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Blockchain Supply Chain
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.orgOvation 2018
27 July 2018, Plymouth MA USA
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 1
Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist
 Philosophy Department, Purdue University,
Indiana USA
 Top enabling technologies of the 21st century
 Blockchain, Deep Learning, and Synthetic Biology
 Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies
 Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics
and Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE
Essayist; FQXi Advisor
Traditional Markets Background Economics and Financial Theory Leadership
New Economies research group
Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org
https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Blockchain
2
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
 To inspire us to build
this world
Disclaimer: no substantial
cryptocurrency, ICO, or smart
contract ownership or advising
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 3
Blockchain Supply Chain thesis
Blockchain: all assets digitized and
registered to blockchains; instantaneously
transactable on a global basis
Blockchain Supply Chain: all assets exist
in digital inventories, tradeable (pledgeable,
financeable) and more importantly, findable,
in the global digital network economy
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Blockchain 4
“Better horse”
Blockchain’s “New Technology” progression
“Horseless
carriage”
“Car”
3.0
2.0
1.0
New species of technology: Invent new
possibilities that did not exist before
Better internet: the payments layer the
internet never had
Applications: Real-time payments and monetary transactions
(immediate transfer)
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
invent new possibilities that did not exist before
Basic
Advanced
Future
Internet with value transfer and smart contracts
Applications: Financial contracts (mortgage, insurance); legal contracts;
government documents; voting
Large-scale Collaboration Technology:
superseding previous social collaboration
technologies: corporations, governments,
and open-source communities
Applications: automated fleet management, big health data,
asynchronous space communication
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Blockchain
Collaboration Optimization Problem
5
Source: Coase. (1937). The Nature of the Firm. Penrose (1959). The Theory of the Growth of the Firm.
Takagi, S. forthcoming. Does Blockchain Decentralize Everything? In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
 Organizational Economics
 The problem of “the firm” (optimal size at which to
organize activity) in the context of the supply chain
(how to organize activity in the global supply chain)
 What are the right collaboration models in a global supply
chain digital network economy with open business models?
 The firm (Coase, 1937)
 Organization gains scale economies and reduces risk by
foregoing opportunism
 Individuals gain smoother
incomes and benefit from
shared decision-making
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
What drives blockchain adoption by industry?
 Two factors leading financial services implementation
6
FinTech, RegTech
Supply Chain
HealthTech
Financial Services
No XML for logging
health attributes and
matching cost-outcome
accountability
TradeTech
Healthcare
No XML for widgetsXML for finance:
interest, principal,
prepayment, ARM/FRM
ARM: Adjustable-rate mortgage; FRM: Fixed-rate mortgage
2. Standard Transaction Language
High Low
1. Product Fungibility
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Blockchain
Supply Chain
Everything is a Liquidity Problem
7
Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
re: Information Costs: Allen et al. (2017). Blockchain TradeTech. APEC Study Centres Consortium Conference, May 2018
 Buyers-Sellers
 Deep learning matches Purchasers-Suppliers
 Goods more fungible than requirements-features find
 Deep learning pattern recognition system
 Lack of trustworthy product Information
 Attribute information: quality, characteristics, provenance, and
chain of custody is blockchain-modulated for all goods
 Lack of global digital contracting structures
 Digital product inventories, blockchain-based credit histories,
vendor payment channels, always-on trade finance network
 Fundamental level of organization: item not invoice
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Blockchain 8
1. Blockchain-registered digitized assets
 Ownership confirmed, ready for transfer, instantaneous global
transactability, pre-validated digitally-registered assets
2. Financing Implications
 Digital assets can be pledged as collateral in on-demand
financing with any party (without having to form a vendor-
supplier relationship) in enterprise payment channels
 Invoice factoring, inventory, sales order, purchase order
3. Business Process Implications
 Automated business logic via smart contracts
 Shared business processes in enterprise blockchain networks
 Shared record-keeping in an era of digital ledgers
 Integrated ledgers (accounting and legal processes)
Procurement Blockchain
Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
In the Digital Network Economy…
9
Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
re: Information Costs: Allen et al. (2017). Blockchain TradeTech. APEC Study Centres Consortium Conference, May 2018
 The firm becomes an ecology
 Developer community, AppStore revenue sharing model
 User community (new product/feature demand development)
 The supply chain becomes a real-time global market
 Blockchain provides the new economic infrastructure
 Digital assets registered to blockchains (real-time transactable)
 New forms of contracting & financing (automated invoice factoring)
 Single shared business processes, integrated record-keeping
 Information: trusted attribute information about the quality,
characteristics, provenance, and chain of custody of goods
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Blockchain
objectives.
10
1. what is blockchain.
2. technical overview.
3. business use cases.
4. implications for
procurement.
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Blockchain
basics.
11
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Blockchain
internet content.
12
information.
email.
voice.
video.
money.
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Blockchain 13
Conceptual Definition:
Blockchain is a software protocol;
just as SMTP is a protocol for
sending email, blockchain is a
protocol for sending money
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
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Blockchain
Blockchain Technology: What is it?
14
 Blockchain technology is the secure distributed ledger
software that underlies cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin
 “Internet of Money” leapfrog technology; Skype is an app allowing
phone calls via Internet without POTS; Bitcoin is an app allowing
money transfer via Internet without banks; ‘decentralized Paypal’
Internet
(decentralized network)
Blockchain
Bitcoin
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
Application
Layer
Protocol
Layer
Infrastructure
Layer
SMTP
Email
VoIP
Phone
calls
OSI Protocol Stack:
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Blockchain
Adoption
15
Source: http://www.digital-marketing-course.org/growth-of-global-internet-users/, https://wearesocial-net.s3.amazonaws.com/uk/wp-
content/uploads/sites/2/2017/01/Slide007.png
 Information Internet
 20-40 years (50% online, killer app: corporate email)
 Money Internet
 Early stages (2050-2075); could be longer due to sensitivity of
assets and money; shorter due to in-place network infrastructure
 More profound impact: computationally-based society has less
need for traditional brick-and-mortar institutional footprint
Growth in Global Internet users 1995-2015
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Blockchain
novel features.
16
general-purpose technology
that is simultaneously
transparent and private.
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Blockchain
blockchain.
17
software.
secure cryptographic transfer.
internet.
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Blockchain
killer apps.
18
secure transfer of value, of…
money & securities.
property.
contracts.
identity credentials.
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Blockchain 19
public chains. private chains.
trustless. mined.
p2p software.
trusted. not-mined.
enterprise software.
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Blockchain
How does Bitcoin work?
Use eWallet app to submit transaction
20
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c
Scan recipient’s address
and submit transaction
$ appears in recipient’s eWallet
Wallet has keys not money
Creates PKI Signature address pairs A new PKI signature for each transaction
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Blockchain
P2P network confirms & records transaction
21
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c
Transaction computationally confirmed
Ledger account balances updated
Peer nodes maintain distributed ledger
Transactions submitted to a pool and miners assemble
new batch (block) of transactions each 10 min
Each block includes a cryptographic hash of the last
block, chaining the blocks, hence “Blockchain”
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Blockchain
consensus algorithms.
22
mining and
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Blockchain
consensus algorithms.
23
 Heart of blockchain systems
 Blockchain is automated software, no central authority
 Need a way for distributed peer-to-peer nodes in the network
to agree about updates to the ledger per executed
transactions
 Public blockchains are trustless
 Transactions are executed using “cryptographic proof
instead of trust” (Nakamoto, 2008)
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Blockchain
consensus algorithms.
24
 Public Blockchains
 POW: Proof of Work (Bitcoin)
 POS: Proof of Stake (Nxt, Qtum, Reddcoin)
 Next-gen (scale to Visa-class processing): Practical
Byzantine Fault Tolerance (PBFT) (DFINITY, Algorand)
 Private blockchains
 Enterprise consensus algorithms
Source: dos Santos, forthcoming, Consensus Algorithms: A Matter of Complexity?, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
consensus algorithms.
25
 Enterprise Blockchains
Source: dos Santos, forthcoming, Consensus Algorithms: A Matter of Complexity?, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
What is Bitcoin mining?
26
 Mining is the accounting function to record
transactions, fee-based ($103,000/block)
 Mining clients (ASICs) “find new blocks”
 Mining software constantly makes nonce guesses
per specified cryptographic parameters
 At the rate of 2^32 (4 billion) hashes (guesses)/second
 One machine at random guesses a solution
 Winning machine confirms and records the
transactions, and collects the rewards
 All nodes confirm the transactions and append the
new block to their copy of the distributed ledger
 “Wasteful” effort deters malicious players
Sample
code:
Run the software yourself:
Fast because ASICs
represent the hashing
algorithm as hardware
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Blockchain
bitcoin mining.
27
Proof of Work: secure but expensive.
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Blockchain
How changes to the Software are made
 Blockchain is automated software
 No centralized authority
 Open source software community like Linux
 Developers propose changes
 BIP (Bitcoin Improvement Proposals)
 BIP-0199, https://github.com/bitcoin/bips
 Voting process among 5 constituencies
 Developers, miners, exchanges, wallets, merchants
 Watch support for initiatives in real-time online
28
Segregated Witness: move non-critical “witness” data off the blockchain; BIP: Bitcoin Improvement Proposal
Source: http://www.coindesk.com/data/bitcoin-number-transactions-per-block
(https://coin.dance/blocks)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
hype vs value-creation.
29
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Blockchain 30
$2.1 billion 2018 global blockchain
spend (IDC).
($9.2 billion in 2021)
$3.86 trillion IT spend 2018 (Gartner)
(digital transformation, blockchain, IoT, ML, and AI)
57% global corporations (Juniper).
$325 billion USD asset class.
1551 cryptocurrencies.
1722 token projects.
