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Salim Ismail
Singularity University Global Ambassador &
Founding Executive Director

@salimismail
www.salimismail.com
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               4
The History of Technology
Technological Improvements



Extraordinary Century of Progress
• Human life-expectancy more than doubled
• Infant mortality reduced by 90%
• Maternal mortality reduced by 99%
• Cost of electricity reduced by 20-fold
• Cost of transportation reduced 100-fold
• Telecom, information reduced by 1000-fold
Technological Improvements



Effect of technology on our lives…
                                    1900                   2000
Transport Boston à    Chicago 1 months wage            ½ day’s wage

A 3 min phone call (NY - LA)     19 hours of work       <1 min work

A kilowatt-hour of electricity   1 hour wage            <1 min work

5,000 lumen-hours (light)        1 hour wage            <1 seconds
Stress & Opportunity
Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
Founders


Singularity University was founded
in Sept 2008 by Drs. Ray Kurzweil
& Peter Diamandis
September 2008 Founding Conference




SU Founding Meeting @ NASA Ames - Sept 2008; 50 leaders from the Bay Area
Larry Page – Go Big



                                          Observation - many of our grand
                                          challenges are rooted in
                                          accelerating factors




“Are you working on something that can change the world? Yes or no? The
answer for 99.99999% of people in the world is ‘no.’ I think we need to be
training people on how to change the world. Obviously technologies are the
way to do that. That’s what we’ve seen in the past, that’s what driven all the
change.”
      - Larry Page, Google Co-Founder at SU founding conference
Mission




Our mission is to assemble, educate
and inspire a new generation of
leaders who strive to understand
and facilitate the development of
exponentially advancing
technologies to address humanity’s    Disruptive
                                      Stress/
                                      Opportunity
grand challenges
Educational Programs



                         Graduate Studies Program
                                     10 Weeks

         •1x per year, 80 Rising Leaders, Focus on Team Projects

Executive Programs •Multiplex per year, 60-80 Participants
        7 Days            •For established Business, policy leaders, entrepreneurs



  FutureMed           •1x per year, 60-80 Participants
     5 Days           •Focus on Future of Medicine and Biotech


Future Security       •1x per year, 60-80 Participants
    3-5 Days          •Focus on Future of Info and Personal Security


 Custom          •Multiplex per year, XXX Participants
Programs         •Tailored for specific organization (corporate, government, etc.)
  1 -3 Days
Graduate Studies Program




  Singularity University
Graduate Studies Program
    NASA Research Park
GSP Academic Tracks


Technology Tracks                        Application Tracks
• Artificial Intelligence & Robotics      • Energy &
• Nanotechnology & Digital Fabrication     Environmental Systems
• Networks & Computing Systems           • Space & Physical
                                           Sciences
• Biotechnology & Bioinformatics
• Medicine & Neuroscience

Resource/Mgmt Tracks
• Futures Studies & Forecasting
• Policy, Law & Ethics
• Design
• Finance & Economics
• Entrepreneurship
Examples of Advisory Faculty & Speakers
                                                                                   Other Notable:
                                                                                   •Sebastian Thrun, Stanford AI, GoogleX;
                                                                                   Founder – Udacity
                                                                                   •Saul Griffith, PhD, Eyeglasses, Squid Labs,
                                                                                   Instructables.com, Makani Power
                                                                                   •Dan Kammen, PhD – Lead Author, 2007
                                                                                   Nobel Peace Prize-winning IPCC report;
                                                                                   Faculty, UC Berkeley
                                                                                   •Bob Metcalfe, PhD, Founder, 3Com; co-
                                                                                   inventor of Ethernet
                                                                                   •Chris DiBona, Open Source Program
Vint Cerf             Will Wright           George Smoot, PhD   Dean Kamen         Manager, Google Inc.
Chief Internet        Creator – SimCity,    UC Berkeley; 2006   Inventor,          •Larry Smarr, PhD, California Inst. for
Evangelist, Google    Spore; Founder,       Nobel Prize in      Founder DEKA       Telecom & IT
                      Maxis (EA)            Physics                                •Chris deCharms, PhD, Founder Omneruon
                                                                                   •Tim Ferriss, Author- 4-hour Workweek




