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DISCOVER | The Future of Work




                    The Big Shift In Where, How and
                    With Whom We Will Be Working
  Target group: DISCOVER The Future 2012 event attendees
  Summary:
The journey so far: how we learned to leverage technology to
     increase our productivity and created wealth & happiness


Technology driven innovations led to:
    §  Increased productivity
    §  Many new products & services
    §  Tremendous growth in GDP




And in terms of Gross National Happiness (GNH)
    §  Higher life expectancy
    §  Wellbeing and happiness




                                                                    2
The existing economic and management paradigm: from early
Taylorism to advanced MBA Thinking (1985 – 2010’s)

How we learned to connect our brain with the                        the
outside world:                                          ation s have ate
                                             ly o rganis urces to cre
                                   elief : on apital reso
                            Core b ge and c
                                   d
                            knowle ficiently
                                    ef
                             wealth
     Change          Can be anticipated and planned
                     for (linear thinking)
     Competition     Is the game we are in                       Highly uncertain
     Organisations   Focus on shareholders and other          Social responsibility
                     stakeholders
     Leaders         Focus on the why and what
     Managers        Focus on the how and when
     Professionals   Use talents to specialize
     Unskilled       Unit of cost that should be made
     Workers         redundant if possible




                                                                                      3
What is a paradigm?




                      Paradigm

                      The accepted theories, values
                      and scientific practices within
                      which a particular field of science
                      operates

                            Thomas Kuhn
                            The Structure of Scientific Revolutions




                                                                      4
What did we accomplish with all our hard work?: our relative to
the USA labour productivity from 1970 – 2000’s




                                                                  5
Early signs of the end of an era? The true story about what
happened after 9/11 ….




                                         Results of the prevailing economic paradigm




                                              Over-engineered products & services ¡

                                                         Oversized financial sector ¡

                                                      Borrowed and virtual growth ¡



                                                                                     6
What did we accomplish with all our hard work in the last 10
years? A lost decade (already) ….. ?!




                                                               7
A look into our and your future:
      the power of a strong demographic trend


Will lead to:
    §  A growing population (avg. est. 9bn. in 2045)
                                                                         UN High
    §  An aging population
    §  Rising prices of energy and commodities

                                                                         UN Medium



                                                                         UN Low



                                                        Big challenges ahead of us! ¡




    §  Social friction and unrest

                                                                                    8
The big shift: a global brain and new social consciousness is
   gaining traction and becoming increasingly more powerful!

                                                                   he
                                                        ions have t te
                                              org anisat es to crea
                                 elie f : only ital resourc
                          Core B ge and cap
                                 d
                          knowle ficiently
                                  ef
                           wealth
Governments
Organisations




                                                                         9
First question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want to
create and what kind of life do you want to construct?




         Default Future                Crafted Future by
     within the existing               building a new
             paradigm?                 paradigm?



                                                                    10
Second question to ask yourself:
what kind of world do you want to be part of?




         Fragmentation                Connecting and
         and isolation?               co-creation?




                                                       11
Third question to ask yourself:
what kind of world do you value?




                  Social           Social
              Exclusion?           Engagement?




                                                 12
The first shift for building a new paradigm:
what kind of skills do you need?




                  SPECIALISATION:
              Single talent? Generalist?



                   Multiple talents?
                SUPER-SPECIALISITION

                                               13
The second shift for building a new paradigm:
compete or collaborate?




             COMPETE WITH OTHERS?
                     0|0



                   0–0
          COLLABORATE WITH OTHERS?

                                                14
The third shift for building a new paradigm:
happiness from money or from meaning?




       Work – Money – Consume – Happy
                      €



                      ∞
        Work – Meaning – Happy – Money

                                               15
The existing economic and management paradigm:
how do paradigms die?



                      Paradigm shifts

                      A new scientific truth does not
                      triumph by convincing its opponents
                      and making them see the light, but
                      rather because its opponents
                      eventually die.

