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Simon
Wardley
DANGER!
Will Robinson
 DANGER!
Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
Pain
Pain




       No. Slides
35 slides
Pain




                    Severe
                    risk of
                     harm

       OK
                              No. Slides
227 slides
Pain




            Severe
            risk of
             harm

       OK
                      No. Slides
http://flickr.com/photos/jonnygoldstein/
Cloud Computing
Cloud Computing




            What is
      “Cloud computing” ?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/fimbrethil/
It’s like
  computers on
the internet, innit.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/radioflyer007/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/radioflyer007/
                                    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/51/Metropolis.jpg
It’s a disruptive
     shift of the
 computing stack
to online services.
It’s like
  computers on
the internet, innit.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/radioflyer007/
Image from Oliver Twist,
It’s like SaaS or software as a service, and
  infrastructure provision and PaaS, that’s
       platform as a Service and utility
computing being provided in public clouds,
    which is different from private clouds
  which aren’t cloud computing, unless of
 course you’re talking about hybrid clouds
which sort of are and it’s hype and lock-in
       and did I mention infrastructure?
Cloud Computing




            Not a thing ...
Cloud Computing




 “Cloud computing” is a consequence of
 economic and technological conditions that
 have combined to cause a disruptive change
 in I.T. towards a service based economy.
Why I.T. is changing.
Why I.T. is changing.

 Benefits & Risks.
Why I.T. is changing.

   Benefits & Risks.

Canonical and the Cloud.
Why I.T. is changing.
Why I.T. is changing




                         http://www.strassmann.com/




       Paul Strassmann
Why I.T. is changing




   Not all IT is the same.
Why I.T. is changing




      Not all IT has value.
Why I.T. is changing




    Yesterday’s
     hot stuff
Why I.T. is changing




    Yesterday’s         Today’s
     hot stuff         boredom
http://www.flickr.com/photos/privatenobby
http://www.flickr.com/photos/billege
http://www.flickr.com/photos/billege/
Why I.T. is changing




       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                       Bespoke
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                       Bespoke   Products
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing



    Commoditisation




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing



    Commoditisation




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation




Competitive Advantage
Why I.T. is changing



    Commoditisation




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation




             Cost of doing business
Why I.T. is changing




        1832

       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




        1832

                       Bespoke
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                                 1837

        1832

                       Bespoke   Products
       Innovation
Image from Oliver Twist
Image from Chicago Historical Society
Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/51/Metropolis.jpg
Why I.T. is changing



                                             1890
                                 1837

        1832
                                              Utility
                       Bespoke   Products
       Innovation                             Grids
                                            (Services)
Why I.T. is changing




          Harvey Hubbell
           (1857-1927)
Why I.T. is changing



                                             1930
                                 1837

        1832
                                             National
                       Bespoke   Products
       Innovation                              Grid
                                            (Services)
Why I.T. is changing




                          As IT becomes ubiquitous
                           it has no strategic value




          Nicholas Carr
Why I.T. is changing




   Not all IT is the same.
Why I.T. is changing




                             As IT [activities]
                          becomes ubiquitous it has
                              no strategic value



          Nicholas Carr
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low               High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low               High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                            TV’s, Phone,VCRs
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                     High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low               High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity




                          INNOVATION
                 Novel




                          Low                      High
                                       Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                                   COMMODITY
      Ubiquity




                          INNOVATION
                 Novel




                          Low                             High
                                       Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity




                                Innovation
                                 of CRM.
                 Novel




                          Low                            High
                                             Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity




                                     Mid '80s DB
                                     marketing.
                 Novel




                          Low                      High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                CRM products
                                        90’s
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                         High
                                          Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common


                                        “Cloud Providers”
                                               like
                                            Salesforce
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                        High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common

                                                  Expense           Payroll
                                                 Procedure   Accounts
                                                              Payable
                                        Company
                                        Web site
      Ubiquity




                                                      Wiki
                                Social Network
                                   Analysis
                 Novel




                          Low                                            High
                                                 Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common

                                                  Expense           Payroll
                                                 Procedure   Accounts
                                                              Payable
                                        Company
                                        Web site
      Ubiquity




                                                      Wiki
                                Social Network
                                   Analysis
                 Novel




                          Low                                            High
                                                 Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low               High
                                Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                           Features
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                     High
                                      Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                Widespread
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                        High
                                         Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                Widespread
      Ubiquity




                                                      Feature
                                                     Complete
                 Novel




                          Low                                   High
                                         Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                Widespread
      Ubiquity




                                                      Feature
                                                     Complete
                 Novel




                          Low                                   High
                                         Certainty
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common


                                “as a Service”
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                                High
                                                 Certainty
Why I.T. is changing




                           Utility
                         Computing

         John McCarthy
Why I.T. is changing




                       Bespoke    Products   Services
       Innovation




                       highly disruptive
Why I.T. is changing




                                       The fundamental impulse that sets
                                       and keeps the capitalist engine in
                                       motion comes from the new
                                       consumers, goods, the new methods
                                       of production or transportation, the
                                       new markets, the new forms of
                                       industrial organization that capitalist
                                       enterprise creates.


