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Can complex geopolitical
uncertainty and record
M&A coexist?
Despite policy uncertainties, companies
are giving the greenlight to deals in the
search for growth.
Global Capital Confidence Barometer
April 2017 | 16th edition | ey.com/ccb
Dealmaking continues at pace with
fundamentals driving activity
At a time of rapid disruption,
political change and policy
uncertainty…
… companies are proactively
managing their portfolios and
protecting their core business…
… but a resurgence of economic
confidence and positive
corporate indicators…
… also finds executives primed for
record dealmaking as they search
for above-trend growth.
Participant
profile
► Respondent community
includes more than 2,300 senior
executives surveyed in March
and April 2017
► Companies from 43 countries
► Respondents from 14 industries
► 1,168 CEO, CFO and other
C-level executives
ey.com/ccb
Global key findings
Top 10 actions that help define success in
today’s deal economy
ey.com/ccb
Learn to
live with
uncertainty
1 Follow the
customer
6
Constraints
are the ones
you create
2 Disregard
boundaries
7
Reimagine the
parameters of
your business
3 Walk through
walls
8
Play on your
terms4 Measure what
matters most
9
Your pipeline
is your lifeline5 Do integration
back to front
Geopolitical and policy uncertainty is a
feature of a globalized economy, but
technology-enabled disruption poses a
challenge to many business models.
M&A can offer a fast track to the
innovation needed to maintain pace with
the warp-speed customer-centric change
reshaping today’s business landscape.
New products and services are being
created at a pace not seen before —
being bold could be key to success as
today’s deals will likely be tomorrow’s
game changers.
Cross-border deals are a necessity —
successful companies will find ways to
navigate challenges such as rising
nationalism.
Do what you do best — adapt your
operating model to succeed in tomorrow’s
market.
The traditional walls that once defined
sector territories have dissolved —
executives need to seize opportunities
amid shifting industry models.
Be in total control of your own destiny
— rigorous and regular portfolio
reviews will enable you to be
strategically nimble and opportunistic.
Past performance is not necessarily an
indicator of future success — new ways
of focusing and filtering data can provide
insights into future customer trends.
Competition for quality assets is high,
and ensuring you are assessing a
number of M&A options is critical to
create multiple opportunities in such
a fast-moving market.
Always consider your overarching
strategy during integration, and enhance
potential value by targeting both top-line
customer experience and bottom-line
cost efficiencies.
10
Global key findings
M&A outlook
Dealmaking is set for a strong 2017. Concerns about an overheated market are countered by growing
deal discipline.
expect to actively
pursue acquisitions in
the next 12 months.
56%
ey.com/ccb
90% 64%
expect their pipeline to
increase or remain stable
in the next 12 months.
look at cross-border
deals to secure market
access and grow their
customer base.
Global key findings
Macroeconomic environment
Confidence high as executives anticipate the global economy improving and corporate earnings on an
upward track.
see the global economy
improving.
64%
ey.com/ccb
97% 69%
expect corporate earnings
to either improve or
remain stable.
cite a broad range of
geopolitical or emerging
policy concerns as
greatest risks to growth.
A resurgence of
economic confidence
is fueling growth
plans…
… and greater stability
in capital markets is
expected to foster
investment…
… while rapid
disruption, political
change and policy
uncertainty remain.
Global key findings
Growth and portfolio strategy
As technology disrupts business models and customer behaviors, businesses are more regularly
reassessing and reinventing their portfolios.
have increased the
frequency of their
portfolio review
process.
73%
ey.com/ccb
49% 50%
plan to outsource routine
operations or back-office
functions in the next 12
months.
cite digital innovation, the
search for growth and
sector convergence as
most prominent topics on
their boardroom agenda.
Emerging pressures
help to reinvigorate
portfolio review
processes…
… and outsourcing
backroom functions will
help focus on core
operations…
… as companies look
to counter disruption
and accelerate growth.
Global key findings
North America the focus of cross-border deals
Companies are looking across a broad range of geographies for deals to secure market access and grow
their customer base, with a pivot toward developed markets.
ey.com/ccb
North
America
Latin
America
Western
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Africa
and Middle
East
Asia-
Pacific
Outside domestic market
Immediate region
Domestic market (home country)
Primary preferred destination
outside their own region
Respondents were polled on their top five
investment destinations; this chart reflects
the top preference for each region.