Sonia Arrison         Aubrey de Grey, PhD   Tina Seelig         Justin Rattner    Yvonne Cagel, M.D.     Craig Venter
Senior Fellow, Pacific Chairman & CSO,       Exec Dir Stanford   CTO, Intel Labs   Astronaut, Colonel-    Founder, CEO
Research Institute    SENS Foundation       Tech Ventures                         USAF                   Synthetic Genomics
Track Chairs




Dan Barry, MD           Neil Jacobstein      Daniel Kraft, MD     Ralph Merkle, PhD     Brad Templeton       Raymond McCauley
(Space; AI, Robotics)   (AI, Robotics)       (Medicine)           (Nanotechnology)      (Computer &          (Biotechnology)
NASA astronaut;         AI CEO, Visiting     Stem cell Biology,   Inst. for Molecular   Networks)            CSO-Genomera;
Head of Faculty         Scholar Stanford     Stanford             Manufacturing         Chairman EFF         Founder -BioCurious




 Andrew Hessel          Robert Freitas       Marc Goodman          David S. Rose        Gregg Maryniak       Jonathan Knowles
 (Biotechnology)        (Nanotechnology)     (Policy Law &         (Finance)            (Energy)             (Design)
 Co-Founder Pink        Inst for Molecular   Ethics)               CEO Gust, Chair NY   Founding Exec. Dir   Senior Advisor
 Army Cooperative       Manufacturing        Futurist for FBI      Angels               XPrize Found.        Autodesk; Apple
Who are the students?




                                       GSP Admissions Criteria:
                                       • Extraordinary Brilliance
                                       • Proven entrepreneurs with

     GSP’11 Class Photo
                                       proven successes
                                       • Proven interest in the
                                       world’s “grand challenges”
                                       • Graduate/post-Grad level
                                       • Average age: 30

GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
Student Selection Criteria


Three primary Selection Criteria for students:
Top in their field                         Demonstrated              Passionate about
  academically                        Entrepreneurs/Leaders         Grand Challenges

        GSP Applicants

                                      4100




                            2600


                  1600
        1200




     2009      2010      2011      2012             GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
Innovation Engine



10 Week Program phases:
Team Projects 109+




Environment
Innovation Engine



10 Week Program phases:
ACASA - Technology


•   Build a 2-bedroom house in 1 ½ days
    with 30w of power using local materials

•   It is projected to cost less than half of
    conventional masonry.

•   The approach is already building 8’ walls

•   Proof of concept exists, the next step is
    to commercialize it
SU EPO11 Participant Feedback
Grand Challenge




1.4 billion in extreme poverty
1 billion with no access to all-season roads
SU EPO11 Participant Feedback
SU EPO11 Participant Feedback
Solution




The Matternet:
- autonomous, electric, flying vehicles
- automated ground stations
- AI-driven logistics software
• Peer-to-peer car sharing marketplace

                              • Average car costs $8,200/year and sits idle 92%
                                of the time

                              • Car sharing projected to be $6.5B industry by
                                2016 (Frost & Sullivan)

                              • Patent-pending in-car technology

                              • Seamless smartphone-driven user experience

                              • Comprehensive nationwide insurance


                                  GETAROUND WINS

                                  2011 TECHCRUNCH

                                  DISRUPT CUP
Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
Results


2009 - 4 startups from the Team Projects

2010 – 10 startups
2011 – 11 startups
2010 Team Project Themes:

• Food for Cities – Opportunities in Controlled Environment
  Agriculture and Vertical Farming

• Home Energy Usage – Off-the-Grid, Stand-alone, Carbon-Neutral,
  Residential Energy System

• Upcycle – Waste Reduction and Reprocessing Waste Into Useful
  Products

• Water – Sustainable Water Assets: Holistic Alternatives to Capital-
  intensive Infrastructures
• Space – To Boldly Stay: Extending Humanity into the Solar System
Larry Page – Google




                 “If I were a student, this
                  is where I’d want to be”
                 - Larry Page
                                              24
                                              24
Curriculum Planning Meetings
Graduate Studies Program




Singularity University
 Executive Program
  NASA Research Park
Executive Program Overview


Executive Program Participants: Entrepreneurs, CEOs, CTOs, investors, inventors,
government leaders, and policy experts from around the world
Executive Program Overview



