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Envisioning the Cloud:
 The Next Computing Paradigm and its
 Implications for Technology Policy




 Google DC Talks
 The Newseum
 555 Pennsylvania Avenue
 Washington, DC

 Jeffrey F. Rayport & Andrew Heyward
 Marketspace LLC
 A Monitor Group Company
 March 20, 2009
 2008 Marketspace® LLC, Monitor Group Company – CONFIDENTIAL NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
                   ®
©© 2009 marketspaceLLC, A a monitor group company— CONFIDENTIAL:— NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Overview



        Understanding the Cloud
    




        Benefits of the Cloud
    




        Enabling the Cloud
    




        Government and the Cloud
    




        Concluding Thoughts
    




                        Every dozen or so years, a revolution changes the way we use
                       computers. Huge mainframes in the 1960s, minicomputers in the
                       1970s, personal computers in the 1980s, cell phones and smartphones
                       in the last decade, and now the emergence of cloud computing.

© 2008 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION   www.marketspaceglobal.com   2
Seeding the Cloud




          Processing Power                                             Storage           Connection Speed




             Gordon E. Moore                                         Mark Kryder           Andy Grove




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION         www.marketspaceglobal.com   3
Defining the Cloud

         Cloud computing represents a new way to deploy computing technology to give users
         the ability to access, work on, share, and store information using the Internet. The cloud
         itself is a network of data centers – each composed of many thousands of computers
         working together – that can perform the functions of software on a personal or business
         computer by providing users access to powerful applications, platforms, and services
         delivered over the Internet.

                                                                                          Online Music

                                                          Photo Sharing
                          Social Networks




                                                                                         Online Video

                                                                      Web-mail
                          Smartphones




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                   www.marketspaceglobal.com   4
Layers of the Cloud




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION   www.marketspaceglobal.com   5
Benefits of the Cloud




                 Anytime
                                                            Founded in 1999 declaring the ―end of software‖
                Anywhere                                

                 Access                                     Offered cloud-based version of CRM software
                                                        

                                                            Became first cloud-based service to generate $1 billion in sales
                                                        




           Specialization &
                                                            Sells ―on demand‖ contract and proposal management systems
            Customization                               

                                                            Built a prototype in a ―couple of weekends‖ using Salesforce‘s
                                                        
                                                            Force.com platform – company profitable within nine months
                                                            Focused on customer needs, not development or infrastructure
                                                        




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                        www.marketspaceglobal.com   6
Benefits of the Cloud




                                                            Held InnovationJam in 2006; world‘s largest online brainstorm,
                Collaboration                           
                                                            designed to share IBM‘s advanced research and technologies
                                                            Included over 150,000 participants from 104 countries
                                                        

                                                            From concepts developed during sessions, IBM launched 10 new
                                                        
                                                            businesses with investments totaling $100 million




                  Storage as
                  Universal
                                                            Digitized 150 years of archives, which comprised 11 million articles
                                                        
                   Service
                                                            representing 1.5 terabytes of memory
                                                            Utilized Amazon‘s Simple Storage Service (S3) to digitize complete
                                                        
                                                            archival content page by page in under 36 hours




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                        www.marketspaceglobal.com   7
Benefits of the Cloud




                  Processing
                                                            Provides web-based software for creating presentations using
                                                        
                   Power on                                 photos and music uploaded to the web
                   Demand
                                                            Increased traffic to 750,000 from 5,000 a day after a successful
                                                        
                                                            Facebook marketing campaign
                                                            Added capacity on Amazon Web Services infrastructure at a cost of
                                                        
                                                            10 cents per server hour plus related expenses




                Cost Savings                                Utilized Google Apps to provide Office-type productivity software
                                                        
                                                            for its workforce of over 16,000 people
                                                            Achieved estimated savings of $80 million by not building its own
                                                        
                                                            data center or hiring more engineers to manage it




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                        www.marketspaceglobal.com   8
Enabling the Cloud


                       Universal Connectivity                                                            Open Access