Global key findings
Top 5 investment destinations
Companies are looking across a broad range of geographies for deals to secure market access and grow
their customer base, with a pivot toward developed markets.
ey.com/ccb
United States
1 2 3
4 5
China United Kingdom
Germany Canada
The United States retains its
position as the center of global
M&A. Conditions are set for
another strong year in US
dealmaking, with growth
acceleration anticipated,
executives and consumers
expressing confidence, and
supportive capital markets.
China is now well established as
the second most important market
of global M&A. While the focus of
China-involved dealmaking in
2016 was outbound acquisitions,
2017 will be firmly centered on
domestic combinations and
inward investments.
While the United Kingdom briefly
fell out of the top 10 destinations
for investment in the survey
following the referendum on
membership of the European
Union, it has quickly rebounded
as an investment destination in
this Barometer.
Global key findings
Top sectors and key M&A drivers
ey.com/ccb
Automotive and
transportation
Consumer products
and retail
Mining and
metals
Oil and gas Power and
utilities
Telecommunications
► Collaborative product development,
supply chain and production, based
on predictive analytics, robotics
and Internet of Things (IoT)
technology, are driving innovation
across the automotive value chain.
► Companies’ M&A strategies
revolve around acquiring innovative
capabilities offered by start-ups.
► Cross-border transactions are expected
to increase as large regional companies
look to move from being strong regional
leaders to global competitors.
► Portfolio optimization will also be a major
theme, with large European and North
American conglomerates refining their
portfolios to focus on core assets and
category expansion.
► During the price downturn, the
mining industry was selling non-
core assets to reduce debt and
optimize balance sheets.
► The recovery of commodity prices
has released the immediate
pressure on companies to sell, and
some have postponed divestments.
► Portfolio optimization is expected to
be at the forefront across the oil
and gas value chain. Companies
are making concerted efforts to
improve their portfolios and move
toward low-cost, high-productivity
regions.
► This will drive deal activity,
especially for the upstream
operators. Companies will want to
dispose of non-core assets and
acquire acreage in core areas.
► Expansion in distributed generation,
such as solar photovoltaic and battery
storage, and new energy technologies,
such as microgrids, and virtual power
plants is disrupting traditional utility
business models.
► Smart technology, telecommunications
and analytics are being used to optimize
energy delivery and enhance customer
experiences. Utilities are acquiring new
capability through acquisitions or
partnering with telecommunications and
technology providers.
► Increasing convergence and
competition with technology and
media companies, combined with
advances in technology and
digitalization, are disrupting business
models across the telecom landscape,
leading to increasing combinations.
► Telcos will grow their revenues in the
digital landscape by capturing
adjacent business options, including
over-the-top, Internet of Things and
machine-to-machine information.
Global key findings
Disruption drives the next wave of dealmaking
ey.com/ccb
Can heightened geopolitical uncertainties and buoyant
M&A coexist?
Yes.
Why? Because geopolitical concerns, though a mainstay feature of the boardroom,
are overshadowed by more immediate and pressing risks and opportunities.
Geopolitical issues may dominate the headlines, but boards are laser-focused on
countermeasures against technological disruption and seizing new routes to growth.
Those countermeasures will often involve M&A.
But, while technology and digital disruption are major drivers of the current market,
other considerations are also spurring deal activity. Geographical expansion to secure
supply chains and increase customer reach will accelerate cross-border M&A. Private
equity is returning to replenishing mode. Lastly, corporates are increasingly
reassessing and reshaping their portfolios, creating a natural pipeline of deal
opportunities.
Consequently, the M&A market is healthy. And we can expect further deal activity. As
our front cover indicates, the search for growth is a green light for dealmakers.
Skeptics may maintain that heightened levels of deal activity lead to too many bad
deals being pursued. However, this is not the case in today’s M&A market.
Companies are using advanced analytics, combined with data-driven diligence and
integration, to target the right deals and integrate them in the right way.
The result: A strong outlook for dealmaking prevails.
Steve Krouskos
EY Global Vice Chair,
Transaction Advisory
Services
Follow Steve on:
Twitter and Linkedin
Contacts ey.com/ccb
Global
Steve Krouskos
EY Global Vice Chair,
Transaction Advisory Services
EY Global Limited
steve.krouskos@uk.ey.com
+44 20 7980 0346
Follow on:
Twitter | Linkedin
Julie Hood
EY Deputy Global Vice Chair,
Transaction Advisory Services
EY Global Limited
julie.hood@uk.ey.com
+44 20 7980 0327
Follow on:
Twitter | Linkedin
Barry Perkins
EY Global Lead Analyst,
Transaction Advisory Services
EY Global Services
bperkins@uk.ey.com
+44 20 7951 4528
For a conversation about your capital strategy, please contact us.
