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Crossing the Chasm
What’s New? What’s Not?

MDV Executive Forum
February 11, 2014
Disruptive Innovation
What Makes High-Tech Marketing Different?
• High Risk
• Unproven products and promises
• Incompatible and incomplete infrastructure
• Social resistance to change

• Low Data
• No product history
• No company track record
• No best practices

2
The Technology Adoption Life Cycle
The Challenge Facing Every Disruptive Innovation

3
Innovators - Technology Enthusiasts

4
Early Adopters - The Visionaries

5
Early Majority - Pragmatists

6
Late Majority - Conservatives

7
Laggards - Skeptics

8
How High-Tech Markets Develop
The Technology Adoption Life Cycle
MAIN
STREET
TORNADO

EARLY
MARKET

CHASM

9

BOWLING
ALLEY
Life-Cycle Metrics that Matter
Tracking Performance Relative to the Chasm
•

Early Market
•

•

One or more flagship customers making big-bet commitments

In the Chasm
•
•

•

Cannot support yet another big-bet commitment
Pragmatists still holding back from entering the market

Taking the Beachhead
•
•

•

Nailed a high-pain segment-specific use case
Getting strong word-of-mouth support within target segment

In the Bowling Alley
•

•

Inside the Tornado
•

•

Additional use cases coming on board, viral in adjacent segments
Horizontal “killer app” -- hyper-growth in the category

On Main Street
•
•

10

Hyper-growth subsides – pecking order established
Customers seek sustaining innovation going forward
Crossing the Chasm
Two Key Principles
•

Target a “beachhead” segment
•
•

Niche market with an intractable problem, not solvable by conventional means

•

Process owner is under pressure to find a solution

•

•

Highly focused approach to “rekindling the flame”

Pragmatists are willing to consider disruptive approach

Commit to provide the “whole product”
•
•

Complete solution to the intractable problem

•

Typically involves products and services from partners and allies

•

11

Bring all the ingredients with you

Lead vendor takes responsibility for ensuring customer success
Crossing the Chasm

What’s New? End User IT!
• Digital Services
• Light to deploy, focus on user experience
• The Lean Start-Up
• Minimum viable product, rapid agile learning
• In consumer use cases, leap to the tornado

• Critical Success Factors: The Four Gears
• Acquire
• Engage
• Convert
• Enlist

12
Tipping Point for B2C Markets
The Four Gears Model
Power
Gear
+ = Virality
o = Retention
- = Churn

Performance
Gear
ACQUISITION

ENLISTMENT

Starter
Motor

CONVERSION

Performance
Gear

13

ENGAGEMENT

Power
Gear
Four-Gears Metrics that Matter
Tracking Performance Relative to the Tornado
• Acquire
• Rate of gaining new users

• Engage
• Average length, depth, and frequency of user engagement

• Convert
• Percentage of total users that participate in business model

• Enlist
+ Virality (New customers coming from existing customers – high NPS)
- Churn (Existing customer defecting – “de-enlisting” –low NPS)

14
Slowest Gear Theory
• Thesis
• Prior to the tornado
• At any given point in time
• One of the four gears is slowing the other three down

• Actions Required
•
•
•
•
•
•

15

Identify the slowest gear
Focus everyone on speeding it up
Maintain attention on the other three gears
Repeat every quarter until
The tornado happens
Or you run out of gas
Crossing the Chasm

What’s Not New? Enterprise IT!
• Taking the Enterprise Digital
• Heavy to deploy, focus on end-to-end systems
• Crossing the Chasm
• Minimum viable whole product (add partners and allies)
• Bowling alley strategy

• Critical Success Factors
• Pre-chasm
─

Breakthrough projects with top-tier customers

• Post-chasm
─

16

High value use cases with compelling reasons to buy
Target Market Initiative Framework
A Checklist for Crossing the Chasm Planning
Key sponsor

1. Target Customer
2. Compelling Reason to Buy Key motive

Complete solution

3. Whole Product
4. Partners and Allies

Manages sales &
fulfillment complexity

5. Sales Channel
6. Pricing

Legitimate alternatives

17

Maps to all the above

7. Competition
8. Positioning

Next growth segment

Fill in the gaps

9. Next Target

Core differentiation
The New Examples
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

18

Salesforce
VMware
Aruba
Lithium
Rocket Fuel
Infusionsoft
Mozilla
Box
Workday

Target Market
Target Market
Whole Product
Whole Product
Partners & Allies
Partners & Allies
Partners & Allies
Positioning
Positioning
New Examples from the Room

