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The Next Phase of Web2.0: Data
Jamie Taylor
eschew mentalistic
explanations

you tend not to get
caught up in them
when working with
preverbal animals
Internet Trolls: are shy
                                                     people who engage in
                                                     argumentation to fulfill their
                                                     need for conversation and
                                                     human contact.

                                                     Really? How do you know?




http://www.flickr.com/photos/pagedooley/2789916201/
Let the data speak for itself

This is a description of a
community

2 users engaged in closed
exchange
Building
                    communities of data




 Build Flexible
Applications with
  Graph Data
12 Million Nodes
350 Million Links
Item #3 of
"what is web2.0"
http://www.plasticbag.org/files/native/
#2 what is
                                        web2.0:

                                        Harnessing
                                        Collective
                                        Intelligence




Network effects from user contributions are the
 key to market dominance in the Web 2.0 era.
                                  - Tim O'Reilly
How do you design for Network Effects?




Network Effects
What is the story about?



Multiplying a scarce resource via community

                             This is an economic tale
                             The community was altered
                             The rules of exchange were altered
                             Changed the Economy

                             community = economy
So far...


Jamie is an economist in disguise
Stone Soup is an economic tale
Community is another word for economy
Models of Participation   In a community
Participatory Communities


                Visitors
              Contributing

               0.16%

               0.2%


               4.56%


             Source: Hitwise, reported by Bill Tancer 4/25/2007 in Time Magazine
Pyramid of Contribution
Following Bradley Horowitz




http://www.flickr.com/photos/arancidamoeba/3421129195/
Pyramid of Contribution
Following Bradley Horowitz



                                                        Creators


                                                        Synthesizers



                                                        Consumers




http://www.flickr.com/photos/arancidamoeba/3421129195/
Methylene Blue, methylthionine chloride or 3,7-
bis(dimethylamino)phenothiazin-5-ium chloride, with a
molecular formula of C16H18ClN3S, is a dye and medication
used in Gram's stain, Wright stain, and the treatment of
metoxyhemoglobinemia.
Its CAS number is 61-73-4: its EC number is 200-515-2 .
Pyramids of Contribution Opportunities




                           Community at any scale.
                           Not just one pyramid.

                           Each Pyramid of contribution fosters many others.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/russellbernice/2947422039/
Bifurcation
?
Users will create/fill-in
missing mechanisms. Can
we capture/extend their
work (to take advantage of
the data they are creating.)
Branch/Merge well know to technical community - how do
we extend to the broader community?
Need to understand the structure of
the conversation to analyze it.
Percolation




              http://www.flickr.com/photos/hllewellyn/2614771667/
RT
1   2       6   7


2   3   4   5   6


3               7



4   5
P = 0.6
after 60 steps
Coupling




http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Railroad_Coupling_(CMRR).jpg
The Architecture of Participation
  ...modular architecture that allows easy
  participation by independent or loosely
          coordinated developers.
                            - Tim O'Reilly
NK Boolean Networks




                N Nodes
                K Connections

                As you increase the
                number of connections
A parameterized
model of coupling.

As K increases, the
space of values
becomes less
predictable.
Scale
Linear Value
     N
Metcalfe's Law
     N  2
Group Formation Networks
          2 N
Reed's Law




                     N
Value




                     N^2
                     2^N




             N
2N
Value




        N       N2


                  N


   Broadcast   Email   Chatrooms
#
2N
Value




        N       N2


                 N


   Broadcast   Feeds        #tags
Controlled Vocabulary




                        http://www.flickr.com/photos/acme/2707444462
<script type="text/javascript"
           src="http://ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.3.2/jquery.min.js"></script>
<script type="text/javascript"
           src="http://freebaselibs.com/static/suggest/1.0.1/suggest.min.js"></script>


<script type="text/javascript">
$(function() {
   $("#suggestinput").suggest()
      .bind("fb-select", function(e, data) {
        $('#profileid').val(data.id);
    });
});
</script>


http://freebase.com/docs/suggest
Using well-known
semantics connects you
to other communities:
- Open Graph Protocol
- Freebase
- HTML5 Microformats
Cumulative Advantage




                       http://www.flickr.com/photos/amagill/3366720659/
Clocks didn’t
have to look
like this.
Many early
clocks were 24
hour clocks.
10,000 year clock

Conceived by Danny
Hillis, co-founder of
Metaweb
Enough people started
using this format that it
became the standard....

VHS/Betamax anyone?
Is Justin Timberlake a Product of
         Cumulative Advantage?



http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/15/magazine/15wwlnidealab.t.html
The rich get richer
                  and
Connected data attracts more connections
The foundation behind:

-Scale Free Networks
-Small World Networks
"If you need scale in order to create value, it's hard
to get scale, because there's little incentive for the
first people to use the product. Ideally, the system
should be useful for user number one."

                             -Joshua Schachter, 2006
Old - but still filled
with great ideas!
Dan Bricklin:
Cornucopia of the Commons
•   Three ways to build a database
    •   Organize manually
    •   Organize mechanically
    •   Get volunteers to build it
"...one can predict the success of a particular
system for building a shared database by how much
the database is aided through normal, selfish use."

                               -Dan Bricklin, 2001
http://www.flickr.com/photos/nortinirt/2113818464/
Stone Soup Review

   Multiplying a scarce resource via community
                                 Cumulative Advantage:
                                 -once people started to contribute....easier
                                 for others to contribute....positive feedback.

                                 Architecture for Participation:
Cumulative advantage             - loosely coupled.
                                 - If one contribution failed, others could
                                 succeed.
Architecture for participation   Community at all scales:
                                 -Different type of contribution
Community at all scales          -Individual contributions,
                                 -family contributions,
                                 -pre cooked contributions
                                 -community contributions
‣Think about data accumulation in interaction design
‣Design for Network Effects
 -Allow community to work at all scales
 -Provide tools for bifurcation management
 -Facilitate Percolation (but don't over connect)
 -Couple contributions loosely
 -Foster Group Forming Networks (2      N scaling)


 -Guide data convergence through vocabulary
 -Leverage cumulative advantage
‣Deliver value, create data, deliver value

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The next phase of Web2.0: Data