Americas
William Casey
EY Americas Leader,
Transaction Advisory Services
william.casey@ey.com
+1 212 773 0058
Asia-Pacific
Harsha Basnayake
EY Asia-Pacific Leader,
Transaction Advisory Services
harsha.basnayake@sg.ey.com
+65 6309 6741
Europe, Middle East, India
and Africa (EMEIA)
Andrea Guerzoni
EY EMEIA Leader,
Transaction Advisory Services
andrea.guerzoni@it.ey.com
+39 028 066 93707
Japan
Vince Smith
EY Japan Leader
Transaction Advisory Services
vince.smith@jp.ey.com
+81 3 4582 6523
EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions |
Advisory
About EY
EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and
advisory services. The insights and quality services we
deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital
markets and in economies the world over. We develop
outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises
to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical
role in building a better working world for our people, for
our clients and for our communities. EY refers to the
global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the
member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of
which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global
Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not
provide services to clients. For more information about
our organization, please visit ey.com.
About EY’s Transaction Advisory Services
How you manage your Capital Agenda today will define
your competitive position tomorrow. We work with clients
to create social and economic value by helping them
make better, more-informed decisions about strategically
managing capital and transactions in fast-changing
markets. Whether you’re preserving, optimizing, raising or
investing capital, EY’s Transaction Advisory Services
combine a set of skills, insight and experience to deliver
focused advice. We can help you drive competitive
advantage and increased returns through improved
decisions across all aspects of your Capital Agenda.
© 2017 EYGM Limited. | All Rights Reserved. | EYG no.
01739-173GBL | ED 21/04/2018
This material has been prepared for general informational
purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as
accounting, tax or other professional advice. Please refer
to your advisors for specific advice.
About the survey
The Global Capital Confidence Barometer gauges corporate
confidence in the economic outlook and identifies boardroom
trends and practices in the way companies manage their Capital
Agendas — EY framework for strategically managing capital. It is a
regular survey of senior executives from large companies around
the world, conducted by Euromoney Institutional Investor Thought
Leadership (EIITL). Our panel comprises select global EY clients
and contacts and regular EIITL contributors.
► In March and April, we surveyed a panel of more than 2,300
► Respondents represented 14 sectors, including financial
services, consumer products and retail, technology, life sciences,
automotive and transportation, oil and gas, power and utilities,
mining and metals, diversified industrial products, and
construction and real estate.
► Surveyed companies’ annual global revenues were as follows:
less than US$500m (21%); US$500m–US$999.9m (23%);
US$1b–US$2.9b (17%); US$3b–US$4.9b (10%); and greater
than US$5b (29%).executives in 43 countries; 58% were CEOs,
CFOs and other
► Global company ownership was as follows: publicly listed (62%),
privately owned (32%), family-owned (3%) and government-
/state-owned (3%).
ey.com/ccb

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16th Global Capital Confidence Barometer

  • 1. Can complex geopolitical uncertainty and record M&A coexist? Despite policy uncertainties, companies are giving the greenlight to deals in the search for growth. Global Capital Confidence Barometer April 2017 | 16th edition | ey.com/ccb
  • 2. Dealmaking continues at pace with fundamentals driving activity At a time of rapid disruption, political change and policy uncertainty… … companies are proactively managing their portfolios and protecting their core business… … but a resurgence of economic confidence and positive corporate indicators… … also finds executives primed for record dealmaking as they search for above-trend growth. Participant profile ► Respondent community includes more than 2,300 senior executives surveyed in March and April 2017 ► Companies from 43 countries ► Respondents from 14 industries ► 1,168 CEO, CFO and other C-level executives ey.com/ccb
  • 3. Global key findings Top 10 actions that help define success in today’s deal economy ey.com/ccb Learn to live with uncertainty 1 Follow the customer 6 Constraints are the ones you create 2 Disregard boundaries 7 Reimagine the parameters of your business 3 Walk through walls 8 Play on your terms4 Measure what matters most 9 Your pipeline is your lifeline5 Do integration back to front Geopolitical and policy uncertainty is a feature of a globalized economy, but technology-enabled disruption poses a challenge to many business models. M&A can offer a fast track to the innovation needed to maintain pace with the warp-speed customer-centric change reshaping today’s business landscape. New products and services are being created at a pace not seen before — being bold could be key to success as today’s deals will likely be tomorrow’s game changers. Cross-border deals are a necessity — successful companies will find ways to navigate challenges such as rising nationalism. Do what you do best — adapt your operating model to succeed in tomorrow’s market. The traditional walls that once defined sector territories have dissolved — executives need to seize opportunities amid shifting industry models. Be in total control of your own destiny — rigorous and regular portfolio reviews will enable you to be strategically nimble and opportunistic. Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future success — new ways of focusing and filtering data can provide insights into future customer trends. Competition for quality assets is high, and ensuring you are assessing a number of M&A options is critical to create multiple opportunities in such a fast-moving market. Always consider your overarching strategy during integration, and enhance potential value by targeting both top-line customer experience and bottom-line cost efficiencies. 10
  • 4. Global key findings M&A outlook Dealmaking is set for a strong 2017. Concerns about an overheated market are countered by growing deal discipline. expect to actively pursue acquisitions in the next 12 months. 56% ey.com/ccb 90% 64% expect their pipeline to increase or remain stable in the next 12 months. look at cross-border deals to secure market access and grow their customer base.
