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CORPORATE FINANCE
        Ekrem Tufan
        etufan@yahoo.com


           2012-2013

   http://etufan.wordpress.com
What will we learn?
Week 1: Introduction to corporate
  finance
  - What is the finance, corporate
  finance?
  -Brief history of managerial finance
  -The financial manager’s responsibility
  -The goals of the corporation
What will we learn?
Week 2: An overview of managerial finance
Week 3: Financial forecasting (Demand and
  sales forecast)
  •   Questionnaire method
  •   Forecast by using economic indicators
      relation
  •   International comparison
What will we learn
Week 4: Financial forecasting (Demand and
  sales forecast) continuation…
  •   Income elasticity of demand method
  •   Graphic method
  •   Least squares method
  •   Correlation and regression methods (Please check on
      your statistics notes)
Week 5: Market share calculation
Week 6: Profit planning
  •   Break Even Analysis
  •   Operating Leverage
  •   Financial Leverage
What will we learn
Week 7: Profit planning (Continuation)
  • Break Even Analysis
  • Operating Leverage
  • Financial Leverage
  Week 8: Working capital management
  Week 9: Capital budgeting
  •   Payback Period
  •   Net Present Value
  •   Internal Rate of Return
  •   Sensitivity Analysis
Week 10:Capital budgeting (Continuation)
What will we learn

• Week 11: Student presentations
• Week 12: Student presentations
What are we going to acquire?
• Learning forecasting of sales (demand).
• If you know your future sales, you can make
  profit planning and know how much fund do
  you need for working and fixed capital.
• Learning how to evaluate and choose the
  best investment opportunity by applying
  some methods.
What kind of resources can we use
        when we doing research?

1.    All finance books
2.    All articles about finance
3.    www.ssrn.com
4.    J. Fred Weston and Eugene Brigham,Essentials
      of Managerial Finance, Harcourt Brace&Company
      International Edition, 1992
5.    Kuhlman Bruce, David W. Wiley and H. Kent Baker,
      Business Fundamentals, Schweser Institute
      certificate Program, Publisher: Dearborn Trade, A
      Kaplan Professional Company, ISBN: 9781419528965
      (Electronic book), 2005.
What kind of resources can we use
   when we doing research?
6. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_foreca
   sting
7. http://www.angelfire.com/mn3/apse/entles
   3.htm
8. Brealey Richard A., Stewart C. Myers and
   Franklin Allen, Principles of Corporate
   Finance, The McGraw Hill Companies
   International edition 2008, ISBN: 978-007-
   126327-6
What kind of resources can we
use when we doing research?
9. http://etufan.wordpress.com
10.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_foreca
   sting
11.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Questionnaire_
   construction
What is the finance?


• Money
• Stock exchange
• Banks
• What else?
• How about the companies?
• Balance sheet
What is the finance?

•   To achieve the goals of company;

1. Finding funds from the most suitable
   sources
2. Using them effectively and
3. Control the results…
An Overview of Managerial Finance

• A Short History of Managerial Finance
• 1930s: Liabilities and equity
• 1940 and 1950s: Assets, quantitative methods,
  discounted cash flow methods
• 1960 and 1970s: Optimization of assets and
  liabilities and equity, statistical methods
• 1980s: Globalization, interest rate and exchange
  risk
• 1990-2000s to today: More risk, more computer,
  new financial instruments and methods
An Overview of Managerial Finance
An Overview of Managerial
          Finance
• The Financial Manager’s Responsibility

• Forecasting and planning
• Major investment and control
• Coordination and control
• Dealing with the financial markets
An Overview of Managerial Finance


• The goals of the corporation

• Managerial incentives to maximize
  shareholder wealth
• Social responsibility
• Stock price maximization and social
  welfare
Managerial incentives to maximize
       shareholder wealth

•Stockholders          •Managers
•Make the highest      •Having autonomy
money from the         •Protect themselves from
company                a hostile takeover or a
•Do not want to        proxy fightHostile
share theirs company   takeover.doc Example
with others.           •Try to maximize stock
                       prices in reasonable level
Social responsibility
• Ethical responsibility to provide a safe working
  environment
• To avoid polluting water and air
• Produce safe products
• But social responsibility has a cost
• If the other firms in its industry do not follow
  suit, their prices and costs will be lower
• Most investors do not like to buy socially
  oriented companies shares.
Stock price maximization
        and social welfare
What requires stock price maximization?

1. Efficient, low-cost plants that produce high-
   quality goods and services at the lowest
   possible cost
2. Development of products that consumers want
   and need, so the profit motive leads to new
   technology, to new products, and to new jobs

Example Example 2
An Overview of Managerial
          Finance
• The Financial Manager’s Responsibility


• Forecasting and planning
• Major investment and control
• Coordination and control
• Dealing with the financial markets
Financial forecasting
Some Financial Forecasting Methods
•   Questionnaire method
•   Forecast by using economic indicators
    relation
•   International comparison
•   Income elasticity of demand method
•   Graphic method
•   Least squares method
Financial forecasting:
           Questionnaire
Simple things:

• Quantitative marketing researches and social
  sciences
• Especially, if it is known specific target
  consumer
• By phone, by email, web, go to houses and
  malls…
Take into consider for
            questionnaire
1. Determining research aims, example size,
   duration, human resources, permissions, and
   privacy before applying questionnaire,
2. Determining natural answers,
3. Questionnaires should be directly related
   with research’s aims,
4. Applying questionnaire to right participants is
   very important,
5. Determining questionnaire’s type…
Take into consider for questionnaire
• Questions and answers should be neutral,
• Ranking and grouping of questions’ should be
  right,
• Questions’ should be basic and non-technical,
• No double meaning and negative sentences,
• Every question should ask just one subject,
• Put “other” option,
• Questions’ should be daily communication
  sentences,
Take into consider for questionnaire
• Do not ask private questions,
• Carefully use colours, graphics or pictures,
• Give numbers to your questions.
An example
  (This example has been derived from Güvemli Oktay, Yatırım Projelerinin Düzenlenmesi,
    Değerlendirilmesi ve İzlenmesi, Atlas Kitabevi Yayınları, İstanbul:2008, pp.89-90, ISBN
                                       9789756574065)

We would like to search demand of honey
  consumption of Karvina. We chose an area as
  example which represents whole Karvina. In
  this area, there are 200 houses. So we
  prepared a basic questionnaire and asked
  questions’ below:
1.Does your family consume honey?
2.If so, how much do you consume per month?
3.How many people live in your family?
An example (Continuation…)
Answers:
1.Yes we consume (150 family), No (50 family)
2.500 gram per month
3.4 people

If we assume that Karvina’s population is
   70.000, the demand could be calculated as:
An example (Continuation…)
Family count in Karvina: 70.000/4=17.500 Family
Percentage of families who are bought honey=
   (150 family/200 Family)x100=75%
Count of families who are bought honey=
17.500 Family x 75%= 13.125 Family
Yearly consumption per family: 500 Gramx12
   month=6.000 Gram=6 kg
Yearly consumption= 13.125 family x 6 Kg
   =78.750 Kg.
An example (Continuation…)
If Karvina’s population growth rate is +0.41%;
We can predict honey consumption:
Year Family count Honey buy Yearly consumption
                  family count
2011 17.571         13.178*        79.068**
2012 17.643         13.232         79.392
2013 17.715         13.286         79.716
2014 17.787         13.340         80.040
*(17.571x75%),              **(13.178x6kg)
Financial forecasting: Economic
         indicators relation
Finding data which correlated each other for
  searched sector/subject.

Examp: Weather      Wheat      Bread price

Demand estimation using correlated data.
Plasterboard Demand Example
(Source: Güvemli Oktay, Yatırım Projelerinin Düzenlenmesi, Değerlendirilmesi ve İzlenmesi, Atlas Kitabevi Yayınları,
                                  İstanbul:2008, pp.90, ISBN 9789756574065)
Example (Continuation…)
Plasterboard or also called gypsum board are
  panels made of gypsum plaster pressed
  between two thick sheets of paper, the panels
  are used to make interior walls and ceilings.
  (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drywall).


As Sweet Home Company, we would like to
  produce and enter plasterboard market in
  Karvina. Lets calculate demand with using
  house counts and floor space!
Example (Continuation…)
• Internal walls two faces are averagely equal
  250 m2 for 100 m2 house while external walls
  faces are averagely equal 130 m2. There are
  20% gaps these walls for windows and doors.

