Slides to Ross Dawson's keynote at Online Learning Consortium OLCAccelerate conference in Orlando, FL

1. The Next 25 Years
The Future of
Online Learning
▪ Futurist
▪ Strategy advisor
▪ Author
@rossdawson

2. Humans and machines

3. Who can we become?
"He not busy being born
is busy dying“
Bob Dylan

4. Finite players play within boundaries
Infinite players play with boundaries
- James Carse

5. Acceleration
Leadership
Work
Transformation
Structure
Evolution
Learning
Interfaces

6. Acceleration

7. Consistent exponential growth

8. Ideas connecting and procreating
Arxiv monthly submissions

9. Data explosion

10. Beating humans

11. Machines teach themselves

12. Source: Electronic Frontier Foundation
Always getting better

13. A voracious appetite for data
Source: EasySolutions

14. Interfaces

15. Reality or virtual reality?

16. Beyond human perception

17. Interacting remotely

18. The next interface beyond smartphones

19. Data on our eyes

20. Source: Grau et al/ PLOS
Brain-to-brain communication

21. Structure

22. Brain Internet
Applications
Organisations Industries
Proteins Actors
Society
PoliticsContagion
Networks everywhere

23. “Ranked by market value, 60 of the
world’s 100 largest corporations
earn at least half of their revenue
from platform markets”
- Prof. Thomas Eisenmann, Harvard Business School

24. enable
value-creating interactions
between
external
producers and consumers,
based on an
open infrastructure
and
governance structures
Adapted from: Platform Revolution, Parker, van Alstyne and Choudhary
Platforms

25. The many layers of platforms
Technology standards
City-as-Platform
Company-as-Platform
Platform business models
Social platforms
Technology platforms
Learning-as-Platform
Government-as-Platform

26. Value is created across ecosystems

27. The conditions for emergent value

28. Work

29. Continuous job destruction and creation

30. Work can be done anywhere

31. Automating manual tasks

33. Expertise

34. Creativity

35. Image: ^rika^
Relationships

37. Source: Ross Dawson, Commonwealth Bank Jobs and Skills of the Future Report
Capabilities and skills for the future

38. Evolution

39. Distraction and fragmented attention

40. Neuroplasticity and the evolution of our minds

41. Awareness practices

42. Cognitive offloading

43. Supporting higher-order human capabilities
Interface
Model
quality
Transparency
Data
quality
Assessment
Decision
factors
ConfidenceFormat
Visual
presentation
Human
Ethics
Synthesis Sense-making Judgment
Context Insight
AI
Defined decisions Optimization
Personalization
Conversational interfaces
Assessment

44. Tapping our human potential

45. Conscious evolution

46. Learning

47. Education pays
Source: D.H. Autor, Science

48. Knowledge and information

49. Image: Guido Heltko
Cognitive diversity

50. For the unique individual

51. Workflow learning

52. Connected learning

53. Peer learning

54. Scalable collaborative learning

55. Transformation

57. Framing the future
Source: Imperial College London, What’s Next

59. Taking calculated risks

61. Culture of experimentation
Source: UBI Global

63. Structures for innovation

65. Roadmaps and consistent communication
Source: Malaysia Ministry of Education

66. Leadership

67. The only way
you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible
than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety

68. Connecting the global brain

69. Vision What world do we want to create? What might be
possible?
Foundations What institutions, business models, platforms and
systems will enable this vision? What is missing now?
Roadblocks What is blocking the potential? How can we take
away or bypass these blocks?
Paths What possible paths forward could allow us to reach our
vision? What is most feasible? What are milestones?
Collaboration What collaboration is needed between who? How
can we foster and enable that collaboration?
Action What action today can be taken? What action can you
take to enable the potential of the vision?
Creating the future together

70. “It is not in the stars to hold our destiny
but in ourselves”
William Shakespeare

71. Acceleration
Leadership
Work
Transformation
Structure
Evolution
Learning
Interfaces