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4 ways to use megatrend assessments to

       maximize your business’ success

frederic de meyer
founder
institute for future insights
frederic@i4fi.com
www.i4fi.com
www.fredericdemeyer.com
@fdemeyer
1. Using long-term trend assessment to sharpen
 your corporate strategy

                             Lobby;
                             Mood;
                           Adoption;
                           Regulation                                                   Opportunities
                                                                                  -go-to-market innovation;
                                                                                   - new products/services
         Fashion                                                    Corporate
          Tastes
       Communities                         Trends                   Execution
                                                                                             Threats
      Opinion makers                                                 (tactics)          -miss the boat;
          Mood
                                                                                     - existing competion

                                                      Predictions
                           Black Swans                                                   Opportunities
                                                                                 - business Model Innovation;
        Environment                                                                     - gain efficiency,
      Demographic shifts                                            Corporate           competitiveness
         Regulations                     Megatrends                  Strategy
       Macro-economy
        Political shifts                                                                    Threats
                                                                                         -irrelevance;
                                                                                      - new competitors




                                                                    Scenario
                                                                    Planning


Frederic De Meyer
2. Using long-term trends assessment as a basis
for innovation


external

                 new           new business    new needs of    new customer
              competitors        models         customers        segments




                                       megatrends

internal

    new talents and    new marketing        new          new go-to-     new production
     competencies          mix           ecosystems     market models     processes
3. Using long-term trends assessment to assess
          your competitive position


                                                                                                      Comp.    Comp.    Comp.    Comp.    Comp.
                                                                                            YOU         1        2        3        4        5
Demographics
   Factor:   dependency on key skills/ talent war                                      5
   GenY
             Presence on social media                                                             3       5        2        2        3        5
                                                                                                                                                         Long-term competitive benchmark
             Presence on social media in an cool way                                              1       5        2        0        0        3
             Interactiveness score of social media                                                1       4        2        0        1        1
             Gamification of business                                                             3       3        1        1        0        0
             Sustainability image of company                                                      2       3        5        1        0        5                   Demographics
   Ageing
             Current programs to integrate elderly people                                         2       2        2        2        2        2
             Flexibility programs publicized                                                      2       2        2        2        2        2
   Multicultural                                                                                                                                       Strategy                  Sustainability
             Breadth of business (# countries)                                                    3       5        3        3        5        5
             Foreigners at top positions in company                                               3       5        1        1        5        5                                                   Your company
                                                                            Overal Score:     2,22      3,78     2,22     1,33     2,00     3,11
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Top performer
Sustainability
   Factor:   Sensibility of industry stakeholders to environmental issues              3
   Natural Resources                                                                                                                               New Business                                   Average of 6
                                                                                                                                                                                 Consumers        companies
             Sustainability communication of processes                                            5       5        3        1        3        5      models
             Cradle-to-cradle concept                                                             0       0        0        0        0        3
             IT practices (Cloud, Virtualization, …)                                              5       5        5        5        5        5
                                                                            Overal Score:     3,33      3,33     2,67     2,00     2,67     4,33
                                                                                                                                                                   Geopolitics
Consumer trends
   Factor:   Degree of adaptiveness / loyalty of customers                             3
             Customization of products                                                            0       0        5        5        0        2
4. Using long-term trends assessment to build a
vision of the future of your professional
environment
                                                     Rising middle class in
                                                           emerging

                                                       Globalization 3.0
Ageing population

                                                           Alternatives
Consumerization of                                                                        New competitors
   technology
                                                     (social learning, e-learning, ...)
                                                                                                               Lean

            GenY                                                                                              Mobile
                                     New culture
    Customization                                                                                           International
                                                                                Future vision of
                                                                                   Education                  Always on
   Global mobility                                                                                              (24/7)
(brain drain, war for talent, ...)


   Climate change                                                                                           Personalized
 (water shortage; lost crops;
         draught, ...)                                        Social
                                     New waves of        Entrepreneurship                                   Collaborative
     Digital divide                  (im)migration
   (gap rich-poor widening)                                   Global Grid
                                                     (crowdsourcing, open innovation,
                                                          desintermediation, ...)

                                                     New business models                    New skills
                                                      (gamification, virtual company,
                                                       shared value, open source, ...)
The future cannot be predicted
     …but it can be made !
           (ancient African saying)




                    www.i4fi.com
             www.fredericdemeyer.com
       additional questions: frederic@i4fi.com
discover our services

   Full assessment                           Long-term                         Thought-
    of the impact                           competitive                        provoking
   of megatrends                            benchmarks                          keynote
        on your                             based on 25                      speeches and
       business                               metrics                         workshops




website      www.i4fi.com
blog         www.fredericdemeyer.com
mail         frederic@i4fi.com
Phone        +32 478 68 13 08

for useful long-term planning tools: http://www.i4fi.com/useful_tools.html
are you prepared to make the maximum
               out of long-term trends?
                              “Frederic offers a unique insight of how global changes
                              translate into new business opportunities. This book is an
                              essential tool for any future-oriented manager or
                              entrepreneur and anyone involved in innovation strategies”
                              Philippe De Ridder, co-founder, Board of Innovation

