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minimal product




Maximal Vision
You’re a visionary.
“Once EVERYONE uses my
product, it’ll be awesome!”
Metcalfe’s Law
Value = num_participants2




   Proportional to # of connections
Metcalfe’s Law
Value = num_participants2




     Reed’s Law
  Value = 2num_participants


   Proportional to # of subgroups!
Exponentials are very flat at the start.




   i.e. your new social network is completely useless.
Sites Needing Critical Mass


Social Networks (Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn)

User-Content Sites (Wikipedia, Wikihow, YouTube)

Volume Licensees (Pandora, Netflix)
Marketplaces are Worse!


Classifieds (Craigslist)

Dating Sites (Match.com, OKCupid)

Forums (AVSforum)

Q&A Sites (Quora, Yahoo Answers)
But People Will Love Me!
Is most of the value your...

  (non-existent) community?

  (uselessly flashy) interface?

  (unnecessarily obscure) technology?



...or worst: is most of the value your idea?
People Don’t Care About You.
People Don’t Care About You.
Goal: Solve Real Problems.


Address the problem in the person’s own words.

Present a solution that clearly solves the problem.

Make it as simple as possible.
Real Story: IM Smarter

“Revolutionary, patent-pending SOCKS5 proxy to transparently
enhance all four major instant messaging protocols, including
OSCAR (AIM+ICQ), MSN, and Yahoo! Messenger!”




....*crickets*
Real Story: PBwiki => PBworks


“Wikis are great!” => early adopters @ $50/yr



“This helps me manage my agency’s RFIs.” => $50,000/yr
Corollary: Avoid Waste


Don’t build until you need to: “steal” tools as needed.

Validate the need: ideally sell before you build.

Avoid solving scaling issues until you’re blocked on them.
Exercise: Hilariously Simple
No Code?

Craigslist v1: just a mailing list.

Yahoo v1: static HTML directory.

Could your startup get off the group with a mailing list?

  e.g. Social Travel Network?

Start with Excel, Google Docs, SurveyMonkey, Facebook...
Reskin a Library?


Meebo = libpurple (Gaim)

Mint = Yodlee

YouTube = Flash Media Encoder
What if my Code Sucks?



Napster = Shawn Fanning’s first Windows program.

LiveJournal = started as a CGI script.
Shouldn’t I Wait to Launch?

You’re probably building the wrong thing.

You need to start the clock on becoming a world expert!

Over-engineering a launch can kill a company.

  e.g. There.com, Duke Nukem Forever

Launches are over-rated!
IN “STEALTH” >6 MONTHS?


       You’re doing it wrong.
GO SELL!

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Minimal Product, Maximal Vision

  • 3. “Once EVERYONE uses my product, it’ll be awesome!”
  • 4. Metcalfe’s Law Value = num_participants2 Proportional to # of connections
  • 5. Metcalfe’s Law Value = num_participants2 Reed’s Law Value = 2num_participants Proportional to # of subgroups!
  • 6. Exponentials are very flat at the start. i.e. your new social network is completely useless.
  • 7. Sites Needing Critical Mass Social Networks (Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn) User-Content Sites (Wikipedia, Wikihow, YouTube) Volume Licensees (Pandora, Netflix)
  • 8. Marketplaces are Worse! Classifieds (Craigslist) Dating Sites (Match.com, OKCupid) Forums (AVSforum) Q&A Sites (Quora, Yahoo Answers)
  • 9. But People Will Love Me! Is most of the value your... (non-existent) community? (uselessly flashy) interface? (unnecessarily obscure) technology? ...or worst: is most of the value your idea?
  • 10. People Don’t Care About You.
  • 11. People Don’t Care About You.
  • 12. Goal: Solve Real Problems. Address the problem in the person’s own words. Present a solution that clearly solves the problem. Make it as simple as possible.
  • 13. Real Story: IM Smarter “Revolutionary, patent-pending SOCKS5 proxy to transparently enhance all four major instant messaging protocols, including OSCAR (AIM+ICQ), MSN, and Yahoo! Messenger!” ....*crickets*
  • 14. Real Story: PBwiki => PBworks “Wikis are great!” => early adopters @ $50/yr “This helps me manage my agency’s RFIs.” => $50,000/yr
  • 15. Corollary: Avoid Waste Don’t build until you need to: “steal” tools as needed. Validate the need: ideally sell before you build. Avoid solving scaling issues until you’re blocked on them.
  • 17.
  • 18. No Code? Craigslist v1: just a mailing list. Yahoo v1: static HTML directory. Could your startup get off the group with a mailing list? e.g. Social Travel Network? Start with Excel, Google Docs, SurveyMonkey, Facebook...
  • 19. Reskin a Library? Meebo = libpurple (Gaim) Mint = Yodlee YouTube = Flash Media Encoder
  • 20. What if my Code Sucks? Napster = Shawn Fanning’s first Windows program. LiveJournal = started as a CGI script.
  • 21. Shouldn’t I Wait to Launch? You’re probably building the wrong thing. You need to start the clock on becoming a world expert! Over-engineering a launch can kill a company. e.g. There.com, Duke Nukem Forever Launches are over-rated!
  • 22. IN “STEALTH” >6 MONTHS? You’re doing it wrong.

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