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Online Marketing and Metrics:
because everything counts

                 Justo Hidalgo
           jhidalgo@24symbols.com
                 @justohidalgo
Hi!
■ Co-founder,

■ Data Integration and Management,
  Product Strategy and Innovation

■ Ph.D. in Computer Science on Data
  Integration and Web Automation

■ Ergo: Love Data 

■ @justohidalgo
24symbols is a service to read digital books on
 the Internet based on a subscription model




                = cloud + social + freemium



@justohidalgo
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                Nov-11
                Dec-11
                Jan-12
                Feb-12
                Mar-12




@justohidalgo
                Apr-12
                May-12
                Jun-12
                 Jul-12
                Aug-12
                Sep-12
My goals today
 Basic marketing and product strategy
  • The Whole Product
  • Segmentation, targeting and positioning
 Online marketing 101
  • Two big realities (not trends anymore!)
  • SEO, SEM, Social media
 Metrics
 A/B Testing
What I won’t talk about

 Qualitative measurement
  • Competitive landscape, UX quality, …


 Standard financial metrics
  • Revenue, Balance, Burn rate, Runway, …


 All possible metrics in the world
  • As many as asses
Strategic Planning




Source: Tony Seba’s High Tech Marketing course @ Stanford U.
What’s a
product?
The dude that invented the
    wheel was an idiot.
 The one that invented the
 other three was a genius!
                       Sid Caesar
What if you
want to
“productize” a
“Hello World”
program?
The Whole Product

           Potential Product

           Augmented Product

            Expected Product


             Producto
         Producto Potencial
               PRODUCT
            Aumentado
Product

     Potential Product

     Augmented Product

      Expected Product


       Producto
   Producto Potencial
         PRODUCT
      Aumentado
Expected Product

     Potential Product

     Augmented Product

      Expected Product


       Producto
   Producto Potencial
         PRODUCT
      Aumentado
Augmented Product

     Potential Product

     Augmented Product

      Expected Product


       Producto
   Producto Potencial
         PRODUCT
      Aumentado
Potential Product

     Potential Product

     Augmented Product

      Expected Product


       Producto
   Producto Potencial
         PRODUCT
      Aumentado
Segmentación
(and I don’t wanna cook!)
People don’t want to buy a ¼’’
drill.
They want a ¼’’ hole!!!
                                  Theodore Levitt,
                 Professor of Marketing @ Harvard
Value
creation: the
product
benefits bring
something
new to the
user
Value
capture:
someone
pays for the
generated
value
What’s a market segment
■ Group of clients or potential clients of a set of
  product/services that posess a series of needs,
  behavioral patterns and common characteristics,
  and that communicate among each other when
  deciding upon a purchase decision.
Tipos de segmentos

■ Geography (e.g. Per region)
■ Size (e.g. Per income, revenue,
  growth rate, …)
■ Industry (e.g. Per SIC code)
■ Purchase type (e.g. Centralized vs
  decentralized)
■ Personal (e.g. Risk profile)
■…
Targeting
Evaluation and
  prioritization of the
  market segments

Based on how creative a
 market is, and how it
 can be served by our
 product




              Bullseye, © Marvel Corp.
Positioning = Differentiation
■ Product must be
  positioned w.r.t.
  two elements:
  • Client needs
  • Competitors
How to position

■ Relative to technologies, products o
  processes
■ Relative to competitors
  • Avis: “We’re #2, that’s why try harder”
■ Finding a unique niche
  • Genentech: “small” ($300M-$600M)
    oncology markets
■ Becoming a category leader
There are two earthquakes
going on
One: your users are not playing at YOUR
HOUSE




                    … and that means that…
… they are PLAYING ELSEWHERE…
… so you need to be where conversation
happens…
This means…

1. Listen, pulse


       2. Analyze


              3. Establish conversations…
                 almost always
Two: whatever you do, it will be recorded
The BIG mistake

Cisco just offered me a job! Now I
 have to weigh the utility of a fatty
 paycheck against the daily
 commute to San Jose and hatingthe
 work.
Dude, you ain’t
uploadin’ this to
Facebook, right?
… but that’s the
difference…
Cluetrain Manifesto