 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
Why I.T. is changing




                                       The fundamental impulse that sets
                                       and keeps the capitalist engine in
                                       motion comes from the new
                                       consumers, goods, the new methods
                                       of production or transportation, the
                                       new markets, the new forms of
                                       industrial organization that capitalist
                                       enterprise creates.


 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
Why I.T. is changing




                                        Creative
                                       Destruction

 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
Why I.T. is changing



    Commoditisation




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation
Why I.T. is changing




                                             Power



                                            Internet
                       Bespoke   Products
       Innovation



                                            Hardware
Why I.T. is changing




                                             Power



                                            Internet
                       Bespoke   Products
         Google



                                            Hardware
Why I.T. is changing




                       Operating System


                          Hypervisor


              CPU          Memory         I/O
Why I.T. is changing




             Database     Framework        Messaging


                        Operating System


                           Hypervisor


              CPU           Memory            I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database          Framework      Messaging


                           Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database          Framework      Messaging


                           Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database          Framework      Messaging


                           Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database          Framework      Messaging


                           Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database          Framework      Messaging


10,000 x                   Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                                      Componentisation



     Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
Why I.T. is changing




                                      The rate of evolution of a
                                      system is directly related
                                      to the organisation of its
                                      subsystems


     Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
Why I.T. is changing




                       Application             Service


             Database           Platform      Messaging


                           Operating System


                               Hypervisor


              CPU                Memory          I/O
Why I.T. is changing




Application              Service


se       Platform       Messaging


     Operating System


                                    Infrastructure
        Hypervisor


          Memory           I/O
Why I.T. is changing




Application              Service


                                      Platform
se       Platform       Messaging


     Operating System


                                    Infrastructure
       Virtualisation


          Memory           I/O
Why I.T. is changing




                                     Application
Application              Service


                                      Platform
se       Platform       Messaging


     Operating System


                                    Infrastructure
       Virtualisation


          Memory           I/O
Why I.T. is changing



                                      Application
                                       Platform


                                     Infrastructure



                        Bespoke   Products            Services
       Innovation




                       Disruptive Shift
Why I.T. is changing



                                     Application
                                      Platform


                                    Infrastructure



                       Bespoke   Products            Services
       Innovation




       (Componentisation)
Why I.T. is changing


                 Common




                                Widespread
      Ubiquity




                                                      Feature
                                                     Complete
                 Novel




                          Low                                   High
                                         Certainty
Why I.T. is changing




                                “as a Service”
                 Common



                                   industry
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                            High
                                             Certainty
Why I.T. is changing




  Infrastructure as a Service   Amazon EC2
Why I.T. is changing




                                Google App
     Platform as a Service        Engine




  Infrastructure as a Service   Amazon EC2
Why I.T. is changing




     Software as a Service      SalesForce

                                Google App
     Platform as a Service        Engine




  Infrastructure as a Service   Amazon EC2
Why I.T. is changing




                             As IT [activities]
                          becomes ubiquitous it has
                              no strategic value



          Nicholas Carr
Why I.T. is changing



    Commoditisation




                       Bespoke   Products   Services
       Innovation




             Cost of doing business
Why I.T. is changing



                                      Application
                                       Platform


                                     Infrastructure



                        Bespoke   Products            Services
       Innovation




                       Disruptive Shift
Why I.T. is changing



                                     Application
                                      Platform


                                    Infrastructure



                       Bespoke   Products            Services
       Innovation




       (Componentisation)
Why I.T. is changing




  “Cloud computing” is a consequence of
  economic and technological conditions that
  have combined to cause a disruptive change
  in I.T. towards a service based economy.
Why I.T. is changing




                                        Creative
                                       Destruction

 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
Why I.T. is changing




                           Utility
                         Computing

         John McCarthy
Recap
Recap



   Commoditisation




                     Bespoke   Products   Services
        Innovation
Recap


                   Common

                                                   Expense           Payroll
                                                  Procedure   Accounts
                                                               Payable
                                          Company
                                          Web site
        Ubiquity




                                                       Wiki
                                  Social Netwok
                                     Analysis
                   Novel




                            Low                                           High
                                                  Certainty
Recap


                   Common




                                                     COMMODITY
        Ubiquity




                            INNOVATION
                   Novel




                            Low                             High
                                         Certainty
Recap