19
Key Takeaways

20
Thank You
gmoore@geoffreyamoore.com
twitter.com/geoffreyamoore

http://linkd.in/YnBwig

21

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Crossing the Chasm - What's New, What's Not

  • 1. Crossing the Chasm What’s New? What’s Not? MDV Executive Forum February 11, 2014
  • 2. Disruptive Innovation What Makes High-Tech Marketing Different? • High Risk • Unproven products and promises • Incompatible and incomplete infrastructure • Social resistance to change • Low Data • No product history • No company track record • No best practices 2
  • 3. The Technology Adoption Life Cycle The Challenge Facing Every Disruptive Innovation 3
  • 4. Innovators - Technology Enthusiasts 4
  • 5. Early Adopters - The Visionaries 5
  • 6. Early Majority - Pragmatists 6
  • 7. Late Majority - Conservatives 7
  • 9. How High-Tech Markets Develop The Technology Adoption Life Cycle MAIN STREET TORNADO EARLY MARKET CHASM 9 BOWLING ALLEY
  • 10. Life-Cycle Metrics that Matter Tracking Performance Relative to the Chasm • Early Market • • One or more flagship customers making big-bet commitments In the Chasm • • • Cannot support yet another big-bet commitment Pragmatists still holding back from entering the market Taking the Beachhead • • • Nailed a high-pain segment-specific use case Getting strong word-of-mouth support within target segment In the Bowling Alley • • Inside the Tornado • • Additional use cases coming on board, viral in adjacent segments Horizontal “killer app” -- hyper-growth in the category On Main Street • • 10 Hyper-growth subsides – pecking order established Customers seek sustaining innovation going forward
  • 11. Crossing the Chasm Two Key Principles • Target a “beachhead” segment • • Niche market with an intractable problem, not solvable by conventional means • Process owner is under pressure to find a solution • • Highly focused approach to “rekindling the flame” Pragmatists are willing to consider disruptive approach Commit to provide the “whole product” • • Complete solution to the intractable problem • Typically involves products and services from partners and allies • 11 Bring all the ingredients with you Lead vendor takes responsibility for ensuring customer success
  • 12. Crossing the Chasm What’s New? End User IT! • Digital Services • Light to deploy, focus on user experience • The Lean Start-Up • Minimum viable product, rapid agile learning • In consumer use cases, leap to the tornado • Critical Success Factors: The Four Gears • Acquire • Engage • Convert • Enlist 12
  • 13. Tipping Point for B2C Markets The Four Gears Model Power Gear + = Virality o = Retention - = Churn Performance Gear ACQUISITION ENLISTMENT Starter Motor CONVERSION Performance Gear 13 ENGAGEMENT Power Gear
  • 14. Four-Gears Metrics that Matter Tracking Performance Relative to the Tornado • Acquire • Rate of gaining new users • Engage • Average length, depth, and frequency of user engagement • Convert • Percentage of total users that participate in business model • Enlist + Virality (New customers coming from existing customers – high NPS) - Churn (Existing customer defecting – “de-enlisting” –low NPS) 14
  • 15. Slowest Gear Theory • Thesis • Prior to the tornado • At any given point in time • One of the four gears is slowing the other three down • Actions Required • • • • • • 15 Identify the slowest gear Focus everyone on speeding it up Maintain attention on the other three gears Repeat every quarter until The tornado happens Or you run out of gas
  • 16. Crossing the Chasm What’s Not New? Enterprise IT! • Taking the Enterprise Digital • Heavy to deploy, focus on end-to-end systems • Crossing the Chasm • Minimum viable whole product (add partners and allies) • Bowling alley strategy • Critical Success Factors • Pre-chasm ─ Breakthrough projects with top-tier customers • Post-chasm ─ 16 High value use cases with compelling reasons to buy
  • 17. Target Market Initiative Framework A Checklist for Crossing the Chasm Planning Key sponsor 1. Target Customer 2. Compelling Reason to Buy Key motive Complete solution 3. Whole Product 4. Partners and Allies Manages sales & fulfillment complexity 5. Sales Channel 6. Pricing Legitimate alternatives 17 Maps to all the above 7. Competition 8. Positioning Next growth segment Fill in the gaps 9. Next Target Core differentiation
  • 18. The New Examples • • • • • • • • • 18 Salesforce VMware Aruba Lithium Rocket Fuel Infusionsoft Mozilla Box Workday Target Market Target Market Whole Product Whole Product Partners & Allies Partners & Allies Partners & Allies Positioning Positioning
  • 19. New Examples from the Room 19