• Lets calculate how much wall surface for
  plasterboard do we have for a 100 m2 houses?
Example (Continuation…)
• Internal walls two face surface is equal (250 m2
  x 80%) = 200 m2
• External walls two face surface is equal (130 m2
  x 80%) = 104 m2
• Whole surface which it can be applied
  plasterboard is equal (200 + 104 ) 304 m2.

We assume that demand for buildings could be
 5% for first year and later 7%, 10%, 12%
 respectively.
Example (Continuation…)
It is being predicted new buildings counts which
   will be built in four years and theirs’ surface is:

Years       Buildings               Surface (m2)
1           160.000                 16.000.000
2           175.000                 17.500.000
3           190.000                 19.000.000
4           210.000                 21.000.000
Example (Continuation…)
Plasterboard demand:

Years Building        Estimated plasterboard        Plasterboard
       Counts         demanded buildings            demand
1      160.000 x (5%)       8.000                  *2.432.000
2      175.000 x (7%)      12.250                   3.724.000
3      190.000 x (10%)     19.000                   5.776.000
4     210.000 x(12%)      25.200                    7.660.800



* 1. year demand = 8.000 x 304 m2 = 2.432.000 m2
International comparison
This method based on comparing two countries Gross
  Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and demands
  which one of them is developed while another
  developing and assumed that developing country’s
  demand is going to reach to developed country’s
  demand in the future .
Step 1: Determining developed country’s demand for
  a specific good and GDP per capita
Step 2: Assuming that developing country’s demand
  will be equall developed country’s demand in the
  future.
International comparison (Example)
        Resource: This example has been derived from Güvemli, pp.92.




In France, GDP per capita is 30.000€ and orange
  juice consumption is 15 liter. In Czech
  Republic GDP per capita is 10.000 € and
  orange juice consumption is 3 liter. The
  population is 11.000.000.
Example (Continuation…)
Years GDP per capita in Czech Consumption per capita
1                10.000                            3
2                15.000                            4,5
3                17.000                            7,5
4                18.000                            9,3
5                22.000                            11,2
6                28.000                            13,1
7                30.000                            15,0
* 7th year data is equal to France current data.
Example (Continuation…)
Years Population of Czech (000) Tot. Juice
  consumption
  0        11.000 x 3 liter      = 33.000 (Current)
  1        11.500 x 3,6          = 41.400
  2        11.800 x 4,5          = 53.100
  3        12.000 x 7,5          = 90.000
  4        12.400 x 9,3          = 115.320
  5        12.900 x 11,2         = 144.480
  6        13.000 x 13,1         = 170.300
  7        13.000 x 15,0         = 195.000
Income elasticity of demand

Example: (Güvemli pp.95)
Rate of increment of GDP per capita = 3,5%
Coefficient of income elasticity of product = 2
Rate of increment of product’s yearly per capita
  demand = 7% (3,5% x 2)

Note: Income elasticity is calculated by dividing rate of
  increment of demand to rate of increment income.
Income elasticity of demand
Example 1:
Past periods             2007      2008      2009
Sale of product “A” (Unit) 150.000 180.000   220.000
Yearly rate of increment            20%      22%

Average rate of increment ((0,20+0,22)/2) = 21%
GDP rate of increment 3,5%         4%     3,6%
GDP average rate of increment = (0,035 + 0,04 +
  0,036) / 3 = 3,7%
Coefficient of income elasticity (21%/3,7%) = 5,6
Income elasticity of demand
Demand of product “A”?

Next periods 2010 2011 2012             Averg.
Predicted GDP
rate of increment ((4% + 4,2% + 4,4%)/3)= 4,2%
Coefficient of income elasticity = 5,6
Yearly rate of increment= (4,2% x 5,6) = 23,5%
Demand of product “A”
(2010 period) = 220.000 x 123,5% = 271.700
(2011 period) = 271.700 x 123,5% = 335.550
(2012 period) = 335.550 x 123,5% = 414.404
It is your turn!
Question:
Dogtas Company is a Turkish company which produces
  home inner products such as furniture. Dogtas
  company sold 80.000 furniture in 2007, while 125.000
  in 2008 and 100.000 in 2009 respectively. In same
  period GDP rate of increment was 7%, 9% and 5%
  respectively. Because World economic crisis, it is
  being expected GDP rate of increment will be -2% in
  2010 while 3% in 2011 and 5% in 2012. So, please
  calculate Dogtas Company’s furniture demands in
  2010, 2011 and 2012.
Graphic method
In this method, demand of product and dates are
  being located on a graphic. Then taking account
  the numbers density and draw a line.

This method is very basic but not reliable.
Graphic method (Example)
Date (2009)   Demand
January           2500
February          2800
March             3050
April             3476
May               3899
June              1257
July              1289
August            3456
September         4900
October           5600
November          7988
December          3678
January           8899
February          7654
March             7889
April             9900
May               6754
June              5678
July              6754
August            7654
September         9876
October           7654
November          7865
December          8888
Least squares method
We can use Excel to estimate the demand of our
 product(s) with applying least squares
 method.
Least squares method
Years   Demand   Step 1: Open an Excel page and click
  1      1250     fx (functions) and chose “Statistics”
  2      1578    Step 2: Chose “forecast”. Then you
  3      3234          will see three spaces.
  4      7500
  5      3456
                 Step 3: For first space chose estimated
                 year (In our examp. 10), for second
  6      2200
                 space chose demand numbers and for
  7      4578
                 third space chose years (In our
  8      6543    example from 1 to 9)
  9      2134
                 Step 4: Click to Enter and get the
 10      4926    result. Example
How to calculate market share?
There are two ways to calculate market share:

I. Percentage of sale units: Company’s sale
    units/Total sale units in the market
II. Percentage of income: Total income of the
    company / Total income of the sector which
    the company belongs
How to calculate market share?
Example: Our company produces cheese in
  Çanakkale. In 2009 it has produced 70 ton
  cheese in the city and sold them at 70.000 Euro.
  In same period our company produced 7 ton
  cheese and sold it 12.000 Euro. So;
Our market share as a unit is:
(7 Ton / 70 Ton)x100= 10%
Our market share as a sale:
(12.000 Euro/70.000 Euro)x100= 17,14%
Profit planning

• Break Even Analysis
• Operating Leverage
• Financial Leverage
Why should we plan our profit?
Financial managers use profit planning for;

• Determine at least how much products should
  be produced to get profit with using sale and
  cost information,
• Which products should be produced and how
  much?
• Determine the price of the product
What kind of data do we need?
Data

•   Unit sale price of the product
•   Sale volume of the product
•   Sale composition of the products
•   Unit variable cost
•   Total fixed costs
Assumptions of profit planning

• Costs are divided into two such as fixed and
  variable but there is one more which is half
  variable costs
• There is only one price and stable
• Input prices are fixed
• At the end of the financial term, there is no
  inventory
Profit planning

• Break Even Analysis
• Operating Leverage
• Financial Leverage
When should we use Break Even Analysis?
We can use Break Even Analysis…

• To decide producing a new product and it’s sale volume
  to get profit
• To decide company’s to grow or non-grow situation
• To decide to realise modernisation and automation
  investments
• To measure effect of variation of price, fixed and variable
  costs on profit


It can be applied both graphic and mathematics methods...
Limitations
                   Resource: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Break-even_(economics)

• Break-even analysis is only a supply side (i.e. costs only) analysis, as it
  tells you nothing about what sales are actually likely to be for the
  product at these various prices.
• It assumes that fixed costs (FC) are constant. Although this is true in
  the short run, an increase in the scale of production is likely to cause
  fixed costs to rise.
• It assumes average variable costs are constant per unit of output, at
  least in the range of likely quantities of sales. (i.e. linearity)
• It assumes that the quantity of goods produced is equal to the
  quantity of goods sold (i.e., there is no change in the quantity of
  goods held in inventory at the beginning of the period and the
  quantity of goods held in inventory at the end of the period).
• In multi-product companies, it assumes that the relative proportions
  of each product sold and produced are constant (i.e., the sales mix is
  constant).
Graphic Method


                                                  Total Income
Income - cost




                          Break even point      Profit

                                                    Total costs



                loss


                                             Amount of production
Continuation...

