Presentation at the MAS consulting event on some of the principles one can use to survive today's ever changing environment.
I offered the following advices, gathered during 15 years of careful observation of how digital technologies reshape business:
Protect the future from the past
Look back to look ahead
See through the hype
Accept the unknowns
Technology is not always the solution
6. Laurent Haug http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304388004577531002591315494.html 10
7 November 2012
7. “In late 2004, Nokia weathered criticism from
investors that it was expending too much
effort on high-end smartphones while its rival
ate into its lucrative business selling
expensive ‘dumb’ phones. [The new CEO]
merged Nokia’s smartphone and basic-
phone operations. The result, said several
former executives, was that the more
profitable basic phone business started
calling the shots.
Laurent Haug http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304388004577531002591315494.html 10
7 November 2012
8. Laurent Haug http://mashable.com/2012/01/20/kodak-digital-missteps/ 11
7 November 2012
9. Philisophically, the company was steeped
in the film business, and to embrace
digital meant cannibalizing its own
business.
Laurent Haug http://mashable.com/2012/01/20/kodak-digital-missteps/ 11
7 November 2012
10. Policy should protect the future from the
past, not the past from the future.
Tim O’Reilly
Laurent Haug 12
7 November 2012
11. Businesses should protect the future from the
Policy
past, not the past from the future.
Tim O’Reilly
Laurent Haug 12
7 November 2012
12. Past vs future
Find your balance.
And adapt your governance.
Laurent Haug 13
7 November 2012
13. Look back to look ahead
Laurent Haug 14
7 November 2012
14. Musicians have to hit the road
again, and make money from
playing live in front of their fans.
17. SMS: One to one, sender chooses recipient
Twitter: One to many, recipient chooses sender
Laurent Haug 18
7 November 2012
18. The future looks a lot like the past
Try to find similarities, and see how it turned
out in the previous iteration.
Laurent Haug 19
7 November 2012
26. History of media hype towards digital technologies
Service / What is became
1995 concept
Homepage Faltered
1996 ICQ Concept still going strong under other forms
1997 Push Faltered
1998 eCommerce Important
1999 WAP Faltered
2000 1/3 failures, 1/3 successes, 1/3 continuing under
Portal Faltered
2001 Napster Concept still going strong under other forms
2002
another form
Friendster Concept still going strong under other forms
2003 LinkedIn
Tim O’Reilly Important
2004 MySpace Faltered
2005 Blog Concept still going strong under other forms
2006 Web 2.0 Important
2007 Second life Faltered
2008 Facebook Important (despite the stock market nightmare)
2009 Twitter Important
2010 Wikileaks Concept still going strong under other forms
2011 Groupon Failure if you trust the IPO
Laurent Haug 27
7 November 2012
27. History of media hype towards digital technologies
Service / What is became
1995 concept
Homepage Faltered
1996 ICQ Concept still going strong under other forms
1997 Push Faltered
1998 eCommerce Important
1999 WAP Faltered
2000 1/3 failures,Unscientific rule of thumb:Faltered
Portal 1/3 successes, 1/3 continuing under
2001
2002
another form will be Concept still going strong under other forms
Napster
Friendster
1/3 successful
1/3 will disappear still going strong under other forms
Concept
2003 LinkedIn
Tim O’Reilly 1/3 will stay in another form
Important
2004 MySpace Faltered
2005 Blog Concept still going strong under other forms
2006 Web 2.0 Important
2007 Second life Faltered
2008 Facebook Important (despite the stock market nightmare)
2009 Twitter Important
2010 Wikileaks Concept still going strong under other forms
2011 Groupon Failure if you trust the IPO
Laurent Haug 27
7 November 2012
28. Hype
Lot of noise, be pragmatic.
But don’t use that as an excuse to overlook
the important developments.
Laurent Haug 28
7 November 2012
29. Photo did not kill painting
DVD did not kill cinema
Cars did not kill bikes
Radio/downloads did not kill the music industry
Internet did not kill media
Skype did not kill phones
33. The business model, which led to the
success of Google, was copied from
a company called Overture, a paid
search specialist company, based in
South California.
34. Next time President Bush tells you
he's going to Crawford to be with "real
Americans," remind him that there are
more World of Warcraft players in the
USA than there are farmers.
35. Monty Python started a YouTube
channel with tons of their sketches
streaming for free. The included links to
their DVDs at Amazon. The result was a
whopping 23,000% increase in sales.
36. Not knowing is fine
The rules of the digital world are still being
written, it is normal not to know.
Try things, fail, improve, never stop learning.
Laurent Haug 35
7 November 2012
37. Technology is not always
the solution
Laurent Haug 39
7 November 2012
38. Technology is not always the solution
Use technologies when they bring value.
Don’t go too far.
Laurent Haug 41
7 November 2012
39. Surviving the digital
revolution?
Protect the future from the past
Look back to look ahead
See through the hype
Accept the unknowns
Technology is not always the solution
Laurent Haug 42
7 November 2012
40. The illiterate of the 21st century will not be
those who cannot read and write, but those
who cannot learn, unlearn, and relearn.
Alvin Toffler
Laurent Haug 43
7 November 2012
41. Change before you have to.
Jack Welch
hello@laurenthaug.com
+41 78 696 64 80
@laurenthaug