Sources: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/31/blockchain-technology-considered-by-57-percent-of-big-corporations-study.html,
https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/all/, https://www.stateofthedapps.com/,
https://www.blockchaintechnology-news.com/2018/01/26/idc-global-blockchain-hit-9-2-billion-2021/
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 31
Source: http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2016/10/blockchain-fintech-programmable-risk.html
Stock Transaction
Real Estate Purchase/Sale
Health Insurance Billing
2. Steps that can be automated with blockchain
1. Steps with human decision-making
Energy Contract
International Trade Shipment
 Business process reengineering
 Any complex transaction has two kinds of activities
 Usability: Apple-type design for user experience
Blockchain Automation Economy
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
When to use Blockchain Technology
32
 Blockchain is enterprise
software
 Solid business use case
 How does a decentralized
solution improve over a
centralized one?
 Ideal use case:
 Many parties in the value
chain
 Intensity of information and
monetary exchange
Use Case Example:
Factom: Health insurance
claims billing (overlay to
Bitcoin blockchain)
• Automated claims
billing, validation,
payment, and settlement
• Multi-party value chain:
patient, service provider,
billing agent, insurance
company, payor,
government, collections
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
When to use Blockchain Technology
33
 Do multiple parties need access to the same data?
 Do multiple parties need to write to the data store?
 Do all parties need assurance that the data is valid and has not
been tampered with?
 Do you rely on a costly intermediary or a complex,
unreliable process to reconcile the transactions of
multiple parties?
 Available solutions
 What are the available solutions?
 Is there no system available today that meets the requirement?
 Are there good reasons not to have a centralized system?
Source: https://www.basware.com/en-us/blog/september-2017/blockchain-whats-myth-whats-reality
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Blockchain: Middleware in Enterprise IT Stack
34
 Cloud solutions like
docker containers
 Azure, Ariba,
Basware
 Interface to
web/CRM and
ERP/GL/AR/AP
 Interface to data
analytics
 Machine learning
for real-time fraud
detection
Source: https://www.computerworld.com/article/3084674/cloud-computing/with-microsofts-project-bletchley-companies-can-add-
middleware-to-blockchains.html
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Blockchain
sample apps.
35
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Blockchain 36
Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491
Blockchain: Fintech and beyond
AssetsImmediate
cash transfer
Applications
Payments
Money
Remittance
Financial
instruments
Unified ledger
Mortgages, loans
Titling: house, auto
Inventory
Commercial trade
Payments
Financial
Services
Logistics &
Supply Chain
Energy, IoT
Healthcare
Government
Humanitarian
Non-profit
Industry adoption
Time
Complexity
Stocks, bonds
Goods transfer
Assurance, provenance
Identity
Driver’s License
Passport, Visa
Contracts
Registries
Marriage licenses
Public Documents
Birth/death registries
BoL, Forfeiting
Insurance
Cash Smart Assets Smart Contracts
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 37
 Secure information exchange
 Asset confirmation and transfer
 Automated coordination
 Example: fleet management of drones,
autonomous driving, robotics, clinical trial
patients, cellular therapeutics
 Blockchain: automated, secure
coordination system with remuneration
and tracking
Key Blockchain Functionality
Source: Swan, M. Philosophy of Social Robotics: Abundance Economics. Sociorobotics, 2016.
http://www.melanieswan.com/documents/SocialRobotics.pdf.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
change.
38
Source: https://www.coindesk.com/bankers-tout-trade-finance-sweet-spot-blockchain/
“We expect to see a reduction of 70 percent
to 80 percent in costs on supply chain
management by using blockchain.“
- Amit Varma, CTO, Citibank, June 2018
Blockchain Summit, London, June
2018
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 39
financial services.
quantified risk: 2.5 yr payback (securities
clearing 3-days to 2-days).
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Blockchain 40
food safety.
chain of custody.
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Blockchain 41
vaccine and cold
storage tracking.
 Standard blockchain-registered IoT attributes
 Temperature, pressure, geo-location, custody
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Blockchain 42
 Traceability system for
materials and products
bringing verified
information from supply
chain to the point of sale
 Used by 200 suppliers
 Using IoT, mobile, and
blockchain
 Example
 Smart tags used to track
fish caught by fishermen
with verified social
sustainability claims
Source: Provenance (NL)
sustainability.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 43
 Concept: global inventories of high-value
items: jewels, controlled substances
 Mechanism: registered with digital certificate
 Diamond supply chain projects:
 Everledger (2015)
 Records and tracks the immutable provenance of
an asset with blockchain, IoT, smart contracts
 TrustChain Initiative (2018)
 IBM, precious metals refiner Asahi Refining,
jewelry retailer Helzberg Diamonds, precious
metals supplier LeachGarner, jewelry
manufacturer The Richline Group, and
independent verification service UL
Source: https://diamonds.everledger.io/; https://cointelegraph.com/news/ibm-and-jewelry-industry-leaders-to-use-blockchain-to-
trace-origin-of-diamonds
high-value tracking.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 44
birth registry, QR code resumes.
MIT Digital Certificates (diplomas); Criminal Records
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Global Trade: Maersk
 15.8% of the world's global shipping
fleet traffic ($236bn value, 628 ships)
 On average, 30 people/organizations
involved in the shipment of a product
using a shipping container
 Over 200 separate interactions, each
requiring a new set of documents
 Pilot project (Hyperledger) for
blockchain-based supply chain
management
 Relocating empty containers to available
nearby ships
45
Source: https://www.coindesk.com/worlds-largest-shipping-company-tracking-cargo-blockchain/
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 46
anti-counterfeiting.
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Blockchain 47
blockchain-streamlined supply chain.
 Single shared business logic in blockchain cloud
 Credentials and private views (regulators) issued to
multiple parties in the value chain
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 48
enterprise blockchains.
 General
 IBM Hyperledger Fabric
 Ethereum Private Network
 R3 Corda (HPC)
 Symbiont
 Supply Chain
 IBM Hyperledger Fabric
 Ethereum Private Network
 SKUChain (POPcodes)
 Provenance (sourcing, custody)
 Sweetbridge (collateralization)
HPC: HP high-performance computing
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 49
enterprise platform comparison.
Source: https://medium.com/@philippsandner/comparison-of-ethereum-hyperledger-fabric-and-corda-21c1bb9442f6,
https://www.accenture.com/t20171116T081243Z__w__/sg-en/_acnmedia/PDF-66/Accenture-Project-Ubin-Phase-2.pdf
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 50
blockchains in space.
Jan. 13, 2018 - NASA has awarded a grant to the University of Akron for
research into data analysis and other topics related to space exploration.
The allocation will help a team led by associate professor Jin Wei to
pioneer a resilient networking system based in part on the Ethereum
blockchain.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
blockchain
economics.
51
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Blockchain
Blockchain Economics
52
Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economics Networks. Palgrave Macmillan.
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Blockchain
Blockchain Economics
 New economic model’s distinguishing aspects
1. Open platform business model
 vs. proprietary platform (GOOG, FB, NFLX)
2. Initial Coin Offerings as a novel and
official financing method for projects
3. Token-based money supply
53
Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economic Networks. Palgrave Macmillan.
Two-way network effects
(Metcalfe’s Law (n2 ))
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
54
participation.
earn money.
access resources.
vote on decisions.
tokens = “money +”.
functions of money.
store of value.
medium of exchange.
unit of account.
+
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Blockchain
participation.
55
information
internet: static
information
social internet:
engage with content
token internet:
participate in the
community economy
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Blockchain
Evolution of Financing Models
Supply Chain becomes Demand Chain
56
1. IPO
2. Crowdfunding
3. ICO
Equity ownership
Product
Token & Platform
 ICO: fundraising method, more liquid than equity
 Conceived as project finance / capital-budgeting solution
 Future: securitized customer demand (from social
networks)
Source: Blockchain Consumer Apps: https://cryptoinsider.21mil.com/blockchain-consumer-apps-next-generation-social-networks-
aka-strategic-advice-facebook/; Doc Searls, personal Vendor RFPs; Casey
Financing Model Pre-sell access to:
4. Securitized Demand Product Development
Future
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Blockchain 57
internet money.
enterprise software.
economic collaboration
infrastructure.
blockchain.
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Blockchain 58
Source: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755
financing.
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Blockchain 59
net settlement.
payment channels.
digital credit systems.
Source: http://timreview.ca/article/1109
rethink financing.
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Blockchain
Payment Channels: the concept
60
 Contractually-obligated relationship
 3-step economic contract executed over time
1. Party A opens a payment channel with Party B and posts a
pre-paid escrow balance, Party B signs a full refund
2. Party A consumes against the escrow credit over the given
time period (activity is tracked)
3. At the end of the period, cumulative activity is booked in one
net transaction to close the contract
 Lightning Network - Bitcoin
 Raiden - Ethereum
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
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Blockchain
1. Unilateral Payment Channel
61
Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions: Signed
between Wallets (both parties
agree and are obligated; not
Broadcast to Network)
USD $50
Alice opens $50 “Monthly Payment
Channel” with Starbucks
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Alice consumes coffee and
Starbucks adjusts the refund
balance from the initial deposit
USD $5
4/1/18
4/30/18
1
2
Close “Monthly Payment Channel”:
Starbucks broadcasts last refund
amount to network
Starbucks
Coffee
USD $50
USD $45
Starbucks acknowledges with
unbroadcast refund of $50
4/2/18
USD $5
3
4/3/18
USD $5
4
4/4/18
USD $40
USD $35
USD $35
30
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Blockchain
2. Bilateral Payment Channel
62
Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling
SBUX Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash $1.2bn
Liabilities
Stored Value
Cards $1.2bn
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions:
Signed between Wallets
(not Broadcast to Network)
1 BTC
Open “Monthly Expense”
payment channel: create a new
address, each fund with 1 BTC
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
1 BTC
Each pays for expenses
from the shared address
during the month
1.2 BTC 0.8 BTC
4/1/18
4/30/18
1
2
3
Close “Monthly Expense” payment
channel: net settle the balance
returned to each
Roommate
Expense Sharing
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Blockchain
3. Community Payment Channel
63
Source: https://solarpowerrocks.com/solar-basics/how-much-electricity-does-a-solar-panel-produce
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions: Daily
production and consumption
measured as signed
transactions between Wallets
A, B, C, D ante up monthly dues to
the address to open this month’s
“Community Payment Channel”
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Energy Produced
4/1/18
4/30/18
2
Close this month’s “Community
Payment Channel” with net
amount returned to A, B, C, D
0.8 kWh
CSC: Community Solar Coin
Token: ante-up expenses, vote,
governance re: how price per kWh,
smart contract lookups to pricing
oracle; additional capital calls
during the month if necessary
4/2/18
4/3/183 Etc.
