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               7 KEY TRENDS INFLUENCING HR IN 2009
               AND BEYOND




                                  T REND #1 – G LOBALIZATION OF   HR CALLS FOR
                                  GOVERNANCE & COMPLIANCE


                                  T REND #2   – T ALENT M ANAGEMENT : MOVING BEYOND
                                  THE HYPE


                                  T REND #3 – E MPLOYER BRANDING

                                  T REND #4 – S OCIAL INNOVATION DRIVES SMART
                                  WORKING


                                  T REND #5 – D EVELOPING THE ORGANIZATION AND
                                  LEADERSHIP OF TOMORROW


                                  T REND #6 – A DDRESSING THE GLOBAL SOURCING
                                  CHALLENGE


                                  T REND #7 – K EY P ERFORM ANCE INDICATORS :
                                  M ANAGING HR MEANS MEASURING HR




               Version1.0 – Aug
INTRODUCTION
                                              Human resource management will be a key focus area in
                                              2009 as companies put in place strategies to cope with the
                                              financial and economic crisis. In the past 10 years, HR has
                                              spent much time re-inventing itself in order to be better
                                              equipped to serve the business. Coming from a traditional
                                              administrative role, HR has worked hard to revitalize its
                                              services, aiming to better fulfill its strategic and tactical role.
                                              Administrative services have been optimized and made as
                                              (cost-) efficient as possible. Now that most organizations
                                              have introduced new service delivery models, the focus
                                              can be turned towards strategic and tactical support of the
                                              business. External factors, in addition to the increasing
                                              complexity of the business environment, all indicate that
                                              companies must gather their strengths to try and
                                              differentiate themselves from the competition in order to
                                              survive in the turbulent world economy.


                                              The start of a new year is a good moment to reflect on
                                              current activities and create new plans. Are HR goals still in
                                              line with company strategy or are external factors changing
                                              so rapidly that the goals must be re-evaluated to enable the
                                              company to meet new challenges? In this article we
                                              challenge HR to reflect on this subject by describing the
                                              most important external factors and how these findings will
                                              influence HR in 2009.




                                              ABOUT THE AUTHOR

                                              Anita Lettink is Director HR Outsourcing at
                                              NorthgateArinso in the Netherlands. She supports clients
                                              in the creation of a more effective and efficient Human
CONTENT                                       Resource function with a focus on outsourcing, shared
                                              services and e-HRM. Anita has participated in many HR
Introduction                             2    Transformation projects and HR Outsourcing engagements
                                              for large-scale companies. Her major focus lies in HR
External drivers                         3
                                              service delivery, process improvement and technology
Trend #1 – Globalization                 5    design. She has worked in a variety of roles ranging from
Trend #2 – Talent Management             6    expert consultant to project manager.

Trend #3 – Employer Branding             7
                                              Prior to her current position, Anita was responsible for the
Trend #4 – Social Innovation             8    business unit Innovations & Technology Services. She has
Trend #5 – Leadership & Organizational        extensive experience working for Dutch organizations and
development                              10   acquired a high amount of international experience,
                                              working on different global projects with multinational
Trend #6 – Global sourcing               12
                                              teams. Anita is a regular guest speaker on the subject of
Trend #7 – Key Performance Indicators    13   HR Transformation and Outsourcing and has published
Conclusion                               15   many articles and white papers.
                                              #
                                                    7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
Copyright 2009 NorthgateArinso                                  www.northgatearinso.com | page 2
E X TE R N AL     DRIVERS
From an economic and financial point of view, 2008 was a turbulent year. It
was the year in which stock markets lost on average 40% of their value, the
largest decline in one year since the Great Depression of 1929. It was the
year that saw large banks collapse or being acquired by others, and even the
nationalization of some. Commodity prices surged lower, oil prices traded at
an all-time high ànd low, central interest rates went down and the exchange
rates of currencies showed huge variations with the British pound trading at
the lowest point in many years. The instability in the financial sector
eventually lead to a worldwide recession, which impact will be uncertain for a
long time.

A number of national governments took emergency measures that gave
banks and companies some short term breathing room. The long term effects
of these measures remains to be seen. Therefore, 2009 will be a very
uncertain year: some companies will benefit from these circumstances, while
others have requested government aid to prevent them from going out of
business. Due to the lack of confidence within the financial sector, it is difficult
en more expensive for both organizations and consumers to borrow money.
This confidence however is crucial to grow the economy at home and abroad.

If the crisis made one thing abundantly clear, it is how closely knit the world’s
economic and financial systems have become: there are no countries in the
world that are not hit by the crisis. There are however differences. Asian
economies seem in a better place: the double-digit growth is over, but there
is room for single-digit expansion that relies on a stimulus of the internal
consumer market. The Western model, with its emphasis on shareholder
value and growth is heavily under pressure: it seems very likely that the world
after the recession will have different distribution of power than before.

7 DRIVERS FOR TOMORROW ’ S HR
Many organizations are preparing themselves for a period where large efforts
are needed to sustain them at the current level, and where downsizing more
than growth will be a reality. Based on the changes in the economic
environment, HR must reassess its strategy and realign to company
circumstances. We expect the following 7 factors to dominate the agenda; a
combination of short and long term factors at the national and international
level.

1. Economic: the financial crisis led to a lack of confidence in the financial
   system. Economic growth stagnated in 2008 and brought a worldwide
   recession. Unemployment, which was at a low level in many countries, is
   rising, with the highest levels expected in 2010.

2. Over the next years many baby boomers will retire. The demographic
   makeup of society is shifting: young people (generations X and Y) can in
   numbers and in experience not replace the retiring generation, meaning
   that after a temporary slow-down the “war for talent” will continue
   unabated.

3. Compliance: Companies, in particular those listed on the stock market,
   must comply with an increasing amount of rules and regulations to be
   allowed to operate. As a result of recent scandals, regulations will come
   under scrutiny, since they have not prevented them.

4. Globalization: New technological advances allow for work to be
   performed where knowledge is most readily available, or where the price



                                          7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                      www.northgatearinso.com | page 3
is lowest. Terms such as nearshoring, offshoring and outsourcing
    describe this phenomenon.

5. Business is changing from a capital-intensive to a knowledge-intensive
   economy. Capital belongs to the company, whereas knowledge belongs
   to the individual.

6. Partnerships: Companies are creating partnerships with each other for
   the duration of a project (think of Philips and Sara Lee to create Senseo).
   This even occurs between competing companies. As a result, the borders
   between companies are fading.

7. Individualization: Society no longer consists of groups of people, but of
   individuals, each with their own goals. These individuals belong to one or
   more ‘tribes’. They demand individual solutions, not only with respect to
   the place and type of work, but also to compensation and benefits, free
   time and work-life balance.

When assessing HR strategy, it is crucial to review these external factors in
light of the current company context: if the company is downsizing, the fact
that baby boomers are retiring might not pose much of a problem. A tight
labor market has a different effect on a company that focuses on customer
intimacy than it has on a company that prides itself on operational excellence.
The role of HR is ultimately to focus on those factors that will have a large
direct effect on the company and that support growth.