                          http://www.strassmann.com/




        Paul Strassmann
Recap




                                     Componentisation



    Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
Recap




                                       Application
Application                Service


                                        Platform
se         Platform       Messaging


     Operating System


                                      Infrastructure
         Virtualisation


           Memory            I/O
Recap



                                    Application
                                     Platform


                                   Infrastructure



                     Bespoke   Products             Services
        Innovation




                      Disruptive
Recap




                                  “as a Service”
                   Common



                                     industry
        Ubiquity

                   Novel




                            Low                            High
                                               Certainty
Recap




    Software as a Service      SalesForce

                               Google App
    Platform as a Service        Engine




 Infrastructure as a Service   Amazon EC2
Recap




                          Utility
                        Computing

        John McCarthy
Recap




 “Cloud computing” is a consequence of
 economic and technological conditions that
 have combined to cause a disruptive change
 in I.T. towards a service based economy.
It’s like
  computers on
the internet, innit.
Why I.T. is changing.

 Benefits & Risks.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




 • Economies of scale. (volume)
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




 • Economies of scale. (volume)
 • Pay per use. (utility)
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




 • Economies of scale. (volume)
 • Pay per use. (utility)
 • Speed to market. (componentisation)
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




 • Economies of scale. (volume)
 • Pay per use. (utility)
 • Speed to market. (componentisation)
 • Focus on core. (outsourcing)
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing


                Common
     Ubiquity




                               You
                Novel




                         Low                     High
                                     Certainty
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing


                Common



                                                 Market
     Ubiquity




                               You
                Novel




                         Low                              High
                                     Certainty
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing


                Common



                                                 Market



                                                  Competitive
     Ubiquity




                                                     Gap


                               You
                Novel




                         Low                               High
                                     Certainty
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




                                  Red Queen
                                  Hypothesis

    Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




                                  The need to constantly
                                  evolve in order to stand
                                  still relative to an eco-
                                  system.



    Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
http://www.flickr.com/photos/privatenobby
http://www.flickr.com/photos/billege
http://www.flickr.com/photos/giddygoose/
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




                                 Common
                                                  Market
• Economies of scale. (volume)
• Pay per use. (utility)
• Speed to market.
                                                           Competitive
 (componentisation)
                                                              Gap
• Focus on core.
 (outsourcing)
                                                You
• Greener (efficient supply
 & demand)
                                 Novel




                                          Low                      High
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing



                                      Application
                                       Platform


                                     Infrastructure



                    Bespoke      Products             Services
      Innovation




                   Disruptive Shift
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition
   • Management.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition
   • Management.
   • Trust.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition
   • Management.
   • Trust.
   • Transparency.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition
   • Management.
   • Trust.
   • Transparency.
   • Security of supply
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




                               “as a Service”
                Common



                                  industry
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                            High
                                            Certainty
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition                        General
   • Management.                     • Suitability.
   • Trust.
   • Transparency.
   • Security of supply.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition                        General
   • Management.                     • Suitability.
   • Trust.                          • Price competition.
   • Transparency.
   • Security of supply.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition                        General
   • Management.                     • Suitability.
   • Trust.                          • Price competition.
   • Transparency.                   • Lock-in.
   • Security of supply.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




      Transition                        General
   • Management.                     • Suitability.
   • Trust.                          • Price competition.
   • Transparency.                   • Lock-in.
   • Security of supply.             • Second sourcing.
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




             Adoption Barriers
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing
Common




               Market


                                          Vs
                           Gap

               You
Novel




         Low                     High
Why I.T. is changing.

   Benefits & Risks.

Canonical and the Cloud.
Canonical and the Cloud
Canonical and the Cloud




 • Fastest growing Linux-based operating system.
Canonical and the Cloud




 • Fastest growing Linux-based operating system.
 • Over 10,000,000 users.
Canonical and the Cloud




       Transition             General
   • Management.           • Suitability.
   • Trust.                • Price competition.
   • Transparency.         • Lock-in.
   • Security of supply.   • Second sourcing.
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Electricity
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Electricity




                                        BOOM!
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Standard Output




                                            BOOM!
Canonical and the Cloud




                           Application


                            Platform




                          Infrastructure
Canonical and the Cloud




                           Application


                            Platform




                          Infrastructure
Canonical and the Cloud



                            Data
              You
                          Application
Canonical and the Cloud



                            Data


                          Application




                           Platform

                          Operating
          Provider         System
      (i.e. CogHead)
                          Hypervisor


                          Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud



                            Data


                          Application




                           Platform

                          Operating
                           System
                          BOOM!
                          Hypervisor


                          Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud



                              Data


                            Application




                Platform                   Platform

               Operating                  Operating
                System                     System
                                          BOOM!
               Hypervisor                 Hypervisor


               Bare Metal                 Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud



                               Data


                             Application




                             Multiple
                Platform                    Platform
                            Providers
               Operating                   Operating
                System                      System

               Hypervisor                  Hypervisor


               Bare Metal                  Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud



                               Data


                             Application




                              Easy
                Platform                    Platform
                            Switching
               Operating                   Operating
                System                      System

               Hypervisor                  Hypervisor


               Bare Metal                  Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud



                              Data


                            Application




                            Standard
                Platform                   Platform
                             Output
               Operating                  Operating
                System                     System

               Hypervisor                 Hypervisor


               Bare Metal                 Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud




         Paul Baran
Canonical and the Cloud




    IPX / SPX
   Banyan Vines
    AppleTalk
      SNA
     Decnet
Canonical and the Cloud




    IPX / SPX
   Banyan Vines
    AppleTalk             TCP/IP
      SNA
     Decnet
Canonical and the Cloud




    IPX / SPX
   Banyan Vines
    AppleTalk             TCP/IP
      SNA
     Decnet
                          Open
Canonical and the Cloud




    IPX / SPX
   Banyan Vines                       Bind
    AppleTalk                       SendMail
                          TCP/IP
      SNA                            Apache
     Decnet
                          Open     Open Source
Canonical and the Cloud




                           IPX / SPX
                          Banyan Vines
                           AppleTalk     TCP/IP
       Innovation
                             SNA
                            Decnet




      (Componentisation)
Canonical and the Cloud




         Harvey Hubbell
          (1857-1927)
Canonical and the Cloud




                           Application


                            Platform




                          Infrastructure
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Application


                           Platform




                          Amazon EC2
Canonical and the Cloud




              Beta program for
            Ubuntu Server Edition
              on Amazon EC2.

       http://www.ubuntu.com/ec2
Canonical and the Cloud




          9.04 Technology Preview
          Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud
Canonical and the Cloud




                  Eucalyptus
Canonical and the Cloud




            Private in-house cloud
                   matching
               Amazon EC2 API
Canonical and the Cloud




                            Hypervisor


                            Bare Metal



                          Private Cloud
Canonical and the Cloud




               Hypervisor     Hypervisor


               Bare Metal     Bare Metal



           Amazon EC2       Private Cloud
Canonical and the Cloud




                              Easy
               Hypervisor                 Hypervisor
                            Switching
               Bare Metal                 Bare Metal



           Amazon EC2                   Private Cloud
Canonical and the Cloud




                                 Common
                                                  Market
• Economies of scale. (volume)
• Pay per use. (utility)
• Speed to market.
                                                           Competitive
 (componentisation)
                                                              Gap
• Focus on core.
 (outsourcing)
                                                You
• Greener (efficient supply
 & demand)
                                 Novel




                                          Low                      High
Canonical and the Cloud



                          Standard
                           Ouptut
Canonical and the Cloud




                  Ecosystem
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Hypervisor


                          Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud




                          Hypervisor


                          Bare Metal



      Hypervisor


      Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud




      Hypervisor


      Bare Metal



                          Hypervisor


                          Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud




      Hypervisor

                          Price
      Bare Metal



                                  Hypervisor


                                  Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud




      Hypervisor
                          Quality of
                           Service
      Bare Metal



                                       Hypervisor


                                       Bare Metal
Canonical and the Cloud


                Common




                             Feature
                         Differentiation
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                          Low                          High
                                           Certainty
Canonical and the Cloud


                Common


                               Price vs QoS
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                         High
                                         Certainty
Canonical and the Cloud




               Competitive
                 Market
Canonical and the Cloud




                                  Red Queen
                                  Hypothesis

    Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
Canonical and the Cloud




                                        Creative
                                       Destruction

 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
Recap
Recap



   Commoditisation




                     Bespoke   Products   Services
        Innovation
Recap




                          http://www.strassmann.com/




        Paul Strassmann
Recap



                                    Application
                                     Platform


                                   Infrastructure



                     Bespoke   Products             Services
        Innovation




                      Disruptive
Recap




                                  “as a Service”
                   Common



                                     industry
        Ubiquity

                   Novel




                            Low                            High
                                               Certainty
Recap




                          Utility
                        Computing

        John McCarthy
Recap




 “Cloud computing” is a consequence of
 economic and technological conditions that
 have combined to cause a disruptive change
 in I.T. towards a service based economy.
Recap




 • Economies of scale. (volume)
 • Pay per use. (utility)
 • Speed to market. (componentisation)
 • Focus on core. (outsourcing)
Recap




                                 Common
                                                  Market
• Economies of scale. (volume)
• Pay per use. (utility)
• Speed to market.
                                                           Competitive
 (componentisation)
                                                              Gap
• Focus on core.
 (outsourcing)
                                                You
• Greener (efficient supply
 & demand)
                                 Novel




                                          Low                      High
Recap




        Transition            General
   • Management.           • Suitability.
   • Trust.                • Price competition.
   • Transparency.         • Lock-in.
   • Security of supply.   • Second sourcing.
Recap