                                                                                              ―The point is that no one should
               ―There will be 499 million in-home
                                                                                              be denied access to [online
               consumer broadband connections
                                                                                              resources] because of who they
               worldwide by 2012 – an
                                                                                              are…. So this is a fairness issue
               extraordinary number, but it
                                                                                              more than anything else.‖
               represents only 25% of the
               world‘s households.‖
                                                                                                         - Vint Cerf, Chief Internet
                                           - Gartner Group
                                                                                                           Evangelist, Google




               In 2007, the United States ranked15th in the                                  This raises complex issues that emerged in
                                                                                        
                                                                                             the debate over ―net neutrality,‖ and
               world in broadband penetration and 13th in
               overall Internet connectivity                                                 powerful commercial interests are at stake


               If the United States falls short in universal                                 Any barriers that restrict access to the
                                                                                        
               access, cloud benefits will fall short, too                                   Internet limit the potential of the cloud


© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                                   www.marketspaceglobal.com   9
Enabling the Cloud


                                 Reliability                                                 Interoperability and User Choice




               ―It is not just about being ‗always                                           ―If a customer doesn‘t like our
               on‘; it is this idea of reliability. If                                       service, they can cancel.‖
               this is reliable, that‘s a big thing. If
               it isn‘t, then what do we turn to?‖                                              - Polly Sumner, President,
                                                                                                  Platform, Alliances, and Services,
                                                                                                  Salesforce.com
                    - Kevin Kelly, Founder, Executive
                      Editor, Wired Magazine




                                                                                             As of now the major players operate
               Even best-known providers of cloud                                        
           
               services fail from time to time – stiffening                                  proprietary cloud infrastructures, with
                                                                                             varying degrees of open standards
               resistance of IT departments

                                                                                             If large providers move to dominate with
               Service that comes close to 100 percent                                   
           
                                                                                             proprietary clouds, it will be difficult to
               reliability is a prerequisite for widespread
                                                                                             realize the full potential of cloud computing
               adoption of cloud computing

© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                                  www.marketspaceglobal.com   10
Enabling the Cloud


                                   Security                                                                  Privacy




               ―If we give this data to a cloud
               computing company, and there is
                                                                                             ―The best medicine is
               a security breach or if that
                                                                                             accountability and transparency.‖
               company gets sold, how do we
               address that? I am accountable.‖
                                                                                                 - Dan Burton, Senior Vice
                                                                                                   President of Global Public
                     - Carolyn Lawson, Chief
                                                                                                   Policy, Salesforce.com
                       Information Officer, California
                       Public Utilities Commission



               Notion of making a third party responsible                                    In the United States, the law treats personal
                                                                                        
                                                                                             information differently once it‘s handed
               for keeping data safe continues to provoke
               debates in corporate IT departments                                           over to a third party


               Cloud providers must demonstrate that                                         Cloud providers must protect user data
                                                                                        
               data is safer than in current systems                                         from unauthorized government access and
                                                                                             ensure integrity of commercial use


© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                                  www.marketspaceglobal.com   11
Enabling the Cloud


                            Economic Value                                                                Sustainability



                ―The classic challenge of
                addressing a new market is to do
                it at a lower cost, make things
                                                                                               In 2006, data centers consumed
                available where they could not
                                                                                               1.5% of all electricity used in the
                previously be delivered, or
                                                                                               United States.
                remove complexity. The cloud
                can address all three of those.‖
                                                                                                   - Environmental Protection
                                                                                                     Agency
                     - Russ Daniels, VP and CTO of
                       Cloud Services Strategy, HP


               The cloud is creating new business                                            EPA estimates that by 2011, consolidating
                                                                                        
               opportunities and new markets by offering                                     computing into data centers could reduce
               high-end computing at lower cost                                              carbon dioxide emissions by 47M metric tons


               The real test will be for the cloud to reduce                                 As enterprises come under increasing
                                                                                        
                                                                                             pressure to go ―green,‖ sustainability is
               costs, increase productivity, and enable
               faster innovation at the enterprise level                                     critical to the viability of cloud computing


© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                                   www.marketspaceglobal.com   12
Government and the Cloud

                                                                Who Decides?
         Policy                                                                                                           Market

                            Cybercrime Enforcement

                                Institutional Adoption

                                  Universal Connectivity

                                                         Sustainability

                                                                        Privacy

                                                                               Security

                                                                                          Interoperability

                                                                                              Reliability

                                                                                                Economic Value



© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                           www.marketspaceglobal.com   13
Cloud Ecosystem

          Data Centers                                                                          Device Manufacturers
                                            Media Companies                              ISPs




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION               www.marketspaceglobal.com   14
Living with the Cloud

                                                                      Netbooks
                                                                                         Retail Touchpoints
                           Set-top Boxes



                                                                                                    Medical Devices
                 Music Players




                                                                                                Electronic Readers
       Home Automation




                                                                                               Consumer Appliances
                  Transportation Vehicles
                                                                      Video Game
                                                                        Systems




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION                   www.marketspaceglobal.com   15
The cloud is a reality for consumers and will become the
                                  ―new normal‖ in corporations and organizations



                             The cloud is one avenue for the United States to re-assert
                              economic and technology leadership on a global stage




                            What government can do best is clear the road for
                                   the cloud‘s expansion, not pave it




© 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION    www.marketspaceglobal.com   16

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Marketspace Envisioning The Cloud

