CES2018 Tech Trends by Steve Koenig

1. CES 2018
Tech Trends
Steve Koenig
Sr. Director, Market Research
@KoenigSteve

2. CES 2018 Technology Trends In Three Parts
Ingredient
Technologies
5G
A.I.
Robotics
In The
Market
Consumer
Behavior
Digital Detoxing
Digital Privacy/Security
Future of Work
Native Interfaces and
Digital Senses
Realism Redefined
Smart Cities

3. 5G Connectivity: Coming Soon
• Higher speed, greater capacity, lower latency
• Potentially 40 times faster
• Lots happening already: 5G New Radio (NR)
Smart Cities Wireless VRSelf-Driving Cars

4. 5G Industry Roadmap
Technology
Marketplace
Standardization
Regulatory
5G will co-exist with LTE
Release 16 by 2020
mmWave spectrum
Carriers deploy LTE-Advanced/Pro
Small /pico and metro cells
Field trials
5G New Radio (NR) development
Finding spectrum
Short-term development Longer-term development
2016 2018 2020
Enhanced Mobile Broadband
New business models
Initiatives

5. Solutions Enabled by 5G
Robust and secure network.
Extremely high data rate and very low latency
Real-time networks; streaming 8K video
Enhanced Mobile Broadband (EMBB)
High data rates revolutionize customer
experience
Industrial
Automotive
Telecommunications
Health Care
AR/VR

6. 5G:
How fast is it?

7. Artificial Intelligence
•Deep / Machine Learning
• Software learns from data (i.e., experience)
•Neural Networks
• Processing devices from algorithms to hardware
•Narrow vs. General AIs
Systems that learn to do things we can’t program them to do
Use Cases: Doing Things We …
Don’t Care to Do
Can’t Do
Need all the help we can get
Greater A.I. integration will generate societal impacts

8. CALORIE MAMA
Deep learning and image classification
technology to quickly and accurately
identify food items.
AI searches retinal images and detects
signs of diabetic retinopathy — like a
highly trained ophthalmologist.
GOOGLE DEEP MIND HEALTH

9. AI Applications in Auto:
NVIDIA DRIVE PX2 NVIDIA PILOTNET
Sensory Perception | Data Processing | Action
FORD | ALEXA

10. Intel’s Nervana NNP
Source: Intel

11. What’s Next for A.I.?
Conversation With Context
“One of the major groundbreakers is
going to be our ability to truly converse
with artificial intelligence embedded in
the fabric around us—this will be far
bigger than people realize right now.”
Arvind Krishna, Senior Vice President of Hybrid Cloud and Director of
IBM Research
Source: IBM

12. What’s Next for A.I.?
Building Trust and Reducing Bias
“We will get to a point, likely within the
next five years, when an AI system can
better explain why it's telling you to do
what it's recommending.”
Rachel Bellamy, IBM Research Manager for human-agent collaboration.
Source: IBM

13. Robotics in the Consumer Market
Hub Robot Lawn Mowing Robot
Airbot
Black and Decker
Smartech Robot Vac
Ubtech
Lynx
Mayfield Robotics
Kuri
Leka
LG Robots at CES
Blue Frog Robotics
Buddy

14. From Conversations to Relationships?
From Amazon’s Alexa … To Toshiba’s Aiko…

15. Robotics: What’s Next?
Quickly Moving Beyond Simple Tasks
•Task oriented: Mowing, cleaning windows/floors, folding
clothes etc.
•Service Oriented: Companion Robots; Commercial locations
•Automotive: Actuators to make self-driving happen
•Workplace: Not just for manufacturing anymore!
•Robotics personify automation.

16. Voice: The Fourth Sales Channel
Native Interfaces and Digital Senses

17. Digital Senses: Biometrics
U.S. Consumers’ Experience
43% 45%
2015 2017
Ever Used?
1%
2%
5%
9%
10%
15%
29%
Ear biometrics
Hand measurements
Eye retina/iris recognition
Facial recognition
DNA
Voice recognition
Digital fingerprinting
Biometric Technologies Used (2017)
Source: CTA, 2017 Biometrics Study

18. Fingerprint Technology at CES 2017
Synaptics Natural ID
Capacitive Sensor
Benjilock
Thumbprint Padlock
NXT-ID
Smart Wallet

19. Facial Recognition on the Go
Continental AG IPhone X Face ID

20. Samsung Galaxy S8 Iris Scanning

21. Comfort with Native Interfaces
46% 56%56%
46% 41% 38%
Use Cases: Net Comfort Levels
with Biometric Technology
Net Comfort Level =
Very Comfortable +
Comfortable
Security Screening SurveillanceMedical
Personal Convenience Personal Transactions Commercial
Source: CTA, 2017 Biometrics Study
U.S. Consumers