       1. Markets are conversations
       2. Markets are comprised by
          human beings, not
          demographic sectors
       3. Conversation among human
          being sounds human
       ■ … and other 92 thesis
       http://www.cluetrain.com
Basic, basic, basic introduction
For more info, check:
   ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/introduction-to-seo-
    5003433
   ➤http://www.seomoz.org/beginners-guide-to-seo
   ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/fundamentals-of-
    great-seo
   ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/the-evolution-of-
    googles-rankings
   ➤http://www.slideshare.net/ajaxlogos/meet-panda-seo-
    google-the-algorithm-and-publishing
   ➤http://www.slideshare.net/humanlevel/posicionamiento-
    en-buscadores-seo-y-sem-bsicos
Basic types of promotion

■   Sales promotion
■   Advertisement
■   Sales force
■   Public relations (PR)
■   Direct marketing
Organic vs Paid Search
Organic vs Paid Search

10% of Clicks




90% of Clicks
SEO is the practice of improving and promoting
a web site in order to increase the number of
visitors the site receives from search engines.
Marketing in search engines
■ Advantages
  •   Top ranking captures 90% of clicks
  •   No cost per clicks
  •   Helps select prospects during discovery stage
  •   Content beats budget (by now!)
■ Cons
  •   No guarantee
  •   Takes time (months!)
  •   Difficult to control
  •   Difficult if competitors are already positioned
Reasons to take care of SEO
  Deep Web
  • Search
  • Submission-required forms
  Links in un-parseable javascript
  Robots.txt or meta robots tag
  • Is Google a rogue bot?
  Frames, iFrames
  • They *should* work
  Flash, applets, …
  100’s, 1000’s of links on a page
  • Search engines don’t crawl ALL of them
Keywords
Trends
Don’t look like a Farm site
Old SEO tricks don’t work anymore:
•   Reciprocal link pages
•   Keyword-variant abuse
•   Generic design and layout (watch out CMS tools!)
•   Anonymous contact forms
•   Keyword-stuffed titles and pages
•   …
Marketing in search engines
■   SEM: Search Engine Marketing
■   PPC: Pay per Click
■   Used in paid searches
■   E.g. Google AdWords
■   Paid per keyword use
■   Advantages
    • Control on ranking, text and “landing page”
    • Typically uses “auctions”. One can compete
    • Campaigns can be tested
■ Cons
    •   No pay, no exist 
    •   Not so reliable
    •   Expensive
    •   If someone pays more, wins
Marketing in search engines
■ Contextual advertisement
■ E.g. Google AdSense
■ Advantages
  • Good for branding
  • Not just in search engines! blogs, facebook,
    twitter, …
  • Easy to test
■ Cons/Challenges
  • Do FB users want to click on ads when
    chatting?
  • Difficult (i.e. expensive) to test and succeed
Social Media + SEO: big win
  Facebook shares
  Twitters tweets, RTs
  Google +1s
  Youtube
  …

  These are all taken into account by Google, Bing
When to promote and how
Let’s talk about metrics and
startups!
Watch this…




500startups’ Dave McClure
… and this!




Carsonified’s Ryan Carson
AARRR
Acquire     Activate     Retain         Refer      Get Revenue


SEO         Landing     Content        Campaigns     Shopping
SEM          Page         (blogs,      Emails         cart
Campaigns   Product        articles,   …             Subscriptions
Email        Features      …)                        Lead Gen
Blogs       …           Emails                       …
…                       Alerts
                        …




             traffic                    social        business
Traffic Metrics
Acquisition




 How do people find your site?
@justohidalgo
15 seconds in “La
       1”
Metrics
Number of visits         Distributions (per browser, region,
                         …)




Bounce rate



                   Number of page views
AActivation




    How sticky is your site?
Metrics
   # Sign ins!!!            Recency (time since user did
85000
                            something meaningful)
80000

75000

70000

65000

60000

55000

50000

45000

40000
                             Time per page

                             Time on site
   (and churn as well!!!)
Biggest Apple
                Reseller in Spain

