SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  8
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Uncertainty, Risk, and Historical
            Finance




Lecture 7
What is Risk?
What is
Uncertainty?
Handout
Herbert Simon
and Rationality
Discussion
Next Time


    Choice under uncertainty
    Read Pilbeam, Cht 7
Ec4024 Lecture 7

Contenu connexe

Plus de Stephen Kinsella

Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based Models
Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based ModelsStock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based Models
Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based ModelsStephen Kinsella
 
Stock flow modelling and agent based modelling
Stock flow modelling and agent based modellingStock flow modelling and agent based modelling
Stock flow modelling and agent based modellingStephen Kinsella
 
Modeling Aggregation and Interlinkages
Modeling Aggregation and InterlinkagesModeling Aggregation and Interlinkages
Modeling Aggregation and InterlinkagesStephen Kinsella
 
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow Talk
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow TalkIrish Times Innovation Roadshow Talk
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow TalkStephen Kinsella
 
Regulation a European Perspective
Regulation a European PerspectiveRegulation a European Perspective
Regulation a European PerspectiveStephen Kinsella
 
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?Stephen Kinsella
 
Visualising Consitutional reform
Visualising Consitutional reformVisualising Consitutional reform
Visualising Consitutional reformStephen Kinsella
 
International Economics Guest Lecture
International Economics Guest LectureInternational Economics Guest Lecture
International Economics Guest LectureStephen Kinsella
 
Designing a Strategy for Economic Recovery
Designing a Strategy for Economic RecoveryDesigning a Strategy for Economic Recovery
Designing a Strategy for Economic RecoveryStephen Kinsella
 
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2Stephen Kinsella
 
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple Criteria
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple CriteriaA Matching Model with Friction and Multiple Criteria
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple CriteriaStephen Kinsella
 
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L Neurofinance
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L NeurofinanceEC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L Neurofinance
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L NeurofinanceStephen Kinsella
 
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!Stephen Kinsella
 
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural Finance
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural FinanceFinancial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural Finance
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural FinanceStephen Kinsella
 
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of Finance
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of FinanceEc6012 Lecture10 The Equations of Finance
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of FinanceStephen Kinsella
 

Plus de Stephen Kinsella (20)

Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based Models
Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based ModelsStock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based Models
Stock Flow Consistent Models and Agent Based Models
 
Stock flow modelling and agent based modelling
Stock flow modelling and agent based modellingStock flow modelling and agent based modelling
Stock flow modelling and agent based modelling
 
Accesstalk pdf
Accesstalk pdfAccesstalk pdf
Accesstalk pdf
 
Modeling Aggregation and Interlinkages
Modeling Aggregation and InterlinkagesModeling Aggregation and Interlinkages
Modeling Aggregation and Interlinkages
 
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow Talk
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow TalkIrish Times Innovation Roadshow Talk
Irish Times Innovation Roadshow Talk
 
Regulation a European Perspective
Regulation a European PerspectiveRegulation a European Perspective
Regulation a European Perspective
 
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?
Is Ireland the Role Model for Austerity?
 
Buy Limerick.
Buy Limerick.Buy Limerick.
Buy Limerick.
 
Peer Review Guidelines
Peer Review GuidelinesPeer Review Guidelines
Peer Review Guidelines
 
Budget2011: Where to now?
Budget2011: Where to now?Budget2011: Where to now?
Budget2011: Where to now?
 
Visualising Consitutional reform
Visualising Consitutional reformVisualising Consitutional reform
Visualising Consitutional reform
 
International Economics Guest Lecture
International Economics Guest LectureInternational Economics Guest Lecture
International Economics Guest Lecture
 
The Margins of Viability
The Margins of ViabilityThe Margins of Viability
The Margins of Viability
 
Designing a Strategy for Economic Recovery
Designing a Strategy for Economic RecoveryDesigning a Strategy for Economic Recovery
Designing a Strategy for Economic Recovery
 
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2
EC4004 Economics for Business Lecture 2
 
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple Criteria
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple CriteriaA Matching Model with Friction and Multiple Criteria
A Matching Model with Friction and Multiple Criteria
 
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L Neurofinance
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L NeurofinanceEC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L Neurofinance
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 19L Neurofinance
 
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!
EC4024 Financial Economics Lecture 20: Final Lecture!
 
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural Finance
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural FinanceFinancial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural Finance
Financial Economics Lecture 18 Behavioural Finance
 
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of Finance
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of FinanceEc6012 Lecture10 The Equations of Finance
Ec6012 Lecture10 The Equations of Finance
 

Dernier

Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptx
Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptxFinancial Preparation for Millennia.pptx
Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptxsimon978302
 
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension Fund
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension FundThoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension Fund
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension FundAshwinJey
 
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdfglobusfinanza
 
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...Amil baba
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderArianna Varetto
 
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxBanking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxANTHONYAKINYOSOYE1
 
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Amil baba
 
Gender and caste discrimination in india
Gender and caste discrimination in indiaGender and caste discrimination in india
Gender and caste discrimination in indiavandanasingh01072003
 
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24Champak Jhagmag
 
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdf
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdfekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdf
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdfSteliosTheodorou4
 
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptxHenry Tapper
 
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consulting
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride ConsultingGlobal Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consulting
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consultingswastiknandyofficial
 
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptxOAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptxhiddenlevers
 
Hello this ppt is about seminar final project
Hello this ppt is about seminar final projectHello this ppt is about seminar final project
Hello this ppt is about seminar final projectninnasirsi
 
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Amil baba
 
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward
 
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptAnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptPriyankaSharma89719
 
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance Verification
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance VerificationCrypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance Verification
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance VerificationAny kyc Account
 
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτος
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτοςΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτος
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτοςNewsroom8
 
Liquidity Decisions in Financial management
Liquidity Decisions in Financial managementLiquidity Decisions in Financial management
Liquidity Decisions in Financial managementshrutisingh143670
 

Dernier (20)

Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptx
Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptxFinancial Preparation for Millennia.pptx
Financial Preparation for Millennia.pptx
 
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension Fund
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension FundThoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension Fund
Thoma Bravo Equity - Presentation Pension Fund
 
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
 
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...
Uk-NO1 Amil baba in pakistan Amil Baba in Karachi Black Magic Islamabad Kala ...
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
 
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxBanking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
 
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
 
Gender and caste discrimination in india
Gender and caste discrimination in indiaGender and caste discrimination in india
Gender and caste discrimination in india
 
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24
Abhay Bhutada Leads Poonawalla Fincorp To Record Growth In FY24
 
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdf
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdfekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdf
ekthesi-trapeza-tis-ellados-gia-2023.pdf
 
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx
2024-04-09 - Pension Playpen roundtable - slides.pptx
 
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consulting
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride ConsultingGlobal Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consulting
Global Economic Outlook, 2024 - Scholaride Consulting
 
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptxOAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep18 WeighingTheRisks_Mar24_GlobalCredit.pptx
 
Hello this ppt is about seminar final project
Hello this ppt is about seminar final projectHello this ppt is about seminar final project
Hello this ppt is about seminar final project
 
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
 
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
 
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptAnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
 
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance Verification
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance VerificationCrypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance Verification
Crypto Confidence Unlocked: AnyKYCaccount's Shortcut to Binance Verification
 
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτος
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτοςΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτος
ΤτΕ: Ανάπτυξη 2,3% και πληθωρισμός 2,8% φέτος
 
Liquidity Decisions in Financial management
Liquidity Decisions in Financial managementLiquidity Decisions in Financial management
Liquidity Decisions in Financial management
 

Ec4024 Lecture 7