  • 1. Envisioning the Cloud: The Next Computing Paradigm and its Implications for Technology Policy Google DC Talks The Newseum 555 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, DC Jeffrey F. Rayport & Andrew Heyward Marketspace LLC A Monitor Group Company March 20, 2009 2008 Marketspace® LLC, Monitor Group Company – CONFIDENTIAL NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION ® ©© 2009 marketspaceLLC, A a monitor group company— CONFIDENTIAL:— NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
  • 2. Overview Understanding the Cloud  Benefits of the Cloud  Enabling the Cloud  Government and the Cloud  Concluding Thoughts  Every dozen or so years, a revolution changes the way we use computers. Huge mainframes in the 1960s, minicomputers in the 1970s, personal computers in the 1980s, cell phones and smartphones in the last decade, and now the emergence of cloud computing. © 2008 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 2
  • 3. Seeding the Cloud Processing Power Storage Connection Speed Gordon E. Moore Mark Kryder Andy Grove © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 3
  • 4. Defining the Cloud Cloud computing represents a new way to deploy computing technology to give users the ability to access, work on, share, and store information using the Internet. The cloud itself is a network of data centers – each composed of many thousands of computers working together – that can perform the functions of software on a personal or business computer by providing users access to powerful applications, platforms, and services delivered over the Internet. Online Music Photo Sharing Social Networks Online Video Web-mail Smartphones © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 4
  • 5. Layers of the Cloud © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 5
  • 6. Benefits of the Cloud Anytime Founded in 1999 declaring the ―end of software‖ Anywhere  Access Offered cloud-based version of CRM software  Became first cloud-based service to generate $1 billion in sales  Specialization & Sells ―on demand‖ contract and proposal management systems Customization  Built a prototype in a ―couple of weekends‖ using Salesforce‘s  Force.com platform – company profitable within nine months Focused on customer needs, not development or infrastructure  © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 6
  • 7. Benefits of the Cloud Held InnovationJam in 2006; world‘s largest online brainstorm, Collaboration  designed to share IBM‘s advanced research and technologies Included over 150,000 participants from 104 countries  From concepts developed during sessions, IBM launched 10 new  businesses with investments totaling $100 million Storage as Universal Digitized 150 years of archives, which comprised 11 million articles  Service representing 1.5 terabytes of memory Utilized Amazon‘s Simple Storage Service (S3) to digitize complete  archival content page by page in under 36 hours © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 7
  • 8. Benefits of the Cloud Processing Provides web-based software for creating presentations using  Power on photos and music uploaded to the web Demand Increased traffic to 750,000 from 5,000 a day after a successful  Facebook marketing campaign Added capacity on Amazon Web Services infrastructure at a cost of  10 cents per server hour plus related expenses Cost Savings Utilized Google Apps to provide Office-type productivity software  for its workforce of over 16,000 people Achieved estimated savings of $80 million by not building its own  data center or hiring more engineers to manage it © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 8
  • 9. Enabling the Cloud Universal Connectivity Open Access ―The point is that no one should ―There will be 499 million in-home be denied access to [online consumer broadband connections resources] because of who they worldwide by 2012 – an are…. So this is a fairness issue extraordinary number, but it more than anything else.‖ represents only 25% of the world‘s households.‖ - Vint Cerf, Chief Internet - Gartner Group Evangelist, Google In 2007, the United States ranked15th in the This raises complex issues that emerged in   the debate over ―net neutrality,‖ and world in broadband penetration and 13th in overall Internet connectivity powerful commercial interests are at stake If the United States falls short in universal Any barriers that restrict access to the   access, cloud benefits will fall short, too Internet limit the potential of the cloud © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 9
  • 10. Enabling the Cloud Reliability Interoperability and User Choice ―It is not just about being ‗always ―If a customer doesn‘t like our on‘; it is this idea of reliability. If service, they can cancel.‖ this is reliable, that‘s a big thing. If it isn‘t, then what do we turn to?‖ - Polly Sumner, President, Platform, Alliances, and Services, Salesforce.com - Kevin Kelly, Founder, Executive Editor, Wired Magazine As of now the major players operate Even best-known providers of cloud   services fail from time to time – stiffening proprietary cloud infrastructures, with varying degrees of open standards resistance of IT departments If large providers move to dominate with Service that comes close to 100 percent   proprietary clouds, it will be difficult to reliability is a prerequisite for widespread realize the full potential of cloud computing adoption of cloud computing © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 10
  • 11. Enabling the Cloud Security Privacy ―If we give this data to a cloud computing company, and there is ―The best medicine is a security breach or if that accountability and transparency.‖ company gets sold, how do we address that? I am accountable.‖ - Dan Burton, Senior Vice President of Global Public - Carolyn Lawson, Chief Policy, Salesforce.com Information Officer, California Public Utilities Commission Notion of making a third party responsible In the United States, the law treats personal   information differently once it‘s handed for keeping data safe continues to provoke debates in corporate IT departments over to a third party Cloud providers must demonstrate that Cloud providers must protect user data   data is safer than in current systems from unauthorized government access and ensure integrity of commercial use © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 11
  • 12. Enabling the Cloud Economic Value Sustainability ―The classic challenge of addressing a new market is to do it at a lower cost, make things In 2006, data centers consumed available where they could not 1.5% of all electricity used in the previously be delivered, or United States. remove complexity. The cloud can address all three of those.‖ - Environmental Protection Agency - Russ Daniels, VP and CTO of Cloud Services Strategy, HP The cloud is creating new business EPA estimates that by 2011, consolidating   opportunities and new markets by offering computing into data centers could reduce high-end computing at lower cost carbon dioxide emissions by 47M metric tons The real test will be for the cloud to reduce As enterprises come under increasing   pressure to go ―green,‖ sustainability is costs, increase productivity, and enable faster innovation at the enterprise level critical to the viability of cloud computing © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 12
  • 13. Government and the Cloud Who Decides? Policy Market Cybercrime Enforcement Institutional Adoption Universal Connectivity Sustainability Privacy Security Interoperability Reliability Economic Value © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 13
  • 14. Cloud Ecosystem Data Centers Device Manufacturers Media Companies ISPs © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 14
  • 15. Living with the Cloud Netbooks Retail Touchpoints Set-top Boxes Medical Devices Music Players Electronic Readers Home Automation Consumer Appliances Transportation Vehicles Video Game Systems © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 15
  • 16. The cloud is a reality for consumers and will become the ―new normal‖ in corporations and organizations The cloud is one avenue for the United States to re-assert economic and technology leadership on a global stage What government can do best is clear the road for the cloud‘s expansion, not pave it © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION www.marketspaceglobal.com 16