Even though we expect that in 2009 many companies will make cost
reduction a priority, the long term focus must remain on strategic workforce
planning and diversity. Due to the retirement of baby boomers the total
makeup of the workforce will shift dramatically. Younger generations simply
will not be able to replace the leaving workforce. A short term decision to
reduce the company workforce due to the current crisis can be economically
sound, but can also substantially influence the long term sustainability of the
organization. HR must be creative in finding ways to retain the workforce in
size as well as in makeup and quality. HR also has to find ways to deal with a
more diverse workforce, where people from all ages and backgrounds must
work together in teams towards a mutual goal. We expect that more often
companies will at the same time hire and fire employees, albeit in different
parts of the world. We also see the growth of work-related communities
where people rotate between companies for the duration of projects.

In the remainder of this article, we will translate the factors to 7 trends that we
observe within the HR profession. Not all HR trends will be equally applicable
to all organizations, some trends can be more important than others,
depending on the current stage of a company. It is therefore important to
read these trends and assess their impact in light of your own organization.




                                         7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                     www.northgatearinso.com | page 4
T R E N D #1:
G L O B AL I Z AT I O N   O F H R C AL L S F O R G O V E R N AN C E               &
C O M P L I AN C E
As companies operate more frequently in different parts of the world, they are
confronted with unfamiliar local rules and regulations. This is especially true
for HR, as in most countries labor is subjected to a combination of legal and
fiscal measures. This places demands on the HR organization when it comes
to governance and compliance, compensation and benefits, and workforce
mobility. It can be very costly if an organization does not comply with national
standards: not only can companies be fined, but the fact itself usually
damages the corporate reputation for a long time. As a result of the financial
crisis, we expect that additional international regulations will be introduced in
the financial industry.

It is not an easy undertaking to establish a unified HR governance model in
an international environment. However, when HR governance is setup in a
clear and concise way, it is far easier to ensure compliance. In an
organization with high mobility, a multi-country, consistent HR service
delivery model is a must, because employees increasingly expect similar, if
not the same treatment, regardless of their current location. To meet this
demand, many multinationals now organize HR in functional centers of
excellence and deliver HR through a worldwide shared services model. This
way of working ensures that expertise is centrally available, that there is an
agreed upon way of working and that local knowledge is involved when
necessary.

HR I NFORM ATION SYSTEMS
If HR service delivery is organized at the global level, HRIT support must
follow in order to deliver high-quality service. Systems must support a
consistent information delivery, with lower maintenance and integration cost.
HR Information Technology has matured in the past years and is better
equipped to support global organizations. These developments have led to
the introduction of global HR systems that enable multinational payroll and
are updated frequently by suppliers.

These updates include support for national legal and fiscal changes in order
to guarantee that the system is in compliance with current local standards. In
addition, vendors have developed templates and service delivery models to
enhance and accelerate the rollout of these HR information systems. Last but
not least, technical developments in the area of networking and security have
made the physical placement of systems nearly irrelevant: they can be
hosted anywhere in the world, provided data privacy legislation allows it.

The benefit of these developments is that an international HR Information
System can be hosted, implemented and maintained at a central location,
where it can be easily audited for compliance and data privacy. We also
observe a trend towards OnDemand applications (also known as Saas or
Software as a service) for HR, a model where the costs of a system are
determined by its usage, and the vendor is responsible for availability,
reliability and compliance. This not only leads to a cost reduction for HR IT
support, but also enables HR to phase out the fragmented system landscape
based on local HR systems. OnDemand makes it easier for companies of
any size to implement software and benefit from using the latest
developments.




                                        7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                    www.northgatearinso.com | page 5
To further support compliance, organizations are introducing digital personnel
files. The digital personnel file offers a number of benefits compared to the
paper version: it is easier to locate documents, it saves office space and it is
easy to automate the periodical removal of expired information from the
digital files. Legal documents can be coded with a validity date, and elapsed
(work) permits and certificates are automatically reported. A digital file is
readily available to anyone who is granted permission to view it, including the
employee. This increases transparency and makes it easier to timely signal
deviations.

By moving to an international HR delivery organization, supported by a
worldwide HR database, multinational payroll and digital personnel files,
organizations not only improve their HR service delivery and ensure
compliance, but also have an accurate overview of the workforce at all times.
This allows for more reliable decision-making based on relevant data, making
it easier than before to anticipate to changes externally and/or internally.


T R E N D #2:
T AL E N T M AN AG E M E N T :              M O VI N G B E Y O N D TH E H Y P E
The extent to which a company can respond to external opportunities and
                                                                            1
threats is more than ever being determined by the talent of its employees ;
the knowledge and skills of the workforce and the manner in which the
organization is able to turn these assets into value are all determining factors.
If talent is managed professionally, and the interests of the employee and the
organization are tuned into one another, this will be to the advantage of both
parties. The employee will be competent, and the company will offer him or
her sufficient opportunity to develop.




The talent lifecycle (see illustration) initially focuses on determining the
required abilities, then on strategic workforce planning. Workforce planning
allows HR to establish a relationship between the company strategy and the
abilities of (future) employees: can the strategy be achieved with the current
   ●
1
  To put this volatility into perspective, one has to note that the company profits from the
intelligent combination of the knowledge of several individuals. The departure of one employee
thus does not lead to the loss, but to the leakage of knowledge.


                                                7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                            www.northgatearinso.com | page 6
skill sets or does a lack of certain skills pose problems in reaching the goals?
All of the data to answer this question are usually available within the
company. The question is if it is easy to turn this data into useful information.
We observe that companies are increasingly investing in stand-alone talent
management systems, without getting the basics of HR data right. Rather
than creating islands of talent management functionality in a sea of
disconnected, incorrect and erroneous data, companies should invest in a
reliable base containing HR information, in order to be able to drive higher
ROI when they invest in Talent Management. The ability to base strategic
workforce decisions on reliable HR information will leverage the investment in
any of the Talent Management processes.

In the service economy, knowledge is extremely important: if the company
does not have access to the right competencies and skills, the company
strategy cannot be executed, and this will affect the future of the enterprise.
Knowledge and skills can thus be seen as a part of the ‘company assets’,
comparable to a machine or tool. Shortages are typical for specialized and
experienced workers, and can coexist with relatively high overall
unemployment in the external environment. With the help of workforce
planning, HR can predict any excesses and/or shortages of skills and act
upon this before it is too late.

As knowledge exists in the mind of the employee, company capital has
become a lot more volatile than in the past, and the company will have to put
more effort into holding on to its employees. The way we look at employees
is changing: where organizations were used to think in terms of employee
groups, companies are now starting to differentiate based on rare abilities:
some employees are simply crucial to the company.

HR will have to ensure that this differentiation is emphasized in appraisal and
reward schemes, so that crucial employees feel recognized and valued and
other employees do not feel ignored. HR also has to support the business by
ensuring that adequate knowledge-sharing methods, training and
development opportunities are in place, so that a sufficient capacity (in terms
of skills) is available.

Differentiation is also required to ensure that career plans are carried out. A
manager relies on a stable team, and will not be inclined to allow a well-
performing employee to move into another part of the company: this would be
at the expense of his own results. This is not in the interest of the larger
whole, though. For the company, it is better that HR identifies new talent,
stimulates their development, and offers these employees challenging
opportunities within the company. This is especially true when dealing with
members of the new generations: they are used to think in projects, and will
switch to a different employer that offers them more challenging work as soon
as they view their current work as uninteresting.




                                         7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                     www.northgatearinso.com | page 7
T R E N D #3:
EMPLOYER           B R AN D I N G
Talent is not only present within the organization, but also exists outside of it.
It is HR’s role to identify talent, to develop it, and to incorporate it into the
organization. If a company must sustain itself within a tight labor market
containing a limited amount of talent, the ability to spot and attract talent is
crucial. Principles that are true on the commercial market are equally true on
the labor market. Just as you have to convince clients that your product or
service is indispensable, you have to convince new employees of your
uniqueness, and tie current employees to your company. This is about brand
awareness: who you are and what you stand for is important in the eyes of
the employees that spend a large portion of their week in your organization.