        Standard Output
Recap




   IPX / SPX
  Banyan Vines               Bind
   AppleTalk               SendMail
                 TCP/IP
     SNA                    Apache
    Decnet
                 Open     Open Source
Recap




                       Standard
          Hypervisor                Hypervisor
                        Output
          Bare Metal                Bare Metal



        Amazon EC2                Private Cloud
Recap




        9.04 Technology Preview
        Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud
             (Eucalyptus)
Recap




        Private in-house cloud
               matching
           Amazon EC2 API
Recap




        Competitive
          Market
Recap




                     Hypervisor


                     Bare Metal



        Hypervisor


        Bare Metal
Thank you
whoops ...
the outtakes ...
i.e. more slides ...
http://flickr.com/photos/jonnygoldstein/
Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Good, Bad & Ugly
http://www.flickr.com/photos/radioflyer007/
The Good



                                 Application
                                  Platform


                                Infrastructure



                   Bespoke   Products            Services
      Innovation




     (Componentisation)
http://flickr.com/photos/jonnygoldstein/
The Bad



                                  Application
                                   Platform


                                 Infrastructure



                    Bespoke   Products            Services
      Innovation




                   Disruptive Shift
The Bad


                Common




                               Widespread
     Ubiquity




                                                     Feature
                                                    Complete
                Novel




                         Low                                   High
                                        Certainty
The Bad




                          As IT becomes ubiquitous
                           it has no strategic value




          Nicholas Carr
The Bad




                                        Creative
                                       Destruction

 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
The Ugly




                             Utility
                           Computing

           John McCarthy
The Ugly




                      Software as a Service (SaaS)
           Software


       Framework      Framework as a Service (FaaS)




                      Hardware as a Service (HaaS)
           Hardware


                            2007
The Ugly




                          “this is going to
                          lead to a whole
                          lot of aaS.”
                                    Oscon 2007


       Robert Lefkowitz
The Ugly




       2007 - 2008
The Ugly




                           OaaS
        Software
                                    XaaS
       Application
                              DBaaS
                        DaaS        SaaSu
       Framework
                       DaaS DaaS
        Platform
                                       SaaSy
                             PaaS
                       SaaSp         SaaS
                              HaaS        FaaS
                         WaaS
        Hardware
                                IaaS FaaS
      Infrastructure

                         2008
The Ugly




                       Application as a Service (SaaS)
       Application


           Platform    Platform as a Service (PaaS)




                       Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS)
      Infrastructure


                              2009
Terminology.
It’s like
  computers on
the internet, innit.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/charlynw/232154290/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/nogwater/9570271/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/x180/54019859/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/criminalintent/150419191/
Half a
Hummer
http://www.flickr.com/photos/x180/54019859/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/charlynw/232154290/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pkeleher/155812091/
DANGER!
Will Robinson
 DANGER!
I only ordered half
because I’d probably
       “choke”
    on a hummer
Terminology.
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Why transparency
  matters ...
Transparency




                                 Joe
               Infrastructure
                  as a Service
Transparency




                                                      Joe
               Bare Metal   Bare Metal   Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Joe
                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Joe
                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




  Tom             Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                  Storage




    Joe                     Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Dick
                                              PaaS
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Dick
                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                                                                 Joe
                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




Harry      Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




           Mapping API


  Tom                                 Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                  Alice
                                              SaaS
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal          Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Alice
                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




Harry                                 Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API


  Tom                                 Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API


                                                                 Dick
                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                        Bob
                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                                                 Alice
                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                      Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                      Development Platform
                  Storage




                                                                 Joe
                            Hypervisor Technology

               Bare Metal        Bare Metal         Bare Metal
Transparency




                                   Transport Routing
           Mapping API

                                   Development Platform
               Storage




                                                          Joe
                         Hypervisor Technology
Transparency




                                                                                  rm
                                                                               fo
                                                                            lat
                                                                          P
                                                                     nt
                          Map                                      e
                                                                 pm
                             ping
                                    API                        o
                                                             elg
                                                          evn
                                                        outi
                     Hype
                                                       RD
                           rviso                     t
                                              spor
               Sto              r Tec
                                      hnolran
                   rag                  To
                      e                    gy
Transparency




               Bob   Alice
Transparency




                Bob          Alice



               Tom, Dick, Harry or Joe
Transparency




                                       Joe
               House   House   House
Transparency




  Tom                  Security

               House   House      House
Transparency




 Dick
                       Security

               House   House      House
Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing




                                     http://www.flickr.com/photos/rednuht/479370088
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Why I.T. is
complex ...
Complexity


                Common
     Ubiquity




                          Innovation
                           of CRM.
                Novel




                         Low                       High
                                       Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Uncertain
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                           High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Uncertain
     Ubiquity




                                           Variable
                Novel




                         Low                           High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Uncertain
     Ubiquity