30
Sustainable
Energy Production
1 CSC 1 CSCA B
C D
1 CSC 1 CSC
Energy Consumed
1.2 kWhA A
Energy Produced
1.1 kWh
Energy Consumed
0.6 kWhB B
Energy Produced
1.3 kWh
Energy Consumed
0.7 kWhC C
Energy Produced
1.0 kWh
Energy Consumed
1.1 kWhD D
1
A
B
C D
1 CSC 0.8 CSC
1.2 CSC1.1 CSC
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Transactive Grid, President St, Brooklyn NY
 Decentralized DIY energy markets
 Blockchain-based microgrid
 Community:
 Five net-producing homes generating
energy through solar power
 Five net-consuming homes interested
in buying excess energy from
neighbors
 Benefits: no billing components, no
infrastructure losses, no
accounting losses in the system
 Ability for producers to sell or
donate excess
64
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2079334-blockchain-based-microgrid-gives-power-to-consumers-in-new-york
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Blockchain 65
risk.
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Blockchain
reduce risk.
66
blockchain-registered digital assets.
instantaneous transactability.
real-time balance sheets.
shared business processes.
single ledger.
Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Programmable Risk
Black Swan Smart Contracts
 Insurance automatically priced into
smart contracts via big data
 User-selected High-Medium-Low
programmable risk dropdown feature
of smart contracts
 Financial options (put/call) used to
control/manufacture exposure
 Convexity (Fig. 1): control down-side
risk, upside gain, anti-fragile (robust)
 Concavity: undesirable risk profile
 Taleb: map event probabilities as
s-curve (Fig. 2) in medicine, etc.
 Convex-linear-concave profile
67
Sources: Swan, M. Submitted. Programmable Risk: Black Swan Smart Contracts, IEEE;
Taleb, Medicine: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1208/1208.1189.pdf
Figure 1
Figure 2
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
smart contracts.
68
Launched: Nov 2017
500,000 sold, total: USD$40 million
Source: http://fortune.com/2018/02/13/cryptokitties-ethereum-ios-launch-china-ether
cryptokitties.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
inclusion.
69
banking & credit.
land registry.
identity.
electricity.
vaccines & medicine.
Source: https://www.unicef.org.au/blog/unicef-in-action/april-2017/photos-vaccines-reach-most-remote-places-earth
Digital health wallet
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 70
regulation and
competitive advantage.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
government as service
provider.
71
old model.
eResidency.
eBusiness services.
Exclusivity: One default
economic and political
sovereign birth regime.
new model.
Source: https://www.consultancy.eu/news/933/estonia-has-35000-e-residents-most-are-finnish-russian-and-Ukrainian,
https://blog.leapin.eu/e-residency-all-the-numbers-you-wanted-to-know-statistics-9ccc1bee75
Plurality: Entering a world of plurality
in economic and political systems
>35,000 Estonia
e-Residents
(May 2018)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 72
risks.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
risks.
tech: scalability.
political: regulation.
social: adoption
and collusion.
Rapid
Adoption
Unfavorable
Regulation
Favorable
Regulation
Slow
Adoption
Future Scenarios
73
near-term
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
risks.
tech: advance.
74
longer-term
 Blockchain (blockchain
deep learning smart
networks) is the vanguard
of computing
 Could define next-
generation computing
architectures, quantum
(expensive error-correction)
or otherwise
 “End of Moore’s law” not a
worry due to new
architectures, lithography
techniques
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
implications for
procurement.
75
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 76
 Bitcoin Blockchain
 Real-time payments
 Ethereum
 Smart contracts, DApp platform (distributed applications)
 Ripple
 Real-time cross-border bank transfer and live credit network
 Factom (overlay to Bitcoin blockchain)
 Health insurance claims billing
 Clinical Trials blockchain
 Smart contract consent, privacy, data interop, off-chain EMR
Industry-specific Blockchains
EMR: Electronic Medical Record
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Procurement: Sourcing and Purchasing
77
Source: http://www.tendersinfo.com/blogs/what-is-the-difference-between-procurement-purchasing-and-sourcing/
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 78
 Sourcing and Purchasing
 Real-time exchange
 High through-put
 Global access
 Validated histories
 Digital identity
 Transaction confirmation
 Document management
 Integration
 ERP, GL/AR/AP/Payroll
 CRM systems
 Multi-platform mobile app/web front-ends
Procurement Blockchain requirements
EMR: Electronic Medical Record
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 79
1. Blockchain-registered digitized assets
 Ownership confirmed, ready for transfer, instantaneous global
transactability, pre-validated digitally-registered assets
2. Financing Implications
 Digital assets can be pledged as collateral in on-demand
financing with any party (without having to form a vendor-
supplier relationship) in enterprise payment channels
 Invoice factoring, inventory, sales order, purchase order
3. Business Process Implications
 Automated business logic via smart contracts
 Shared business processes in enterprise blockchain networks
 Shared record-keeping in an era of digital ledgers
 Integrated ledgers (accounting and legal processes)
Procurement Blockchain
Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
 Findings: Financiers, accountants, and SMEs thought
blockchain-based credit histories could prevent fraud,
minimize the administrative costs of providing credit, and
improve the financing opportunities available to SMEs
Study of Stakeholders in SME Financing
80
Source: Kayal et al., forthcoming, Financing Small & Medium Enterprises with Blockchain: an exploratory research of stakeholders'
attitudes, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
Risk Factors contributing to potential Fraud
(1) The smaller the business entity, the higher the risk
(2) Lack of credit history between the business entity and the financier
(3) Financing a foreign business carries a higher risk than a local one
Blockchain-based Credit Histories to reduce Risk of Fraud
Proposal for Blockchain-based
Inventory Financing Process
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
objectives.
81
1. what is blockchain.
2. technical overview.
3. business use cases.
4. implications for
procurement.
conclusion
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 82
internet money.
enterprise software.
economic collaboration
infrastructure.
blockchain.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
supply chain
blockchain.
83
software for secure internet-based transfer
of assets and information.
business process reengineering
technology.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 84
Blockchain Supply Chain thesis
Blockchain: all assets digitized and
registered to blockchains; instantaneously
transactable on a global basis
Blockchain Supply Chain: all assets exist
in digital inventories, tradeable (pledgeable,
financeable) and more importantly, findable,
in the global digital network economy
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Procurement leading the path ahead
85
 Procurement already
automating the efficiencies
associated with sourcing
and purchasing
 Global reach, sophisticated
business, technologically-
intense solutions, real-time
exchange
 Challenge is to envision and
continue leading the
modernizing way forward with
strategic acuity
Blockchain Supply Chain
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.orgOvation 2018
27 July 2018, Plymouth MA USA
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Institute for Blockchain Studies
Blockchain Research Program
 Theoretical research
 Apply quantitative methods from physics (renormalization/path
integrals), complexity science (entropy), and deep learning to
blockchain analysis
 Applied research
 Economics: algorithmic trust, a network mechanism that moderates
credit availability and facilitates blockchain markets to Nash equilibria
more quickly than classical markets
 Payment channels, debt, net-settled capital, programmable risk,
integrated business ledgers, blockchain health economics
 Social theory
 Smart City Cryptopolis and Blockchain Enlightenment
 Automation Economy flourishing of human, algorithm, machine
 Advanced conceptual research
 Blocktime, BCI cloudminds, Brain as a DAC, biocryptoeconomy
87
Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economic Networks. Palgrave Macmillan.
Blockchain
Economics
Swan et al.
(World Scientific,
2019)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 88
payment channels.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Payment Channel motivation and projects
 Motivation
 Micropayments for video bandwidth
consumption where piecemeal
transactions do not make sense
 Blockchain scalability (offload tx)
 Send payments across p2p network
 Projects
 Bitcoin: Lightning Network
 Time/signature lock parameters:
CheckLockTimeVerify,
CheckSequenceVerify
 Current ~$350 max (4% Btc) for
Lightning Payment channels
 Ethereum: Raiden, Plasma
89
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
1. Unilateral Payment Channel
90
Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions: Signed
between Wallets (both parties
agree and are obligated; not
Broadcast to Network)
USD $50
Alice opens $50 “Monthly Payment
Channel” with Starbucks
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Alice consumes coffee and
Starbucks adjusts the refund
balance from the initial deposit
USD $5
4/1/18
4/30/18
1
2
Close “Monthly Payment Channel”:
Starbucks broadcasts last refund
amount to network
Starbucks
Coffee
USD $50
USD $45
Starbucks acknowledges with
unbroadcast refund of $50
4/2/18
USD $5
3
4/3/18
USD $5
4
4/4/18
USD $40
USD $35
USD $35
30
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
1. Unilateral Payment Channels
 Starbucks Example
1. Customer opens $50 monthly payment
channel with Starbucks
2. Daily coffee consumed is tracked and
booked against the $50 credit
3. Activity is netted at the end of the month.
Contracts close and roll over at regular
intervals. Either party may close the
channel early, trigger net settlement
 SBUX: payment channel prototype
 Loyalty program (cards & apps): 41%
purchases, $1.2 bn obligations
91
SBUX Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash $1.2bn
Liabilities
Stored Value
Cards $1.2bn
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
2. Bilateral Payment Channel
92
Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling
SBUX Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash $1.2bn
Liabilities
Stored Value
Cards $1.2bn
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions:
Signed between Wallets
(not Broadcast to Network)
1 BTC
Open “Monthly Expense”
payment channel: create a new
address, each fund with 1 BTC
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
1 BTC
Each pays for expenses
from the shared address
during the month
1.2 BTC 0.8 BTC
4/1/18
4/30/18
1
2
3
Close “Monthly Expense” payment
channel: net settle the balance
returned to each
Roommate
Expense Sharing
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
3. Community Payment Channel
93
Source: https://solarpowerrocks.com/solar-basics/how-much-electricity-does-a-solar-panel-produce
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions: Daily
production and consumption
measured as signed
transactions between Wallets
A, B, C, D ante up monthly dues to
the address to open this month’s
“Community Payment Channel”
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Energy Produced
4/1/18
4/30/18
2
Close this month’s “Community
Payment Channel” with net
amount returned to A, B, C, D
0.8 kWh
CSC: Community Solar Coin
Token: ante-up expenses, vote,
governance re: how price per kWh,
smart contract lookups to pricing
oracle; additional capital calls
during the month if necessary
4/2/18
4/3/183 Etc.
