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AI and the Futures of
Communities
Michael Madison
University of Pittsburgh
April 2024
1
“Innovation”
Collective well-being
2
Communities
Places, institutions, organizations, firms, market sectors,
disciplines, practices, identities, fields, groups, large and
small, formal and informal
Well-being
Health, education, happiness, wealth, opportunity,
capability, sustainability, resilience, purpose, both of the
community and of individuals exercising agency within it
3
The question:
How does generative AI
(development, use) help or
hurt community well-
being?
4
The response:
We don’t really know. Yet.
5
Brief case study #1:
Future of work/future of
employment
6
Will AI put people out of work?
Will AI change the nature of
employment (occupations)?
Will AI change the careers of workers?
Cf. Frey & Osborne, “The Future of
Employment” (2013)
7
Ask about the community rather than
about the worker, or the firm, or the
occupation.
Ask the question about regional or local
employment patterns.
Consider: Pittsburgh.
8
9
10
11
12
13
If Pittsburgh is:
(i) old and getting older,
(ii) smaller and getting smaller, and
(iii) seeing a re-distribution of employment patterns away
from “eds and meds” and toward “information,”
Then, as to employment, is development / use of generative AI:
(i) shifting the patterns in a more (productive) (equitable)
direction,
(ii) accelerating the patterns,
(iii) some of both (i) and (ii)
(iv) Neither
Is AI making Pittsburgh better or worse?
The analytic and policy challenge: the data does not exist at the
community level
14
Briefer case study #2:
Academic research on the
character, uses, and
meanings of AI
15
The problem:
The absence of an epistemic community that is
sufficiently and effectively broad and deep enough
to investigate
• shallow questions (what sorts of generative AI
models should we build?),
• intermediate questions (why/why not?), and
• foundational questions (how are we changing the
nature of knowledge and the nature of human
agency and sociability, and the character(s) of our
environment(s)?)
One community, or several?
16
A solution?
Use the disruption introduced by ChatGPT to build new
community/ies – with respect to understanding AI, or with
respect to the nature of academic research generally, or both
– or observe the emergence of new epistemic communities
and communities of practice.
Example: University of Pittsburgh
• Top-down coordination: “Responsible Adoption of
Generative AI in Higher Education” (accepted for ACM
FAccT 2024 a/o 5 Apr ‘24)
• Bottom-up emergence: “PASTA”
Will this work?
17
Briefest case studies:
AI systems and tools (“the smart city”) with respect to:
1. Misinformation/disinformation
2. Civic infrastructure
3. Public transit
4. Education
5. Human and family services
6. Air quality
7. Public health and health outcomes
8. Neighborhood equity
9. Public administration
10. … and more
18
So what?
“Our” regulatory and policy toolbox is short on
strategies that aim at community-level, community-
specific interventions, that understand communities
as historically-rooted systems, and changeable, and
as parts of systems.
(“Self-regulation” “Norms”)
(Reasons.)
Do we have time to wait for a better toolbox to be
built?
19

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AI and the Future of Communities - 2024 Human Futures Conference

  • 1. AI and the Futures of Communities Michael Madison University of Pittsburgh April 2024 1
  • 3. Communities Places, institutions, organizations, firms, market sectors, disciplines, practices, identities, fields, groups, large and small, formal and informal Well-being Health, education, happiness, wealth, opportunity, capability, sustainability, resilience, purpose, both of the community and of individuals exercising agency within it 3
  • 4. The question: How does generative AI (development, use) help or hurt community well- being? 4
  • 5. The response: We don’t really know. Yet. 5
  • 6. Brief case study #1: Future of work/future of employment 6
  • 7. Will AI put people out of work? Will AI change the nature of employment (occupations)? Will AI change the careers of workers? Cf. Frey & Osborne, “The Future of Employment” (2013) 7
  • 8. Ask about the community rather than about the worker, or the firm, or the occupation. Ask the question about regional or local employment patterns. Consider: Pittsburgh. 8
  • 9. 9
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  • 14. If Pittsburgh is: (i) old and getting older, (ii) smaller and getting smaller, and (iii) seeing a re-distribution of employment patterns away from “eds and meds” and toward “information,” Then, as to employment, is development / use of generative AI: (i) shifting the patterns in a more (productive) (equitable) direction, (ii) accelerating the patterns, (iii) some of both (i) and (ii) (iv) Neither Is AI making Pittsburgh better or worse? The analytic and policy challenge: the data does not exist at the community level 14
  • 15. Briefer case study #2: Academic research on the character, uses, and meanings of AI 15
  • 16. The problem: The absence of an epistemic community that is sufficiently and effectively broad and deep enough to investigate • shallow questions (what sorts of generative AI models should we build?), • intermediate questions (why/why not?), and • foundational questions (how are we changing the nature of knowledge and the nature of human agency and sociability, and the character(s) of our environment(s)?) One community, or several? 16
  • 17. A solution? Use the disruption introduced by ChatGPT to build new community/ies – with respect to understanding AI, or with respect to the nature of academic research generally, or both – or observe the emergence of new epistemic communities and communities of practice. Example: University of Pittsburgh • Top-down coordination: “Responsible Adoption of Generative AI in Higher Education” (accepted for ACM FAccT 2024 a/o 5 Apr ‘24) • Bottom-up emergence: “PASTA” Will this work? 17
  • 18. Briefest case studies: AI systems and tools (“the smart city”) with respect to: 1. Misinformation/disinformation 2. Civic infrastructure 3. Public transit 4. Education 5. Human and family services 6. Air quality 7. Public health and health outcomes 8. Neighborhood equity 9. Public administration 10. … and more 18
  • 19. So what? “Our” regulatory and policy toolbox is short on strategies that aim at community-level, community- specific interventions, that understand communities as historically-rooted systems, and changeable, and as parts of systems. (“Self-regulation” “Norms”) (Reasons.) Do we have time to wait for a better toolbox to be built? 19