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Off the Venture Map Paul Kedrosky October 12, 2006
Maps
 
 
 
Hic sunt dracones
 
 
 
 
 
Limits
10 16 Each cell division represents an opportunity for  disaster , for  chaos to occur .  The longer-lived the organism, the  more likely it is  that one cell eventually will  lose the ability to collaborate  with its neighbors in maintaining structure and function, and just start  multiplying uncontrollably .  -- Robert Weinberg, MIT
Julian Simon, 1932 - 1998
“ The traditional venture model seems to us to be broken.”   - Steve Dow, Sevin Rosen Funds (NY Times, 10/7/2006)
 
 
Media
 
$145-billion 11%   1.6%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: TNS Media-Intelligence
 
 
Water
 
500%  increase over 10 years Fixed supply,  exploding  demand 20%  have running water China’s per capita reserves:  ¼ average
Source: Summit Global
Risks
 
Most of the things  worth doing  in the world had been declared  impossible  before they were done.  - Louis Brandeis
 
Source: “Success and death on Everest,” American Alpine Journal (2003) 3.4%   vs.   1.8%
Here there be dragons
[email_address]

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