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Jumpstarting Customer Traction and Improving Your Valuation Through Data-Driven Metrics
- 1. Jumpstarting Customer Traction and Improving Your Valuation Jonathan Boutelle CTO, SlideShare
- 2. About
- 3. About
- 5. 1) We got a toehold
- 6. We solved one persons problem
- 7. PR worked for us(caveats)
- 8. We had a simple explanation of what we were
- 9. 2) We Built a Community
- 13. Things we would have used (had they been available)
- 17. 3) We figured out a distribution strategy
- 18. Home Signup / Login / Help SlideShare.org My favorites tags people My slideshows Edit Delete Show this if it’s YOUR slideshow Note: this is viewing your slideshow Tags Ruby Rails ROR Etech Ruby on Rails By Jonathan Boutelle Etech: 3/08/06 next prev first last
- 19. next prev first last Slideshow details Views: 65 This is a talk I gave about Ruby on Rails Added on 4/7/06 by jboutelle (6 slideshows, 22 favorites) Tags: ruby, ror, rails Slideshow Transcript: 1)Optimizing AJAX: by Jonathan Boutelle 2)How to make AJAX fast by Executing faster code, Running Code in advance, Using new technologies Note: this is just so we can use google search in the beginning, instead of writing Our own search.
- 24. Viral Loops User joins service 15% conversion rate User opens invite User sends 100 invites 10% open rate
- 27. Paying for it
- 28. 4) Webecame a data-driven team
- 29. Traction?
- 30. Proving Traction
- 31. Trust, but verify: outside numbers
- 32. Quantcast Alexa
- 33. Google Analytics Time on Site Unique visitors per month Page Views per month Share login with potential investors
- 34. Traction Example
- 35. User and content acquisition growing fast 16% monthly growth 70% monthly growth 35 From SlideShare Pitch Deck. March 2008
- 36. 4.6 million monthly visitors, 11% monthly growth Alexa chart for Reach : Rank - 2300 36 From SlideShare Pitch Deck. March 2008
- 37. Widget growth has picked up speed 50% growth in March 71% growth in March From SlideShare Pitch Deck. March 2008
- 38. Money Traction vs User Traction
- 40. Micro-Metrics
- 41. Measuring acquisition: funnel conversion rates
- 42. Viral loops (again) User joins service 15% conversion rate User opens invite User sends (on aveage) 100 invites 10% open rate
- 43. A / B tests with google website optimizer
- 44. Measuring Retention: Cohort analysis
- 45. Micro-Economics Gross profit per customer (Lifetime value of customer – customer acquisition cost) Decreasing churn does what to LCV? Increasing conversion does what to CAC?
- 46. Becoming a metrics-driven organization
- 47. Metrics (v1)
- 48. Metrics (v1)
- 49. #epic fail
- 50. Metrics Challenges Metrics are hard … But not sexy Need social context to be effective
- 51. Metrics (v2) Redacted Redacted
- 53. Local Maxima
- 54. Why v2 works Data is ergonomic One number + context Social context (weekly team meetings)
- 55. v3
- 56. What metrics to focus on?
- 57. 5) Some thoughts on scaling a business
- 58. Use the cloud!
- 59. Infrastructure as a service
- 61. Think Global
- 62. 6)What I would have done differently
- 63. Testing demand: Sell before you build
- 70. Closing Thoughts
- 71. Have fun out there!
Notes de l'éditeur
- Hey! Me, About.Going to be talking about this.Going to ground my ideas in my experiences, and also in things that I plan on doing if I do another startup. The internet has changed since slideshare launched, so there are new techniques and distribution channels to take advantage of now. I’ll cover all the ones that excite me.I don’t want this to be a typical self-aggrandizing talk where someone is bragging about how successful they are. Slideshare is a big site and we’ve had a lot of success, but I’m no Barry Diller or Mark Zuckerberg. I think that actually makes this talk more relevant, because if you’re here you probably aren’t Barry Diller or Mark Zuckerberg either. You’re someone with an idea, maybe a prototype and a founding team, maybe some angel funding, and you’re trying to figure out how to get to the fun part of the hockey stick. I was there a couple of years ago, so I’ll share what I can.
- Software engineer turned entrepreneur. Started my career in computer graphics, doing scientific visualization stuff. Was as far away from the business side as you could be at that point. Caught my big break when I joined a fledgling b2b startup called Commerce One in 1998. Spent the next five years cranking out product on a really massive scale as the company grew. Left c1 in 2003 after the huge market that we were targettingevaportated overnight in the dot-com bust. Since 2003 I’ve been an entrepreneur, starting in consulting, Did a b2b startup (online surveys for designers). Bootstapped that to profitable lifestyle business with 10 employees. Tried and failed to penetrate enterprise "software install" sales, learned exactly how hard that is. Got the idea for slideshare in early 06. Built a prototype with one engineer, launched and it was an immediate hit. Incorportated in 07, took funding in 08, now profitable site with over 30M unique visitors a month.
- 4min to here.Slideshare stats.
- Put release with a minimum feature set here?
- 5:15 to here
- Weren’t ready to handle the load.This probably wouldn’t work as well for us as it did for you.