                1-year
                subscription to
                24s per iPad/Mac
                purchased




@justohidalgo
AARetention




  Why do users come back?
Metrics. The standard ones…
 Number of unique/returning visitors

 Visits over time

 Average session time
… engagement…

 D/WAU: Daily/Weekly Active
 Users

 MAU: Monthly Active Users

                D/WAU
 Stickiness =
                MAU
… but also domain-specific!!!
 # Active readers
 # Books read per user
 Pages read per active
 reader per month




                         Pages read per
                         paid user per
                         month
Social Metrics
AARReferral




 Do people talk about your site?
Types of users
 Visitor



 Contributor



 Distributor
Virality
Amplification rate:
• (#shares, #RTs, …)


K-Factor = AR *
conversion rate
• = 1: steady state
• > 1: growth
    ➤ 1.4 < x < 2.1 => hot &
     viral!!!
• < 1: decline
The Four Viral App Objectives
     % viral hosts

     Contact rate per active host



     Duration of each active host’s
     infectious time period

     Infection conversion

Source: http://framethink.wordpress.com/2008/01/15/the-four-viral-app-
objectives-aka-social-network-application-virality-101/
@justohidalgo
Business Metrics
AARRRevenue




    Do you make money?
3 (main) metrics for SaaS

 CMRR



 LTV



 CACR
Churn
CMRR
 SaaS = recurring revenues
 CMRR = Committed Monthly Recurring Revenue
 • Recurring + new accounts + new upsells – churn
LTV



                                                     ARPU *
                                                              100%
                                                            Churn rate
                                                                         Lifetime Value =

Source: http://blog.kissmetrics.com/how-to-calculate-lifetime-value/
Customer Acquisition Cost
                     gross margin per customer
 CAC Ratio=
                  sales/marketing costs per customer




 Bessemer: average ratio of SaaS companies = 0.6
LTV vs CAC
 Of course, LTV > CAC
 But, moreover: LTV > 3x CAC
Freemium. Conversion Rate
                                              Free
    Users




                   Delayed subscription       Premium
                (test the service & engage)

                                              Conversion
                                              Rate



                                              Time
@justohidalgo
Freemium for Books. Price per page
 Price/page




                                  Profit threshold




              Growth   Consolidation

                               time/conversion rate

@justohidalgo
One key question for the whole AARRR
cycle
■ How effective is a web page compared to another?




                        ?
What’s A/B Testing?

                               Visitors are randomly distributed
                   Version A                                       Version B




                                                 time




  1200 new users                                                   1000 new users

                               Version A is better than B
What should you test?
 The call to action’s (i.e. the button’s) wording,
   size, color and placement,

 Headline or product description,

 Form’s length and types of fields,

 Layout and style of website,

 Product pricing and promotional offers,

 Images on landing and product pages,

 Amount of text on the page (short vs. long)



… anything that you think it might affect your Key Metrics.
Is A/B testing perfect?

   Very good for ONE-SINGLE-GOAL
   projects where the KPI can be
   measured by counting actions
    • E.g. Downloads vs Quality perceived
   Granularity of the A/B test is
   paramount
    • If “A” better than “B” or is it just that
      the headline in B is horrible, but the
      rest is much much much better than
      “A”?
   A/B testing is suboptimal*


* Recommended:
http://untyped.com/untyping/2011/02/11/stop-ab-testing-and-
make-out-like-a-bandit/
Analytics
Heatmaps
Social media
Conclusions
@justohidalgo
2. Have someone taking care of it
3. Only measure what you truly care about




@justohidalgo
But again, choose right
4. Beware vanity metrics…
… they may hide an awful truth
Thanks for your time!




Justo Hidalgo
http://www.loscuentosdelabuelo.com

jhidalgo@24symbols.com
@justohidalgo
Credits
  Olivier Guin, from The Noun Project
  Dima Yagnyuk, from The Noun Project
  Redesign from Otl Aicher’s icon, from The Noun Project
  Axsys, from The Noun Project
  Monika Ciapala, from The Noun Project
  Rob Schill, from The Noun Project
  Martin Karachorov, from The Noun Project
  Alexandre Mendes, from The Noun Project

  All other icons from The Noun Project

  Publishers trademarks, logos and brands belong to their
  respective companies.