The program concentrates on six exponential growing
technologies:
1. Artificial Intelligence & Robotics     Discussions
2. Nanotechnology                        Exercises
3. Biotechnology & Bioinformatics        Workshops
4. Medicine & Neuroscience               Site Visits
5. Networks & Computing Systems          Industry Implications
6. Energy & Environmental Systems

The EP provides an understanding of how these accelerating technologies
will transform your business and your industry by showing you what is in the
lab today and where the technologies will be within the next 3 to 10 years.
Classroom
Next EP – APril 11-18, 2012
Seeding the Future



1. Students return home with expanded minds/
   networks
2. Executives apply this paradigm to their
   industries
Key Takeaways

Exponential Technological Change
Abundance
Disruptive Convergence
Look forward not back
Think big - 109+ Impact
Entrepreneurial and Collaborative
Zero to SU in Two Years


Speaking to Secretary Hillary Clinton & 70 govt heads




Private mtg with President >
Shimon Peres of Israel
SU EPO11 Participant Feedback




EXPO2015 - “Feeding the Planet”

June 20, 2011 - SU & Expo2015 announce multi-year partnership
Milano
Discussion / Q&A
Sorting Applications




Color coding & sticky dots.... !!
Change the World



Piloted student contest with Brazilian Univ

– “Conceive and implement an idea to impact 1
  million people around Sao Paulo”
Change the World


Extraordinary results:
• Time: two months
• Projects created: 230
• Potential impact: PRICELESS




                          Fabio Teixeira - Winner
SU Impact Contests


“To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to impact a billion people, come up
   with an idea that would impact a million people in your area.. and start implementing
   it”


    • 2011 – 12 students/500 projects
    (Brazil, Israel, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Guatemala, Spain, U.S.)
    • 2012 - 23 students/17 countries/1000 projects
SU Global Impact Competition


“To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to
   impact a billion people, come up with an idea that
   would impact one million people within five years...
   and start implementing it”.


• Winner – receives full scholarship to
  attend SU ~ $30k
• All winners also get $10k of software
  from Autodesk

 • Looking for additional award funding:
        • 2nd Place - $15k to implement project
        • 3rd Place - $10k to implement project
Expo 2015
Where will Exponential
           Technology
Create the next $100B+ industry?
                                                  Nanotech
                                       AI / Robotics +
                        Biotech + Networks
                    Internet, Social Media,
         Computers, Mobile phones
   1990	

 	

   2000	

 	

   2010	

 	

   2020	

 	

   2030	

 	

   2040
Recent News…
Structural Issues in the U.S
 Democracy? Really?
 Political polarization & regulatory failure
 Long term planning? Where?

 Infrastructure
 - energy
 - health
 - education
 - finance
 - physical
                                               51
Human development over 150,000
            years




                    Exponential &
 Local & Linear
                       Global
Salim Ismail - Introduction to Exponentials

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Salim Ismail - Introduction to Exponentials