30
Sustainable
Energy Production
1 CSC 1 CSCA B
C D
1 CSC 1 CSC
Energy Consumed
1.2 kWhA A
Energy Produced
1.1 kWh
Energy Consumed
0.6 kWhB B
Energy Produced
1.3 kWh
Energy Consumed
0.7 kWhC C
Energy Produced
1.0 kWh
Energy Consumed
1.1 kWhD D
1
A
B
C D
1 CSC 0.8 CSC
1.2 CSC1.1 CSC
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Transactive Grid, President St, Brooklyn NY
 Decentralized DIY energy markets
 Blockchain-based microgrid
 Community:
 Five net-producing homes generating
energy through solar power
 Five net-consuming homes interested
in buying excess energy from
neighbors
 Benefits: no billing components, no
infrastructure losses, no
accounting losses in the system
 Ability for producers to sell or
donate excess
94
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2079334-blockchain-based-microgrid-gives-power-to-consumers-in-new-york
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
4. Multi-resource Community
Payment Channel
95
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains
Opening Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Interim Transactions: Daily
production and consumption
measured as signed
transactions between Wallets
A, B, C ante up monthly dues to the
address to open this month’s
“Community Payment Channel”
Closing Transaction:
Broadcast to Network
Energy Produced
4/1/18
4/30/18
2
Close this month’s “Community
Payment Channel” with net
amount returned to A, B, C
0.8 kWh
CSC: Community Coin
Token: ante-up expenses, voting,
governance, decision-making re:
resource pricing; additional capital
calls; dispute resolution mechanism
4/2/18
4/3/183 Etc.
30
Sustainable
Community
1 CSC 1 CSCA B
C
1 CSC
Energy Consumed
1.2 kWhA
Greens Produced
3 units
Greens Consumed
1 unit
B
Bandwidth
Produced
10 units
Bandwidth
Consumed
3 units
1
A B
C
1 CSC
0.8 CSC
1.1 CSC
B
C
1.2 kWh
A
C
C A
B
2 units
1 unit
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Uber for Microgreens
Who’s harvesting today?
96
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains;
Swan, M. 2017. Technological Unemployment, In Surviving the Machine Age. Springer.
LocalGreens
Kale – SuperGreens
Citizen’s sense of duty to
serve the republic
Civic Duty
Civic Collaboration
Greek Statesman
Self-directed Cryptocitizen
Optional peer infrastructure
provision: Cryptocitizen’s
sense of meaning and
purpose in participating in
community sustainability
Identity Crisis: who are we in the Automation Economy,
Technological Unemployment, and the Future of Work?
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
5. Small Group Payment Channel
 Local bar: Lynn, Chris, Bartender
 Lynn has $10 tab with bartender, has consumed $6
 Chris has $10 tab with bartender, has consumed $5
 Lynn and Chris play pool, Chris owes Lynn $5
 Current method (gross settlement): each party settles with
each other (3 tx, $16 gross flow)
 New method (net settlement): (2 tx, $11 gross flow)
 Already see implication if less money transfers, more is available
97
Source: Andreas Antonopoulos
Bartender
A/R
Lynn $6
Chris $5
Lynn
A/R
Chris $5 Bar $6
A/P
$1
Chris
Bar $5
A/P
$10
Lynn $5
$11
Current
Method
Tx1 $6-Lynn
Tx2 $5-Chris
Tx3 $5-Lynn
Payment
Channel
Tx1 $10 C-to-B
Tx2 $1 L-to-B
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
6. MyMonthlyExpense Payment Channel
 My monthly expenses example
 De facto payment channel
 Inflows into bank account:
 Paycheck direct deposit
 Outflows from bank account:
 Auto-pay bills (fixed and variable)
 Formalized into a multi-party payment
contract netting salary against
expenses, any remainder to Schwab
investment account
 Implication: settling net basis frees capital
 Consider business entities on a net basis
98
Source: https://www.psmarketresearch.com/market-analysis/personal-robot-market
My monthly expenses
Salary (direct deposit)
DR CR
$xx
Expenses (auto-pay)
Rent (fixed amount)
Car payment (fixed)
Utilities (variable)
Discretionary (variable)
$xx
$xx
$xx
$xx
Net savings (variable) $xx
$xx
My apartment building
Expected inflows
DR CR
$xx
Expected outflows
Fixed
Variable
Net
$xx
$xx
$xx
My small business
Expected inflows
DR CR
$xx
Expected outflows
Fixed
Variable
Net
$xx
$xx
$xx
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
7. MySupplyChain Payment Graph Economy
 Blockchains: only sub-registers of the cash
account (Alice, Bob, HSBC, etc.), not a full
suite of general ledger accounts
 Property registries use cash-acct ledger structure
 Property registries where UTXOs are assets
 Birth/death registry: one credit tx, one debit tx
 Supply chain finance: for supply chain net
settling, need integrated account ledgers
 Single set of books with multiple views: by supply
chain (new) + by entity (existing)
 Revenue (WMT); COGS (Deere, Adidas)
99
Source: https://www.psmarketresearch.com/market-analysis/personal-robot-market
My supply chain
Sales Inventory COGS Manufacturing Raw Materials
Cash
Alice
Bob
Carol
Ralph
HSBC
DR CR
$xx
$xx
$xx
$xx
$xx
Payments trajectory
Goods trajectory
Orthogonal trajectories,
different incentives, behavior
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Payment Channel implications
 New forms of Digital Credit Systems
 Contractually-obligated payment relationships
 Booked as periodic net activity
 Net settlement
 Digitized payment system for resource consumption that
settles based on net payments instead of gross transfers
 Peer-provided banking services enabled
100
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Securities as a Service
101
Source: Blockchain Fintech: Programmable Risk and Securities as a Service,
http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2016/10/blockchain-fintech-programmable-risk.html
CD, DVD
Streaming Music and
Video Services
Entertainment as
a Service
Asset
Service
Auto, Home
Uber, Lyft, Gett, Juno,
Via; Airbnb, VRBO
HomeAway
Transportation,
Domicile as a Service
Securities
Securities as
a Service
 Securities a Service
 Now have to own because uncertain future value of assets
 Access to the consumable benefits of the asset without owning
 Works if trust consumable assets will have future availability
 Need the cash flow the asset provides, not the asset itself
Consumable benefits of
securities: cash flow,
appreciation
Payments as
a Service
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Net settlement: Municipal finance example
102
Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains
State ContractorTaxpayer
Bond
State ContractorTaxpayer
Current Method: 15-year IDB Future Method: Smart Contract
Smart Contract monthly payments
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Net settlement: Municipal finance example
103
Source: http://www.cabq.gov/economicdevelopment/business-owners/services-programs/bonds
15-year IDB
Bond
Investor
+
-
State
+
-
Contractor
+
+
Taxpayer
-
-
Contractor
+
-
State
++
Taxpayer
+
-
-
2
1
• State borrows full amount in
bond offering
• State chooses contractor and
pays contract in installments
• Contractor receives
installment payments from
State
• Taxpayers pay tax payments
to State
• State pays interest to bond
holders and repays principal at
maturity
Future Method: Smart
Contract Municipal Project
Current Method: 15-year IDB
• State selects contractor and
supervises project
• Smart contract monthly
payments: taxpayers to
contractor
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
network futures.
104
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
future-class tech.
105
blockchain networks are a
new class of global
computational infrastructure.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Context of the Blockchain Revolution
106
Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html
I. Transfer Information II. Transfer Value
6 7
2020s 2030s
Simple networks Smart networks
 Blockchain is fundamentally the next phase of the
Internet, not just Fintech, could impact every industry
 Two fundamental eras of network computing
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
smart networks.
107
 Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks
 Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value
 Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification
 Attribute information : quality, characteristics, provenance
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
deep learning
chains. 108
 Autonomous Driving & Drone
Delivery, Social Robotics
 Deep Learning (CNNs): identify
what things are
 Blockchain: secure automation
technology
 Track arbitrarily-many units,
audit, upgrade
 Legal liability, accountability,
remuneration
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
fleet management.
109
secure automated
Smart city: 3D port, international trade, planning and logistics, supply chain management
Aerial logistics highway (50m virtual tunnel at 150m altitude): autonomous drone delivery,
law enforcement surveillance, biopathogen and epidemic sensors
Source: Suarez, D. (2017). Change Agent. Pp. 79-80.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
data.
110
big data ≠ smart data.
clean, standardized,
interoperable.
Source: http://www.oyster-ims.com/media/resources/dealing-information-growth-dark-data-six-practical-steps
40 EB 2020e
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
scale.
111
Source: https://www.illumina.com/science/technology/next-generation-sequencing.html
Population:
7.5 bn people worldwide
big health data.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 112
technological unemployment.
human-machine collaboration.
automation economy.