E MPLOYER M ARKETING
Achieving brand awareness as an employer is not easy: an elaborate
campaign is simply too expensive for most companies. HR must find creative
ways to create a coherent image, so that the same image is portrayed both
on the inside and on the outside, and the company’s identity is properly
reflected. The story being told during campaigns must match the inner
workings of the company.

Future employees have enough channels available to them to check the
validity of a story against the truth. If an innovative digital campaign is set up,
making use of social networks, or multimedia tools, the new employee will
expect to see this approach reflected within the organization. New
generations have been exposed to a wide variety of marketing-techniques,
and see straight through them. If the external corporate image does not
match the internal view, then it will be considered inconsistent and new
employees will leave the company soon after arrival.

G ENERATION Y
Employer branding is complicated by the fact that for the first time in history
four generations, with very different expectations, can be found on the labor
market and work together in companies. Whereas baby boomers tend to
spend long periods of time with one organization and advanced their career
based on knowledge and experience, the younger generations tend to follow
a non-linear career path with broad interests. They want to gain as much
knowledge and experience as possible, and do not hesitate to change paths
repeatedly.

Furthermore, the use of channels is different: baby boomers respond to
advertisements in the printed media, whereas generation Y is used to
working digitally, and makes use of social networks and similar options. They
will probably not even see your ads, but are made aware of the job by a
friend. As most companies only have a limited budget for promoting
themselves on the labor market, HR has to make intelligent decisions. This is
only possible if HR has a deep understanding of the people that possess the
needed skill sets, and how these future employees can be contacted on the
labor market. Differentiation and segmentation can also be a useful tool in
this domain: a social network can be a good way to bind a particular group to
your organization.




                                          7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                      www.northgatearinso.com | page 8
T R E N D #4:
S O C I AL I N N O V AT I O N           D R I V E S SM AR T W O R K I N G
The fluctuating labor market, combined with a multitude of technical
innovations, forces companies to look at ‘work’ differently. Social innovation
is about renewing the labor process, with the goal to increase productivity
                  2
and participation . Social innovation revolves around working more
intelligently and organizing work differently. The days when employees all
came to the office to spend their days together are behind us, but only a
handful of organizations are actively promoting this change.

In the IT-sector it is more common to work in virtual teams, split up an
assignment and contribute to it from all over the world, so that this
assignment is being worked on 24/7. Even though this is not a viable option
for all sectors, the way work is being assigned is becoming more flexible and
more project-based. In doing so, a company accesses the knowledge they
need at a particular moment.

Because the knowledge is with the employee, and the employee can choose,
he or she will be less tempted to opt for a traditional manner of work, and is
more likely to associate him or herself with the company only for the duration
of a project. More often, people will associate themselves with networks, and
participate in projects that are offered through these networks.

F LEXIBLE TIME AND PLACE
The decreasing mobility and ageing of the population put pressure on the
availability of talent and ensure that companies must actively pursue
alternative solutions (working from home, flexible work-times, policies that
take into account the personal situation of the employee) to commit talent to
the company. Here, we observe an interesting paradox: on one side,
employees demand a better balance between work and private life, and on
the other, work and private lives are becoming increasingly intertwined, as
people are working from home at times that are most convenient for them.

As employees collaborate remotely with each other, from different parts of
the world, the usability and reliability of tools and infrastructure becomes very
important. Employees are increasingly ready to perform all their transactions
via the web. Great adoption however requires a great user interface, and
minimal hurdles or clicks to perform HR transactions. Getting a spotless user
interface into place is a key requirement, especially with users that are
getting used to RIA (rich internet applications), Google-simplicity, and
iPhone-like interfaces.

Social innovation also leads towards a flexible attitude in work relationships:
we observe an increase in flexible contracts, temporary contracts,
mother/father contracts and flexible payment and benefits. More experienced
employees are switching to freelance work, or are working on assignments
towards a final result, where employees can determine themselves (within
reason) the time and place of work, as long as results are produced at a
certain time. Organizations are also introducing employment contracts of
fixed length (e.g. three years), where the employability of the worker is
evaluated very closely before an extension of the contract is offered.



    ●
2
 According to the definition of the AWVN (Algemene Werkgeversvereniging Nederland –
Association of Dutch Employer). Wikipedia states that, although the term social innovation is
more common, the concept of innovative organization covers the topic better.


                                                 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                             www.northgatearinso.com | page 9
R ESPONSIBILITY OF HR
Social innovation demands a change in the way both management and the
employee work, and emphasizes the need for a new form of coaching of
(both permanent and flexible) employees during the process of working
towards an end result, instead of daily guidance. HR has to take a leading
role in organizing this change and establishing this new way of working. For
example, how do you evaluate employees if they are working towards a
result? And how must compensation schedules be adjusted to support this
change? HR has the responsibility of equipping managers with the answers
to questions such as these. This is, after all, a new way of working for
managers, too.

More than before, HR must be aligned with the strategy of the company, and
turn these choices into viable policies. HR will have to initiate the discussion
on how this changes relationships within the company, and how this affects
contractual terms and conditions. Which skill sets are only employed on a
project base? What is an acceptable ratio between flexible and fixed
contracts for the company? To what extent can one individualize the
contractual conditions? To avoid conflicts, HR must develop clear statements
when determining who belongs to the core of the organization, who belongs
to the network, and who does not. It is the responsibility of HR to not
implement social innovation as a solution to a problem, but as a new way of
working, where both the employee and the employer can be challenged to
innovate as part of a mature working relationship in an attempt to increase
productivity.


T R E N D #5:
DEVELOPING       TH E O R G AN I Z ATI O N AN D L E AD E R S H I P
O F TO M O R R O W
The borders of the traditional company are fading: depending on the contract,
another company can be either a competitor or a partner, or sometimes even
both at the same time. The result of this is that companies work together in
various combinations: sometimes assignments are fulfilled in-house, and
sometimes an assignment is carried out by a team consisting of various
partners and/or other external parties. To further develop an enterprise, it is
essential to create a network. This is above all a business responsibility.




                                        7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                   www.northgatearinso.com | page 10
L EADERSHIP
If the borders of the company are becoming less strict, there is a strong need
for leaders with a vision, who can tie employees to the company by keeping
them aligned to a common goal. The role of HR in this is clear: they must
ensure that there are sufficient leaders, and that leadership is enabled to take
charge of the changes. Leading a virtual team spread out over several time-
zones and cultures in a complex network-environment is completely different
from managing an office in one location or within a national context. New
business leaders must be ready to act in complex, rapidly changing
environments. Research shows that most companies have not instituted a
succession process that covers critical roles, and many still lack formal
executive succession planning. Due to the imminent retirement of baby
boomers, companies may suddenly realize that their current management
teams will no longer be available. This poses a direct threat to the future of a
company, and puts a lot of pressure on HR to identify the leaders of
tomorrow, and to fill this gap with strategies for succession planning and
leadership development.

Not only are the borders with the external world fading: the internal side of
the business is also undergoing great changes. Due to the financial crisis
many companies are involved in major restructuring and cost cutting
operations. Because of the influence of private equity and sourcing
strategies, mergers and acquisitions are more common these days, leading
to a constant need for both integration and separation of business units.

