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Zhejiang Strategic Outlook
Hangzhou, June 7, 2018
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
How to Create A Unicorn Company
Worth 6.4bn yuan ($1bn)
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.org
下午好
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 1
Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist
 Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies
 Philosophy Department, Purdue University,
Indiana, USA
 Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics and
Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE invited
contributor; FQXi Advisor
Traditional Markets Background
Economics and Financial
Theory Leadership
New Economies research group
Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org
https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
My Startups
2
Casbah Couture
The California
Crepe Company
GroupPurchase
DIYgenomics DIYelectronics DIYneuroscience
Deep Qualia
Institute for
Blockchain Studies
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
Agenda
 Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies
 Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company
 Mindset
 Enabling Technologies
 Unicorn business opportunities for China
3
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 4
What is a Unicorn Company?
 Private
company
 Valuation
 6.4bn yuan
($1bn)
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unicorn_startup_companies
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 5
Mobile Payments and eCommerce
 Cashless consumer society of
the future
 China 50x US mobile payments
(6x population)
 China $5.5 trillion vs. $112 billion
US (2016)
 China success factors
 Mobile payments trusted (55%
China 19% US)
 Targeted advertising (31% click-
throughs China vs. 16% globally)
 Leapfrog technology: rural markets
cash-mobile payments
Source: Swan, M. 2017. Technology Innovation Management Review. 7(10): 6-13. http://timreview.ca/article/1109
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
PWC: eCommerce growth trends in China
6
Source: https://www.pwccn.com/en/retail-and-consumer/publications/total-retail-2017-china/total-retail-survey-2017-china-cut.pdf
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 7
Platform Economies
 Leverage network effects
 Uber, Didi
 World's largest taxi companies, own no vehicles
 Airbnb
 World's largest accommodation company, owns no real
estate
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 8
Unicorns are Platform Companies
 7 of top 10 do not produce physical assets
 Digital service models
Payments
Ride-share
Ride-share
Electronics
Batteries
Software
Books
Hardware
Home-share
eCommerce
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unicorn_startup_companies
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 9
Forbes top 10 Innovative Companies 2018
Source: https://www.forbes.com/innovative-companies/#63f6f4921d65, https://www.recode.net/2018/4/9/17204004/amazon-
research-development-rd
 ServiceNow, Workday, Salesforce: digital transformation
 Tesla, Naver, Netflix: disruptive business models
 Amazon: $23 billion spend on R&D 2017
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
Network Effects: Metcalfe’s Law
 The value of a network is
proportional to the square of the
number of connected users (n2)
 Two telephones: one connection
 Five: 10 connections
 Twelve: 66 connections
 Critical mass threshold
 Value > cost adding a new user
10
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
infrastructure.
11
Source: https://www.chinamoneynetwork.com/2017/04/27/chinas-fixed-line-broadband-penetration-rate-to-hit-63-this-year
 Fixed wireline broadband penetration and
download speeds
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 12
Platform Economies trend
Closed Platforms App Stores Open Platforms
Netflix
Instagram
Facebook
Snapchat
Apple
Android
Windows
Open Source Software:
Linux, GNU, Apache
Blockchain Projects:
Ethereum
One-way network
effects (monopoly
properties)
Partial two-way
network effects
(revenue-sharing)
Two-way network
effects
(participation
remunerated)
Closed Open
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
Closed platforms: growth saturation
13
Source: hhttps://techcrunch.com/2018/01/31/facebook-q4-2017-earnings/
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
participation.
14
information
internet: static
information
social internet:
engage with
content
crypto internet:
participate in the
community economy
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
Agenda
 Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies
 Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company
 Mindset
 Enabling Technologies
 Unicorn business opportunities for China
15
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
mindset.
16
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 17
better horse and car.
new technology.
better horse “horseless carriage” => car
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 18
 Dilemma: successful
companies become
complacent and do not
invest in disruptive
technologies
 Low-risk innovation:
create a solution where
no existing solution exists
innovation.
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 19
1. Name
2. Market
3. Problem
4. Solution
5. Competition
30-second Elevator Pitch
Source: https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/01/28/meet-chinas-top-3-streaming-video-platforms.aspx
1. AliVid
2. Total Addressable Market (TAM):
• 22 billion yuan ($3.5 billion) 2015 to
96.2 billion ($15.2 billion) yuan by 2020
3. Problem: lightweight mobile on-
demand streaming video service
4. Solution: smart app video download
5. Competition: Tencent Video, iQiyi
(Baidu), Youku Tudou (Alibaba)
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
think in possibility.
see the world as it could be, not how it is.