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Online Marketing and Metrics Presentation at UEIA, 2012

  • 1. Online Marketing and Metrics: because everything counts Justo Hidalgo jhidalgo@24symbols.com @justohidalgo
  • 2.
  • 3. Hi! ■ Co-founder, ■ Data Integration and Management, Product Strategy and Innovation ■ Ph.D. in Computer Science on Data Integration and Web Automation ■ Ergo: Love Data  ■ @justohidalgo
  • 4. 24symbols is a service to read digital books on the Internet based on a subscription model = cloud + social + freemium @justohidalgo
  • 5. 40000 45000 50000 55000 60000 65000 70000 75000 80000 85000 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 @justohidalgo Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12
  • 6. My goals today Basic marketing and product strategy • The Whole Product • Segmentation, targeting and positioning Online marketing 101 • Two big realities (not trends anymore!) • SEO, SEM, Social media Metrics A/B Testing
  • 7. What I won’t talk about Qualitative measurement • Competitive landscape, UX quality, … Standard financial metrics • Revenue, Balance, Burn rate, Runway, … All possible metrics in the world • As many as asses
  • 8. Strategic Planning Source: Tony Seba’s High Tech Marketing course @ Stanford U.
  • 9.
  • 11. The dude that invented the wheel was an idiot. The one that invented the other three was a genius! Sid Caesar
  • 12. What if you want to “productize” a “Hello World” program?
  • 13.
  • 14. The Whole Product Potential Product Augmented Product Expected Product Producto Producto Potencial PRODUCT Aumentado
  • 15. Product Potential Product Augmented Product Expected Product Producto Producto Potencial PRODUCT Aumentado
  • 16. Expected Product Potential Product Augmented Product Expected Product Producto Producto Potencial PRODUCT Aumentado
  • 17. Augmented Product Potential Product Augmented Product Expected Product Producto Producto Potencial PRODUCT Aumentado
  • 18. Potential Product Potential Product Augmented Product Expected Product Producto Producto Potencial PRODUCT Aumentado
  • 19.
  • 21. (and I don’t wanna cook!)
  • 22. People don’t want to buy a ¼’’ drill. They want a ¼’’ hole!!! Theodore Levitt, Professor of Marketing @ Harvard
  • 25. What’s a market segment ■ Group of clients or potential clients of a set of product/services that posess a series of needs, behavioral patterns and common characteristics, and that communicate among each other when deciding upon a purchase decision.
  • 26. Tipos de segmentos ■ Geography (e.g. Per region) ■ Size (e.g. Per income, revenue, growth rate, …) ■ Industry (e.g. Per SIC code) ■ Purchase type (e.g. Centralized vs decentralized) ■ Personal (e.g. Risk profile) ■…
  • 27. Targeting Evaluation and prioritization of the market segments Based on how creative a market is, and how it can be served by our product Bullseye, © Marvel Corp.
  • 29. ■ Product must be positioned w.r.t. two elements: • Client needs • Competitors
  • 30. How to position ■ Relative to technologies, products o processes ■ Relative to competitors • Avis: “We’re #2, that’s why try harder” ■ Finding a unique niche • Genentech: “small” ($300M-$600M) oncology markets ■ Becoming a category leader
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. There are two earthquakes going on
  • 35. One: your users are not playing at YOUR HOUSE … and that means that…
  • 36. … they are PLAYING ELSEWHERE…
  • 37. … so you need to be where conversation happens…
  • 38. This means… 1. Listen, pulse 2. Analyze 3. Establish conversations… almost always
  • 39.
  • 40. Two: whatever you do, it will be recorded
  • 41. The BIG mistake Cisco just offered me a job! Now I have to weigh the utility of a fatty paycheck against the daily commute to San Jose and hatingthe work.
  • 42. Dude, you ain’t uploadin’ this to Facebook, right?
  • 43.
  • 44. … but that’s the difference…