                                                          Total costs

                                              Break Even Point

                                                                 Loss
Income -Cost




                  Break Even Point                        Total Income
                                     Profit

               Loss


                                         Amount of production
Mathematical Method
Production level in Break Even Point: Q=F/P-V
Sale level in Break Even Point: S=F/1-(V/P)


Q: Production level in Break Even Point
F: Fixed costs
P: Unit price
V: Unit variable costs
Break Even Point Assignments
Please watch the video and create your own
  example and send me by email till next lesson.
1.http://www.youtube.com/watch?
  v=7MxlVMzRxa8&feature=related
     Break Even Analysis Example Video.xlsx
2.Please done this example by yourself. Print it
  out and deliver at next lesson.
     Break event point assignment 2012.xlsx
Example (1) for Break Even Analysis

Microsoft Company’s sale is 5.000.000 Euro when
 production is 20.000 unit, variable costs are 3.000.000
 Euro and fixed costs are 1.000.000 Euro. In this case,
 what is the production level in break even point?

Unit price: 5.000.000/20.000=250 Euro
Unit variable cost: 3.000.000/20.000=150 Euro
Q=1.000.000/250-150
= 10.000 Unit
Example (II)

If it is being used same data with first example
   sale level in break even point=?

S=F/1-(V/P)
=1.000.000/1-(150/250)
=2.500.000 Euro
Different approach to calculate break
     even point: Additive margin
Additive margin = Unit price-Unit variable costs

Amount of production in break even point= Total fixed
  costs/Unit additive margin


Additive rate=(Unit price-Unit variable costs) /
          Unit price

Amount of sale in break even point= Total fixed costs/Additive
  rate
Example III

Amount of production in break even point= Total fixed
  costs/Unit additive margin
Unit additive margin     = 250-150
                         = 100
Amount of production in break even point =
  1.000.000/100
  = 10.000 unit
Continuation….
Additive rate=Unit price-Unit variable cost/Unit
  price

Sales in break even point= Total fixed costs/additive
  rate
                   = 1.000.000/(250-150/250)
                   = 2.500.000 Euro
Break even point and target profit
Amount of production in break even point which is
   being taken consider target profit=
(Fixed costs + EBIT)/(Unit price-Unit variable cost)

The company is targeting 2.000.000 Euro profit. So,
  what is the amount of production in break even
  point
=(1.000.000+2.000.000)/(250-150) Additive rate
= 30.000 Unit

How about break event point in sale?
Example IV
•    Dardanel A.Ş. Produce Tuna fish (500 gram) and sell it 50 Euro
     per can. Other informations are given below:
•    Direct raw materials and consumables cost: 12.5 Euro/can
•    Direct labour costs: 8.25 Euro/can
•    Variable production overheads: 3.75 Euro/can
•    Fixed production overheads : 425.000 Euro
•    Fixed marketing costs: 150.000 Euro
a)   How many Tuna fish can should be produced to get break even
     point?
b)   How much sales should be achieved to get break even point?
c)   The boss Mr. Niyazi Önen would like to make 400.000 Euro
     profit. In this case, how many can should be sold?
Continuation…
a) BEPQ= Fixed costs/(Unit sales price-Unit
  variable cost)
• Unit varible cost=Direct raw material
  cost+Direct labour cost+ Variable production
  overheads
• Unit variable cost = 12.5+8.25+3.75
                     = 24.5
• BEPQ= (425.000+150.000) /(50-24.5)
• BEPQ= 22.549 Unit
Continuation…
b) BEPS=Fixed costs/(1-(V/P)
BEPS= 575.000 /(1-(24.5/50)
BEPS= 1.127.450 Euro

c) BEPQ= (425.000+150.000+400.000) /(50-24.5)
BEPQ= 38.235 Tuna fish can
Multiproduct Break Even Point
Source: Tsorakidis Nikolaos, Sophocles Papadoulos, Christopher Zerres and Michael
 Zerres, Break Even Analysis, 2008, www.bookboon.com, ISBN 978-87-7681-290-4

Example: Quick Coffee, a cafeteria that sells
  three types of hot drinks: White/Black coffee,
  espresso and hot chocolate.
Continuation…
Continuation…
Quick cafe breaks even when it sells 19,784 hot
 drinks in total. To determine how many units
 of each product it must sell to break even we
 multiply the break-even value with the ratio of
 each product’s revenue to total revenues.

Classic coffee: 19.784 x 50% = 9.892 Unit
Espresso: 19.784 x 30% = 5.935 Unit
Hot chocolate: 19.784 x 20% = 3.957 Unit
Profit planning

• Break Even Analysis
• Operating Leverage
• Financial Leverage
When should we use Operating
 Leverage?
We can use operating leverage…
• To search how much fixed and variable costs
  can be accepted by using relationship
  between them
• To estimate extra productions effect on profit
  when production exceeds a certain level
• To decide if a company based on labour force
  or capital
Operating Leverage Formulas
     Pr ofit variability ( %)
OP =
     Sales variability (%)
or
        ∆EBIT
OP =            EBIT
       ∆SALES
                SALES
Operating Leverage Formulas

     Sales − Variable Costs
OL =
              EBIT
Example
Student Agency Company’s variable costs
  are 3.000.000 € at 5.000.000 € sales level.
  EBIT is 1.000.000 €. If we assume that
  sales can be increased 10%, EBIT will be
  1.200.000 €. So,
     (1.200.000 − 1.000.000) / 1.000.000
OP =                                     =2
     (5.500.000 − 5.000.000) / 5.000.000
This means, profit will increase 2 € if sales
 increase 1 € at 5.000.000 € sales level.
Example
     Sales − Variable Costs
OL =
              EBIT

     5.000.000 − 3.000.000
OL =                       =2
           1.000.000
Lets check the result…
                 Current situation New situation   %
Sales              5.000.000 €     5.500.000 €     10
Variable costs     3.000.000 €     3.300.000 €     10
Fixed costs        1.000.000 €     1.000.000 €      0
Total Costs        4.000.000 €     4.300.000 €     7.5
EBIT               1.000.000 €     1.200.000 €     20



     Pr ofit variability ( %) 20%
OP =                         =    =2
     Sales variability (%) 10%
Example
Source: Tsorakidis Nikolaos, Sophocles Papadoulos, Christopher Zerres and Michael Zerres, Break Even Analysis, 2008,
                              www.bookboon.com, ISBN 978-87-7681-290-4, pp.14-16.
Continuation…
For sales volume from 50.000 to 60.000 OP of
                            ∆EBIT
                             EBIT
First Company =   OP =
                      ∆SALES
                             SALES


OP = ((90-70)/70)) / ((240-200)/200)

OP = 1,43 (approximately)
It’s your turn…
It’s your turn…
Continuation…
OP 1= 1.43
OP 2= 1.65
OP 3= 1.67
If sales could be increased 10%, its profit will
   increase;
• 14.3% for company 1
• 16.5% for company 2
• 16.7% for company 3
What happens if sales decrease in same level?
Continuation…
• Which company reach first its break even point?
  Why?
• Please calculate it and make critics!
• Answer: First one reaches at 15.000 Units while
  the others 20.000 Units. Because, first company
  has the lowest fixed costs, even has the highest
  unit variable cost.
• The larger the degree of operating leverage, the
  greater the profits volatility.
Continuation…
Company     Unit sale price (€)   Unit variable cost (€)   Fixed costs (€)




Company 1            4                       2                   30.000



Company 2            4                      1.5                  50.000



Company 3            4                       1                   60.000
Profit planning

• Break Even Analysis
• Operating Leverage
• Financial Leverage
Financial Leverage
         http://www.investorwords.com/1952/financial_leverage.html


• The degree to which an investor or business is
  utilizing borrowed money. Companies that are
  highly leveraged may be at risk of bankruptcy if
  they are unable to make payments on their debt;
  they may also be unable to find new lenders in
  the future.
• Financial leverage is not always bad, however; it
  can increase the shareholder’s return on
  investment and often there are tax advantages
  associated with borrowing.
When should we use Financial
 Leverage?
We can use financial leverage…

To search a company’s debts effect on
 it’s profit.
Financial leverage formulas
       EBIT
FL =
      EBIT − C
C = Inreterest cost
     Profit increase per share
FL =
          Profit increase

       ∆profit per share
                           profit per share
FL =
                ∆EBIT
                           EBIT
Example
Student Agency Company’s capital is
  20.000.000 €, total debts are 10.000.000
  €. Debts are 8% interest rate bank loans.
  EBIT is 15.000.000 €. The company has a
  chance to increase it’s EBIT 20%.