22. Realism Redefined
“Presence. Where if you create the right
type of experience, you can make
someone forget where their real body is
for a moment, a minute or two, and
make them truly feel like you've taken
them somewhere else.”
Hollywood Executive
Source: CTA / NATPE, Virtual Reality: Promise and Reality – What’s Ahead for Creative Storytelling, 2016

23. VR Ecosystem Expanding
Content Subscription Plans
HTC Vive tracker
Nyko VR charging docks
Audeze and JBL Headphone Solutions
Specifically Developed for VR
Intel’s
Project Alloy
Insta360 Pro 8K 360-
Degree VR Camera
Dynamic
Tactile Wave
Taclim VR Boots
HTC Audio Strap

24. Oculus Go ($199) Rift + Controllers ($399)
"We want to get a billion people in virtual reality."
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg

25. VR Treating PTSD
Project Bravemind
VR Therapy
Developed by
Researchers at USC

26. VR Archaeology
Preserving Ancient Sites Before They’re Lost
A virtual
reconstruction
of a Bronze Age
round house

27. VR and Sports
Next VR Camera CES Sports Zone

28. AR Gets Real
2 Hours
of Doctor time
saved per day
15% Gain
in operational
efficiency
25% Reduction
in manufacturing time
Source: Google X

29. AR for All

30. The Case for Smart Cities
•Urban centers increasingly difficult to monitor/manage
•Better, more-timely information = better choices
•Optimization of public safety and services
•Reducing traffic congestion
•Less pollution
•Competitive economic advantages
Massive challenges exist: Market-based, Organizational, Political leadership

31. Global Trend of Urbanization
34% 37% 39%
43%
47%
51%
56%
60%
63%
66%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Proportion of Global Population in Urban Areas Since 1960, Projections to 2050
Source: U.N.

32. Smart Cities Across the EU
Number of Smart Cities
31+
11-30
4-10
1-3
0
76%-100%
51%-75%
26%-50%
1-25%
0%
Proportion of Smart Cities
Source: 2014 EU research project

33. 83%
52%
35%
30%
28%
22%
EU Smart Cities Focus On Environment & Energy Usage
Among the 264 EU Smart Cities in 2014, how many present these characteristics?
Smart Environment
Smart Mobility
Smart Governance
Smart Living
Smart Economy
Smart People
Source: 2014 EU research project

34. EU Leading The Way In Smart Grids:
Estimated 72% Of Residents Will Have A Smart Meter By 2020
Smart appliances can shut off in
response to energy fluctuations
Energy generated at off-peak times
can be stored in batteries for later use
Energy from small generators
and solar panels can reduce
overall demand on the grid
Sensors detect fluctuations
and disturbances, and can
signal for areas to be
isolated
Source: A 2014 EU research project identified 20 well-developed smart cities that had ample data on their smart city projects.

35. Smarter Transportation With Mobile Apps
The future for smart city app development may be these data collection apps like these:
Paris
SoundCity by Inria measures users’
personal exposure to noise pollution
and allows app creators to build a
map of noise pollution for Paris.
DansMaRue by Paris Numirique
allows users to identify and report
damaged infrastructure or cleanliness
issues so that service teams can be
easily deployed
London
Appyparking allows users to easily
locate available parking spots in real-
time and on-the-go.
FixMyStreet is a platform connecting
citizens with their council to report
damaged or dirty streets.
Amsterdam
Tranzer allows users to pay for public
transport on the go, making their trips
more convenient.
Helsinki
MAAS Global identifies the optimal
path for its users across a
combination of public (trains, busses,
bike shares) and private (taxis)
transport options.

36. SMART CITIES IN FRANCE

37. Case Study: Centralized Heating & Cooling In Paris
The Paris Urban Heating Company (CPCU) derives
39% of its energy through waste incinerators
Upgrading its smart grid capabilities by
incorporating innovative ICT products and latest
generation smart metering.
CLIMESPACE, Europe’s largest provided of
centralized district cooling via a smart grid.
Efficiencies enable 50% less carbon emissions and
65% less water usage than an equivalent pool of
stand-alone units.
Centralized Heating & Cooling Systems Systems Can Be Controlled
From a Centralized Panel

38. Case Study: Self-Driving Bus Service In Lyon
Jean-Philippe Ksiazek/AFP/Getty Images
“A driverless French car operating in city centers
can become a reality as early as 2018.”
The world’s first driverless bus service began carrying passengers in
the French city of Lyon in September of 2016.
The service consists of two electric minibuses with a capacity of 15
passengers each.
They are not yet capable of maneuvering around other traffic,
therefore their routes are near a tramway where other vehicles are
not allowed.
While this is a breakthrough in implementing automation in smart
cities, the goal is to have driverless passenger cars seamlessly
integrated all over the city.

39. Consumer Behavior: The B Side of Tech Trends
Digital Detoxing Data Security / Privacy Future of Work

40. CES 2018
Tech Trends
Steve Koenig
Sr. Director, Market Research
@KoenigSteve