Future of Real Estate & Property - keynote slides
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The slides for Ross Dawson's keynote at the executive offsite of a major real estate investment fund.
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Future of Real Estate & Property - keynote slides
- 1. The World in 2030 Implications for Real Estate Investment ▪ Futurist ▪ Strategy advisor ▪ Author @rossdawson
- 3. Source: OECD Increasing divergence in performance
- 5. Future
- 6. What did NOT exist 11 years ago
- 7. Shifts in value Global Leaders by Market Capitalisation Q1 2009 (US$ million) Global Leaders by Market Capitalisation Q1 2019 (US$ million)
- 8. The value of predictions
- 9. Structured thinking about the future
- 10. Image: parkeyparker Trends and driving forces
- 11. Image: Daniel Dionne Critical uncertainties
- 12. Responses to trends Image: Aaron Parecki
- 13. How far? How fast? Source: OurWorldinData, UN, HYDE
- 14. Scenarios to incorporate uncertainty Resource Affluence Resource Poverty Cohesion Fragmentation New horizons Agent economy Humanity maturing Shock treatment RESOURCES AVAILABILITY COHESION
- 15. How could this happen?
- 16. Acceleration
- 17. Everyone and everything connected
- 18. Image: Mark Pegrum Acceleration Vibration Water levels Leaks Acoustic/Ultrasound Light Solar intensity Chemical/Gas Odour Pollution Motion/Velocity/Displacement Electric Magnetic Position Biological process Proximity Flow Pressure Force/Strain/Load/Torque Temperature Humidity/Moisture Air pressure Sensors everywhere
- 20. Source: Electronic Frontier Foundation Exceeding human performance
- 21. Data aggregation strategies Source: EasySolutions
- 22. The next interface beyond smartphones
- 23. Society
- 24. Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics A growing nation 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047 2052 2057 2062 Millions Australian Population by Age (Forecast B) 0-18 19-35 36-50 51-65 66+
- 25. Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics The changing face of Australia 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(c) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(d) Immigration to Australia by country of birth UK + Ireland Other Europe Middle East China India Other Asia Other
- 26. Power to the individual
- 27. Excellence
- 28. Immediacy
- 29. Environment
- 30. Structure
- 31. Brain Internet Applications Organisations Industries Proteins Actors Society Politics Contagion Networks everywhere
- 32. “Ranked by market value, 60 of the world’s 100 largest corporations earn at least half of their revenue from platform markets” - Prof. Thomas Eisenmann, Harvard Business School
- 33. enable value-creating interactions between external producers and consumers, based on an open infrastructure and governance structures Adapted from: Platform Revolution, Parker, van Alstyne and Choudhary Platforms
- 34. The many layers of platforms Technology standards Platform business models Company-as-Platform City-as-Platform Social platforms Technology platforms Government-as-Platform
- 35. Value creation across ecosystems
- 36. Work
- 37. Continuous job destruction and creation
- 38. Work can be done anywhere
- 42. Bounded Unbounded Organisations are networks
- 43. Completely fluid roles and work
- 44. Retail
- 50. Linking physical and digital
- 51. Cities
- 53. Automation and regulation Source: SAI International/ Vox
- 55. Fluid work and workspaces
- 56. Logistics
- 59. Drone delivery
- 61. Decentralised logistics Source: Alibaba Group SEC Filing
- 62. Capital
- 64. Disaggregation of reporting and AI
- 67. The only way you can control your destiny is to be more flexible than your environment - The Law of Requisite Variety