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Creation of a Basic Revenue
          Model

   WWW.WHATISFORECASTING.COM
Why a revenue model?

 When building a model for a startup or other
  company with limited history, it’s usually advisable
  to start with a revenue model.
 A revenue model is a piece of a larger financial model
  which, as the name might suggest, presents how
  revenue will be obtained.
Step 1 – Determine Appropriate Units

 The example case is a company which sells razors
  and razor blades
 The unit is a single razor as opposed to a case of
  razors.
 Razor blades are assumed to be sold in a package of
  blades must be purchased each month,
 Razor blade sales will be driven by the number of
  current and prior customers.
Step 1 – Determine Appropriate Units
Step 2 – Understand How Sales Will Occur
                Through the Year

 In order to add a little complexity to our model:
   We assume that 25% of our razor sales come in December
    (holiday gifts)
   The rest of the razor sales occur equally throughout the year.

   Our razor blades will be sold to existing customers only, since
    new customers will receive a one-month supply with the initial
    razor purchase.
Step 2 – Understand Per Unit Revenue
Step 3 – Understand Internal and External
                    Drives

 We’ll assume that our annual sales are 10,000 units
  of razors
 1% of our customers will “churn” or, in other
  words, that we will lose 1% of our razor blade
  customers each month
 This is a new business, so the company has no sales
  in month 1.
Step 3 – Understand Internal and External
                 Drives
Step 3 – Understand Internal and External
                    Drivers

 We’ll assume that our annual sales are 10,000 units
  of razors
 1% of our customers will “churn” or, in other
  words, that we will lose 1% of our razor blade
  customers each month
 This is a new business, so the company has no
  customers at the beginning of month 1.
 The result is a customer roll forward
Step 3 – Understand Internal and External
                 Drivers
Step 4 – Calculate Monthly Revenue

 Calculate revenue for our “razor” and “razor blade”
  product lines.
 The razor revenue is just the number of razor sales in
  a given month times our $5 price.
 The razor blade revenue is calculated as the
  (beginning balance of customers less churn) times
  the razor blade price per unit.
Step 4 – Calculate Monthly Revenue
Thank You

 For further information, make sure to check out
 http://www.whatisforecasting.com

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Creation of a basic revenue model

  • 1. Creation of a Basic Revenue Model WWW.WHATISFORECASTING.COM
  • 2. Why a revenue model?  When building a model for a startup or other company with limited history, it’s usually advisable to start with a revenue model.  A revenue model is a piece of a larger financial model which, as the name might suggest, presents how revenue will be obtained.
  • 3. Step 1 – Determine Appropriate Units  The example case is a company which sells razors and razor blades  The unit is a single razor as opposed to a case of razors.  Razor blades are assumed to be sold in a package of blades must be purchased each month,  Razor blade sales will be driven by the number of current and prior customers.
  • 4. Step 1 – Determine Appropriate Units
  • 5. Step 2 – Understand How Sales Will Occur Through the Year  In order to add a little complexity to our model:  We assume that 25% of our razor sales come in December (holiday gifts)  The rest of the razor sales occur equally throughout the year.  Our razor blades will be sold to existing customers only, since new customers will receive a one-month supply with the initial razor purchase.
  • 6. Step 2 – Understand Per Unit Revenue
  • 7. Step 3 – Understand Internal and External Drives  We’ll assume that our annual sales are 10,000 units of razors  1% of our customers will “churn” or, in other words, that we will lose 1% of our razor blade customers each month  This is a new business, so the company has no sales in month 1.
  • 8. Step 3 – Understand Internal and External Drives
  • 9. Step 3 – Understand Internal and External Drivers  We’ll assume that our annual sales are 10,000 units of razors  1% of our customers will “churn” or, in other words, that we will lose 1% of our razor blade customers each month  This is a new business, so the company has no customers at the beginning of month 1.  The result is a customer roll forward
  • 10. Step 3 – Understand Internal and External Drivers
  • 11. Step 4 – Calculate Monthly Revenue  Calculate revenue for our “razor” and “razor blade” product lines.  The razor revenue is just the number of razor sales in a given month times our $5 price.  The razor blade revenue is calculated as the (beginning balance of customers less churn) times the razor blade price per unit.
  • 12. Step 4 – Calculate Monthly Revenue
  • 13. Thank You  For further information, make sure to check out http://www.whatisforecasting.com