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Chapter - 2
International Flow of Funds
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
• Summary of all transactions between domestic and
foreign residents over a specified period of time.
• Represents an accounting of a country’s international
transactions for a period, usually a quarter or a year.
• Transaction recorded as:
– Credit: Inflows of funds generate positive numbers.
– Debit: Outflows of funds generate negative numbers.
• The transactions are presented in to two groups–
– Current Account
– Capital Account and Financial Account
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
• Summarizes the flow of funds between one specified
country and all other countries due to:
– Payments for Merchandise and Services
– Factor Income Payments
– Transfer Payments
• A current account deficit suggests a greater outflow of
funds from the specified country for its current
transactions.
• Balance of Trade: Difference between merchandise
exports and merchandise imports.
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNTS
• Includes the value of financial and non-produced
nonfinancial assets transferred across country borders.
• Key components of the accounts:
– Patent
– Direct Foreign Investment
– Portfolio Investment
– Other Capital Investment (money market securities)
ERRORS & OMISSIONS AND RESERVES
FACTORS AFFECTING INTERNATIONAL TRADE FLOWS
• Inflation: A relative increase in a country’s inflation rate will
decrease its current account, as imports increase and exports
decrease.
• National Income: A relative increase in a country’s income
level will decrease its current account, as imports increase.
• Government Policies:
– Subsidies for Exporters
– Restrictions on Imports
– Lack of Restrictions on Piracy
• Exchange Rates: If a country’s currency begins to rise in
value, its current account balance will decrease as imports
increase and exports decrease.
CORRECTING A BALANCE OF TRADE DEFICIT
• A floating exchange rate system.
• Weakening of Home Currency.
CORRECTING A BALANCE OF TRADE DEFICIT
• Why a Weak Home Currency Is Not a Perfect
Solution?
– Counter pricing by Competitors.
– Impact of Other Weak Currencies.
– Prearranged International Transactions. (J-curve
effect)
– Intra-company Trade.
J-Curve Effect
U.S.TradeBalance
0 Time
J Curve
FACTORS AFFECTING DFI
• Changes in Restrictions: New opportunities may arise
from the removal of government barriers.
• Privatization: DFI has also been stimulated by the selling
of government operations.
• Potential Economic Growth: Countries with higher
potential economic growth are more likely to attract DFI.
• Tax Rates: Countries that impose relatively low tax rates
on corporate earnings are more likely to attract DFI.
• Exchange Rates: Firms will typically prefer to invest
their funds in a country when that country’s currency is
expected to strengthen.
Factors Affecting International Portfolio Investment
• Tax Rates on Interest or Dividends: Investors will
normally prefer countries where the tax rates are
relatively low.
• Interest Rates: Money tends to flow to countries
with high interest rates.
• Exchange Rates: Foreign investors may be attracted
if the local currency is expected to strengthen.

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International Flow of Funds

  • 2. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS • Summary of all transactions between domestic and foreign residents over a specified period of time. • Represents an accounting of a country’s international transactions for a period, usually a quarter or a year. • Transaction recorded as: – Credit: Inflows of funds generate positive numbers. – Debit: Outflows of funds generate negative numbers. • The transactions are presented in to two groups– – Current Account – Capital Account and Financial Account
  • 3. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CURRENT ACCOUNT • Summarizes the flow of funds between one specified country and all other countries due to: – Payments for Merchandise and Services – Factor Income Payments – Transfer Payments • A current account deficit suggests a greater outflow of funds from the specified country for its current transactions. • Balance of Trade: Difference between merchandise exports and merchandise imports.
  • 4. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNTS • Includes the value of financial and non-produced nonfinancial assets transferred across country borders. • Key components of the accounts: – Patent – Direct Foreign Investment – Portfolio Investment – Other Capital Investment (money market securities) ERRORS & OMISSIONS AND RESERVES
  • 5. FACTORS AFFECTING INTERNATIONAL TRADE FLOWS • Inflation: A relative increase in a country’s inflation rate will decrease its current account, as imports increase and exports decrease. • National Income: A relative increase in a country’s income level will decrease its current account, as imports increase. • Government Policies: – Subsidies for Exporters – Restrictions on Imports – Lack of Restrictions on Piracy • Exchange Rates: If a country’s currency begins to rise in value, its current account balance will decrease as imports increase and exports decrease.
  • 6. CORRECTING A BALANCE OF TRADE DEFICIT • A floating exchange rate system. • Weakening of Home Currency.
  • 7. CORRECTING A BALANCE OF TRADE DEFICIT • Why a Weak Home Currency Is Not a Perfect Solution? – Counter pricing by Competitors. – Impact of Other Weak Currencies. – Prearranged International Transactions. (J-curve effect) – Intra-company Trade.
  • 9. FACTORS AFFECTING DFI • Changes in Restrictions: New opportunities may arise from the removal of government barriers. • Privatization: DFI has also been stimulated by the selling of government operations. • Potential Economic Growth: Countries with higher potential economic growth are more likely to attract DFI. • Tax Rates: Countries that impose relatively low tax rates on corporate earnings are more likely to attract DFI. • Exchange Rates: Firms will typically prefer to invest their funds in a country when that country’s currency is expected to strengthen.
  • 10. Factors Affecting International Portfolio Investment • Tax Rates on Interest or Dividends: Investors will normally prefer countries where the tax rates are relatively low. • Interest Rates: Money tends to flow to countries with high interest rates. • Exchange Rates: Foreign investors may be attracted if the local currency is expected to strengthen.