (and endures!).
Monday, 17 October 2011
44. Associations? Take out?
Spectacular Simply “the best”
Original Worth paying more for
Gorgeous Desire
Mesmerising
Lovely music
Monday, 17 October 2011
45. SUMMARY
1. Human beings make decisions
primarily on emotions and then
post-rationalise their decisions
2. Communication is not just
about message but about
relationship
Monday, 17 October 2011
50. BUT COPYING CAN LEAD TO PROBLEMS
Are your friends making you fat?
Or keeping you slender?
According to new research from
Harvard and the University of
California, San Diego, the short
answer on both counts is "yes."
Monday, 17 October 2011
57. SUMMARY
1. Human beings make decisions
primarily on emotions and then
post-rationalise their decisions
2. Communication is not just
about message but about
relationship
3. Decision making is a social
rather than an individual process
Monday, 17 October 2011
58. SUMMARY
Talk to the heart
Itʼs not what you say,
but how you say it
Make your clientʼs brand /
product famous
Monday, 17 October 2011
59. A CONTROVERSIAL POINT OF VIEW!
We all recognise the importance
of creative style and emotional
resonance, but we tend to think
of these things as a means of
getting the message across.
This new viewpoint
suggests that, to a large
extent, style and feel
are the message!
Monday, 17 October 2011
64. BUT THE GOOD NEWS...
We will all be happier because we prefer
making this sort of communication
The public will be happier because they like
this communication better too
CEOs/CFOʼs will be happier because their
businesses will be more successful
Monday, 17 October 2011
65. OVER TO YOU...
HOW DOES THAT MAKE YOU FEEL?
WHAT MIGHT THE IMPLICATIONS BE?
For the briefing and creative process?
For research and evaluation?
For media and channel usage?
Monday, 17 October 2011
66. MY THOUGHTS (FOR WHAT IT’S WORTH!)
Define the advertising goal as being to build ‘saleability’
Stop talking. Mostly about messages.
Start talking about associations and about relationships.
Recognise the power of implicit communication.
Shift your focus away from the abstract message or idea to the advertisement as a whole.
Resist the urge to over-analyse and over control.
Monday, 17 October 2011
67. How exciting to be back
at the beginning again,
knowing absolutely
nothing...
Monday, 17 October 2011
68. TITLE TEXT
THANK YOU
ABOUT.ME/DAVIDWARREN
Monday, 17 October 2011