20
Actuality Possibility
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
who are your role
models?
21
Elon Musk Peng Lei Jack MaCraig Venter
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
creativity.
22
Geniuses: Einstein, Edison, daVinci, Darwin, Picasso,
Michelangelo, Galileo, Freud, Mozart
Source: http://time.com/2907776/strokes-of-genius-heres-how-the-most-creative-people-get-their-ideas/
 No one Eureka moment
of fully-formed ideas
 Iteration of ideas,
prototypes, solutions
 Lots of sketches of
thoughts, pictures,
diagrams, words
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
ideas notebook.
23
Newton’s drawingsAlice: 6 impossible things
before breakfast
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
lean business model
canvas.
24
 9/10 businesses fail
 Not because they did
not deliver a product
 Because they delivered
a product that no one
wanted
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
lean business model
canvas.
25
Source: http://howtowriteabusinessplan.com/2018/02/lean-startup-canvas-the-starting-point/
 Most important: talk to many real customers
about real problems
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
mission.
26
 Organizations driven by purpose and values
outperform the market 15 to 1
Source: http://bizshifts-trends.com/power-purpose-driven-business-leadership-management-focus-mission-vision-reason-exist-really-
matters/
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
timing.
27
 A clear view is not a short distance
 Too early is failure
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
enabling technologies.
28
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
infrastructure.
29
Source: https://www.chinamoneynetwork.com/2017/04/27/chinas-fixed-line-broadband-penetration-rate-to-hit-63-this-year
https://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MIC.2006.67
 Fixed wireline
broadband penetration
and download speeds
 Backplane
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
semiconductors.
30
Source: SIA: Semiconductor Industry Association 2017 Factbook, May 2017
 Next-gen applications facilitated by downstream
technological advance
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
molecular computation
interface.
31
Source: http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2009/05/opportunities-in-level-two-nanoscience.html
Structural DNA:
Holliday junction
Rotaxane Molecular
Propeller
 Top-down solutions
 EUV and block copolymer lithography
 CNT transistors
 Memristor
 Quantum-dot cellular automata
 Plasmonic materials & spintronics
 Quilt packaging & 3D stacking
 Bottom-up solutions
 DNA self-assembly
 DNA computing
 DNA-based transistors
 3D DNA nanocrystals
 Molecular memory
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
technology transfer.
32
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
Agenda
 Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies
 Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company
 Mindset
 Enabling Technologies
 Unicorn business opportunities for China
33
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 34
Unicorn Business Opportunities
 Extend consumer success into
the enterprise domain
 Cashless economy of the future
 Apply consumer mobile payments
business models, infrastructure,
and success to corporate and
trade payments market
 Streamlined trade finance,
collateralization, remittance,
invoice processing, purchase
orders
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 35
 Consumer Services
 eCommerce, mobile payments,
entertainment, job skill development
 Personal data security services
 Enterprise Services
 Cloud services, cybersecurity
 eCommerce, corporate payments,
supply chain, manufacturing
 Connected Car
 Vehicle gateway, 3D modeling
 IoT Smart Home, Smart City
 Smart transportation
Unicorn Business Opportunities
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 36
Unicorn Business Opportunities
 Beyond internet-based commerce, value-added services
 Unique value-add requires technical innovation
Source: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-sensetime-funding/chinas-sensetime-raises-620-million-its-second-funding-round-in-two-
months-idUSKCN1IW07I
SenseTime
facial
recognition
software (AI)
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
China Exports: 16.91 trillion yuan
37
Source: https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/chn/
Destinations
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain
China Imports: 10.89 trillion yuan
38
Source: https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/chn/
Origins
7 Jun 2018
Blockchain 39
Digital Economy Unicorn Opportunities
 Productivity gains
 Capital investment in technology
 Cloud computing data centers
 Blockchain as a Service, Deep Learning nets
 Skilled work force development
 Train 1000 software developers
 Hyperledger, Ethereum, Corda
 Machine Learning, AI, Deep Learning
 Scale efficiencies
 Natural resources, regional strength, large companies
 Manage global trade supply chain with
blockchain/deep learning
Melanie Swan
Philosophy, Purdue University
melanie@BlockchainStudies.org
謝謝
Zhejiang Strategic Outlook
Hangzhou, June 7, 2018
Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga
How to Create A Unicorn Company
Worth 6.4bn yuan ($1bn)