                               Max Planck


                                                            16
The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die?


                      Paradigm shift

                      1.    The existing paradigm encounters an anomaly
                      2.    Initially the anomaly is ignored or rejected
                      3.    People try to explain the anomaly within the
                            existing paradigm
                      4.    A new paradigm is proposed in which the
                            anomaly is resolved
                      5.    The establishment rejects the new model, often
                            ridicules its proponents
                      6.    The new paradigm finally gains acceptance as
                            it accounts for new observations


                                                                             17
The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die?




                      Paradigm shift

                      Every truth passes through three
                      stages before it is recognized:

                      1.  First it is ridiculed
                      2.  Second it is opposed
                      3.  Third, it is regard as self-evident

                               Arthur Schöpenhauer

                                                                18

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Discover the future of work 2012

  • 1. DISCOVER | The Future of Work The Big Shift In Where, How and With Whom We Will Be Working Target group: DISCOVER The Future 2012 event attendees Summary:
  • 2. The journey so far: how we learned to leverage technology to increase our productivity and created wealth & happiness Technology driven innovations led to: §  Increased productivity §  Many new products & services §  Tremendous growth in GDP And in terms of Gross National Happiness (GNH) §  Higher life expectancy §  Wellbeing and happiness 2
  • 3. The existing economic and management paradigm: from early Taylorism to advanced MBA Thinking (1985 – 2010’s) How we learned to connect our brain with the the outside world: ation s have ate ly o rganis urces to cre elief : on apital reso Core b ge and c d knowle ficiently ef wealth Change Can be anticipated and planned for (linear thinking) Competition Is the game we are in Highly uncertain Organisations Focus on shareholders and other Social responsibility stakeholders Leaders Focus on the why and what Managers Focus on the how and when Professionals Use talents to specialize Unskilled Unit of cost that should be made Workers redundant if possible 3
  • 4. What is a paradigm? Paradigm The accepted theories, values and scientific practices within which a particular field of science operates Thomas Kuhn The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 4
  • 5. What did we accomplish with all our hard work?: our relative to the USA labour productivity from 1970 – 2000’s 5
  • 6. Early signs of the end of an era? The true story about what happened after 9/11 …. Results of the prevailing economic paradigm Over-engineered products & services ¡ Oversized financial sector ¡ Borrowed and virtual growth ¡ 6
  • 7. What did we accomplish with all our hard work in the last 10 years? A lost decade (already) ….. ?! 7
  • 8. A look into our and your future: the power of a strong demographic trend Will lead to: §  A growing population (avg. est. 9bn. in 2045) UN High §  An aging population §  Rising prices of energy and commodities UN Medium UN Low Big challenges ahead of us! ¡ §  Social friction and unrest 8
  • 9. The big shift: a global brain and new social consciousness is gaining traction and becoming increasingly more powerful! he ions have t te org anisat es to crea elie f : only ital resourc Core B ge and cap d knowle ficiently ef wealth Governments Organisations 9
  • 10. First question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want to create and what kind of life do you want to construct? Default Future Crafted Future by within the existing building a new paradigm? paradigm? 10
  • 11. Second question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want to be part of? Fragmentation Connecting and and isolation? co-creation? 11
  • 12. Third question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you value? Social Social Exclusion? Engagement? 12
  • 13. The first shift for building a new paradigm: what kind of skills do you need? SPECIALISATION: Single talent? Generalist? Multiple talents? SUPER-SPECIALISITION 13
  • 14. The second shift for building a new paradigm: compete or collaborate? COMPETE WITH OTHERS? 0|0 0–0 COLLABORATE WITH OTHERS? 14
  • 15. The third shift for building a new paradigm: happiness from money or from meaning? Work – Money – Consume – Happy € ∞ Work – Meaning – Happy – Money 15
  • 16. The existing economic and management paradigm: how do paradigms die? Paradigm shifts A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die. Max Planck 16
  • 17. The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die? Paradigm shift 1.  The existing paradigm encounters an anomaly 2.  Initially the anomaly is ignored or rejected 3.  People try to explain the anomaly within the existing paradigm 4.  A new paradigm is proposed in which the anomaly is resolved 5.  The establishment rejects the new model, often ridicules its proponents 6.  The new paradigm finally gains acceptance as it accounts for new observations 17
  • 18. The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die? Paradigm shift Every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized: 1.  First it is ridiculed 2.  Second it is opposed 3.  Third, it is regard as self-evident Arthur Schöpenhauer 18