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain
Problem Diagnosis
Ineffective Supply Chain Market Dynamics
113
 Ineffective meeting of Supply and Demand:
 Reduced liquidity due to search problem
 Purchasers and suppliers cannot find each other
 Reduced fungibility due to matching problem
 Greater requirements-features match is possible
 Reduced liquidity due to lack of information
 Attribute information: quality, characteristics,
provenance, chain of custody of goods
 Market information: price, volume, aggregate activity
 Reduced liquidity due to lack of global digital
network of contracting, financing, and
enforcement structures
Information-rich
Feature-rich
Agent-rich
Simultaneously,
market exploding
to become:
Solution-rich
Harder to find
signal in the noise
Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
27 Jul 2018
Blockchain 114
Blockchain Supply Chain thesis
The future of the supply chain concerns
three factors:
(1) Findability and fungibility of goods (a
human-machine collaboration problem)
(2) Cost of attribute discovery (an
information theoretic search problem)
(3) Vendor payment channels (a digital asset
contracting problem)

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Blockchain Supply Chain

  • 1. Blockchain Supply Chain Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.orgOvation 2018 27 July 2018, Plymouth MA USA Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
  • 2. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 1 Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist  Philosophy Department, Purdue University, Indiana USA  Top enabling technologies of the 21st century  Blockchain, Deep Learning, and Synthetic Biology  Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies  Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE Essayist; FQXi Advisor Traditional Markets Background Economics and Financial Theory Leadership New Economies research group Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
  • 3. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Blockchain 2 Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491  To inspire us to build this world Disclaimer: no substantial cryptocurrency, ICO, or smart contract ownership or advising
  • 4. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 3 Blockchain Supply Chain thesis Blockchain: all assets digitized and registered to blockchains; instantaneously transactable on a global basis Blockchain Supply Chain: all assets exist in digital inventories, tradeable (pledgeable, financeable) and more importantly, findable, in the global digital network economy
  • 5. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 4 “Better horse” Blockchain’s “New Technology” progression “Horseless carriage” “Car” 3.0 2.0 1.0 New species of technology: Invent new possibilities that did not exist before Better internet: the payments layer the internet never had Applications: Real-time payments and monetary transactions (immediate transfer) Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 invent new possibilities that did not exist before Basic Advanced Future Internet with value transfer and smart contracts Applications: Financial contracts (mortgage, insurance); legal contracts; government documents; voting Large-scale Collaboration Technology: superseding previous social collaboration technologies: corporations, governments, and open-source communities Applications: automated fleet management, big health data, asynchronous space communication
  • 6. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Collaboration Optimization Problem 5 Source: Coase. (1937). The Nature of the Firm. Penrose (1959). The Theory of the Growth of the Firm. Takagi, S. forthcoming. Does Blockchain Decentralize Everything? In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)  Organizational Economics  The problem of “the firm” (optimal size at which to organize activity) in the context of the supply chain (how to organize activity in the global supply chain)  What are the right collaboration models in a global supply chain digital network economy with open business models?  The firm (Coase, 1937)  Organization gains scale economies and reduces risk by foregoing opportunism  Individuals gain smoother incomes and benefit from shared decision-making
  • 7. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain What drives blockchain adoption by industry?  Two factors leading financial services implementation 6 FinTech, RegTech Supply Chain HealthTech Financial Services No XML for logging health attributes and matching cost-outcome accountability TradeTech Healthcare No XML for widgetsXML for finance: interest, principal, prepayment, ARM/FRM ARM: Adjustable-rate mortgage; FRM: Fixed-rate mortgage 2. Standard Transaction Language High Low 1. Product Fungibility
  • 8. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Supply Chain Everything is a Liquidity Problem 7 Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific) re: Information Costs: Allen et al. (2017). Blockchain TradeTech. APEC Study Centres Consortium Conference, May 2018  Buyers-Sellers  Deep learning matches Purchasers-Suppliers  Goods more fungible than requirements-features find  Deep learning pattern recognition system  Lack of trustworthy product Information  Attribute information: quality, characteristics, provenance, and chain of custody is blockchain-modulated for all goods  Lack of global digital contracting structures  Digital product inventories, blockchain-based credit histories, vendor payment channels, always-on trade finance network  Fundamental level of organization: item not invoice
  • 9. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 8 1. Blockchain-registered digitized assets  Ownership confirmed, ready for transfer, instantaneous global transactability, pre-validated digitally-registered assets 2. Financing Implications  Digital assets can be pledged as collateral in on-demand financing with any party (without having to form a vendor- supplier relationship) in enterprise payment channels  Invoice factoring, inventory, sales order, purchase order 3. Business Process Implications  Automated business logic via smart contracts  Shared business processes in enterprise blockchain networks  Shared record-keeping in an era of digital ledgers  Integrated ledgers (accounting and legal processes) Procurement Blockchain Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
  • 10. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain In the Digital Network Economy… 9 Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific) re: Information Costs: Allen et al. (2017). Blockchain TradeTech. APEC Study Centres Consortium Conference, May 2018  The firm becomes an ecology  Developer community, AppStore revenue sharing model  User community (new product/feature demand development)  The supply chain becomes a real-time global market  Blockchain provides the new economic infrastructure  Digital assets registered to blockchains (real-time transactable)  New forms of contracting & financing (automated invoice factoring)  Single shared business processes, integrated record-keeping  Information: trusted attribute information about the quality, characteristics, provenance, and chain of custody of goods
  • 11. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain objectives. 10 1. what is blockchain. 2. technical overview. 3. business use cases. 4. implications for procurement.
  • 13. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain internet content. 12 information. email. voice. video. money.
  • 14. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 13 Conceptual Definition: Blockchain is a software protocol; just as SMTP is a protocol for sending email, blockchain is a protocol for sending money Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 What is Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Tech?
  • 15. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Blockchain Technology: What is it? 14  Blockchain technology is the secure distributed ledger software that underlies cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin  “Internet of Money” leapfrog technology; Skype is an app allowing phone calls via Internet without POTS; Bitcoin is an app allowing money transfer via Internet without banks; ‘decentralized Paypal’ Internet (decentralized network) Blockchain Bitcoin Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 Application Layer Protocol Layer Infrastructure Layer SMTP Email VoIP Phone calls OSI Protocol Stack:
  • 16. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Adoption 15 Source: http://www.digital-marketing-course.org/growth-of-global-internet-users/, https://wearesocial-net.s3.amazonaws.com/uk/wp- content/uploads/sites/2/2017/01/Slide007.png  Information Internet  20-40 years (50% online, killer app: corporate email)  Money Internet  Early stages (2050-2075); could be longer due to sensitivity of assets and money; shorter due to in-place network infrastructure  More profound impact: computationally-based society has less need for traditional brick-and-mortar institutional footprint Growth in Global Internet users 1995-2015
  • 17. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain novel features. 16 general-purpose technology that is simultaneously transparent and private.
  • 18. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain blockchain. 17 software. secure cryptographic transfer. internet.
  • 19. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain killer apps. 18 secure transfer of value, of… money & securities. property. contracts. identity credentials.
  • 20. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 19 public chains. private chains. trustless. mined. p2p software. trusted. not-mined. enterprise software.
  • 21. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain How does Bitcoin work? Use eWallet app to submit transaction 20 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c Scan recipient’s address and submit transaction $ appears in recipient’s eWallet Wallet has keys not money Creates PKI Signature address pairs A new PKI signature for each transaction
  • 22. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain P2P network confirms & records transaction 21 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5JGQXCTe3c Transaction computationally confirmed Ledger account balances updated Peer nodes maintain distributed ledger Transactions submitted to a pool and miners assemble new batch (block) of transactions each 10 min Each block includes a cryptographic hash of the last block, chaining the blocks, hence “Blockchain”
  • 23. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain consensus algorithms. 22 mining and
  • 24. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain consensus algorithms. 23  Heart of blockchain systems  Blockchain is automated software, no central authority  Need a way for distributed peer-to-peer nodes in the network to agree about updates to the ledger per executed transactions  Public blockchains are trustless  Transactions are executed using “cryptographic proof instead of trust” (Nakamoto, 2008)
  • 25. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain consensus algorithms. 24  Public Blockchains  POW: Proof of Work (Bitcoin)  POS: Proof of Stake (Nxt, Qtum, Reddcoin)  Next-gen (scale to Visa-class processing): Practical Byzantine Fault Tolerance (PBFT) (DFINITY, Algorand)  Private blockchains  Enterprise consensus algorithms Source: dos Santos, forthcoming, Consensus Algorithms: A Matter of Complexity?, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
  • 26. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain consensus algorithms. 25  Enterprise Blockchains Source: dos Santos, forthcoming, Consensus Algorithms: A Matter of Complexity?, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
  • 27. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain What is Bitcoin mining? 26  Mining is the accounting function to record transactions, fee-based ($103,000/block)  Mining clients (ASICs) “find new blocks”  Mining software constantly makes nonce guesses per specified cryptographic parameters  At the rate of 2^32 (4 billion) hashes (guesses)/second  One machine at random guesses a solution  Winning machine confirms and records the transactions, and collects the rewards  All nodes confirm the transactions and append the new block to their copy of the distributed ledger  “Wasteful” effort deters malicious players Sample code: Run the software yourself: Fast because ASICs represent the hashing algorithm as hardware
  • 28. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain bitcoin mining. 27 Proof of Work: secure but expensive.