Please calculate financial leverage of the
  company and make comments on the
  result.
Example
Interest cost = 10.000.000 € x 8% = 800.000 €
       EBIT         15.000.000
FL =            =                   = 1.05
      EBIT − C 15.000.000 − 800.000
C = Inreterest cost
1.05x20%=0.21 If the company can increase it’s EBIT 20%,
  earnings per share (EPS) also will increase 21%.
What happens if we get 20.000.000 € credit at same cost,
  how it effects on EPS and risk?
Answer: 20.000.000 x 8% = 1.600.000
FL= 1.11 So, 1.11x20%= 0.22
Financial leverage
If the company use infinite debt does this mean
   earnings per share will be also infinite? If not
   why?
We are in an economic crises. So, what do you
   think our company’s situation if we compare
   other one (1.5) in our example?

Answer: If another company’s financial leverage is
  1.5 this means our company has less risk but
  EPS will increase 30%.
WORKING CAPITAL
 MANAGEMENT
Working capital terminology


Working capital (gross working capital): Current
  assets

Net working capital: Current assets – current
   liabilities
Working capital: Peddler example
The conversion cycle

Real Time Computer Corporation (RTC), which in
  early 1992 introduced a new super
  minicomputer that can perform 15 million
  instructions per second and that will sell for
  $250.000. The effects of this new product on
  RTC’s working capital position were analyzed in
  terms of the following five steps:
Resource: J. Fred Weston and Eugene Brigham,Essentials of Managerial Finance,
         Harcourt Brace&Company International Edition, 1992.pp.364.
Continuation…

1. RTC will order and receive the materials it
   needs to produce the 100 computers that are
   expected to be sold. Because RTC and most
   other firms purchase materials on credit, this
   transaction will create an account payable.
   However, the purchase will have no
   immediate cash flow effect.
Continuation…

2. Labor will be used to convert the materials
  into finished computers. However, wages will
  not be fully paid at the time the work is done,
  so accrued wages will build up.
3. The finished computers will be sold but on
  credit, so sales will create receivables, not
  immediate cash inflows.
Continuation…
4. At some point during the cycle, RTC must pay off its
   accounts payable and accrued wages. Because these
   payments will be made before RTC has collected cash
   from its receivables, a net cash outflow will occur, and
   this outflow must be financed.
5. The cycle will be completed when RTC’s receivables
   have been collected. At that time, the company will be
   in a position to pay off the credit that was used to
   finance production, and it can then repat the cycle.
Cash conversion cycle model
Inventory conversion period (ICP): It is the
  average length of time required to convert
  materials into finished goods then sell those
  goods.
Inventory conversion period= Inventory / Sales per day
For example: If average inventories are $2
  million and sales are $10 million;
ICP=$2.000.000/($10.000.000/360) = 72 days
Continuation…
Receivables collection period (RCP): It is the
   average length of time required to convert the
   firm’s receivables into cash, that is, to collect
   cash following a sale.
RCP= Receivables / (sales/360)
If receivables are $666,667 and sales $10 million,
RCP= $666,667 / ($10,000,000/360)= 24 Days
Continuation…
Payables deferral period (PDP): It is the average
   length of the time between the purchase of
   materials and labour and the payment of cash for
   them.
PDP= Payables/ Credit purchases per day
     = Payables/ (cost of goods sold /360)
If the firm on average has 30 days to pay for labour
   and materials, if its cost of goods sold are $8
   million per year, and if accounts payable average
   $666,667;
PDP= $666,667 / ($8,000,000/360) = 30 days
Continuation…
Cash conversion cycle (CCC): It nets out the periods
  just defined and which therefore equals the length
  of time between the firm’s actual cash
  expenditures to pay for productive resources
  (labour and materials) and its own cash receipts
  from the sale of products.

CCP= Inventory conversion period + receivables
  collection period - payables deferral period
Continuation…

CCP= Inventory conversion period +
 receivables collection period - payables
 deferral period

CCP= 72 days + 24 days – 30 days
CCP= 66 days
Result

With calculating and finding 66 days, RTC knows
 when it starts producing a computer that it will
 have to finance the manufacturing costs for a
 66 day period. The firm’s goal should be to
 shorten its cash conversion cycle as much as
 possible without hurting operations.
It is your turn!
Dardanel A.Ş. Produces frozen and canned food such
   as sea fishes, octopus and mussel. The company will
   produce new product namely blue fish which lives
   only in Istanbul Bosporus and Canada. So the
   product is very valuable and expensive.
It has also market in Europe. A canned food be
   produced in 20 minutes and work hours are 8 hours
   per day. Marketing department says 90% of the
   production will be sold .The price will be 10 Euros
   per canned food. Average inventories are 8.000
   Euro. (330 working days assumed but year 360 days.
Continuation…
Other things related with sales:
• Labour get salary 30 days after the work
• Payments for raw material are done 45 days
  later
• 80% of sales are done cash while 20% of sales
  are credit.
• Cost of goods are sold is 28.800 Euro
• Accounts payable is 12.200 Euro

Please calculate effects of this new product on
  Dardanel Company’s working capital position.
CAPITAL BUDGETING

(Strategic Long term Investment
             Decision)
Capital budgeting
 (Strategic Long-Term Investment Decisions)


• Generating ideas for capital projects

• Who creates the capital budgeting projects?
• Do we need to be an entrepreneur?
• Two questions for testing being entrepreneur
(CV and address book)
Strategic Long-Term Investment
             Decisions
•    Project classifications

1.   Replacement: Maintenance of business
2.   Replacement: Cost reduction
3.   Expansion of existing products or markets
4.   Expansion into new products or markets
5.   Safety and/or environmental projects
6.   Other
Project classifications
•   Replacement: Maintenance of business
•   One category consists of expenditures to
    replace worn-out or damaged equipment
    used in the production of profitable
    products.
•   Should we continue to produce these products
    or services?
•   Should we continue to use our existing
    production processes?
Project classifications
•   Replacement: Cost reduction
•   This category includes expenditures to
    replace serviceable but obsolete
    equipment.

•   The purpose here is to lower the costs of
    labour, materials, or other inputs such as
    electricity.
Project classifications
• Expansion of existing products or markets


• Expenditures to increase output of
  existing products, or to expand outlets or
  distribution facilities in markets now
  being served are included here.
Project classifications
•   Expansion into new products or markets

•   These are expenditures necessary to
    produce a new product or to expand into
    a geographic area not currently being
    served.
Project classifications
•   Safety and/or environmental projects

•   Expenditures necessary to comply with
    government orders, labour agreements,
    or insurance policy terms fall into this
    category.
Project classifications
• Other project investments

• This catch all includes office
  buildings, parking lots, executive
  aircraft, and so on.
Strategic Long-Term Investment
                 Decisions
•    Similarities between capital
     budgeting evaluation techniques
1.   Project cost
2.   Expected cash flows estimation
3.   Estimation of project riskiness
4.   Cost of capital decision
5.   Measurement of present value of cash inflows
6.   Present value of the expected cash inflows
     and required outlay
Capital Budgeting Evaluation
         Techniques

1.   Payback Period
2.   Net Present Value (NPV)
3.   Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
4.   Sensitivity Analysis
Capital Budgeting Evaluation
            Techniques
• Payback period

• Project S   :
Net Cash Flow
Cumulative NCF
Payback period

• Project (S)
                                      Uncovered cost at start of year
Payback=Year before full recovery +
                                        Cash flow during year

                          100
Payback Period (S)= 2 +         = 2,333 Years
                          300
Capital Budgeting Evaluation
              Techniques
• Payback period

• Project L    :
• Net Cash Flow
• Cumulative NCF
Payback period
• Project (L)


                          200
Payback Period (L)= 3 +         = 3,333 Years
                          600
Net Present Value (NPV)
• To implement this method, it should be
  proceeded as follows:
• Find the present value of investment and its
  future cash flows with discounting at the
  project’s cost of capital
• Sum discounted investment and cash flows
• If the NPV is positive then we accept the
  project. If we have to choose a project among
  the alternate projects, we should take into
  consider the highest NPV
Net Present Value (NPV)


               CF1            CF2                               CFn
NPV = CF0 +          1
                         +             2
                                           + ..............+             n
              (1+ k )        (1+ k )                           (1+ k )


         n
             CFt
     =∑
      t =0 (1 + k )
                    t
Capital Budgeting Evaluation
          Techniques