  • 1.
  • 2. Salim Ismail Singularity University Global Ambassador & Founding Executive Director @salimismail www.salimismail.com
  • 5. The History of Technology
  • 6. Technological Improvements Extraordinary Century of Progress • Human life-expectancy more than doubled • Infant mortality reduced by 90% • Maternal mortality reduced by 99% • Cost of electricity reduced by 20-fold • Cost of transportation reduced 100-fold • Telecom, information reduced by 1000-fold
  • 7. Technological Improvements Effect of technology on our lives… 1900 2000 Transport Boston à Chicago 1 months wage ½ day’s wage A 3 min phone call (NY - LA) 19 hours of work <1 min work A kilowatt-hour of electricity 1 hour wage <1 min work 5,000 lumen-hours (light) 1 hour wage <1 seconds
  • 9. Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
  • 10. Founders Singularity University was founded in Sept 2008 by Drs. Ray Kurzweil & Peter Diamandis
  • 11. September 2008 Founding Conference SU Founding Meeting @ NASA Ames - Sept 2008; 50 leaders from the Bay Area
  • 12. Larry Page – Go Big Observation - many of our grand challenges are rooted in accelerating factors “Are you working on something that can change the world? Yes or no? The answer for 99.99999% of people in the world is ‘no.’ I think we need to be training people on how to change the world. Obviously technologies are the way to do that. That’s what we’ve seen in the past, that’s what driven all the change.” - Larry Page, Google Co-Founder at SU founding conference
  • 13. Mission Our mission is to assemble, educate and inspire a new generation of leaders who strive to understand and facilitate the development of exponentially advancing technologies to address humanity’s Disruptive Stress/ Opportunity grand challenges
  • 14. Educational Programs Graduate Studies Program 10 Weeks •1x per year, 80 Rising Leaders, Focus on Team Projects Executive Programs •Multiplex per year, 60-80 Participants 7 Days •For established Business, policy leaders, entrepreneurs FutureMed •1x per year, 60-80 Participants 5 Days •Focus on Future of Medicine and Biotech Future Security •1x per year, 60-80 Participants 3-5 Days •Focus on Future of Info and Personal Security Custom •Multiplex per year, XXX Participants Programs •Tailored for specific organization (corporate, government, etc.) 1 -3 Days
  • 15. Graduate Studies Program Singularity University Graduate Studies Program NASA Research Park
  • 16. GSP Academic Tracks Technology Tracks Application Tracks • Artificial Intelligence & Robotics • Energy & • Nanotechnology & Digital Fabrication Environmental Systems • Networks & Computing Systems • Space & Physical Sciences • Biotechnology & Bioinformatics • Medicine & Neuroscience Resource/Mgmt Tracks • Futures Studies & Forecasting • Policy, Law & Ethics • Design • Finance & Economics • Entrepreneurship
  • 17. Examples of Advisory Faculty & Speakers Other Notable: •Sebastian Thrun, Stanford AI, GoogleX; Founder – Udacity •Saul Griffith, PhD, Eyeglasses, Squid Labs, Instructables.com, Makani Power •Dan Kammen, PhD – Lead Author, 2007 Nobel Peace Prize-winning IPCC report; Faculty, UC Berkeley •Bob Metcalfe, PhD, Founder, 3Com; co- inventor of Ethernet •Chris DiBona, Open Source Program Vint Cerf Will Wright George Smoot, PhD Dean Kamen Manager, Google Inc. Chief Internet Creator – SimCity, UC Berkeley; 2006 Inventor, •Larry Smarr, PhD, California Inst. for Evangelist, Google Spore; Founder, Nobel Prize in Founder DEKA Telecom & IT Maxis (EA) Physics •Chris deCharms, PhD, Founder Omneruon •Tim Ferriss, Author- 4-hour Workweek Sonia Arrison Aubrey de Grey, PhD Tina Seelig Justin Rattner Yvonne Cagel, M.D. Craig Venter Senior Fellow, Pacific Chairman & CSO, Exec Dir Stanford CTO, Intel Labs Astronaut, Colonel- Founder, CEO Research Institute SENS Foundation Tech Ventures USAF Synthetic Genomics
  • 18. Track Chairs Dan Barry, MD Neil Jacobstein Daniel Kraft, MD Ralph Merkle, PhD Brad Templeton Raymond McCauley (Space; AI, Robotics) (AI, Robotics) (Medicine) (Nanotechnology) (Computer & (Biotechnology) NASA astronaut; AI CEO, Visiting Stem cell Biology, Inst. for Molecular Networks) CSO-Genomera; Head of Faculty Scholar Stanford Stanford Manufacturing Chairman EFF Founder -BioCurious Andrew Hessel Robert Freitas Marc Goodman David S. Rose Gregg Maryniak Jonathan Knowles (Biotechnology) (Nanotechnology) (Policy Law & (Finance) (Energy) (Design) Co-Founder Pink Inst for Molecular Ethics) CEO Gust, Chair NY Founding Exec. Dir Senior Advisor Army Cooperative Manufacturing Futurist for FBI Angels XPrize Found. Autodesk; Apple
  • 19. Who are the students? GSP Admissions Criteria: • Extraordinary Brilliance • Proven entrepreneurs with GSP’11 Class Photo proven successes • Proven interest in the world’s “grand challenges” • Graduate/post-Grad level • Average age: 30 GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