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China Next-generation Unicorn Startups

  • 1. Zhejiang Strategic Outlook Hangzhou, June 7, 2018 Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga How to Create A Unicorn Company Worth 6.4bn yuan ($1bn) Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.org 下午好
  • 2. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 1 Melanie Swan, Technology Theorist  Founder, Institute for Blockchain Studies  Philosophy Department, Purdue University, Indiana, USA  Singularity University Instructor; Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technology Affiliate Scholar; EDGE invited contributor; FQXi Advisor Traditional Markets Background Economics and Financial Theory Leadership New Economies research group Source: http://www.melanieswan.com, http://blockchainstudies.org https://www.facebook.com/groups/NewEconomies
  • 3. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain My Startups 2 Casbah Couture The California Crepe Company GroupPurchase DIYgenomics DIYelectronics DIYneuroscience Deep Qualia Institute for Blockchain Studies
  • 4. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain Agenda  Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies  Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company  Mindset  Enabling Technologies  Unicorn business opportunities for China 3
  • 5. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 4 What is a Unicorn Company?  Private company  Valuation  6.4bn yuan ($1bn) Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unicorn_startup_companies
  • 6. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 5 Mobile Payments and eCommerce  Cashless consumer society of the future  China 50x US mobile payments (6x population)  China $5.5 trillion vs. $112 billion US (2016)  China success factors  Mobile payments trusted (55% China 19% US)  Targeted advertising (31% click- throughs China vs. 16% globally)  Leapfrog technology: rural markets cash-mobile payments Source: Swan, M. 2017. Technology Innovation Management Review. 7(10): 6-13. http://timreview.ca/article/1109
  • 7. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain PWC: eCommerce growth trends in China 6 Source: https://www.pwccn.com/en/retail-and-consumer/publications/total-retail-2017-china/total-retail-survey-2017-china-cut.pdf
  • 8. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 7 Platform Economies  Leverage network effects  Uber, Didi  World's largest taxi companies, own no vehicles  Airbnb  World's largest accommodation company, owns no real estate
  • 9. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 8 Unicorns are Platform Companies  7 of top 10 do not produce physical assets  Digital service models Payments Ride-share Ride-share Electronics Batteries Software Books Hardware Home-share eCommerce Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unicorn_startup_companies
  • 10. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 9 Forbes top 10 Innovative Companies 2018 Source: https://www.forbes.com/innovative-companies/#63f6f4921d65, https://www.recode.net/2018/4/9/17204004/amazon- research-development-rd  ServiceNow, Workday, Salesforce: digital transformation  Tesla, Naver, Netflix: disruptive business models  Amazon: $23 billion spend on R&D 2017
  • 11. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain Network Effects: Metcalfe’s Law  The value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users (n2)  Two telephones: one connection  Five: 10 connections  Twelve: 66 connections  Critical mass threshold  Value > cost adding a new user 10
  • 12. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain infrastructure. 11 Source: https://www.chinamoneynetwork.com/2017/04/27/chinas-fixed-line-broadband-penetration-rate-to-hit-63-this-year  Fixed wireline broadband penetration and download speeds
  • 13. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 12 Platform Economies trend Closed Platforms App Stores Open Platforms Netflix Instagram Facebook Snapchat Apple Android Windows Open Source Software: Linux, GNU, Apache Blockchain Projects: Ethereum One-way network effects (monopoly properties) Partial two-way network effects (revenue-sharing) Two-way network effects (participation remunerated) Closed Open
  • 14. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain Closed platforms: growth saturation 13 Source: hhttps://techcrunch.com/2018/01/31/facebook-q4-2017-earnings/
  • 15. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain participation. 14 information internet: static information social internet: engage with content crypto internet: participate in the community economy
  • 16. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain Agenda  Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies  Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company  Mindset  Enabling Technologies  Unicorn business opportunities for China 15
  • 18. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 17 better horse and car. new technology. better horse “horseless carriage” => car
  • 19. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 18  Dilemma: successful companies become complacent and do not invest in disruptive technologies  Low-risk innovation: create a solution where no existing solution exists innovation.