• Internal rate of return (IRR)

• The IRR is defined as that discount rate
  which equates the present value of a
  project’s expected cash inflows to the
  present value of its expected costs.
Internal rate of return (IRR)


            CF1             CF2                                 CFn
CF0 +             1
                      +               2
                                          + ..............+               n
                                                                              =0
        (1+ IRR )         (1+ IRR )                           (1+ IRR )



        n
           CFt
 =∑                 =0
  t =0 (1 + IRR )
                  t
Example of NPV, IRR and Sensitivity
• Small Scale Flower Cultivation Project in
  India
• This project has written by Weitz Center (Israel)
  experts for an area in India.
• The project covers an area about one acre. The
  aim is producing and selling flowers. Project’s
  cost will be covered by a bank loan. All costs
  and sale data have been collected and realised
  that target sales could be achieved. Cost benefit
  analysis Flower.xls
Sensitivity Analysis Example
Contuniation…
Contuniation…
(The data pasted as collateral. It should be one under the other.)
Thanks for your patience…

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Corporate finance

  • 1. CORPORATE FINANCE Ekrem Tufan etufan@yahoo.com 2012-2013 http://etufan.wordpress.com
  • 2. What will we learn? Week 1: Introduction to corporate finance - What is the finance, corporate finance? -Brief history of managerial finance -The financial manager’s responsibility -The goals of the corporation
  • 3. What will we learn? Week 2: An overview of managerial finance Week 3: Financial forecasting (Demand and sales forecast) • Questionnaire method • Forecast by using economic indicators relation • International comparison
  • 4. What will we learn Week 4: Financial forecasting (Demand and sales forecast) continuation… • Income elasticity of demand method • Graphic method • Least squares method • Correlation and regression methods (Please check on your statistics notes) Week 5: Market share calculation Week 6: Profit planning • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage
  • 5. What will we learn Week 7: Profit planning (Continuation) • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage Week 8: Working capital management Week 9: Capital budgeting • Payback Period • Net Present Value • Internal Rate of Return • Sensitivity Analysis Week 10:Capital budgeting (Continuation)
  • 6. What will we learn • Week 11: Student presentations • Week 12: Student presentations
  • 7. What are we going to acquire? • Learning forecasting of sales (demand). • If you know your future sales, you can make profit planning and know how much fund do you need for working and fixed capital. • Learning how to evaluate and choose the best investment opportunity by applying some methods.
  • 8. What kind of resources can we use when we doing research? 1. All finance books 2. All articles about finance 3. www.ssrn.com 4. J. Fred Weston and Eugene Brigham,Essentials of Managerial Finance, Harcourt Brace&Company International Edition, 1992 5. Kuhlman Bruce, David W. Wiley and H. Kent Baker, Business Fundamentals, Schweser Institute certificate Program, Publisher: Dearborn Trade, A Kaplan Professional Company, ISBN: 9781419528965 (Electronic book), 2005.
  • 9. What kind of resources can we use when we doing research? 6. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_foreca sting 7. http://www.angelfire.com/mn3/apse/entles 3.htm 8. Brealey Richard A., Stewart C. Myers and Franklin Allen, Principles of Corporate Finance, The McGraw Hill Companies International edition 2008, ISBN: 978-007- 126327-6
  • 10. What kind of resources can we use when we doing research? 9. http://etufan.wordpress.com 10.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_foreca sting 11.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Questionnaire_ construction
  • 11. What is the finance? • Money • Stock exchange • Banks • What else? • How about the companies? • Balance sheet
  • 12. What is the finance? • To achieve the goals of company; 1. Finding funds from the most suitable sources 2. Using them effectively and 3. Control the results…
  • 13. An Overview of Managerial Finance • A Short History of Managerial Finance • 1930s: Liabilities and equity • 1940 and 1950s: Assets, quantitative methods, discounted cash flow methods • 1960 and 1970s: Optimization of assets and liabilities and equity, statistical methods • 1980s: Globalization, interest rate and exchange risk • 1990-2000s to today: More risk, more computer, new financial instruments and methods
  • 14. An Overview of Managerial Finance
  • 15. An Overview of Managerial Finance • The Financial Manager’s Responsibility • Forecasting and planning • Major investment and control • Coordination and control • Dealing with the financial markets
  • 16. An Overview of Managerial Finance • The goals of the corporation • Managerial incentives to maximize shareholder wealth • Social responsibility • Stock price maximization and social welfare
  • 17. Managerial incentives to maximize shareholder wealth •Stockholders •Managers •Make the highest •Having autonomy money from the •Protect themselves from company a hostile takeover or a •Do not want to proxy fightHostile share theirs company takeover.doc Example with others. •Try to maximize stock prices in reasonable level
  • 18. Social responsibility • Ethical responsibility to provide a safe working environment • To avoid polluting water and air • Produce safe products • But social responsibility has a cost • If the other firms in its industry do not follow suit, their prices and costs will be lower • Most investors do not like to buy socially oriented companies shares.
  • 19. Stock price maximization and social welfare What requires stock price maximization? 1. Efficient, low-cost plants that produce high- quality goods and services at the lowest possible cost 2. Development of products that consumers want and need, so the profit motive leads to new technology, to new products, and to new jobs Example Example 2
  • 20. An Overview of Managerial Finance • The Financial Manager’s Responsibility • Forecasting and planning • Major investment and control • Coordination and control • Dealing with the financial markets
  • 22. Some Financial Forecasting Methods • Questionnaire method • Forecast by using economic indicators relation • International comparison • Income elasticity of demand method • Graphic method • Least squares method
  • 23. Financial forecasting: Questionnaire Simple things: • Quantitative marketing researches and social sciences • Especially, if it is known specific target consumer • By phone, by email, web, go to houses and malls…
  • 24. Take into consider for questionnaire 1. Determining research aims, example size, duration, human resources, permissions, and privacy before applying questionnaire, 2. Determining natural answers, 3. Questionnaires should be directly related with research’s aims, 4. Applying questionnaire to right participants is very important, 5. Determining questionnaire’s type…
  • 25. Take into consider for questionnaire • Questions and answers should be neutral, • Ranking and grouping of questions’ should be right, • Questions’ should be basic and non-technical, • No double meaning and negative sentences, • Every question should ask just one subject, • Put “other” option, • Questions’ should be daily communication sentences,
  • 26. Take into consider for questionnaire • Do not ask private questions, • Carefully use colours, graphics or pictures, • Give numbers to your questions.
  • 27. An example (This example has been derived from Güvemli Oktay, Yatırım Projelerinin Düzenlenmesi, Değerlendirilmesi ve İzlenmesi, Atlas Kitabevi Yayınları, İstanbul:2008, pp.89-90, ISBN 9789756574065) We would like to search demand of honey consumption of Karvina. We chose an area as example which represents whole Karvina. In this area, there are 200 houses. So we prepared a basic questionnaire and asked questions’ below: 1.Does your family consume honey? 2.If so, how much do you consume per month? 3.How many people live in your family?
  • 28. An example (Continuation…) Answers: 1.Yes we consume (150 family), No (50 family) 2.500 gram per month 3.4 people If we assume that Karvina’s population is 70.000, the demand could be calculated as:
  • 29. An example (Continuation…) Family count in Karvina: 70.000/4=17.500 Family Percentage of families who are bought honey= (150 family/200 Family)x100=75% Count of families who are bought honey= 17.500 Family x 75%= 13.125 Family Yearly consumption per family: 500 Gramx12 month=6.000 Gram=6 kg Yearly consumption= 13.125 family x 6 Kg =78.750 Kg.
  • 30. An example (Continuation…) If Karvina’s population growth rate is +0.41%; We can predict honey consumption: Year Family count Honey buy Yearly consumption family count 2011 17.571 13.178* 79.068** 2012 17.643 13.232 79.392 2013 17.715 13.286 79.716 2014 17.787 13.340 80.040 *(17.571x75%), **(13.178x6kg)