  • 20. Student Selection Criteria Three primary Selection Criteria for students: Top in their field Demonstrated Passionate about academically Entrepreneurs/Leaders Grand Challenges GSP Applicants 4100 2600 1600 1200 2009 2010 2011 2012 GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
  • 21. Innovation Engine 10 Week Program phases:
  • 23. Innovation Engine 10 Week Program phases:
  • 24. ACASA - Technology • Build a 2-bedroom house in 1 ½ days with 30w of power using local materials • It is projected to cost less than half of conventional masonry. • The approach is already building 8’ walls • Proof of concept exists, the next step is to commercialize it
  • 25. SU EPO11 Participant Feedback Grand Challenge 1.4 billion in extreme poverty 1 billion with no access to all-season roads
  • 27. SU EPO11 Participant Feedback Solution The Matternet: - autonomous, electric, flying vehicles - automated ground stations - AI-driven logistics software
  • 28. • Peer-to-peer car sharing marketplace • Average car costs $8,200/year and sits idle 92% of the time • Car sharing projected to be $6.5B industry by 2016 (Frost & Sullivan) • Patent-pending in-car technology • Seamless smartphone-driven user experience • Comprehensive nationwide insurance GETAROUND WINS 2011 TECHCRUNCH DISRUPT CUP Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
  • 29. Results 2009 - 4 startups from the Team Projects 2010 – 10 startups 2011 – 11 startups 2010 Team Project Themes: • Food for Cities – Opportunities in Controlled Environment Agriculture and Vertical Farming • Home Energy Usage – Off-the-Grid, Stand-alone, Carbon-Neutral, Residential Energy System • Upcycle – Waste Reduction and Reprocessing Waste Into Useful Products • Water – Sustainable Water Assets: Holistic Alternatives to Capital- intensive Infrastructures • Space – To Boldly Stay: Extending Humanity into the Solar System
  • 30. Larry Page – Google “If I were a student, this is where I’d want to be” - Larry Page 24 24
  • 32. Graduate Studies Program Singularity University Executive Program NASA Research Park
  • 33. Executive Program Overview Executive Program Participants: Entrepreneurs, CEOs, CTOs, investors, inventors, government leaders, and policy experts from around the world
  • 34. Executive Program Overview The program concentrates on six exponential growing technologies: 1. Artificial Intelligence & Robotics Discussions 2. Nanotechnology Exercises 3. Biotechnology & Bioinformatics Workshops 4. Medicine & Neuroscience Site Visits 5. Networks & Computing Systems Industry Implications 6. Energy & Environmental Systems The EP provides an understanding of how these accelerating technologies will transform your business and your industry by showing you what is in the lab today and where the technologies will be within the next 3 to 10 years.
  • 36. Next EP – APril 11-18, 2012
  • 37. Seeding the Future 1. Students return home with expanded minds/ networks 2. Executives apply this paradigm to their industries
  • 38. Key Takeaways Exponential Technological Change Abundance Disruptive Convergence Look forward not back Think big - 109+ Impact Entrepreneurial and Collaborative
  • 39. Zero to SU in Two Years Speaking to Secretary Hillary Clinton & 70 govt heads Private mtg with President > Shimon Peres of Israel
  • 40. SU EPO11 Participant Feedback EXPO2015 - “Feeding the Planet” June 20, 2011 - SU & Expo2015 announce multi-year partnership
  • 43. Sorting Applications Color coding & sticky dots.... !!
  • 44. Change the World Piloted student contest with Brazilian Univ – “Conceive and implement an idea to impact 1 million people around Sao Paulo”
  • 45. Change the World Extraordinary results: • Time: two months • Projects created: 230 • Potential impact: PRICELESS Fabio Teixeira - Winner
  • 46. SU Impact Contests “To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to impact a billion people, come up with an idea that would impact a million people in your area.. and start implementing it” • 2011 – 12 students/500 projects (Brazil, Israel, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Guatemala, Spain, U.S.) • 2012 - 23 students/17 countries/1000 projects
  • 47. SU Global Impact Competition “To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to impact a billion people, come up with an idea that would impact one million people within five years... and start implementing it”. • Winner – receives full scholarship to attend SU ~ $30k • All winners also get $10k of software from Autodesk • Looking for additional award funding: • 2nd Place - $15k to implement project • 3rd Place - $10k to implement project
  • 49. Where will Exponential Technology Create the next $100B+ industry? Nanotech AI / Robotics + Biotech + Networks Internet, Social Media, Computers, Mobile phones 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
  • 51. Structural Issues in the U.S Democracy? Really? Political polarization & regulatory failure Long term planning? Where? Infrastructure - energy - health - education - finance - physical 51
  • 52. Human development over 150,000 years Exponential & Local & Linear Global