  • 5. Global key findings Macroeconomic environment Confidence high as executives anticipate the global economy improving and corporate earnings on an upward track. see the global economy improving. 64% ey.com/ccb 97% 69% expect corporate earnings to either improve or remain stable. cite a broad range of geopolitical or emerging policy concerns as greatest risks to growth. A resurgence of economic confidence is fueling growth plans… … and greater stability in capital markets is expected to foster investment… … while rapid disruption, political change and policy uncertainty remain.
  • 6. Global key findings Growth and portfolio strategy As technology disrupts business models and customer behaviors, businesses are more regularly reassessing and reinventing their portfolios. have increased the frequency of their portfolio review process. 73% ey.com/ccb 49% 50% plan to outsource routine operations or back-office functions in the next 12 months. cite digital innovation, the search for growth and sector convergence as most prominent topics on their boardroom agenda. Emerging pressures help to reinvigorate portfolio review processes… … and outsourcing backroom functions will help focus on core operations… … as companies look to counter disruption and accelerate growth.
  • 7. Global key findings North America the focus of cross-border deals Companies are looking across a broad range of geographies for deals to secure market access and grow their customer base, with a pivot toward developed markets. ey.com/ccb North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa and Middle East Asia- Pacific Outside domestic market Immediate region Domestic market (home country) Primary preferred destination outside their own region Respondents were polled on their top five investment destinations; this chart reflects the top preference for each region.
  • 8. Global key findings Top 5 investment destinations Companies are looking across a broad range of geographies for deals to secure market access and grow their customer base, with a pivot toward developed markets. ey.com/ccb United States 1 2 3 4 5 China United Kingdom Germany Canada The United States retains its position as the center of global M&A. Conditions are set for another strong year in US dealmaking, with growth acceleration anticipated, executives and consumers expressing confidence, and supportive capital markets. China is now well established as the second most important market of global M&A. While the focus of China-involved dealmaking in 2016 was outbound acquisitions, 2017 will be firmly centered on domestic combinations and inward investments. While the United Kingdom briefly fell out of the top 10 destinations for investment in the survey following the referendum on membership of the European Union, it has quickly rebounded as an investment destination in this Barometer.
  • 9. Global key findings Top sectors and key M&A drivers ey.com/ccb Automotive and transportation Consumer products and retail Mining and metals Oil and gas Power and utilities Telecommunications ► Collaborative product development, supply chain and production, based on predictive analytics, robotics and Internet of Things (IoT) technology, are driving innovation across the automotive value chain. ► Companies’ M&A strategies revolve around acquiring innovative capabilities offered by start-ups. ► Cross-border transactions are expected to increase as large regional companies look to move from being strong regional leaders to global competitors. ► Portfolio optimization will also be a major theme, with large European and North American conglomerates refining their portfolios to focus on core assets and category expansion. ► During the price downturn, the mining industry was selling non- core assets to reduce debt and optimize balance sheets. ► The recovery of commodity prices has released the immediate pressure on companies to sell, and some have postponed divestments. ► Portfolio optimization is expected to be at the forefront across the oil and gas value chain. Companies are making concerted efforts to improve their portfolios and move toward low-cost, high-productivity regions. ► This will drive deal activity, especially for the upstream operators. Companies will want to dispose of non-core assets and acquire acreage in core areas. ► Expansion in distributed generation, such as solar photovoltaic and battery storage, and new energy technologies, such as microgrids, and virtual power plants is disrupting traditional utility business models. ► Smart technology, telecommunications and analytics are being used to optimize energy delivery and enhance customer experiences. Utilities are acquiring new capability through acquisitions or partnering with telecommunications and technology providers. ► Increasing convergence and competition with technology and media companies, combined with advances in technology and digitalization, are disrupting business models across the telecom landscape, leading to increasing combinations. ► Telcos will grow their revenues in the digital landscape by capturing adjacent business options, including over-the-top, Internet of Things and machine-to-machine information.