                              “Designing and implementing a good strategy is quite a
                              challenge. In an increasingly complex world, it is becoming
                              increasingly difficult to recognize the core from the noise.
                              This book on megatrends will help you do this. It will give
                              you the necessary insights to focus on the themes that are
                              crucial to the future of your company. A must read!”
                              Jeroen De Flander, co-founder, The Performance
                              Factory, author of Strategy Execution Heroes
In English on
click here                    “This excellent book is a comprehensive overview of the
                              major trends and also offers a methodology to better assess
                              the future reality and master its consequences. The author
                              provides an essential guide for any strategy exercise”
                In Dutch at   Peter Corijn, Vice-President, Procter & Gamble
                click here

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4 ways to use long term trend assessments for your business

  • 1. 4 ways to use megatrend assessments to maximize your business’ success frederic de meyer founder institute for future insights frederic@i4fi.com www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com @fdemeyer
  • 2. 1. Using long-term trend assessment to sharpen your corporate strategy Lobby; Mood; Adoption; Regulation Opportunities -go-to-market innovation; - new products/services Fashion Corporate Tastes Communities Trends Execution Threats Opinion makers (tactics) -miss the boat; Mood - existing competion Predictions Black Swans Opportunities - business Model Innovation; Environment - gain efficiency, Demographic shifts Corporate competitiveness Regulations Megatrends Strategy Macro-economy Political shifts Threats -irrelevance; - new competitors Scenario Planning Frederic De Meyer
  • 3. 2. Using long-term trends assessment as a basis for innovation external new new business new needs of new customer competitors models customers segments megatrends internal new talents and new marketing new new go-to- new production competencies mix ecosystems market models processes
  • 4. 3. Using long-term trends assessment to assess your competitive position Comp. Comp. Comp. Comp. Comp. YOU 1 2 3 4 5 Demographics Factor: dependency on key skills/ talent war 5 GenY Presence on social media 3 5 2 2 3 5 Long-term competitive benchmark Presence on social media in an cool way 1 5 2 0 0 3 Interactiveness score of social media 1 4 2 0 1 1 Gamification of business 3 3 1 1 0 0 Sustainability image of company 2 3 5 1 0 5 Demographics Ageing Current programs to integrate elderly people 2 2 2 2 2 2 Flexibility programs publicized 2 2 2 2 2 2 Multicultural Strategy Sustainability Breadth of business (# countries) 3 5 3 3 5 5 Foreigners at top positions in company 3 5 1 1 5 5 Your company Overal Score: 2,22 3,78 2,22 1,33 2,00 3,11 Top performer Sustainability Factor: Sensibility of industry stakeholders to environmental issues 3 Natural Resources New Business Average of 6 Consumers companies Sustainability communication of processes 5 5 3 1 3 5 models Cradle-to-cradle concept 0 0 0 0 0 3 IT practices (Cloud, Virtualization, …) 5 5 5 5 5 5 Overal Score: 3,33 3,33 2,67 2,00 2,67 4,33 Geopolitics Consumer trends Factor: Degree of adaptiveness / loyalty of customers 3 Customization of products 0 0 5 5 0 2
  • 5. 4. Using long-term trends assessment to build a vision of the future of your professional environment Rising middle class in emerging Globalization 3.0 Ageing population Alternatives Consumerization of New competitors technology (social learning, e-learning, ...) Lean GenY Mobile New culture Customization International Future vision of Education Always on Global mobility (24/7) (brain drain, war for talent, ...) Climate change Personalized (water shortage; lost crops; draught, ...) Social New waves of Entrepreneurship Collaborative Digital divide (im)migration (gap rich-poor widening) Global Grid (crowdsourcing, open innovation, desintermediation, ...) New business models New skills (gamification, virtual company, shared value, open source, ...)
  • 6. The future cannot be predicted …but it can be made ! (ancient African saying) www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com additional questions: frederic@i4fi.com
  • 7. discover our services Full assessment Long-term Thought- of the impact competitive provoking of megatrends benchmarks keynote on your based on 25 speeches and business metrics workshops website www.i4fi.com blog www.fredericdemeyer.com mail frederic@i4fi.com Phone +32 478 68 13 08 for useful long-term planning tools: http://www.i4fi.com/useful_tools.html
  • 8. are you prepared to make the maximum out of long-term trends? “Frederic offers a unique insight of how global changes translate into new business opportunities. This book is an essential tool for any future-oriented manager or entrepreneur and anyone involved in innovation strategies” Philippe De Ridder, co-founder, Board of Innovation “Designing and implementing a good strategy is quite a challenge. In an increasingly complex world, it is becoming increasingly difficult to recognize the core from the noise. This book on megatrends will help you do this. It will give you the necessary insights to focus on the themes that are crucial to the future of your company. A must read!” Jeroen De Flander, co-founder, The Performance Factory, author of Strategy Execution Heroes In English on click here “This excellent book is a comprehensive overview of the major trends and also offers a methodology to better assess the future reality and master its consequences. The author provides an essential guide for any strategy exercise” In Dutch at Peter Corijn, Vice-President, Procter & Gamble click here