- Post launch adrenalyn.RSS and blog. Sweated over every user. Personally responded to all support requests within one hour. Comment from a founder on every blog post embedding a slideshare embed. Exhaustive curating work … giving many people the chance to be “stars” by being “featured”.We spoke in an authentic non-corporate sounding voice. We were frank in admiting mistakes. were super-authentic.The thing to remember is that people are surprised to hear from anyone, let alone founders, when they have a gripe.
- ADD ADRENALYN SLIDE?
- And that we used as soon as they launched
- Twitter: like RSS in 2006. “Magic” customer service.Speak in a personal voice. Don’t think this is a problem for most entrepreneurs who are .
- ADD SCREENSHOT OF WIDGET
- “What’s your distribution strategy” is one of the typical softball questions anyone thinking of investing in you or joining your team will ask you. It basically means where are you going to get users / customers.On the internet users come from: paid traffic, search, and viral.Needless to say, we didn’t get this. But we did get lucky.
- 23 min to here.Even if you don’t have a viral loop, you can still get your message out through viral channels.This slide shows how much effort we put into making it easy for users to blast content out to twitter and facebook.TODO: ADD SHOUT-OUT TO TWEETMEME
- Viral loopsOne user joining => at least one more user joining.Skype, Hotmail, Friendster, Facebook, Zynga all classic viral companies.When one user does something, it makes another user do the same thing. Theoretically infinite traffic.Anything that people use with other people over the internet is a candidate for viral distribution strategy.The original viral example: hotmail.The classic viral example is a facebook app that tricks you into inviting all your friends. This is an app that is tuned to spread literally like a virus. May have very poor retention of users.
- Here you can see the complex web between our different distribution channels,as well as the raw power of twitter as a viral channel.Embed. Retweeted 29 times. Each time it goes out to the feed of all the people who are following that person. Note that the url being promoted is the blog post, not the slideshareurl. ADD BIT.LY?
- Facebook, Apple App StoreProvide a “distribution channel”. A place where you can put your product and it will get traffic.Facebook: pure traffic. Can promote with ads on platform.Apple: installation flow and easy payment. Your task: to get on the top 10 list for some category of applications in some country. Involves primative SEO-like work.
- Joke.Fine to pay for traffic if you can monetize the traffic.Nothing makes entrepreneurs and investors happier than a machine that you can put 10$ bills into the top and it spits 20$ bills out the bottom. Need to measure carefully. Make sure the cost of user acquisition is less than the lifetime value of the customer.NEW SLIDEZynga example: If you plow profits back into ads you can grow and grow. Any viral loop you have, even a “broken” one, is just free users.We’re actually going to do an example using this approach later on.
- “Get out of the flat part of the hockey stick”
- Prove viability of the business model. Provde that your hypotheses are grounded in reality.More generally, prove you’re actually getting somewhere. Prove that the dogs are eating the dog food.
- WHAT DOES TRACTION LOOK LIKE?"I got 1000 email addresses of people who said they want to know when the product launches and are interested in paying money for it""I have 50,000 unique visitors and traffic is growing 20% a month.""I have 1000 active users. 60% of people who joined a month ago are active once a week on the site. Users keep asking for features X Y and Z""I sold 10k worth of consulting that is based on the product""I got a million users (facebook app only)""I sold 100,000 copies of my software! " (iphone app only).The SHAPE of the line matters a LOT more than the actual line. Has to be going up and to the right.
- Money traction is obviously more valuable than regular traction.Complex trade-off though. Once you start making money it’s easy to do a traditional valuation on discounted cash flow. NOT what you want an investor to do.Also depends on business model. A media business like slideshare isn’t monetizable until it’s at scale. Ad Sales guys make a lot of money, you need a lot of impressions to sell to make them pay for themselves.Revenue going up high and to the right will definitely impress more than other traction proof-points.
- All these numbers I’ve been showing you are extremely useful for pitching (in the broad sense: giving investors, employees, the press, YOURSELF proof that you are actually getting somewhere).Extremely useless at helping you deliver these results. That’s why these metrics are called “VANITY METRICS”Why? Aggregate view. Lots of different reasons a chart could be going up. They tell you how things are going, not why things are happening.Good investors want, more than anything else, to know that you are in the drivers seat. That u are making changes to the site that change the behavior of users on the site. That you are measuring carefully and making changes on the basis of hypothesis
- 40 min to here.NEEDS EXAMPLESimple changes to the download text increased the number of downloads dramatically.Tested a cleaner layout for theslideview page. Increased average time on site by 20%!Simple changes to .Simple changes to registration form increased conversion rates.
- Also active weekly users
- 44 min to hereIf you can prove that you can acquire users for less than the value you extract out of them, compelling investment opportunity. Pour money in the front, more comes out the back. Just add cash.Note the effect that reducing churn has on the lifetime value of the customer. More months =>more money. Can support a higher acquisition cost.Note the effect that increasing the conversion rate has on your customer acquisition cost. Same # of clicks => more users .
- Cloudcompluting: storage by the gig, computing by the hour.Variablize your infrastructure costs.Pay only for what you need.Pay after you use it.Breath in before you breath out (cash is oxygen)
- Outsource! Focus on your core competency!TODO LINKEDIN EXAMPLE
- Landing page in 5 minutes with no design or technical skills.Ability to A/B test different designs and measure conversion rates.