                                            Variable
                                           Differential
                Novel




                         Low                              High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Uncertain
     Ubiquity




                                            Variable
                                           Differential
                Novel




                                             Worth
                         Low                              High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common
     Ubiquity




                                           Dynamic
                Novel




                         Low                         High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common
     Ubiquity




                            Agile
                         Development
                Novel




                         Low                       High
                                       Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                                           Utility-like
                                           provision
                                            of CRM
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                              High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                                       “Cloud Providers”
                                              like
                                           Salesforce
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                        High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                               Defined
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                        High
                                        Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                               Defined

                           Repeated
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                        High
                                        Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                               Defined

                           Repeated
                               CODB
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                        High
                                        Certainty
Complexity


                Common


                               Defined

                           Repeated
                               CODB
     Ubiquity




                                Cost
                Novel




                         Low                        High
                                        Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                           Defined
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                    High
                                    Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Six Sigma
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                           High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                                   Six Sigma
     Ubiquity




                            Agile
                         Development
                Novel




                         Low                                   High
                                       Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                                 CRM
     Ubiquity




                               CRM
                Novel




                         Low                           High
                                     Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           Six Sigma
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                           High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                           COMMODITY
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                      High
                               Certainty
Complexity


                Common
     Ubiquity




                         INNOVATION
                Novel




                         Low                      High
                                      Certainty
Complexity


                Common




                                                   Six Sigma
     Ubiquity




                            Agile
                         Development
                Novel




                         Low                                   High
                                       Certainty
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Why I.T. is
complex ... Part II
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                                    Six Sigma
      Ubiquity




                             Agile
                          Development
                 Novel




                          Low                                   High
                                        Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                                   Six Sigma
      Ubiquity




                          INNOVATION
                 Novel




                          Low                                  High
                                       Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common

                                                  Expense           Payroll
                                                 Procedure   Accounts
                                                              Payable
                                        Company
                                        Web site
      Ubiquity




                                                      Wiki
                                Social Network
                                   Analysis
                 Novel




                          Low                                            High
                                                 Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common



                                                  Market



                                                   Competitive
      Ubiquity




                                                      Gap


                                You
                 Novel




                          Low                               High
                                      Certainty
Complexity ... Part II




                                   Red Queen
                                   Hypothesis

     Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
Complexity ... Part II




                                       The fundamental impulse that sets
                                       and keeps the capitalist engine in
                                       motion comes from the new
                                       consumers, goods, the new methods
                                       of production or transportation, the
                                       new markets, the new forms of
                                       industrial organization that capitalist
                                       enterprise creates.


 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
http://www.sandowplus.co.uk/
Complexity ... Part II




                Innovation Paradox
         Survival today requires ‘coherence,
        coordination and stability’ [order].
                                &
   Survival tomorrow requires the replacement
          of these virtues [disorder].

                         Salaman & Storey
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                                   Order
      Ubiquity




                            Disorder
                 Novel




                          Low                              High
                                       Certainty
http://www.flickr.com/photos/privatenobby
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                            Six Sigma
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                           High
                                Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low               High
                                Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                          20% Rule
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                    High
                                     Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                     Rigorous defined
                          20% Rule
                                        procedures
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                          High
                                     Certainty
Complexity ... Part II


                 Common




                                                 Cloud,
                                                 SOA etc ...
                          20% Rule
      Ubiquity

                 Novel




                          Low                                  High
                                     Certainty
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Things to watch ...
Things to watch




                   Application


                    Platform




                  Infrastructure
Things to watch




                  Competitive
                    Market
Things to watch



                                 Data


                               Application




                               Standard
                   Platform                   Platform
                                Output
                  Operating                  Operating
                   System                     System

                  Hypervisor                 Hypervisor


                  Bare Metal                 Bare Metal
Things to watch




                  Platform
Things to watch




                             Technology
                  Platform
                               Vendor
Things to watch




                  Provider

                             Technology
                               Vendor
Things to watch




                  Provider

                             Technology
  Consumer
                               Vendor
Things to watch




                  Provider

                             Technology
  Consumer
                               Vendor

                    ISV
Things to watch




                  Provider

                             Technology
  Consumer
                               Vendor

                    ISV
Things to watch




                  Provider

                              Technology
  Consumer        Locked-in
                                Vendor

                    ISV
Things to watch




                  Provider

                               Open
  Consumer
                             Standard

                    ISV
Things to watch




                  Provider


  Consumer                   EXTEND


                    ISV
Things to watch


                Common




                             Feature
                         Differentiation
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                          Low                          High
                                           Certainty
Things to watch


                Common


                               Price vs QoS
     Ubiquity

                Novel




                         Low                         High
                                         Certainty
Things to watch




                               Open
                              Source
                  Platform
                             Reference
                              Model
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
Happy clouds ...
Happy Clouds




               Three Rules happy
Happy Clouds




               Three Rules happy
                Run the service on my own
   Rule 1
                machines.
Happy Clouds




               Three Rules happy
                Run the service on my own
   Rule 1
                machines.