  • 29. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain How changes to the Software are made  Blockchain is automated software  No centralized authority  Open source software community like Linux  Developers propose changes  BIP (Bitcoin Improvement Proposals)  BIP-0199, https://github.com/bitcoin/bips  Voting process among 5 constituencies  Developers, miners, exchanges, wallets, merchants  Watch support for initiatives in real-time online 28 Segregated Witness: move non-critical “witness” data off the blockchain; BIP: Bitcoin Improvement Proposal Source: http://www.coindesk.com/data/bitcoin-number-transactions-per-block (https://coin.dance/blocks)
  • 30. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain hype vs value-creation. 29
  • 31. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 30 $2.1 billion 2018 global blockchain spend (IDC). ($9.2 billion in 2021) $3.86 trillion IT spend 2018 (Gartner) (digital transformation, blockchain, IoT, ML, and AI) 57% global corporations (Juniper). $325 billion USD asset class. 1551 cryptocurrencies. 1722 token projects. Sources: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/31/blockchain-technology-considered-by-57-percent-of-big-corporations-study.html, https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/all/, https://www.stateofthedapps.com/, https://www.blockchaintechnology-news.com/2018/01/26/idc-global-blockchain-hit-9-2-billion-2021/
  • 32. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 31 Source: http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2016/10/blockchain-fintech-programmable-risk.html Stock Transaction Real Estate Purchase/Sale Health Insurance Billing 2. Steps that can be automated with blockchain 1. Steps with human decision-making Energy Contract International Trade Shipment  Business process reengineering  Any complex transaction has two kinds of activities  Usability: Apple-type design for user experience Blockchain Automation Economy
  • 33. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain When to use Blockchain Technology 32  Blockchain is enterprise software  Solid business use case  How does a decentralized solution improve over a centralized one?  Ideal use case:  Many parties in the value chain  Intensity of information and monetary exchange Use Case Example: Factom: Health insurance claims billing (overlay to Bitcoin blockchain) • Automated claims billing, validation, payment, and settlement • Multi-party value chain: patient, service provider, billing agent, insurance company, payor, government, collections
  • 34. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain When to use Blockchain Technology 33  Do multiple parties need access to the same data?  Do multiple parties need to write to the data store?  Do all parties need assurance that the data is valid and has not been tampered with?  Do you rely on a costly intermediary or a complex, unreliable process to reconcile the transactions of multiple parties?  Available solutions  What are the available solutions?  Is there no system available today that meets the requirement?  Are there good reasons not to have a centralized system? Source: https://www.basware.com/en-us/blog/september-2017/blockchain-whats-myth-whats-reality
  • 35. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Blockchain: Middleware in Enterprise IT Stack 34  Cloud solutions like docker containers  Azure, Ariba, Basware  Interface to web/CRM and ERP/GL/AR/AP  Interface to data analytics  Machine learning for real-time fraud detection Source: https://www.computerworld.com/article/3084674/cloud-computing/with-microsofts-project-bletchley-companies-can-add- middleware-to-blockchains.html
  • 37. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 36 Source: http://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Blueprint-New-World-Currency/dp/1491920491 Blockchain: Fintech and beyond AssetsImmediate cash transfer Applications Payments Money Remittance Financial instruments Unified ledger Mortgages, loans Titling: house, auto Inventory Commercial trade Payments Financial Services Logistics & Supply Chain Energy, IoT Healthcare Government Humanitarian Non-profit Industry adoption Time Complexity Stocks, bonds Goods transfer Assurance, provenance Identity Driver’s License Passport, Visa Contracts Registries Marriage licenses Public Documents Birth/death registries BoL, Forfeiting Insurance Cash Smart Assets Smart Contracts
  • 38. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 37  Secure information exchange  Asset confirmation and transfer  Automated coordination  Example: fleet management of drones, autonomous driving, robotics, clinical trial patients, cellular therapeutics  Blockchain: automated, secure coordination system with remuneration and tracking Key Blockchain Functionality Source: Swan, M. Philosophy of Social Robotics: Abundance Economics. Sociorobotics, 2016. http://www.melanieswan.com/documents/SocialRobotics.pdf.
  • 39. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain change. 38 Source: https://www.coindesk.com/bankers-tout-trade-finance-sweet-spot-blockchain/ “We expect to see a reduction of 70 percent to 80 percent in costs on supply chain management by using blockchain.“ - Amit Varma, CTO, Citibank, June 2018 Blockchain Summit, London, June 2018
  • 40. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 39 financial services. quantified risk: 2.5 yr payback (securities clearing 3-days to 2-days).
  • 41. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 40 food safety. chain of custody.
  • 42. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 41 vaccine and cold storage tracking.  Standard blockchain-registered IoT attributes  Temperature, pressure, geo-location, custody
  • 43. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 42  Traceability system for materials and products bringing verified information from supply chain to the point of sale  Used by 200 suppliers  Using IoT, mobile, and blockchain  Example  Smart tags used to track fish caught by fishermen with verified social sustainability claims Source: Provenance (NL) sustainability.
  • 44. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 43  Concept: global inventories of high-value items: jewels, controlled substances  Mechanism: registered with digital certificate  Diamond supply chain projects:  Everledger (2015)  Records and tracks the immutable provenance of an asset with blockchain, IoT, smart contracts  TrustChain Initiative (2018)  IBM, precious metals refiner Asahi Refining, jewelry retailer Helzberg Diamonds, precious metals supplier LeachGarner, jewelry manufacturer The Richline Group, and independent verification service UL Source: https://diamonds.everledger.io/; https://cointelegraph.com/news/ibm-and-jewelry-industry-leaders-to-use-blockchain-to- trace-origin-of-diamonds high-value tracking.
  • 45. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 44 birth registry, QR code resumes. MIT Digital Certificates (diplomas); Criminal Records
  • 46. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Global Trade: Maersk  15.8% of the world's global shipping fleet traffic ($236bn value, 628 ships)  On average, 30 people/organizations involved in the shipment of a product using a shipping container  Over 200 separate interactions, each requiring a new set of documents  Pilot project (Hyperledger) for blockchain-based supply chain management  Relocating empty containers to available nearby ships 45 Source: https://www.coindesk.com/worlds-largest-shipping-company-tracking-cargo-blockchain/
  • 47. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 46 anti-counterfeiting.
  • 48. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 47 blockchain-streamlined supply chain.  Single shared business logic in blockchain cloud  Credentials and private views (regulators) issued to multiple parties in the value chain
  • 49. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 48 enterprise blockchains.  General  IBM Hyperledger Fabric  Ethereum Private Network  R3 Corda (HPC)  Symbiont  Supply Chain  IBM Hyperledger Fabric  Ethereum Private Network  SKUChain (POPcodes)  Provenance (sourcing, custody)  Sweetbridge (collateralization) HPC: HP high-performance computing
  • 50. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 49 enterprise platform comparison. Source: https://medium.com/@philippsandner/comparison-of-ethereum-hyperledger-fabric-and-corda-21c1bb9442f6, https://www.accenture.com/t20171116T081243Z__w__/sg-en/_acnmedia/PDF-66/Accenture-Project-Ubin-Phase-2.pdf
  • 51. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 50 blockchains in space. Jan. 13, 2018 - NASA has awarded a grant to the University of Akron for research into data analysis and other topics related to space exploration. The allocation will help a team led by associate professor Jin Wei to pioneer a resilient networking system based in part on the Ethereum blockchain.
  • 53. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Blockchain Economics 52 Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economics Networks. Palgrave Macmillan.
  • 54. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Blockchain Economics  New economic model’s distinguishing aspects 1. Open platform business model  vs. proprietary platform (GOOG, FB, NFLX) 2. Initial Coin Offerings as a novel and official financing method for projects 3. Token-based money supply 53 Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economic Networks. Palgrave Macmillan. Two-way network effects (Metcalfe’s Law (n2 ))
  • 55. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 54 participation. earn money. access resources. vote on decisions. tokens = “money +”. functions of money. store of value. medium of exchange. unit of account. +
  • 56. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain participation. 55 information internet: static information social internet: engage with content token internet: participate in the community economy
  • 57. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Evolution of Financing Models Supply Chain becomes Demand Chain 56 1. IPO 2. Crowdfunding 3. ICO Equity ownership Product Token & Platform  ICO: fundraising method, more liquid than equity  Conceived as project finance / capital-budgeting solution  Future: securitized customer demand (from social networks) Source: Blockchain Consumer Apps: https://cryptoinsider.21mil.com/blockchain-consumer-apps-next-generation-social-networks- aka-strategic-advice-facebook/; Doc Searls, personal Vendor RFPs; Casey Financing Model Pre-sell access to: 4. Securitized Demand Product Development Future
  • 58. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 57 internet money. enterprise software. economic collaboration infrastructure. blockchain.
  • 59. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 58 Source: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755 financing.
  • 60. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 59 net settlement. payment channels. digital credit systems. Source: http://timreview.ca/article/1109 rethink financing.
  • 61. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Payment Channels: the concept 60  Contractually-obligated relationship  3-step economic contract executed over time 1. Party A opens a payment channel with Party B and posts a pre-paid escrow balance, Party B signs a full refund 2. Party A consumes against the escrow credit over the given time period (activity is tracked) 3. At the end of the period, cumulative activity is booked in one net transaction to close the contract  Lightning Network - Bitcoin  Raiden - Ethereum Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
  • 62. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 1. Unilateral Payment Channel 61 Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Signed between Wallets (both parties agree and are obligated; not Broadcast to Network) USD $50 Alice opens $50 “Monthly Payment Channel” with Starbucks Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network Alice consumes coffee and Starbucks adjusts the refund balance from the initial deposit USD $5 4/1/18 4/30/18 1 2 Close “Monthly Payment Channel”: Starbucks broadcasts last refund amount to network Starbucks Coffee USD $50 USD $45 Starbucks acknowledges with unbroadcast refund of $50 4/2/18 USD $5 3 4/3/18 USD $5 4 4/4/18 USD $40 USD $35 USD $35 30
  • 63. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 2. Bilateral Payment Channel 62 Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling SBUX Balance Sheet Assets Cash $1.2bn Liabilities Stored Value Cards $1.2bn Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Signed between Wallets (not Broadcast to Network) 1 BTC Open “Monthly Expense” payment channel: create a new address, each fund with 1 BTC Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network 1 BTC Each pays for expenses from the shared address during the month 1.2 BTC 0.8 BTC 4/1/18 4/30/18 1 2 3 Close “Monthly Expense” payment channel: net settle the balance returned to each Roommate Expense Sharing
  • 64. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 3. Community Payment Channel 63 Source: https://solarpowerrocks.com/solar-basics/how-much-electricity-does-a-solar-panel-produce Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Daily production and consumption measured as signed transactions between Wallets A, B, C, D ante up monthly dues to the address to open this month’s “Community Payment Channel” Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network Energy Produced 4/1/18 4/30/18 2 Close this month’s “Community Payment Channel” with net amount returned to A, B, C, D 0.8 kWh CSC: Community Solar Coin Token: ante-up expenses, vote, governance re: how price per kWh, smart contract lookups to pricing oracle; additional capital calls during the month if necessary 4/2/18 4/3/183 Etc. 30 Sustainable Energy Production 1 CSC 1 CSCA B C D 1 CSC 1 CSC Energy Consumed 1.2 kWhA A Energy Produced 1.1 kWh Energy Consumed 0.6 kWhB B Energy Produced 1.3 kWh Energy Consumed 0.7 kWhC C Energy Produced 1.0 kWh Energy Consumed 1.1 kWhD D 1 A B C D 1 CSC 0.8 CSC 1.2 CSC1.1 CSC
  • 65. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Transactive Grid, President St, Brooklyn NY  Decentralized DIY energy markets  Blockchain-based microgrid  Community:  Five net-producing homes generating energy through solar power  Five net-consuming homes interested in buying excess energy from neighbors  Benefits: no billing components, no infrastructure losses, no accounting losses in the system  Ability for producers to sell or donate excess 64 Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2079334-blockchain-based-microgrid-gives-power-to-consumers-in-new-york
  • 67. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain reduce risk. 66 blockchain-registered digital assets. instantaneous transactability. real-time balance sheets. shared business processes. single ledger. Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
  • 68. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Programmable Risk Black Swan Smart Contracts  Insurance automatically priced into smart contracts via big data  User-selected High-Medium-Low programmable risk dropdown feature of smart contracts  Financial options (put/call) used to control/manufacture exposure  Convexity (Fig. 1): control down-side risk, upside gain, anti-fragile (robust)  Concavity: undesirable risk profile  Taleb: map event probabilities as s-curve (Fig. 2) in medicine, etc.  Convex-linear-concave profile 67 Sources: Swan, M. Submitted. Programmable Risk: Black Swan Smart Contracts, IEEE; Taleb, Medicine: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1208/1208.1189.pdf Figure 1 Figure 2
  • 69. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain smart contracts. 68 Launched: Nov 2017 500,000 sold, total: USD$40 million Source: http://fortune.com/2018/02/13/cryptokitties-ethereum-ios-launch-china-ether cryptokitties.