Changes in the company force HR to ensure that employees are treated well
during any takeovers or separations. Changes not only have to be
implemented, but must be incorporated into the behavior of the employees.
Stubbornly doing things as before leads to a company becoming stuck in a
rut, and does not bring the desired agility and flexibility. The ability of HR to
show leadership during company changes is therefore becoming a crucial
asset. If HR has introduced changes within its own department and has
shown leadership in adapting to them, this can significantly contribute to how
they support changes related to the business environment.




                                         7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
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T R E N D #6:
AD D RESSI NG           TH E G L O B AL S O U R C I N G C H AL L E N G E
The extent, in which HR is accepted by the business as strategic partner, is
based on the credibility of the HR department. If HR operates as a business
partner, it must ensure that the HR department is run in a professional
manner. Too often the operational tasks of the HR department influence their
capability to operate on a strategic and tactical level. HR must keep its tasks
under control, and ensure that the department is organized for maximum
efficiency and effectiveness. The collective opinion that HR is handling its
budget in a business-like manner can significantly contribute to the
acceptance of HR as a strategic and tactical partner.

The execution of a sourcing strategy means that every HR service (or HR
process) is evaluated based on certain criteria, amongst which the highest
quality, the best execution, the lowest costs and the most added value. The
HR service is then executed by an internal (or external) provider that offers
the best value for money. The range of services and suppliers that results is
called the sourcing mix – also referred to as ‘selective sourcing’. Mix is the
key word here: it is a misunderstanding that outsourcing is the only option. It
is important to determine which services HR wants to provide, and who best
provides these services.

The rapidly changing economic conditions encourage the creation of new,
flexible HR service delivery models. We expect companies to be looking
increasingly at piecemeal outsourcing: rather than selecting a single service
delivery model across all HR processes, companies will be combining
different delivery options. One can easily imagine a company combine
comprehensive outsourcing (BPO) for HR admin, a standardized managed
service for payroll, OnDemand delivery for talent management, and custom
RPO assignments to deal with sudden local hiring needs. On this point, we
expect the rise of OnDemand models in 2009, as they will bridge the gap
between BPO and in-house software solutions, balancing control over
process with cost control (Opex versus Capex).

S OURCING STRATEGIES
HR Outsourcing of administrative and transactional processes is becoming a
common phenomenon for many companies. HR nowadays is more inclined
to accept the expertise of the outsourcing provider and implement best
practice standards. The traditional “lift and shift” approach is rapidly
becoming a thing of the past, as experience has shown that better results
both in efficiency and quality can be reached by radically adhering to the new
standards offered by the vendor. Despite the current recession, research
show that outsourcing vendors are selected based on their expertise,
reputation and reliability, and that the cost factor is of lower priority.
                                                          3
In NorthgateArinso surveys performed 2005-2007 , we concluded that 80% of
respondents use external parties for HR services. External expertise is
contracted in matters such as policy development, training, recruitment &
selection and career advice: exactly the services that HR professionals want
to spend more time on in their new, more strategic roles. As HR is now hiring
external experts to carry out these tasks, the question arises if this is due to a
lack of time, or due to a lack of expertise. In most countries, the number of
    ●
3
  ‘HR in beweging, wat beweegt HR?’ ARINSO/Reed Business 2005, 2006,2007 (Survey: HR on
the move, what moves HR? - surveys performed in 2005, 2006, 2007 by NorthgateArinso in the
Netherlands)


                                             7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                        www.northgatearinso.com | page 12
small companies that specialize in offering value added HR services is still
growing.

The success of outsourcing depends largely on good contract management.
In our research we found that only 16% of contracts are governed by an SLA.
This creates a problem, as without an SLA, HR cannot adequately evaluate
the service the vendor offers. This means that it is difficult to assess the
quality and the execution of the HR service. It also entails that HR does not
have enough insight into the service, and cannot adapt it to the growth or
downsizing of the company. Good contract management ensures that HR
understands what the outsourcing partner delivers, but equally important, that
the vendor understands how the company is changing, and how the services
should be adapted to these changes. Knowledge acquired like this can then
be applied by the HR department within the company to benefit sourcing
strategies in other departments.




                                        7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                   www.northgatearinso.com | page 13
T R E N D #7:
K E Y P E R F O R M AN C E I N D I C ATO R S :         M AN AG I N G       HR
M E AN S M E AS U R I N G HR
If (turbulent) developments in the external environment lead to the need for
change within the company, this must be based on reliable data and
analyses. This is to avoid that organization continually reacts to changes at
the expense of its chosen direction incorporated in the mission and vision.
For HR this means having detailed (quantitative and qualitative) information
on workforce performance, leading to the ability to create business scenarios
based on a thorough analysis of all the available factors.

As mentioned previously, over the past few years many HR organizations
have taken the time to implement backend systems (often to comply with
legal obligations) including dashboards and warehouse solutions. As these
systems save data in a non-ambiguous manner, they can offer a valuable
insight into the performance and the make-up of the workforce. Business’
demand for key performance indicators is being continually better addressed
by HR.

A NALYSIS
The next step is processing this data in the context of business scenarios and
analyzing the consequences. Beyond this level, the company needs to
analyze more complex data to determine its productivity: utilization,
contribution, turnover and profit. HR must step up to meet the company’s
demand for adequate analysis of key performance indicators. This analysis is
crucial to the success of the company strategy and to the achievement of
HR’s role as strategic partner.

An example: Last year a client was planning to build a new factory on the
other side of the country. They hoped to circumvent the problems posed by
the tight labor market and wanted to be located close to certain large clients.
The negotiations with the municipality were at an advanced stage, and the
selection of a project developer had been initiated. In the meantime, HR took
the initiative of conducting a labor market analysis, from which could be
concluded that, due to an ageing population, this region would not have
enough qualified employees (with the required skill sets and certifications)
within five years. Furthermore, moving employees to the region was not an
option because of the cost associated with relocation policies. Most likely the
new factory would only be able to work at half capacity. This conclusion led to
the whole project being cancelled, and an expensive mistake was avoided.

When dealing with key performance indicators, it is important to reflect on the
inclusion of data resulting from best-of-breed system landscapes. In order for
management information to be reliable, clear definitions are needed. This is
increasingly difficult when aggregating information from various systems, due
to the fundamental differences in the way data is entered, processed and
stored. If data can not be shared, and does not contain exactly the same
information, it can not be consolidated. HR must keep this aspect in mind
when developing the HR system landscape and any potential extensions.




                                        7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                   www.northgatearinso.com | page 14
CONCLUSION

In the previous paragraphs we have tried to explain what external factors we
observe in the market, and how these translate to HR trends. How can this
help you as an HR professional?

It is most certainly not our intention for the reader to apply the described HR
trends systematically to their own company and services over the course of
the coming year. Chances are that this will not take the current situation of
your own company into consideration, thus completely foregoing the goal of
managing HR in a strategic manner.

A thorough analysis, based on the opportunities and threats in the external
environment, and comparing these to the strengths and weaknesses of the
internal environment of the company will give better insight into which goals
HR has to adopt to advance the business. In our experience, methods from
           4
marketing , like a SWOT analysis, can be easily adapted for use within HR,
and lead to good results.

The most valuable advice that we can offer to HR when determining the
strategy: if we assume that most knowledge-intensive companies consider
their workforce as assets, then it is essential that HR starts pro-actively
providing the company management with reliable information and adequate
analysis and predictions about this asset to support the company strategy.
They must supply accessible information about the population, future
expectations with respect to talent and skills, productivity and availability.