                Easily switch between my machines
   Rule 2
                and a cloud provider.
Happy Clouds




               Three Rules happy
                Run the service on my own
   Rule 1
                machines.

                Easily switch between my machines
   Rule 2
                and a cloud provider.

                Easily switch between cloud
   Rule 3
                providers.
Happy Clouds




                 Hypervisor


                 Bare Metal



               Private Cloud
Happy Clouds




                              Easy
               Hypervisor                 Hypervisor
                            Switching
               Bare Metal                 Bare Metal



          Amazon EC2                    Private Cloud
Happy Clouds




               Competitive
                 Market
A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly?
B. Why Transparency Matters
C. Why I.T. is complex
D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II
E. Things to Watch
F. Happy Clouds
         simon.wardley@canonical.com
End ...
Beyond End ...

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The Good, The Bad and The Ugly of Cloud Computing

  • 5. Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
  • 7. Pain No. Slides
  • 8. 35 slides Pain Severe risk of harm OK No. Slides
  • 9. 227 slides Pain Severe risk of harm OK No. Slides
  • 12. Cloud Computing What is “Cloud computing” ?
  • 14. It’s like computers on the internet, innit.
  • 16. http://www.flickr.com/photos/radioflyer007/ http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/51/Metropolis.jpg
  • 17. It’s a disruptive shift of the computing stack to online services.
  • 18. It’s like computers on the internet, innit.
  • 19.
  • 21.
  • 23. It’s like SaaS or software as a service, and infrastructure provision and PaaS, that’s platform as a Service and utility computing being provided in public clouds, which is different from private clouds which aren’t cloud computing, unless of course you’re talking about hybrid clouds which sort of are and it’s hype and lock-in and did I mention infrastructure?
  • 24. Cloud Computing Not a thing ...
  • 25. Cloud Computing “Cloud computing” is a consequence of economic and technological conditions that have combined to cause a disruptive change in I.T. towards a service based economy.
  • 26. Why I.T. is changing.
  • 27. Why I.T. is changing. Benefits & Risks.
  • 28. Why I.T. is changing. Benefits & Risks. Canonical and the Cloud.
  • 29. Why I.T. is changing.
  • 30. Why I.T. is changing http://www.strassmann.com/ Paul Strassmann
  • 31. Why I.T. is changing Not all IT is the same.
  • 32. Why I.T. is changing Not all IT has value.
  • 33. Why I.T. is changing Yesterday’s hot stuff
  • 34. Why I.T. is changing Yesterday’s Today’s hot stuff boredom
  • 35.
  • 39. Why I.T. is changing Innovation
  • 40. Why I.T. is changing Bespoke Innovation
  • 41. Why I.T. is changing Bespoke Products Innovation
  • 42. Why I.T. is changing Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 43. Why I.T. is changing Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 44. Why I.T. is changing Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation Competitive Advantage
  • 45. Why I.T. is changing Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation Cost of doing business
  • 46. Why I.T. is changing 1832 Innovation
  • 47. Why I.T. is changing 1832 Bespoke Innovation
  • 48. Why I.T. is changing 1837 1832 Bespoke Products Innovation
  • 49.
  • 51. Image from Chicago Historical Society
  • 52. Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
  • 54. Why I.T. is changing 1890 1837 1832 Utility Bespoke Products Innovation Grids (Services)
  • 55. Why I.T. is changing Harvey Hubbell (1857-1927)
  • 56. Why I.T. is changing 1930 1837 1832 National Bespoke Products Innovation Grid (Services)
  • 57. Why I.T. is changing As IT becomes ubiquitous it has no strategic value Nicholas Carr
  • 58. Why I.T. is changing Not all IT is the same.
  • 59. Why I.T. is changing As IT [activities] becomes ubiquitous it has no strategic value Nicholas Carr
  • 60. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel
  • 61. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel
  • 62. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel
  • 63. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 64. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 65. Why I.T. is changing Common TV’s, Phone,VCRs Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 66. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 67. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity INNOVATION Novel Low High Certainty
  • 68. Why I.T. is changing Common COMMODITY Ubiquity INNOVATION Novel Low High Certainty
  • 69. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Innovation of CRM. Novel Low High Certainty
  • 70. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Mid '80s DB marketing. Novel Low High Certainty
  • 71. Why I.T. is changing Common CRM products 90’s Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 72. Why I.T. is changing Common “Cloud Providers” like Salesforce Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 73. Why I.T. is changing Common Expense Payroll Procedure Accounts Payable Company Web site Ubiquity Wiki Social Network Analysis Novel Low High Certainty
  • 74. Why I.T. is changing Common Expense Payroll Procedure Accounts Payable Company Web site Ubiquity Wiki Social Network Analysis Novel Low High Certainty
  • 75. Why I.T. is changing Common Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 76. Why I.T. is changing Common Features Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 77. Why I.T. is changing Common Widespread Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 78. Why I.T. is changing Common Widespread Ubiquity Feature Complete Novel Low High Certainty
  • 79. Why I.T. is changing Common Widespread Ubiquity Feature Complete Novel Low High Certainty
  • 80. Why I.T. is changing Common “as a Service” Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 81. Why I.T. is changing Utility Computing John McCarthy