  • 70. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain inclusion. 69 banking & credit. land registry. identity. electricity. vaccines & medicine. Source: https://www.unicef.org.au/blog/unicef-in-action/april-2017/photos-vaccines-reach-most-remote-places-earth Digital health wallet
  • 71. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 70 regulation and competitive advantage.
  • 72. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain government as service provider. 71 old model. eResidency. eBusiness services. Exclusivity: One default economic and political sovereign birth regime. new model. Source: https://www.consultancy.eu/news/933/estonia-has-35000-e-residents-most-are-finnish-russian-and-Ukrainian, https://blog.leapin.eu/e-residency-all-the-numbers-you-wanted-to-know-statistics-9ccc1bee75 Plurality: Entering a world of plurality in economic and political systems >35,000 Estonia e-Residents (May 2018)
  • 74. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain risks. tech: scalability. political: regulation. social: adoption and collusion. Rapid Adoption Unfavorable Regulation Favorable Regulation Slow Adoption Future Scenarios 73 near-term
  • 75. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain risks. tech: advance. 74 longer-term  Blockchain (blockchain deep learning smart networks) is the vanguard of computing  Could define next- generation computing architectures, quantum (expensive error-correction) or otherwise  “End of Moore’s law” not a worry due to new architectures, lithography techniques
  • 76. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain implications for procurement. 75
  • 77. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 76  Bitcoin Blockchain  Real-time payments  Ethereum  Smart contracts, DApp platform (distributed applications)  Ripple  Real-time cross-border bank transfer and live credit network  Factom (overlay to Bitcoin blockchain)  Health insurance claims billing  Clinical Trials blockchain  Smart contract consent, privacy, data interop, off-chain EMR Industry-specific Blockchains EMR: Electronic Medical Record
  • 78. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Procurement: Sourcing and Purchasing 77 Source: http://www.tendersinfo.com/blogs/what-is-the-difference-between-procurement-purchasing-and-sourcing/
  • 79. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 78  Sourcing and Purchasing  Real-time exchange  High through-put  Global access  Validated histories  Digital identity  Transaction confirmation  Document management  Integration  ERP, GL/AR/AP/Payroll  CRM systems  Multi-platform mobile app/web front-ends Procurement Blockchain requirements EMR: Electronic Medical Record
  • 80. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 79 1. Blockchain-registered digitized assets  Ownership confirmed, ready for transfer, instantaneous global transactability, pre-validated digitally-registered assets 2. Financing Implications  Digital assets can be pledged as collateral in on-demand financing with any party (without having to form a vendor- supplier relationship) in enterprise payment channels  Invoice factoring, inventory, sales order, purchase order 3. Business Process Implications  Automated business logic via smart contracts  Shared business processes in enterprise blockchain networks  Shared record-keeping in an era of digital ledgers  Integrated ledgers (accounting and legal processes) Procurement Blockchain Sources: http://www.europeanfinancialreview.com/?p=21755, http://timreview.ca/article/1109
  • 81. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain  Findings: Financiers, accountants, and SMEs thought blockchain-based credit histories could prevent fraud, minimize the administrative costs of providing credit, and improve the financing opportunities available to SMEs Study of Stakeholders in SME Financing 80 Source: Kayal et al., forthcoming, Financing Small & Medium Enterprises with Blockchain: an exploratory research of stakeholders' attitudes, in Blockchain Economics (World Scientific) Risk Factors contributing to potential Fraud (1) The smaller the business entity, the higher the risk (2) Lack of credit history between the business entity and the financier (3) Financing a foreign business carries a higher risk than a local one Blockchain-based Credit Histories to reduce Risk of Fraud Proposal for Blockchain-based Inventory Financing Process
  • 82. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain objectives. 81 1. what is blockchain. 2. technical overview. 3. business use cases. 4. implications for procurement. conclusion
  • 83. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 82 internet money. enterprise software. economic collaboration infrastructure. blockchain.
  • 84. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain supply chain blockchain. 83 software for secure internet-based transfer of assets and information. business process reengineering technology.
  • 85. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 84 Blockchain Supply Chain thesis Blockchain: all assets digitized and registered to blockchains; instantaneously transactable on a global basis Blockchain Supply Chain: all assets exist in digital inventories, tradeable (pledgeable, financeable) and more importantly, findable, in the global digital network economy
  • 86. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Procurement leading the path ahead 85  Procurement already automating the efficiencies associated with sourcing and purchasing  Global reach, sophisticated business, technologically- intense solutions, real-time exchange  Challenge is to envision and continue leading the modernizing way forward with strategic acuity
  • 87. Blockchain Supply Chain Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.orgOvation 2018 27 July 2018, Plymouth MA USA Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
  • 88. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Institute for Blockchain Studies Blockchain Research Program  Theoretical research  Apply quantitative methods from physics (renormalization/path integrals), complexity science (entropy), and deep learning to blockchain analysis  Applied research  Economics: algorithmic trust, a network mechanism that moderates credit availability and facilitates blockchain markets to Nash equilibria more quickly than classical markets  Payment channels, debt, net-settled capital, programmable risk, integrated business ledgers, blockchain health economics  Social theory  Smart City Cryptopolis and Blockchain Enlightenment  Automation Economy flourishing of human, algorithm, machine  Advanced conceptual research  Blocktime, BCI cloudminds, Brain as a DAC, biocryptoeconomy 87 Source: Swan, M. Forthcoming. Blockchain Economic Networks. Palgrave Macmillan. Blockchain Economics Swan et al. (World Scientific, 2019)
  • 89. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 88 payment channels.