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Cluetrain Manifesto 1. Markets are conversations 2. Markets are comprised by human beings, not demographic sectors 3. Conversation among human being sounds human ■ … and other 92 thesis http://www.cluetrain.com
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. Basic, basic, basic introduction For more info, check: ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/introduction-to-seo- 5003433 ➤http://www.seomoz.org/beginners-guide-to-seo ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/fundamentals-of- great-seo ➤http://www.slideshare.net/randfish/the-evolution-of- googles-rankings ➤http://www.slideshare.net/ajaxlogos/meet-panda-seo- google-the-algorithm-and-publishing ➤http://www.slideshare.net/humanlevel/posicionamiento- en-buscadores-seo-y-sem-bsicos
  • 51. Basic types of promotion ■ Sales promotion ■ Advertisement ■ Sales force ■ Public relations (PR) ■ Direct marketing
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Organic vs Paid Search
  • 55. Organic vs Paid Search 10% of Clicks 90% of Clicks
  • 56. SEO is the practice of improving and promoting a web site in order to increase the number of visitors the site receives from search engines.
  • 57. Marketing in search engines ■ Advantages • Top ranking captures 90% of clicks • No cost per clicks • Helps select prospects during discovery stage • Content beats budget (by now!) ■ Cons • No guarantee • Takes time (months!) • Difficult to control • Difficult if competitors are already positioned
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60. Reasons to take care of SEO Deep Web • Search • Submission-required forms Links in un-parseable javascript Robots.txt or meta robots tag • Is Google a rogue bot? Frames, iFrames • They *should* work Flash, applets, … 100’s, 1000’s of links on a page • Search engines don’t crawl ALL of them
  • 61.
  • 64. Don’t look like a Farm site Old SEO tricks don’t work anymore: • Reciprocal link pages • Keyword-variant abuse • Generic design and layout (watch out CMS tools!) • Anonymous contact forms • Keyword-stuffed titles and pages • …
  • 65. Marketing in search engines ■ SEM: Search Engine Marketing ■ PPC: Pay per Click ■ Used in paid searches ■ E.g. Google AdWords ■ Paid per keyword use ■ Advantages • Control on ranking, text and “landing page” • Typically uses “auctions”. One can compete • Campaigns can be tested ■ Cons • No pay, no exist  • Not so reliable • Expensive • If someone pays more, wins
  • 66. Marketing in search engines ■ Contextual advertisement ■ E.g. Google AdSense ■ Advantages • Good for branding • Not just in search engines! blogs, facebook, twitter, … • Easy to test ■ Cons/Challenges • Do FB users want to click on ads when chatting? • Difficult (i.e. expensive) to test and succeed
  • 67. Social Media + SEO: big win Facebook shares Twitters tweets, RTs Google +1s Youtube … These are all taken into account by Google, Bing
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71. When to promote and how
  • 72.
  • 73. Let’s talk about metrics and startups!
  • 76.
  • 77.
  • 78. AARRR Acquire Activate Retain Refer Get Revenue SEO Landing Content Campaigns Shopping SEM Page (blogs, Emails cart Campaigns Product articles, … Subscriptions Email Features …) Lead Gen Blogs … Emails … … Alerts … traffic social business
  • 80. Acquisition How do people find your site?
  • 81.
  • 83.
  • 84. 15 seconds in “La 1”
  • 85. Metrics Number of visits Distributions (per browser, region, …) Bounce rate Number of page views
  • 86. AActivation How sticky is your site?
  • 87.
  • 88.
  • 89. Metrics # Sign ins!!! Recency (time since user did 85000 something meaningful) 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 Time per page Time on site (and churn as well!!!)
  • 90. Biggest Apple Reseller in Spain 1-year subscription to 24s per iPad/Mac purchased @justohidalgo
  • 91. AARetention Why do users come back?
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94. Metrics. The standard ones… Number of unique/returning visitors Visits over time Average session time