We have noticed that the average company has no idea of the impact a lack
of talent combined with a retiring population will have on their strategy. HR
must, just like business managers, be able to translate external trends to
future scenarios and determine the consequences for the company workforce
(“what if”). HR can thus instigate the discussion about the potential and the
effectiveness of human capital, and can take responsibility. This strategic
contribution to the achievement of company goals is the only way in which to
become a serious and respected sounding board for management.




     ●
4
    See for example ‘Succesvolle marketingplannen’ by S. Santema et al., 1999


                                                  7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                             www.northgatearinso.com | page 15
NorthgateArinso is a leading global Human Resources software & services
provider offering innovative HR business solutions to employers of all sizes,
including Global Fortune 500 companies and many Public Sector organizations.
They help HR executives optimize their HR service delivery through smarter
process and more efficient technology, supporting key HR areas like workforce
administration, payroll, benefits, recruitment, learning, and talent management.


www.northgatearinso.com




                                                                                   7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond
                                                                                              www.northgatearinso.com | page 16

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  • 1. W HITE PAPER 7 KEY TRENDS INFLUENCING HR IN 2009 AND BEYOND T REND #1 – G LOBALIZATION OF HR CALLS FOR GOVERNANCE & COMPLIANCE T REND #2 – T ALENT M ANAGEMENT : MOVING BEYOND THE HYPE T REND #3 – E MPLOYER BRANDING T REND #4 – S OCIAL INNOVATION DRIVES SMART WORKING T REND #5 – D EVELOPING THE ORGANIZATION AND LEADERSHIP OF TOMORROW T REND #6 – A DDRESSING THE GLOBAL SOURCING CHALLENGE T REND #7 – K EY P ERFORM ANCE INDICATORS : M ANAGING HR MEANS MEASURING HR Version1.0 – Aug
  • 2. INTRODUCTION Human resource management will be a key focus area in 2009 as companies put in place strategies to cope with the financial and economic crisis. In the past 10 years, HR has spent much time re-inventing itself in order to be better equipped to serve the business. Coming from a traditional administrative role, HR has worked hard to revitalize its services, aiming to better fulfill its strategic and tactical role. Administrative services have been optimized and made as (cost-) efficient as possible. Now that most organizations have introduced new service delivery models, the focus can be turned towards strategic and tactical support of the business. External factors, in addition to the increasing complexity of the business environment, all indicate that companies must gather their strengths to try and differentiate themselves from the competition in order to survive in the turbulent world economy. The start of a new year is a good moment to reflect on current activities and create new plans. Are HR goals still in line with company strategy or are external factors changing so rapidly that the goals must be re-evaluated to enable the company to meet new challenges? In this article we challenge HR to reflect on this subject by describing the most important external factors and how these findings will influence HR in 2009. ABOUT THE AUTHOR Anita Lettink is Director HR Outsourcing at NorthgateArinso in the Netherlands. She supports clients in the creation of a more effective and efficient Human CONTENT Resource function with a focus on outsourcing, shared services and e-HRM. Anita has participated in many HR Introduction 2 Transformation projects and HR Outsourcing engagements for large-scale companies. Her major focus lies in HR External drivers 3 service delivery, process improvement and technology Trend #1 – Globalization 5 design. She has worked in a variety of roles ranging from Trend #2 – Talent Management 6 expert consultant to project manager. Trend #3 – Employer Branding 7 Prior to her current position, Anita was responsible for the Trend #4 – Social Innovation 8 business unit Innovations & Technology Services. She has Trend #5 – Leadership & Organizational extensive experience working for Dutch organizations and development 10 acquired a high amount of international experience, working on different global projects with multinational Trend #6 – Global sourcing 12 teams. Anita is a regular guest speaker on the subject of Trend #7 – Key Performance Indicators 13 HR Transformation and Outsourcing and has published Conclusion 15 many articles and white papers. # 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond Copyright 2009 NorthgateArinso www.northgatearinso.com | page 2
  • 3. E X TE R N AL DRIVERS From an economic and financial point of view, 2008 was a turbulent year. It was the year in which stock markets lost on average 40% of their value, the largest decline in one year since the Great Depression of 1929. It was the year that saw large banks collapse or being acquired by others, and even the nationalization of some. Commodity prices surged lower, oil prices traded at an all-time high ànd low, central interest rates went down and the exchange rates of currencies showed huge variations with the British pound trading at the lowest point in many years. The instability in the financial sector eventually lead to a worldwide recession, which impact will be uncertain for a long time. A number of national governments took emergency measures that gave banks and companies some short term breathing room. The long term effects of these measures remains to be seen. Therefore, 2009 will be a very uncertain year: some companies will benefit from these circumstances, while others have requested government aid to prevent them from going out of business. Due to the lack of confidence within the financial sector, it is difficult en more expensive for both organizations and consumers to borrow money. This confidence however is crucial to grow the economy at home and abroad. If the crisis made one thing abundantly clear, it is how closely knit the world’s economic and financial systems have become: there are no countries in the world that are not hit by the crisis. There are however differences. Asian economies seem in a better place: the double-digit growth is over, but there is room for single-digit expansion that relies on a stimulus of the internal consumer market. The Western model, with its emphasis on shareholder value and growth is heavily under pressure: it seems very likely that the world after the recession will have different distribution of power than before. 7 DRIVERS FOR TOMORROW ’ S HR Many organizations are preparing themselves for a period where large efforts are needed to sustain them at the current level, and where downsizing more than growth will be a reality. Based on the changes in the economic environment, HR must reassess its strategy and realign to company circumstances. We expect the following 7 factors to dominate the agenda; a combination of short and long term factors at the national and international level. 1. Economic: the financial crisis led to a lack of confidence in the financial system. Economic growth stagnated in 2008 and brought a worldwide recession. Unemployment, which was at a low level in many countries, is rising, with the highest levels expected in 2010. 2. Over the next years many baby boomers will retire. The demographic makeup of society is shifting: young people (generations X and Y) can in numbers and in experience not replace the retiring generation, meaning that after a temporary slow-down the “war for talent” will continue unabated. 3. Compliance: Companies, in particular those listed on the stock market, must comply with an increasing amount of rules and regulations to be allowed to operate. As a result of recent scandals, regulations will come under scrutiny, since they have not prevented them. 4. Globalization: New technological advances allow for work to be performed where knowledge is most readily available, or where the price 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 3
  • 4. is lowest. Terms such as nearshoring, offshoring and outsourcing describe this phenomenon. 5. Business is changing from a capital-intensive to a knowledge-intensive economy. Capital belongs to the company, whereas knowledge belongs to the individual. 6. Partnerships: Companies are creating partnerships with each other for the duration of a project (think of Philips and Sara Lee to create Senseo). This even occurs between competing companies. As a result, the borders between companies are fading. 7. Individualization: Society no longer consists of groups of people, but of individuals, each with their own goals. These individuals belong to one or more ‘tribes’. They demand individual solutions, not only with respect to the place and type of work, but also to compensation and benefits, free time and work-life balance. When assessing HR strategy, it is crucial to review these external factors in light of the current company context: if the company is downsizing, the fact that baby boomers are retiring might not pose much of a problem. A tight labor market has a different effect on a company that focuses on customer intimacy than it has on a company that prides itself on operational excellence. The role of HR is ultimately to focus on those factors that will have a large direct effect on the company and that support growth. Even though we expect that in 2009 many companies will make cost reduction a priority, the long term focus must remain on strategic workforce planning and diversity. Due to the retirement of baby boomers the total makeup of the workforce will shift dramatically. Younger generations simply will not be able to replace the leaving workforce. A short term decision to reduce the company workforce due to the current crisis can be economically sound, but can also substantially influence the long term sustainability of the organization. HR must be creative in finding ways to retain the workforce in size as well as in makeup and quality. HR also has to find ways to deal with a more diverse workforce, where people from all ages and backgrounds must work together in teams towards a mutual goal. We expect that more often companies will at the same time hire and fire employees, albeit in different parts of the world. We also see the growth of work-related communities where people rotate between companies for the duration of projects. In the remainder of this article, we will translate the factors to 7 trends that we observe within the HR profession. Not all HR trends will be equally applicable to all organizations, some trends can be more important than others, depending on the current stage of a company. It is therefore important to read these trends and assess their impact in light of your own organization. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 4