  • 31. Financial forecasting: Economic indicators relation Finding data which correlated each other for searched sector/subject. Examp: Weather Wheat Bread price Demand estimation using correlated data.
  • 32. Plasterboard Demand Example (Source: Güvemli Oktay, Yatırım Projelerinin Düzenlenmesi, Değerlendirilmesi ve İzlenmesi, Atlas Kitabevi Yayınları, İstanbul:2008, pp.90, ISBN 9789756574065)
  • 33. Example (Continuation…) Plasterboard or also called gypsum board are panels made of gypsum plaster pressed between two thick sheets of paper, the panels are used to make interior walls and ceilings. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drywall). As Sweet Home Company, we would like to produce and enter plasterboard market in Karvina. Lets calculate demand with using house counts and floor space!
  • 34. Example (Continuation…) • Internal walls two faces are averagely equal 250 m2 for 100 m2 house while external walls faces are averagely equal 130 m2. There are 20% gaps these walls for windows and doors. • Lets calculate how much wall surface for plasterboard do we have for a 100 m2 houses?
  • 35. Example (Continuation…) • Internal walls two face surface is equal (250 m2 x 80%) = 200 m2 • External walls two face surface is equal (130 m2 x 80%) = 104 m2 • Whole surface which it can be applied plasterboard is equal (200 + 104 ) 304 m2. We assume that demand for buildings could be 5% for first year and later 7%, 10%, 12% respectively.
  • 36. Example (Continuation…) It is being predicted new buildings counts which will be built in four years and theirs’ surface is: Years Buildings Surface (m2) 1 160.000 16.000.000 2 175.000 17.500.000 3 190.000 19.000.000 4 210.000 21.000.000
  • 37. Example (Continuation…) Plasterboard demand: Years Building Estimated plasterboard Plasterboard Counts demanded buildings demand 1 160.000 x (5%) 8.000 *2.432.000 2 175.000 x (7%) 12.250 3.724.000 3 190.000 x (10%) 19.000 5.776.000 4 210.000 x(12%) 25.200 7.660.800 * 1. year demand = 8.000 x 304 m2 = 2.432.000 m2
  • 38. International comparison This method based on comparing two countries Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and demands which one of them is developed while another developing and assumed that developing country’s demand is going to reach to developed country’s demand in the future . Step 1: Determining developed country’s demand for a specific good and GDP per capita Step 2: Assuming that developing country’s demand will be equall developed country’s demand in the future.
  • 39. International comparison (Example) Resource: This example has been derived from Güvemli, pp.92. In France, GDP per capita is 30.000€ and orange juice consumption is 15 liter. In Czech Republic GDP per capita is 10.000 € and orange juice consumption is 3 liter. The population is 11.000.000.
  • 40. Example (Continuation…) Years GDP per capita in Czech Consumption per capita 1 10.000 3 2 15.000 4,5 3 17.000 7,5 4 18.000 9,3 5 22.000 11,2 6 28.000 13,1 7 30.000 15,0 * 7th year data is equal to France current data.
  • 41. Example (Continuation…) Years Population of Czech (000) Tot. Juice consumption 0 11.000 x 3 liter = 33.000 (Current) 1 11.500 x 3,6 = 41.400 2 11.800 x 4,5 = 53.100 3 12.000 x 7,5 = 90.000 4 12.400 x 9,3 = 115.320 5 12.900 x 11,2 = 144.480 6 13.000 x 13,1 = 170.300 7 13.000 x 15,0 = 195.000
  • 42. Income elasticity of demand Example: (Güvemli pp.95) Rate of increment of GDP per capita = 3,5% Coefficient of income elasticity of product = 2 Rate of increment of product’s yearly per capita demand = 7% (3,5% x 2) Note: Income elasticity is calculated by dividing rate of increment of demand to rate of increment income.
  • 43. Income elasticity of demand Example 1: Past periods 2007 2008 2009 Sale of product “A” (Unit) 150.000 180.000 220.000 Yearly rate of increment 20% 22% Average rate of increment ((0,20+0,22)/2) = 21% GDP rate of increment 3,5% 4% 3,6% GDP average rate of increment = (0,035 + 0,04 + 0,036) / 3 = 3,7% Coefficient of income elasticity (21%/3,7%) = 5,6
  • 44. Income elasticity of demand Demand of product “A”? Next periods 2010 2011 2012 Averg. Predicted GDP rate of increment ((4% + 4,2% + 4,4%)/3)= 4,2% Coefficient of income elasticity = 5,6 Yearly rate of increment= (4,2% x 5,6) = 23,5% Demand of product “A” (2010 period) = 220.000 x 123,5% = 271.700 (2011 period) = 271.700 x 123,5% = 335.550 (2012 period) = 335.550 x 123,5% = 414.404
  • 45. It is your turn! Question: Dogtas Company is a Turkish company which produces home inner products such as furniture. Dogtas company sold 80.000 furniture in 2007, while 125.000 in 2008 and 100.000 in 2009 respectively. In same period GDP rate of increment was 7%, 9% and 5% respectively. Because World economic crisis, it is being expected GDP rate of increment will be -2% in 2010 while 3% in 2011 and 5% in 2012. So, please calculate Dogtas Company’s furniture demands in 2010, 2011 and 2012.
  • 46. Graphic method In this method, demand of product and dates are being located on a graphic. Then taking account the numbers density and draw a line. This method is very basic but not reliable.
  • 47. Graphic method (Example) Date (2009) Demand January 2500 February 2800 March 3050 April 3476 May 3899 June 1257 July 1289 August 3456 September 4900 October 5600 November 7988 December 3678 January 8899 February 7654 March 7889 April 9900 May 6754 June 5678 July 6754 August 7654 September 9876 October 7654 November 7865 December 8888
  • 48. Least squares method We can use Excel to estimate the demand of our product(s) with applying least squares method.
  • 49. Least squares method Years Demand Step 1: Open an Excel page and click 1 1250 fx (functions) and chose “Statistics” 2 1578 Step 2: Chose “forecast”. Then you 3 3234 will see three spaces. 4 7500 5 3456 Step 3: For first space chose estimated year (In our examp. 10), for second 6 2200 space chose demand numbers and for 7 4578 third space chose years (In our 8 6543 example from 1 to 9) 9 2134 Step 4: Click to Enter and get the 10 4926 result. Example
  • 50. How to calculate market share? There are two ways to calculate market share: I. Percentage of sale units: Company’s sale units/Total sale units in the market II. Percentage of income: Total income of the company / Total income of the sector which the company belongs
  • 51. How to calculate market share? Example: Our company produces cheese in Çanakkale. In 2009 it has produced 70 ton cheese in the city and sold them at 70.000 Euro. In same period our company produced 7 ton cheese and sold it 12.000 Euro. So; Our market share as a unit is: (7 Ton / 70 Ton)x100= 10% Our market share as a sale: (12.000 Euro/70.000 Euro)x100= 17,14%
  • 52. Profit planning • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage
  • 53. Why should we plan our profit?
  • 54. Financial managers use profit planning for; • Determine at least how much products should be produced to get profit with using sale and cost information, • Which products should be produced and how much? • Determine the price of the product
  • 55. What kind of data do we need?
  • 56. Data • Unit sale price of the product • Sale volume of the product • Sale composition of the products • Unit variable cost • Total fixed costs
  • 57. Assumptions of profit planning • Costs are divided into two such as fixed and variable but there is one more which is half variable costs • There is only one price and stable • Input prices are fixed • At the end of the financial term, there is no inventory
  • 58. Profit planning • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage
  • 59. When should we use Break Even Analysis?
  • 60. We can use Break Even Analysis… • To decide producing a new product and it’s sale volume to get profit • To decide company’s to grow or non-grow situation • To decide to realise modernisation and automation investments • To measure effect of variation of price, fixed and variable costs on profit It can be applied both graphic and mathematics methods...
  • 61. Limitations Resource: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Break-even_(economics) • Break-even analysis is only a supply side (i.e. costs only) analysis, as it tells you nothing about what sales are actually likely to be for the product at these various prices. • It assumes that fixed costs (FC) are constant. Although this is true in the short run, an increase in the scale of production is likely to cause fixed costs to rise. • It assumes average variable costs are constant per unit of output, at least in the range of likely quantities of sales. (i.e. linearity) • It assumes that the quantity of goods produced is equal to the quantity of goods sold (i.e., there is no change in the quantity of goods held in inventory at the beginning of the period and the quantity of goods held in inventory at the end of the period). • In multi-product companies, it assumes that the relative proportions of each product sold and produced are constant (i.e., the sales mix is constant).