  • 20. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 19 1. Name 2. Market 3. Problem 4. Solution 5. Competition 30-second Elevator Pitch Source: https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/01/28/meet-chinas-top-3-streaming-video-platforms.aspx 1. AliVid 2. Total Addressable Market (TAM): • 22 billion yuan ($3.5 billion) 2015 to 96.2 billion ($15.2 billion) yuan by 2020 3. Problem: lightweight mobile on- demand streaming video service 4. Solution: smart app video download 5. Competition: Tencent Video, iQiyi (Baidu), Youku Tudou (Alibaba)
  • 21. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain think in possibility. see the world as it could be, not how it is. 20 Actuality Possibility
  • 22. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain who are your role models? 21 Elon Musk Peng Lei Jack MaCraig Venter
  • 23. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain creativity. 22 Geniuses: Einstein, Edison, daVinci, Darwin, Picasso, Michelangelo, Galileo, Freud, Mozart Source: http://time.com/2907776/strokes-of-genius-heres-how-the-most-creative-people-get-their-ideas/  No one Eureka moment of fully-formed ideas  Iteration of ideas, prototypes, solutions  Lots of sketches of thoughts, pictures, diagrams, words
  • 24. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain ideas notebook. 23 Newton’s drawingsAlice: 6 impossible things before breakfast
  • 25. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain lean business model canvas. 24  9/10 businesses fail  Not because they did not deliver a product  Because they delivered a product that no one wanted
  • 26. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain lean business model canvas. 25 Source: http://howtowriteabusinessplan.com/2018/02/lean-startup-canvas-the-starting-point/  Most important: talk to many real customers about real problems
  • 27. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain mission. 26  Organizations driven by purpose and values outperform the market 15 to 1 Source: http://bizshifts-trends.com/power-purpose-driven-business-leadership-management-focus-mission-vision-reason-exist-really- matters/
  • 28. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain timing. 27  A clear view is not a short distance  Too early is failure
  • 29. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain enabling technologies. 28
  • 30. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain infrastructure. 29 Source: https://www.chinamoneynetwork.com/2017/04/27/chinas-fixed-line-broadband-penetration-rate-to-hit-63-this-year https://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MIC.2006.67  Fixed wireline broadband penetration and download speeds  Backplane
  • 31. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain semiconductors. 30 Source: SIA: Semiconductor Industry Association 2017 Factbook, May 2017  Next-gen applications facilitated by downstream technological advance
  • 32. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain molecular computation interface. 31 Source: http://futurememes.blogspot.com/2009/05/opportunities-in-level-two-nanoscience.html Structural DNA: Holliday junction Rotaxane Molecular Propeller  Top-down solutions  EUV and block copolymer lithography  CNT transistors  Memristor  Quantum-dot cellular automata  Plasmonic materials & spintronics  Quilt packaging & 3D stacking  Bottom-up solutions  DNA self-assembly  DNA computing  DNA-based transistors  3D DNA nanocrystals  Molecular memory
  • 34. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain Agenda  Analyze success of existing Unicorn Companies  Innovation: How to Create a Unicorn Company  Mindset  Enabling Technologies  Unicorn business opportunities for China 33
  • 35. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 34 Unicorn Business Opportunities  Extend consumer success into the enterprise domain  Cashless economy of the future  Apply consumer mobile payments business models, infrastructure, and success to corporate and trade payments market  Streamlined trade finance, collateralization, remittance, invoice processing, purchase orders
  • 36. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 35  Consumer Services  eCommerce, mobile payments, entertainment, job skill development  Personal data security services  Enterprise Services  Cloud services, cybersecurity  eCommerce, corporate payments, supply chain, manufacturing  Connected Car  Vehicle gateway, 3D modeling  IoT Smart Home, Smart City  Smart transportation Unicorn Business Opportunities
  • 37. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 36 Unicorn Business Opportunities  Beyond internet-based commerce, value-added services  Unique value-add requires technical innovation Source: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-sensetime-funding/chinas-sensetime-raises-620-million-its-second-funding-round-in-two- months-idUSKCN1IW07I SenseTime facial recognition software (AI)
  • 38. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain China Exports: 16.91 trillion yuan 37 Source: https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/chn/ Destinations
  • 39. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain China Imports: 10.89 trillion yuan 38 Source: https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/chn/ Origins
  • 40. 7 Jun 2018 Blockchain 39 Digital Economy Unicorn Opportunities  Productivity gains  Capital investment in technology  Cloud computing data centers  Blockchain as a Service, Deep Learning nets  Skilled work force development  Train 1000 software developers  Hyperledger, Ethereum, Corda  Machine Learning, AI, Deep Learning  Scale efficiencies  Natural resources, regional strength, large companies  Manage global trade supply chain with blockchain/deep learning
  • 41. Melanie Swan Philosophy, Purdue University melanie@BlockchainStudies.org 謝謝 Zhejiang Strategic Outlook Hangzhou, June 7, 2018 Slides: http://slideshare.net/LaBlogga How to Create A Unicorn Company Worth 6.4bn yuan ($1bn)