  • 95. … engagement… D/WAU: Daily/Weekly Active Users MAU: Monthly Active Users D/WAU Stickiness = MAU
  • 96. … but also domain-specific!!! # Active readers # Books read per user Pages read per active reader per month Pages read per paid user per month
  • 98. AARReferral Do people talk about your site?
  • 99. Types of users Visitor Contributor Distributor
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102. Virality Amplification rate: • (#shares, #RTs, …) K-Factor = AR * conversion rate • = 1: steady state • > 1: growth ➤ 1.4 < x < 2.1 => hot & viral!!! • < 1: decline
  • 103. The Four Viral App Objectives % viral hosts Contact rate per active host Duration of each active host’s infectious time period Infection conversion Source: http://framethink.wordpress.com/2008/01/15/the-four-viral-app- objectives-aka-social-network-application-virality-101/
  • 106. AARRRevenue Do you make money?
  • 107.
  • 108.
  • 109. 3 (main) metrics for SaaS CMRR LTV CACR
  • 110. Churn
  • 111. CMRR SaaS = recurring revenues CMRR = Committed Monthly Recurring Revenue • Recurring + new accounts + new upsells – churn
  • 112. LTV ARPU * 100% Churn rate Lifetime Value = Source: http://blog.kissmetrics.com/how-to-calculate-lifetime-value/
  • 113. Customer Acquisition Cost gross margin per customer CAC Ratio= sales/marketing costs per customer Bessemer: average ratio of SaaS companies = 0.6
  • 114. LTV vs CAC Of course, LTV > CAC But, moreover: LTV > 3x CAC
  • 115. Freemium. Conversion Rate Free Users Delayed subscription Premium (test the service & engage) Conversion Rate Time @justohidalgo
  • 116. Freemium for Books. Price per page Price/page Profit threshold Growth Consolidation time/conversion rate @justohidalgo
  • 117.
  • 118. One key question for the whole AARRR cycle ■ How effective is a web page compared to another? ?
  • 119. What’s A/B Testing? Visitors are randomly distributed Version A Version B time 1200 new users 1000 new users Version A is better than B
  • 120. What should you test?  The call to action’s (i.e. the button’s) wording, size, color and placement,  Headline or product description,  Form’s length and types of fields,  Layout and style of website,  Product pricing and promotional offers,  Images on landing and product pages,  Amount of text on the page (short vs. long) … anything that you think it might affect your Key Metrics.
  • 121. Is A/B testing perfect? Very good for ONE-SINGLE-GOAL projects where the KPI can be measured by counting actions • E.g. Downloads vs Quality perceived Granularity of the A/B test is paramount • If “A” better than “B” or is it just that the headline in B is horrible, but the rest is much much much better than “A”? A/B testing is suboptimal* * Recommended: http://untyped.com/untyping/2011/02/11/stop-ab-testing-and- make-out-like-a-bandit/
  • 122.
  • 124.
  • 125.
  • 126.
  • 127.
  • 128.
  • 129.
  • 130.
  • 131.
  • 133.
  • 135. 2. Have someone taking care of it
  • 136. 3. Only measure what you truly care about @justohidalgo
  • 138. 4. Beware vanity metrics…
  • 139. … they may hide an awful truth
  • 140. Thanks for your time! Justo Hidalgo http://www.loscuentosdelabuelo.com jhidalgo@24symbols.com @justohidalgo
  • 141. Credits Olivier Guin, from The Noun Project Dima Yagnyuk, from The Noun Project Redesign from Otl Aicher’s icon, from The Noun Project Axsys, from The Noun Project Monika Ciapala, from The Noun Project Rob Schill, from The Noun Project Martin Karachorov, from The Noun Project Alexandre Mendes, from The Noun Project All other icons from The Noun Project Publishers trademarks, logos and brands belong to their respective companies.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Features: concreteBenefits:subjectivetothecustomer
  2. People don&apos;t want to buy a quarter-inch drill. They want a quarter-inchhole!
  3. “Feelthepain”: a los clientes les puede resultar muy complicado el articular sus necesidades.
  4. Reposicionamiento: de champú para bebés a champú suave para todos