  • 10. Global key findings Disruption drives the next wave of dealmaking ey.com/ccb Can heightened geopolitical uncertainties and buoyant M&A coexist? Yes. Why? Because geopolitical concerns, though a mainstay feature of the boardroom, are overshadowed by more immediate and pressing risks and opportunities. Geopolitical issues may dominate the headlines, but boards are laser-focused on countermeasures against technological disruption and seizing new routes to growth. Those countermeasures will often involve M&A. But, while technology and digital disruption are major drivers of the current market, other considerations are also spurring deal activity. Geographical expansion to secure supply chains and increase customer reach will accelerate cross-border M&A. Private equity is returning to replenishing mode. Lastly, corporates are increasingly reassessing and reshaping their portfolios, creating a natural pipeline of deal opportunities. Consequently, the M&A market is healthy. And we can expect further deal activity. As our front cover indicates, the search for growth is a green light for dealmakers. Skeptics may maintain that heightened levels of deal activity lead to too many bad deals being pursued. However, this is not the case in today’s M&A market. Companies are using advanced analytics, combined with data-driven diligence and integration, to target the right deals and integrate them in the right way. The result: A strong outlook for dealmaking prevails. Steve Krouskos EY Global Vice Chair, Transaction Advisory Services Follow Steve on: Twitter and Linkedin
  • 11. Contacts ey.com/ccb Global Steve Krouskos EY Global Vice Chair, Transaction Advisory Services EY Global Limited steve.krouskos@uk.ey.com +44 20 7980 0346 Follow on: Twitter | Linkedin Julie Hood EY Deputy Global Vice Chair, Transaction Advisory Services EY Global Limited julie.hood@uk.ey.com +44 20 7980 0327 Follow on: Twitter | Linkedin Barry Perkins EY Global Lead Analyst, Transaction Advisory Services EY Global Services bperkins@uk.ey.com +44 20 7951 4528 For a conversation about your capital strategy, please contact us. Americas William Casey EY Americas Leader, Transaction Advisory Services william.casey@ey.com +1 212 773 0058 Asia-Pacific Harsha Basnayake EY Asia-Pacific Leader, Transaction Advisory Services harsha.basnayake@sg.ey.com +65 6309 6741 Europe, Middle East, India and Africa (EMEIA) Andrea Guerzoni EY EMEIA Leader, Transaction Advisory Services andrea.guerzoni@it.ey.com +39 028 066 93707 Japan Vince Smith EY Japan Leader Transaction Advisory Services vince.smith@jp.ey.com +81 3 4582 6523
  • 12. EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory About EY EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. About EY’s Transaction Advisory Services How you manage your Capital Agenda today will define your competitive position tomorrow. We work with clients to create social and economic value by helping them make better, more-informed decisions about strategically managing capital and transactions in fast-changing markets. Whether you’re preserving, optimizing, raising or investing capital, EY’s Transaction Advisory Services combine a set of skills, insight and experience to deliver focused advice. We can help you drive competitive advantage and increased returns through improved decisions across all aspects of your Capital Agenda. © 2017 EYGM Limited. | All Rights Reserved. | EYG no. 01739-173GBL | ED 21/04/2018 This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice. About the survey The Global Capital Confidence Barometer gauges corporate confidence in the economic outlook and identifies boardroom trends and practices in the way companies manage their Capital Agendas — EY framework for strategically managing capital. It is a regular survey of senior executives from large companies around the world, conducted by Euromoney Institutional Investor Thought Leadership (EIITL). Our panel comprises select global EY clients and contacts and regular EIITL contributors. ► In March and April, we surveyed a panel of more than 2,300 ► Respondents represented 14 sectors, including financial services, consumer products and retail, technology, life sciences, automotive and transportation, oil and gas, power and utilities, mining and metals, diversified industrial products, and construction and real estate. ► Surveyed companies’ annual global revenues were as follows: less than US$500m (21%); US$500m–US$999.9m (23%); US$1b–US$2.9b (17%); US$3b–US$4.9b (10%); and greater than US$5b (29%).executives in 43 countries; 58% were CEOs, CFOs and other ► Global company ownership was as follows: publicly listed (62%), privately owned (32%), family-owned (3%) and government- /state-owned (3%). ey.com/ccb