  • 90. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Payment Channel motivation and projects  Motivation  Micropayments for video bandwidth consumption where piecemeal transactions do not make sense  Blockchain scalability (offload tx)  Send payments across p2p network  Projects  Bitcoin: Lightning Network  Time/signature lock parameters: CheckLockTimeVerify, CheckSequenceVerify  Current ~$350 max (4% Btc) for Lightning Payment channels  Ethereum: Raiden, Plasma 89 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
  • 91. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 1. Unilateral Payment Channel 90 Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Signed between Wallets (both parties agree and are obligated; not Broadcast to Network) USD $50 Alice opens $50 “Monthly Payment Channel” with Starbucks Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network Alice consumes coffee and Starbucks adjusts the refund balance from the initial deposit USD $5 4/1/18 4/30/18 1 2 Close “Monthly Payment Channel”: Starbucks broadcasts last refund amount to network Starbucks Coffee USD $50 USD $45 Starbucks acknowledges with unbroadcast refund of $50 4/2/18 USD $5 3 4/3/18 USD $5 4 4/4/18 USD $40 USD $35 USD $35 30
  • 92. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 1. Unilateral Payment Channels  Starbucks Example 1. Customer opens $50 monthly payment channel with Starbucks 2. Daily coffee consumed is tracked and booked against the $50 credit 3. Activity is netted at the end of the month. Contracts close and roll over at regular intervals. Either party may close the channel early, trigger net settlement  SBUX: payment channel prototype  Loyalty program (cards & apps): 41% purchases, $1.2 bn obligations 91 SBUX Balance Sheet Assets Cash $1.2bn Liabilities Stored Value Cards $1.2bn Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/blockchain-economics-payment-channels
  • 93. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 2. Bilateral Payment Channel 92 Source: Extended from https://www.investinblockchain.com/lightning-network-bitcoin-scaling SBUX Balance Sheet Assets Cash $1.2bn Liabilities Stored Value Cards $1.2bn Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Signed between Wallets (not Broadcast to Network) 1 BTC Open “Monthly Expense” payment channel: create a new address, each fund with 1 BTC Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network 1 BTC Each pays for expenses from the shared address during the month 1.2 BTC 0.8 BTC 4/1/18 4/30/18 1 2 3 Close “Monthly Expense” payment channel: net settle the balance returned to each Roommate Expense Sharing
  • 94. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 3. Community Payment Channel 93 Source: https://solarpowerrocks.com/solar-basics/how-much-electricity-does-a-solar-panel-produce Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Daily production and consumption measured as signed transactions between Wallets A, B, C, D ante up monthly dues to the address to open this month’s “Community Payment Channel” Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network Energy Produced 4/1/18 4/30/18 2 Close this month’s “Community Payment Channel” with net amount returned to A, B, C, D 0.8 kWh CSC: Community Solar Coin Token: ante-up expenses, vote, governance re: how price per kWh, smart contract lookups to pricing oracle; additional capital calls during the month if necessary 4/2/18 4/3/183 Etc. 30 Sustainable Energy Production 1 CSC 1 CSCA B C D 1 CSC 1 CSC Energy Consumed 1.2 kWhA A Energy Produced 1.1 kWh Energy Consumed 0.6 kWhB B Energy Produced 1.3 kWh Energy Consumed 0.7 kWhC C Energy Produced 1.0 kWh Energy Consumed 1.1 kWhD D 1 A B C D 1 CSC 0.8 CSC 1.2 CSC1.1 CSC
  • 95. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Transactive Grid, President St, Brooklyn NY  Decentralized DIY energy markets  Blockchain-based microgrid  Community:  Five net-producing homes generating energy through solar power  Five net-consuming homes interested in buying excess energy from neighbors  Benefits: no billing components, no infrastructure losses, no accounting losses in the system  Ability for producers to sell or donate excess 94 Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2079334-blockchain-based-microgrid-gives-power-to-consumers-in-new-york
  • 96. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 4. Multi-resource Community Payment Channel 95 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains Opening Transaction: Broadcast to Network Interim Transactions: Daily production and consumption measured as signed transactions between Wallets A, B, C ante up monthly dues to the address to open this month’s “Community Payment Channel” Closing Transaction: Broadcast to Network Energy Produced 4/1/18 4/30/18 2 Close this month’s “Community Payment Channel” with net amount returned to A, B, C 0.8 kWh CSC: Community Coin Token: ante-up expenses, voting, governance, decision-making re: resource pricing; additional capital calls; dispute resolution mechanism 4/2/18 4/3/183 Etc. 30 Sustainable Community 1 CSC 1 CSCA B C 1 CSC Energy Consumed 1.2 kWhA Greens Produced 3 units Greens Consumed 1 unit B Bandwidth Produced 10 units Bandwidth Consumed 3 units 1 A B C 1 CSC 0.8 CSC 1.1 CSC B C 1.2 kWh A C C A B 2 units 1 unit
  • 97. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Uber for Microgreens Who’s harvesting today? 96 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains; Swan, M. 2017. Technological Unemployment, In Surviving the Machine Age. Springer. LocalGreens Kale – SuperGreens Citizen’s sense of duty to serve the republic Civic Duty Civic Collaboration Greek Statesman Self-directed Cryptocitizen Optional peer infrastructure provision: Cryptocitizen’s sense of meaning and purpose in participating in community sustainability Identity Crisis: who are we in the Automation Economy, Technological Unemployment, and the Future of Work?
  • 98. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 5. Small Group Payment Channel  Local bar: Lynn, Chris, Bartender  Lynn has $10 tab with bartender, has consumed $6  Chris has $10 tab with bartender, has consumed $5  Lynn and Chris play pool, Chris owes Lynn $5  Current method (gross settlement): each party settles with each other (3 tx, $16 gross flow)  New method (net settlement): (2 tx, $11 gross flow)  Already see implication if less money transfers, more is available 97 Source: Andreas Antonopoulos Bartender A/R Lynn $6 Chris $5 Lynn A/R Chris $5 Bar $6 A/P $1 Chris Bar $5 A/P $10 Lynn $5 $11 Current Method Tx1 $6-Lynn Tx2 $5-Chris Tx3 $5-Lynn Payment Channel Tx1 $10 C-to-B Tx2 $1 L-to-B
  • 99. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 6. MyMonthlyExpense Payment Channel  My monthly expenses example  De facto payment channel  Inflows into bank account:  Paycheck direct deposit  Outflows from bank account:  Auto-pay bills (fixed and variable)  Formalized into a multi-party payment contract netting salary against expenses, any remainder to Schwab investment account  Implication: settling net basis frees capital  Consider business entities on a net basis 98 Source: https://www.psmarketresearch.com/market-analysis/personal-robot-market My monthly expenses Salary (direct deposit) DR CR $xx Expenses (auto-pay) Rent (fixed amount) Car payment (fixed) Utilities (variable) Discretionary (variable) $xx $xx $xx $xx Net savings (variable) $xx $xx My apartment building Expected inflows DR CR $xx Expected outflows Fixed Variable Net $xx $xx $xx My small business Expected inflows DR CR $xx Expected outflows Fixed Variable Net $xx $xx $xx
  • 100. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 7. MySupplyChain Payment Graph Economy  Blockchains: only sub-registers of the cash account (Alice, Bob, HSBC, etc.), not a full suite of general ledger accounts  Property registries use cash-acct ledger structure  Property registries where UTXOs are assets  Birth/death registry: one credit tx, one debit tx  Supply chain finance: for supply chain net settling, need integrated account ledgers  Single set of books with multiple views: by supply chain (new) + by entity (existing)  Revenue (WMT); COGS (Deere, Adidas) 99 Source: https://www.psmarketresearch.com/market-analysis/personal-robot-market My supply chain Sales Inventory COGS Manufacturing Raw Materials Cash Alice Bob Carol Ralph HSBC DR CR $xx $xx $xx $xx $xx Payments trajectory Goods trajectory Orthogonal trajectories, different incentives, behavior
  • 101. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Payment Channel implications  New forms of Digital Credit Systems  Contractually-obligated payment relationships  Booked as periodic net activity  Net settlement  Digitized payment system for resource consumption that settles based on net payments instead of gross transfers  Peer-provided banking services enabled 100
  • 102. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Securities as a Service 101 Source: Blockchain Fintech: Programmable Risk and Securities as a Service, http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2016/10/blockchain-fintech-programmable-risk.html CD, DVD Streaming Music and Video Services Entertainment as a Service Asset Service Auto, Home Uber, Lyft, Gett, Juno, Via; Airbnb, VRBO HomeAway Transportation, Domicile as a Service Securities Securities as a Service  Securities a Service  Now have to own because uncertain future value of assets  Access to the consumable benefits of the asset without owning  Works if trust consumable assets will have future availability  Need the cash flow the asset provides, not the asset itself Consumable benefits of securities: cash flow, appreciation Payments as a Service
  • 103. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Net settlement: Municipal finance example 102 Source: https://www.slideshare.net/lablogga/the-crypto-enlightenment-social-theory-of-blockchains State ContractorTaxpayer Bond State ContractorTaxpayer Current Method: 15-year IDB Future Method: Smart Contract Smart Contract monthly payments
  • 104. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Net settlement: Municipal finance example 103 Source: http://www.cabq.gov/economicdevelopment/business-owners/services-programs/bonds 15-year IDB Bond Investor + - State + - Contractor + + Taxpayer - - Contractor + - State ++ Taxpayer + - - 2 1 • State borrows full amount in bond offering • State chooses contractor and pays contract in installments • Contractor receives installment payments from State • Taxpayers pay tax payments to State • State pays interest to bond holders and repays principal at maturity Future Method: Smart Contract Municipal Project Current Method: 15-year IDB • State selects contractor and supervises project • Smart contract monthly payments: taxpayers to contractor
  • 106. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain future-class tech. 105 blockchain networks are a new class of global computational infrastructure.
  • 107. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Context of the Blockchain Revolution 106 Source: Expanded from Mark Sigal, http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/10/post-pc-revolution.html I. Transfer Information II. Transfer Value 6 7 2020s 2030s Simple networks Smart networks  Blockchain is fundamentally the next phase of the Internet, not just Fintech, could impact every industry  Two fundamental eras of network computing
  • 108. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain smart networks. 107  Future of AI: intelligence “baked in” to smart networks  Blockchains to confirm authenticity and transfer value  Deep Learning algorithms for predictive identification  Attribute information : quality, characteristics, provenance
  • 109. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain deep learning chains. 108  Autonomous Driving & Drone Delivery, Social Robotics  Deep Learning (CNNs): identify what things are  Blockchain: secure automation technology  Track arbitrarily-many units, audit, upgrade  Legal liability, accountability, remuneration
  • 110. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain fleet management. 109 secure automated Smart city: 3D port, international trade, planning and logistics, supply chain management Aerial logistics highway (50m virtual tunnel at 150m altitude): autonomous drone delivery, law enforcement surveillance, biopathogen and epidemic sensors Source: Suarez, D. (2017). Change Agent. Pp. 79-80.
  • 111. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain data. 110 big data ≠ smart data. clean, standardized, interoperable. Source: http://www.oyster-ims.com/media/resources/dealing-information-growth-dark-data-six-practical-steps 40 EB 2020e
  • 112. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain scale. 111 Source: https://www.illumina.com/science/technology/next-generation-sequencing.html Population: 7.5 bn people worldwide big health data.
  • 113. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 112 technological unemployment. human-machine collaboration. automation economy.
  • 114. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain Problem Diagnosis Ineffective Supply Chain Market Dynamics 113  Ineffective meeting of Supply and Demand:  Reduced liquidity due to search problem  Purchasers and suppliers cannot find each other  Reduced fungibility due to matching problem  Greater requirements-features match is possible  Reduced liquidity due to lack of information  Attribute information: quality, characteristics, provenance, chain of custody of goods  Market information: price, volume, aggregate activity  Reduced liquidity due to lack of global digital network of contracting, financing, and enforcement structures Information-rich Feature-rich Agent-rich Simultaneously, market exploding to become: Solution-rich Harder to find signal in the noise Source: Swan. forthcoming. Theory of Blockchain Digital Contracting. In Blockchain Economics (World Scientific)
  • 115. 27 Jul 2018 Blockchain 114 Blockchain Supply Chain thesis The future of the supply chain concerns three factors: (1) Findability and fungibility of goods (a human-machine collaboration problem) (2) Cost of attribute discovery (an information theoretic search problem) (3) Vendor payment channels (a digital asset contracting problem)