  • 5. T R E N D #1: G L O B AL I Z AT I O N O F H R C AL L S F O R G O V E R N AN C E & C O M P L I AN C E As companies operate more frequently in different parts of the world, they are confronted with unfamiliar local rules and regulations. This is especially true for HR, as in most countries labor is subjected to a combination of legal and fiscal measures. This places demands on the HR organization when it comes to governance and compliance, compensation and benefits, and workforce mobility. It can be very costly if an organization does not comply with national standards: not only can companies be fined, but the fact itself usually damages the corporate reputation for a long time. As a result of the financial crisis, we expect that additional international regulations will be introduced in the financial industry. It is not an easy undertaking to establish a unified HR governance model in an international environment. However, when HR governance is setup in a clear and concise way, it is far easier to ensure compliance. In an organization with high mobility, a multi-country, consistent HR service delivery model is a must, because employees increasingly expect similar, if not the same treatment, regardless of their current location. To meet this demand, many multinationals now organize HR in functional centers of excellence and deliver HR through a worldwide shared services model. This way of working ensures that expertise is centrally available, that there is an agreed upon way of working and that local knowledge is involved when necessary. HR I NFORM ATION SYSTEMS If HR service delivery is organized at the global level, HRIT support must follow in order to deliver high-quality service. Systems must support a consistent information delivery, with lower maintenance and integration cost. HR Information Technology has matured in the past years and is better equipped to support global organizations. These developments have led to the introduction of global HR systems that enable multinational payroll and are updated frequently by suppliers. These updates include support for national legal and fiscal changes in order to guarantee that the system is in compliance with current local standards. In addition, vendors have developed templates and service delivery models to enhance and accelerate the rollout of these HR information systems. Last but not least, technical developments in the area of networking and security have made the physical placement of systems nearly irrelevant: they can be hosted anywhere in the world, provided data privacy legislation allows it. The benefit of these developments is that an international HR Information System can be hosted, implemented and maintained at a central location, where it can be easily audited for compliance and data privacy. We also observe a trend towards OnDemand applications (also known as Saas or Software as a service) for HR, a model where the costs of a system are determined by its usage, and the vendor is responsible for availability, reliability and compliance. This not only leads to a cost reduction for HR IT support, but also enables HR to phase out the fragmented system landscape based on local HR systems. OnDemand makes it easier for companies of any size to implement software and benefit from using the latest developments. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 5
  • 6. To further support compliance, organizations are introducing digital personnel files. The digital personnel file offers a number of benefits compared to the paper version: it is easier to locate documents, it saves office space and it is easy to automate the periodical removal of expired information from the digital files. Legal documents can be coded with a validity date, and elapsed (work) permits and certificates are automatically reported. A digital file is readily available to anyone who is granted permission to view it, including the employee. This increases transparency and makes it easier to timely signal deviations. By moving to an international HR delivery organization, supported by a worldwide HR database, multinational payroll and digital personnel files, organizations not only improve their HR service delivery and ensure compliance, but also have an accurate overview of the workforce at all times. This allows for more reliable decision-making based on relevant data, making it easier than before to anticipate to changes externally and/or internally. T R E N D #2: T AL E N T M AN AG E M E N T : M O VI N G B E Y O N D TH E H Y P E The extent to which a company can respond to external opportunities and 1 threats is more than ever being determined by the talent of its employees ; the knowledge and skills of the workforce and the manner in which the organization is able to turn these assets into value are all determining factors. If talent is managed professionally, and the interests of the employee and the organization are tuned into one another, this will be to the advantage of both parties. The employee will be competent, and the company will offer him or her sufficient opportunity to develop. The talent lifecycle (see illustration) initially focuses on determining the required abilities, then on strategic workforce planning. Workforce planning allows HR to establish a relationship between the company strategy and the abilities of (future) employees: can the strategy be achieved with the current ● 1 To put this volatility into perspective, one has to note that the company profits from the intelligent combination of the knowledge of several individuals. The departure of one employee thus does not lead to the loss, but to the leakage of knowledge. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 6
  • 7. skill sets or does a lack of certain skills pose problems in reaching the goals? All of the data to answer this question are usually available within the company. The question is if it is easy to turn this data into useful information. We observe that companies are increasingly investing in stand-alone talent management systems, without getting the basics of HR data right. Rather than creating islands of talent management functionality in a sea of disconnected, incorrect and erroneous data, companies should invest in a reliable base containing HR information, in order to be able to drive higher ROI when they invest in Talent Management. The ability to base strategic workforce decisions on reliable HR information will leverage the investment in any of the Talent Management processes. In the service economy, knowledge is extremely important: if the company does not have access to the right competencies and skills, the company strategy cannot be executed, and this will affect the future of the enterprise. Knowledge and skills can thus be seen as a part of the ‘company assets’, comparable to a machine or tool. Shortages are typical for specialized and experienced workers, and can coexist with relatively high overall unemployment in the external environment. With the help of workforce planning, HR can predict any excesses and/or shortages of skills and act upon this before it is too late. As knowledge exists in the mind of the employee, company capital has become a lot more volatile than in the past, and the company will have to put more effort into holding on to its employees. The way we look at employees is changing: where organizations were used to think in terms of employee groups, companies are now starting to differentiate based on rare abilities: some employees are simply crucial to the company. HR will have to ensure that this differentiation is emphasized in appraisal and reward schemes, so that crucial employees feel recognized and valued and other employees do not feel ignored. HR also has to support the business by ensuring that adequate knowledge-sharing methods, training and development opportunities are in place, so that a sufficient capacity (in terms of skills) is available. Differentiation is also required to ensure that career plans are carried out. A manager relies on a stable team, and will not be inclined to allow a well- performing employee to move into another part of the company: this would be at the expense of his own results. This is not in the interest of the larger whole, though. For the company, it is better that HR identifies new talent, stimulates their development, and offers these employees challenging opportunities within the company. This is especially true when dealing with members of the new generations: they are used to think in projects, and will switch to a different employer that offers them more challenging work as soon as they view their current work as uninteresting. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 7