  • 62. Graphic Method Total Income Income - cost Break even point Profit Total costs loss Amount of production
  • 63. Continuation... Total costs Break Even Point Loss Income -Cost Break Even Point Total Income Profit Loss Amount of production
  • 64. Mathematical Method Production level in Break Even Point: Q=F/P-V Sale level in Break Even Point: S=F/1-(V/P) Q: Production level in Break Even Point F: Fixed costs P: Unit price V: Unit variable costs
  • 65. Break Even Point Assignments Please watch the video and create your own example and send me by email till next lesson. 1.http://www.youtube.com/watch? v=7MxlVMzRxa8&feature=related Break Even Analysis Example Video.xlsx 2.Please done this example by yourself. Print it out and deliver at next lesson. Break event point assignment 2012.xlsx
  • 66. Example (1) for Break Even Analysis Microsoft Company’s sale is 5.000.000 Euro when production is 20.000 unit, variable costs are 3.000.000 Euro and fixed costs are 1.000.000 Euro. In this case, what is the production level in break even point? Unit price: 5.000.000/20.000=250 Euro Unit variable cost: 3.000.000/20.000=150 Euro Q=1.000.000/250-150 = 10.000 Unit
  • 67. Example (II) If it is being used same data with first example sale level in break even point=? S=F/1-(V/P) =1.000.000/1-(150/250) =2.500.000 Euro
  • 68. Different approach to calculate break even point: Additive margin Additive margin = Unit price-Unit variable costs Amount of production in break even point= Total fixed costs/Unit additive margin Additive rate=(Unit price-Unit variable costs) / Unit price Amount of sale in break even point= Total fixed costs/Additive rate
  • 69. Example III Amount of production in break even point= Total fixed costs/Unit additive margin Unit additive margin = 250-150 = 100 Amount of production in break even point = 1.000.000/100 = 10.000 unit
  • 70. Continuation…. Additive rate=Unit price-Unit variable cost/Unit price Sales in break even point= Total fixed costs/additive rate = 1.000.000/(250-150/250) = 2.500.000 Euro
  • 71. Break even point and target profit Amount of production in break even point which is being taken consider target profit= (Fixed costs + EBIT)/(Unit price-Unit variable cost) The company is targeting 2.000.000 Euro profit. So, what is the amount of production in break even point =(1.000.000+2.000.000)/(250-150) Additive rate = 30.000 Unit How about break event point in sale?
  • 72. Example IV • Dardanel A.Ş. Produce Tuna fish (500 gram) and sell it 50 Euro per can. Other informations are given below: • Direct raw materials and consumables cost: 12.5 Euro/can • Direct labour costs: 8.25 Euro/can • Variable production overheads: 3.75 Euro/can • Fixed production overheads : 425.000 Euro • Fixed marketing costs: 150.000 Euro a) How many Tuna fish can should be produced to get break even point? b) How much sales should be achieved to get break even point? c) The boss Mr. Niyazi Önen would like to make 400.000 Euro profit. In this case, how many can should be sold?
  • 73. Continuation… a) BEPQ= Fixed costs/(Unit sales price-Unit variable cost) • Unit varible cost=Direct raw material cost+Direct labour cost+ Variable production overheads • Unit variable cost = 12.5+8.25+3.75 = 24.5 • BEPQ= (425.000+150.000) /(50-24.5) • BEPQ= 22.549 Unit
  • 74. Continuation… b) BEPS=Fixed costs/(1-(V/P) BEPS= 575.000 /(1-(24.5/50) BEPS= 1.127.450 Euro c) BEPQ= (425.000+150.000+400.000) /(50-24.5) BEPQ= 38.235 Tuna fish can
  • 75. Multiproduct Break Even Point Source: Tsorakidis Nikolaos, Sophocles Papadoulos, Christopher Zerres and Michael Zerres, Break Even Analysis, 2008, www.bookboon.com, ISBN 978-87-7681-290-4 Example: Quick Coffee, a cafeteria that sells three types of hot drinks: White/Black coffee, espresso and hot chocolate.
  • 77. Continuation… Quick cafe breaks even when it sells 19,784 hot drinks in total. To determine how many units of each product it must sell to break even we multiply the break-even value with the ratio of each product’s revenue to total revenues. Classic coffee: 19.784 x 50% = 9.892 Unit Espresso: 19.784 x 30% = 5.935 Unit Hot chocolate: 19.784 x 20% = 3.957 Unit
  • 78. Profit planning • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage
  • 79. When should we use Operating Leverage?
  • 80. We can use operating leverage… • To search how much fixed and variable costs can be accepted by using relationship between them • To estimate extra productions effect on profit when production exceeds a certain level • To decide if a company based on labour force or capital
  • 81. Operating Leverage Formulas Pr ofit variability ( %) OP = Sales variability (%) or ∆EBIT OP = EBIT ∆SALES SALES
  • 82. Operating Leverage Formulas Sales − Variable Costs OL = EBIT
  • 83. Example Student Agency Company’s variable costs are 3.000.000 € at 5.000.000 € sales level. EBIT is 1.000.000 €. If we assume that sales can be increased 10%, EBIT will be 1.200.000 €. So, (1.200.000 − 1.000.000) / 1.000.000 OP = =2 (5.500.000 − 5.000.000) / 5.000.000 This means, profit will increase 2 € if sales increase 1 € at 5.000.000 € sales level.
  • 84. Example Sales − Variable Costs OL = EBIT 5.000.000 − 3.000.000 OL = =2 1.000.000
  • 85. Lets check the result… Current situation New situation % Sales 5.000.000 € 5.500.000 € 10 Variable costs 3.000.000 € 3.300.000 € 10 Fixed costs 1.000.000 € 1.000.000 € 0 Total Costs 4.000.000 € 4.300.000 € 7.5 EBIT 1.000.000 € 1.200.000 € 20 Pr ofit variability ( %) 20% OP = = =2 Sales variability (%) 10%
  • 86. Example Source: Tsorakidis Nikolaos, Sophocles Papadoulos, Christopher Zerres and Michael Zerres, Break Even Analysis, 2008, www.bookboon.com, ISBN 978-87-7681-290-4, pp.14-16.
  • 87. Continuation… For sales volume from 50.000 to 60.000 OP of ∆EBIT EBIT First Company = OP = ∆SALES SALES OP = ((90-70)/70)) / ((240-200)/200) OP = 1,43 (approximately)
  • 90. Continuation… OP 1= 1.43 OP 2= 1.65 OP 3= 1.67 If sales could be increased 10%, its profit will increase; • 14.3% for company 1 • 16.5% for company 2 • 16.7% for company 3 What happens if sales decrease in same level?
  • 91. Continuation… • Which company reach first its break even point? Why? • Please calculate it and make critics! • Answer: First one reaches at 15.000 Units while the others 20.000 Units. Because, first company has the lowest fixed costs, even has the highest unit variable cost. • The larger the degree of operating leverage, the greater the profits volatility.
  • 92. Continuation… Company Unit sale price (€) Unit variable cost (€) Fixed costs (€) Company 1 4 2 30.000 Company 2 4 1.5 50.000 Company 3 4 1 60.000
  • 93. Profit planning • Break Even Analysis • Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage
  • 94. Financial Leverage http://www.investorwords.com/1952/financial_leverage.html • The degree to which an investor or business is utilizing borrowed money. Companies that are highly leveraged may be at risk of bankruptcy if they are unable to make payments on their debt; they may also be unable to find new lenders in the future. • Financial leverage is not always bad, however; it can increase the shareholder’s return on investment and often there are tax advantages associated with borrowing.
  • 95. When should we use Financial Leverage?
  • 96. We can use financial leverage… To search a company’s debts effect on it’s profit.
  • 97. Financial leverage formulas EBIT FL = EBIT − C C = Inreterest cost Profit increase per share FL = Profit increase ∆profit per share profit per share FL = ∆EBIT EBIT
  • 98. Example Student Agency Company’s capital is 20.000.000 €, total debts are 10.000.000 €. Debts are 8% interest rate bank loans. EBIT is 15.000.000 €. The company has a chance to increase it’s EBIT 20%. Please calculate financial leverage of the company and make comments on the result.
  • 99. Example Interest cost = 10.000.000 € x 8% = 800.000 € EBIT 15.000.000 FL = = = 1.05 EBIT − C 15.000.000 − 800.000 C = Inreterest cost 1.05x20%=0.21 If the company can increase it’s EBIT 20%, earnings per share (EPS) also will increase 21%. What happens if we get 20.000.000 € credit at same cost, how it effects on EPS and risk? Answer: 20.000.000 x 8% = 1.600.000 FL= 1.11 So, 1.11x20%= 0.22
  • 100. Financial leverage If the company use infinite debt does this mean earnings per share will be also infinite? If not why? We are in an economic crises. So, what do you think our company’s situation if we compare other one (1.5) in our example? Answer: If another company’s financial leverage is 1.5 this means our company has less risk but EPS will increase 30%.
  • 102. Working capital terminology Working capital (gross working capital): Current assets Net working capital: Current assets – current liabilities