  • 8. T R E N D #3: EMPLOYER B R AN D I N G Talent is not only present within the organization, but also exists outside of it. It is HR’s role to identify talent, to develop it, and to incorporate it into the organization. If a company must sustain itself within a tight labor market containing a limited amount of talent, the ability to spot and attract talent is crucial. Principles that are true on the commercial market are equally true on the labor market. Just as you have to convince clients that your product or service is indispensable, you have to convince new employees of your uniqueness, and tie current employees to your company. This is about brand awareness: who you are and what you stand for is important in the eyes of the employees that spend a large portion of their week in your organization. E MPLOYER M ARKETING Achieving brand awareness as an employer is not easy: an elaborate campaign is simply too expensive for most companies. HR must find creative ways to create a coherent image, so that the same image is portrayed both on the inside and on the outside, and the company’s identity is properly reflected. The story being told during campaigns must match the inner workings of the company. Future employees have enough channels available to them to check the validity of a story against the truth. If an innovative digital campaign is set up, making use of social networks, or multimedia tools, the new employee will expect to see this approach reflected within the organization. New generations have been exposed to a wide variety of marketing-techniques, and see straight through them. If the external corporate image does not match the internal view, then it will be considered inconsistent and new employees will leave the company soon after arrival. G ENERATION Y Employer branding is complicated by the fact that for the first time in history four generations, with very different expectations, can be found on the labor market and work together in companies. Whereas baby boomers tend to spend long periods of time with one organization and advanced their career based on knowledge and experience, the younger generations tend to follow a non-linear career path with broad interests. They want to gain as much knowledge and experience as possible, and do not hesitate to change paths repeatedly. Furthermore, the use of channels is different: baby boomers respond to advertisements in the printed media, whereas generation Y is used to working digitally, and makes use of social networks and similar options. They will probably not even see your ads, but are made aware of the job by a friend. As most companies only have a limited budget for promoting themselves on the labor market, HR has to make intelligent decisions. This is only possible if HR has a deep understanding of the people that possess the needed skill sets, and how these future employees can be contacted on the labor market. Differentiation and segmentation can also be a useful tool in this domain: a social network can be a good way to bind a particular group to your organization. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 8
  • 9. T R E N D #4: S O C I AL I N N O V AT I O N D R I V E S SM AR T W O R K I N G The fluctuating labor market, combined with a multitude of technical innovations, forces companies to look at ‘work’ differently. Social innovation is about renewing the labor process, with the goal to increase productivity 2 and participation . Social innovation revolves around working more intelligently and organizing work differently. The days when employees all came to the office to spend their days together are behind us, but only a handful of organizations are actively promoting this change. In the IT-sector it is more common to work in virtual teams, split up an assignment and contribute to it from all over the world, so that this assignment is being worked on 24/7. Even though this is not a viable option for all sectors, the way work is being assigned is becoming more flexible and more project-based. In doing so, a company accesses the knowledge they need at a particular moment. Because the knowledge is with the employee, and the employee can choose, he or she will be less tempted to opt for a traditional manner of work, and is more likely to associate him or herself with the company only for the duration of a project. More often, people will associate themselves with networks, and participate in projects that are offered through these networks. F LEXIBLE TIME AND PLACE The decreasing mobility and ageing of the population put pressure on the availability of talent and ensure that companies must actively pursue alternative solutions (working from home, flexible work-times, policies that take into account the personal situation of the employee) to commit talent to the company. Here, we observe an interesting paradox: on one side, employees demand a better balance between work and private life, and on the other, work and private lives are becoming increasingly intertwined, as people are working from home at times that are most convenient for them. As employees collaborate remotely with each other, from different parts of the world, the usability and reliability of tools and infrastructure becomes very important. Employees are increasingly ready to perform all their transactions via the web. Great adoption however requires a great user interface, and minimal hurdles or clicks to perform HR transactions. Getting a spotless user interface into place is a key requirement, especially with users that are getting used to RIA (rich internet applications), Google-simplicity, and iPhone-like interfaces. Social innovation also leads towards a flexible attitude in work relationships: we observe an increase in flexible contracts, temporary contracts, mother/father contracts and flexible payment and benefits. More experienced employees are switching to freelance work, or are working on assignments towards a final result, where employees can determine themselves (within reason) the time and place of work, as long as results are produced at a certain time. Organizations are also introducing employment contracts of fixed length (e.g. three years), where the employability of the worker is evaluated very closely before an extension of the contract is offered. ● 2 According to the definition of the AWVN (Algemene Werkgeversvereniging Nederland – Association of Dutch Employer). Wikipedia states that, although the term social innovation is more common, the concept of innovative organization covers the topic better. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 9
  • 10. R ESPONSIBILITY OF HR Social innovation demands a change in the way both management and the employee work, and emphasizes the need for a new form of coaching of (both permanent and flexible) employees during the process of working towards an end result, instead of daily guidance. HR has to take a leading role in organizing this change and establishing this new way of working. For example, how do you evaluate employees if they are working towards a result? And how must compensation schedules be adjusted to support this change? HR has the responsibility of equipping managers with the answers to questions such as these. This is, after all, a new way of working for managers, too. More than before, HR must be aligned with the strategy of the company, and turn these choices into viable policies. HR will have to initiate the discussion on how this changes relationships within the company, and how this affects contractual terms and conditions. Which skill sets are only employed on a project base? What is an acceptable ratio between flexible and fixed contracts for the company? To what extent can one individualize the contractual conditions? To avoid conflicts, HR must develop clear statements when determining who belongs to the core of the organization, who belongs to the network, and who does not. It is the responsibility of HR to not implement social innovation as a solution to a problem, but as a new way of working, where both the employee and the employer can be challenged to innovate as part of a mature working relationship in an attempt to increase productivity. T R E N D #5: DEVELOPING TH E O R G AN I Z ATI O N AN D L E AD E R S H I P O F TO M O R R O W The borders of the traditional company are fading: depending on the contract, another company can be either a competitor or a partner, or sometimes even both at the same time. The result of this is that companies work together in various combinations: sometimes assignments are fulfilled in-house, and sometimes an assignment is carried out by a team consisting of various partners and/or other external parties. To further develop an enterprise, it is essential to create a network. This is above all a business responsibility. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 10
  • 11. L EADERSHIP If the borders of the company are becoming less strict, there is a strong need for leaders with a vision, who can tie employees to the company by keeping them aligned to a common goal. The role of HR in this is clear: they must ensure that there are sufficient leaders, and that leadership is enabled to take charge of the changes. Leading a virtual team spread out over several time- zones and cultures in a complex network-environment is completely different from managing an office in one location or within a national context. New business leaders must be ready to act in complex, rapidly changing environments. Research shows that most companies have not instituted a succession process that covers critical roles, and many still lack formal executive succession planning. Due to the imminent retirement of baby boomers, companies may suddenly realize that their current management teams will no longer be available. This poses a direct threat to the future of a company, and puts a lot of pressure on HR to identify the leaders of tomorrow, and to fill this gap with strategies for succession planning and leadership development. Not only are the borders with the external world fading: the internal side of the business is also undergoing great changes. Due to the financial crisis many companies are involved in major restructuring and cost cutting operations. Because of the influence of private equity and sourcing strategies, mergers and acquisitions are more common these days, leading to a constant need for both integration and separation of business units. Changes in the company force HR to ensure that employees are treated well during any takeovers or separations. Changes not only have to be implemented, but must be incorporated into the behavior of the employees. Stubbornly doing things as before leads to a company becoming stuck in a rut, and does not bring the desired agility and flexibility. The ability of HR to show leadership during company changes is therefore becoming a crucial asset. If HR has introduced changes within its own department and has shown leadership in adapting to them, this can significantly contribute to how they support changes related to the business environment. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 11
  • 12. T R E N D #6: AD D RESSI NG TH E G L O B AL S O U R C I N G C H AL L E N G E The extent, in which HR is accepted by the business as strategic partner, is based on the credibility of the HR department. If HR operates as a business partner, it must ensure that the HR department is run in a professional manner. Too often the operational tasks of the HR department influence their capability to operate on a strategic and tactical level. HR must keep its tasks under control, and ensure that the department is organized for maximum efficiency and effectiveness. The collective opinion that HR is handling its budget in a business-like manner can significantly contribute to the acceptance of HR as a strategic and tactical partner. The execution of a sourcing strategy means that every HR service (or HR process) is evaluated based on certain criteria, amongst which the highest quality, the best execution, the lowest costs and the most added value. The HR service is then executed by an internal (or external) provider that offers the best value for money. The range of services and suppliers that results is called the sourcing mix – also referred to as ‘selective sourcing’. Mix is the key word here: it is a misunderstanding that outsourcing is the only option. It is important to determine which services HR wants to provide, and who best provides these services. The rapidly changing economic conditions encourage the creation of new, flexible HR service delivery models. We expect companies to be looking increasingly at piecemeal outsourcing: rather than selecting a single service delivery model across all HR processes, companies will be combining different delivery options. One can easily imagine a company combine comprehensive outsourcing (BPO) for HR admin, a standardized managed service for payroll, OnDemand delivery for talent management, and custom RPO assignments to deal with sudden local hiring needs. On this point, we expect the rise of OnDemand models in 2009, as they will bridge the gap between BPO and in-house software solutions, balancing control over process with cost control (Opex versus Capex). S OURCING STRATEGIES HR Outsourcing of administrative and transactional processes is becoming a common phenomenon for many companies. HR nowadays is more inclined to accept the expertise of the outsourcing provider and implement best practice standards. The traditional “lift and shift” approach is rapidly becoming a thing of the past, as experience has shown that better results both in efficiency and quality can be reached by radically adhering to the new standards offered by the vendor. Despite the current recession, research show that outsourcing vendors are selected based on their expertise, reputation and reliability, and that the cost factor is of lower priority. 3 In NorthgateArinso surveys performed 2005-2007 , we concluded that 80% of respondents use external parties for HR services. External expertise is contracted in matters such as policy development, training, recruitment & selection and career advice: exactly the services that HR professionals want to spend more time on in their new, more strategic roles. As HR is now hiring external experts to carry out these tasks, the question arises if this is due to a lack of time, or due to a lack of expertise. In most countries, the number of ● 3 ‘HR in beweging, wat beweegt HR?’ ARINSO/Reed Business 2005, 2006,2007 (Survey: HR on the move, what moves HR? - surveys performed in 2005, 2006, 2007 by NorthgateArinso in the Netherlands) 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 12
  • 13. small companies that specialize in offering value added HR services is still growing. The success of outsourcing depends largely on good contract management. In our research we found that only 16% of contracts are governed by an SLA. This creates a problem, as without an SLA, HR cannot adequately evaluate the service the vendor offers. This means that it is difficult to assess the quality and the execution of the HR service. It also entails that HR does not have enough insight into the service, and cannot adapt it to the growth or downsizing of the company. Good contract management ensures that HR understands what the outsourcing partner delivers, but equally important, that the vendor understands how the company is changing, and how the services should be adapted to these changes. Knowledge acquired like this can then be applied by the HR department within the company to benefit sourcing strategies in other departments. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 13
  • 14. T R E N D #7: K E Y P E R F O R M AN C E I N D I C ATO R S : M AN AG I N G HR M E AN S M E AS U R I N G HR If (turbulent) developments in the external environment lead to the need for change within the company, this must be based on reliable data and analyses. This is to avoid that organization continually reacts to changes at the expense of its chosen direction incorporated in the mission and vision. For HR this means having detailed (quantitative and qualitative) information on workforce performance, leading to the ability to create business scenarios based on a thorough analysis of all the available factors. As mentioned previously, over the past few years many HR organizations have taken the time to implement backend systems (often to comply with legal obligations) including dashboards and warehouse solutions. As these systems save data in a non-ambiguous manner, they can offer a valuable insight into the performance and the make-up of the workforce. Business’ demand for key performance indicators is being continually better addressed by HR. A NALYSIS The next step is processing this data in the context of business scenarios and analyzing the consequences. Beyond this level, the company needs to analyze more complex data to determine its productivity: utilization, contribution, turnover and profit. HR must step up to meet the company’s demand for adequate analysis of key performance indicators. This analysis is crucial to the success of the company strategy and to the achievement of HR’s role as strategic partner. An example: Last year a client was planning to build a new factory on the other side of the country. They hoped to circumvent the problems posed by the tight labor market and wanted to be located close to certain large clients. The negotiations with the municipality were at an advanced stage, and the selection of a project developer had been initiated. In the meantime, HR took the initiative of conducting a labor market analysis, from which could be concluded that, due to an ageing population, this region would not have enough qualified employees (with the required skill sets and certifications) within five years. Furthermore, moving employees to the region was not an option because of the cost associated with relocation policies. Most likely the new factory would only be able to work at half capacity. This conclusion led to the whole project being cancelled, and an expensive mistake was avoided. When dealing with key performance indicators, it is important to reflect on the inclusion of data resulting from best-of-breed system landscapes. In order for management information to be reliable, clear definitions are needed. This is increasingly difficult when aggregating information from various systems, due to the fundamental differences in the way data is entered, processed and stored. If data can not be shared, and does not contain exactly the same information, it can not be consolidated. HR must keep this aspect in mind when developing the HR system landscape and any potential extensions. 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 14
  • 15. CONCLUSION In the previous paragraphs we have tried to explain what external factors we observe in the market, and how these translate to HR trends. How can this help you as an HR professional? It is most certainly not our intention for the reader to apply the described HR trends systematically to their own company and services over the course of the coming year. Chances are that this will not take the current situation of your own company into consideration, thus completely foregoing the goal of managing HR in a strategic manner. A thorough analysis, based on the opportunities and threats in the external environment, and comparing these to the strengths and weaknesses of the internal environment of the company will give better insight into which goals HR has to adopt to advance the business. In our experience, methods from 4 marketing , like a SWOT analysis, can be easily adapted for use within HR, and lead to good results. The most valuable advice that we can offer to HR when determining the strategy: if we assume that most knowledge-intensive companies consider their workforce as assets, then it is essential that HR starts pro-actively providing the company management with reliable information and adequate analysis and predictions about this asset to support the company strategy. They must supply accessible information about the population, future expectations with respect to talent and skills, productivity and availability. We have noticed that the average company has no idea of the impact a lack of talent combined with a retiring population will have on their strategy. HR must, just like business managers, be able to translate external trends to future scenarios and determine the consequences for the company workforce (“what if”). HR can thus instigate the discussion about the potential and the effectiveness of human capital, and can take responsibility. This strategic contribution to the achievement of company goals is the only way in which to become a serious and respected sounding board for management. ● 4 See for example ‘Succesvolle marketingplannen’ by S. Santema et al., 1999 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 15
  • 16. NorthgateArinso is a leading global Human Resources software & services provider offering innovative HR business solutions to employers of all sizes, including Global Fortune 500 companies and many Public Sector organizations. They help HR executives optimize their HR service delivery through smarter process and more efficient technology, supporting key HR areas like workforce administration, payroll, benefits, recruitment, learning, and talent management. www.northgatearinso.com 7 key trends influencing HR in 2009 and beyond www.northgatearinso.com | page 16