  • 104. The conversion cycle Real Time Computer Corporation (RTC), which in early 1992 introduced a new super minicomputer that can perform 15 million instructions per second and that will sell for $250.000. The effects of this new product on RTC’s working capital position were analyzed in terms of the following five steps:
  • 105. Resource: J. Fred Weston and Eugene Brigham,Essentials of Managerial Finance, Harcourt Brace&Company International Edition, 1992.pp.364.
  • 106. Continuation… 1. RTC will order and receive the materials it needs to produce the 100 computers that are expected to be sold. Because RTC and most other firms purchase materials on credit, this transaction will create an account payable. However, the purchase will have no immediate cash flow effect.
  • 107. Continuation… 2. Labor will be used to convert the materials into finished computers. However, wages will not be fully paid at the time the work is done, so accrued wages will build up. 3. The finished computers will be sold but on credit, so sales will create receivables, not immediate cash inflows.
  • 108. Continuation… 4. At some point during the cycle, RTC must pay off its accounts payable and accrued wages. Because these payments will be made before RTC has collected cash from its receivables, a net cash outflow will occur, and this outflow must be financed. 5. The cycle will be completed when RTC’s receivables have been collected. At that time, the company will be in a position to pay off the credit that was used to finance production, and it can then repat the cycle.
  • 109. Cash conversion cycle model Inventory conversion period (ICP): It is the average length of time required to convert materials into finished goods then sell those goods. Inventory conversion period= Inventory / Sales per day For example: If average inventories are $2 million and sales are $10 million; ICP=$2.000.000/($10.000.000/360) = 72 days
  • 110. Continuation… Receivables collection period (RCP): It is the average length of time required to convert the firm’s receivables into cash, that is, to collect cash following a sale. RCP= Receivables / (sales/360) If receivables are $666,667 and sales $10 million, RCP= $666,667 / ($10,000,000/360)= 24 Days
  • 111. Continuation… Payables deferral period (PDP): It is the average length of the time between the purchase of materials and labour and the payment of cash for them. PDP= Payables/ Credit purchases per day = Payables/ (cost of goods sold /360) If the firm on average has 30 days to pay for labour and materials, if its cost of goods sold are $8 million per year, and if accounts payable average $666,667; PDP= $666,667 / ($8,000,000/360) = 30 days
  • 112. Continuation… Cash conversion cycle (CCC): It nets out the periods just defined and which therefore equals the length of time between the firm’s actual cash expenditures to pay for productive resources (labour and materials) and its own cash receipts from the sale of products. CCP= Inventory conversion period + receivables collection period - payables deferral period
  • 113. Continuation… CCP= Inventory conversion period + receivables collection period - payables deferral period CCP= 72 days + 24 days – 30 days CCP= 66 days
  • 114. Result With calculating and finding 66 days, RTC knows when it starts producing a computer that it will have to finance the manufacturing costs for a 66 day period. The firm’s goal should be to shorten its cash conversion cycle as much as possible without hurting operations.
  • 115. It is your turn! Dardanel A.Ş. Produces frozen and canned food such as sea fishes, octopus and mussel. The company will produce new product namely blue fish which lives only in Istanbul Bosporus and Canada. So the product is very valuable and expensive. It has also market in Europe. A canned food be produced in 20 minutes and work hours are 8 hours per day. Marketing department says 90% of the production will be sold .The price will be 10 Euros per canned food. Average inventories are 8.000 Euro. (330 working days assumed but year 360 days.
  • 116. Continuation… Other things related with sales: • Labour get salary 30 days after the work • Payments for raw material are done 45 days later • 80% of sales are done cash while 20% of sales are credit. • Cost of goods are sold is 28.800 Euro • Accounts payable is 12.200 Euro Please calculate effects of this new product on Dardanel Company’s working capital position.
  • 117. CAPITAL BUDGETING (Strategic Long term Investment Decision)
  • 118. Capital budgeting (Strategic Long-Term Investment Decisions) • Generating ideas for capital projects • Who creates the capital budgeting projects? • Do we need to be an entrepreneur? • Two questions for testing being entrepreneur (CV and address book)
  • 119. Strategic Long-Term Investment Decisions • Project classifications 1. Replacement: Maintenance of business 2. Replacement: Cost reduction 3. Expansion of existing products or markets 4. Expansion into new products or markets 5. Safety and/or environmental projects 6. Other
  • 120. Project classifications • Replacement: Maintenance of business • One category consists of expenditures to replace worn-out or damaged equipment used in the production of profitable products. • Should we continue to produce these products or services? • Should we continue to use our existing production processes?
  • 121. Project classifications • Replacement: Cost reduction • This category includes expenditures to replace serviceable but obsolete equipment. • The purpose here is to lower the costs of labour, materials, or other inputs such as electricity.
  • 122. Project classifications • Expansion of existing products or markets • Expenditures to increase output of existing products, or to expand outlets or distribution facilities in markets now being served are included here.
  • 123. Project classifications • Expansion into new products or markets • These are expenditures necessary to produce a new product or to expand into a geographic area not currently being served.
  • 124. Project classifications • Safety and/or environmental projects • Expenditures necessary to comply with government orders, labour agreements, or insurance policy terms fall into this category.
  • 125. Project classifications • Other project investments • This catch all includes office buildings, parking lots, executive aircraft, and so on.
  • 126. Strategic Long-Term Investment Decisions • Similarities between capital budgeting evaluation techniques 1. Project cost 2. Expected cash flows estimation 3. Estimation of project riskiness 4. Cost of capital decision 5. Measurement of present value of cash inflows 6. Present value of the expected cash inflows and required outlay
  • 127. Capital Budgeting Evaluation Techniques 1. Payback Period 2. Net Present Value (NPV) 3. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 4. Sensitivity Analysis
  • 128. Capital Budgeting Evaluation Techniques • Payback period • Project S : Net Cash Flow Cumulative NCF
  • 129. Payback period • Project (S) Uncovered cost at start of year Payback=Year before full recovery + Cash flow during year 100 Payback Period (S)= 2 + = 2,333 Years 300
  • 130. Capital Budgeting Evaluation Techniques • Payback period • Project L : • Net Cash Flow • Cumulative NCF
  • 131. Payback period • Project (L) 200 Payback Period (L)= 3 + = 3,333 Years 600
  • 132. Net Present Value (NPV) • To implement this method, it should be proceeded as follows: • Find the present value of investment and its future cash flows with discounting at the project’s cost of capital • Sum discounted investment and cash flows • If the NPV is positive then we accept the project. If we have to choose a project among the alternate projects, we should take into consider the highest NPV
  • 133. Net Present Value (NPV) CF1 CF2 CFn NPV = CF0 + 1 + 2 + ..............+ n (1+ k ) (1+ k ) (1+ k ) n CFt =∑ t =0 (1 + k ) t
  • 134. Capital Budgeting Evaluation Techniques • Internal rate of return (IRR) • The IRR is defined as that discount rate which equates the present value of a project’s expected cash inflows to the present value of its expected costs.
  • 135. Internal rate of return (IRR) CF1 CF2 CFn CF0 + 1 + 2 + ..............+ n =0 (1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR ) n CFt =∑ =0 t =0 (1 + IRR ) t
  • 136. Example of NPV, IRR and Sensitivity • Small Scale Flower Cultivation Project in India • This project has written by Weitz Center (Israel) experts for an area in India. • The project covers an area about one acre. The aim is producing and selling flowers. Project’s cost will be covered by a bank loan. All costs and sale data have been collected and realised that target sales could be achieved. Cost benefit analysis Flower.xls
  • 139. Contuniation… (The data pasted as collateral. It should be one under the other.)
  • 140. Thanks for your patience…

Editor's Notes

  1. Milk automat machines in Karvina
  2. How much is your salary? (for British), How old are you? (for Chineese), do you a believer? (for everybody)