  • 82. Why I.T. is changing Bespoke Products Services Innovation highly disruptive
  • 83. Why I.T. is changing The fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion comes from the new consumers, goods, the new methods of production or transportation, the new markets, the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates. Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 84. Why I.T. is changing The fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion comes from the new consumers, goods, the new methods of production or transportation, the new markets, the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates. Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 85. Why I.T. is changing Creative Destruction Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 86. Why I.T. is changing Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 87. Why I.T. is changing Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 88. Why I.T. is changing Power Internet Bespoke Products Innovation Hardware
  • 89. Why I.T. is changing Power Internet Bespoke Products Google Hardware
  • 90. Why I.T. is changing Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 91. Why I.T. is changing Database Framework Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 92. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Framework Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 93. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Framework Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 94. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Framework Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 95. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Framework Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 96. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Framework Messaging 10,000 x Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 97. Why I.T. is changing Componentisation Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
  • 98. Why I.T. is changing The rate of evolution of a system is directly related to the organisation of its subsystems Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
  • 99. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Database Platform Messaging Operating System Hypervisor CPU Memory I/O
  • 100. Why I.T. is changing Application Service se Platform Messaging Operating System Infrastructure Hypervisor Memory I/O
  • 101. Why I.T. is changing Application Service Platform se Platform Messaging Operating System Infrastructure Virtualisation Memory I/O
  • 102. Why I.T. is changing Application Application Service Platform se Platform Messaging Operating System Infrastructure Virtualisation Memory I/O
  • 103. Why I.T. is changing Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive Shift
  • 104. Why I.T. is changing Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation (Componentisation)
  • 105. Why I.T. is changing Common Widespread Ubiquity Feature Complete Novel Low High Certainty
  • 106. Why I.T. is changing “as a Service” Common industry Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 107. Why I.T. is changing Infrastructure as a Service Amazon EC2
  • 108. Why I.T. is changing Google App Platform as a Service Engine Infrastructure as a Service Amazon EC2
  • 109. Why I.T. is changing Software as a Service SalesForce Google App Platform as a Service Engine Infrastructure as a Service Amazon EC2
  • 110. Why I.T. is changing As IT [activities] becomes ubiquitous it has no strategic value Nicholas Carr
  • 111. Why I.T. is changing Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation Cost of doing business
  • 112.
  • 113. Why I.T. is changing Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive Shift
  • 114. Why I.T. is changing Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation (Componentisation)
  • 115. Why I.T. is changing “Cloud computing” is a consequence of economic and technological conditions that have combined to cause a disruptive change in I.T. towards a service based economy.
  • 116. Why I.T. is changing Creative Destruction Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 117. Why I.T. is changing Utility Computing John McCarthy
  • 118. Recap
  • 119.
  • 120. Recap Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 121. Recap Common Expense Payroll Procedure Accounts Payable Company Web site Ubiquity Wiki Social Netwok Analysis Novel Low High Certainty
  • 122. Recap Common COMMODITY Ubiquity INNOVATION Novel Low High Certainty
  • 123. Recap http://www.strassmann.com/ Paul Strassmann
  • 124. Recap Componentisation Herbert A. Simon (1916 - 2001)
  • 125. Recap Application Application Service Platform se Platform Messaging Operating System Infrastructure Virtualisation Memory I/O
  • 126. Recap Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive
  • 127. Recap “as a Service” Common industry Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 128. Recap Software as a Service SalesForce Google App Platform as a Service Engine Infrastructure as a Service Amazon EC2
  • 129. Recap Utility Computing John McCarthy
  • 130.
  • 131. Recap “Cloud computing” is a consequence of economic and technological conditions that have combined to cause a disruptive change in I.T. towards a service based economy.
  • 132. It’s like computers on the internet, innit.
  • 133. Why I.T. is changing. Benefits & Risks.
  • 134. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing • Economies of scale. (volume)
  • 135. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility)
  • 136. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. (componentisation)
  • 137. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. (componentisation) • Focus on core. (outsourcing)
  • 138. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Common Ubiquity You Novel Low High Certainty
  • 139. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Common Market Ubiquity You Novel Low High Certainty
  • 140. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Common Market Competitive Ubiquity Gap You Novel Low High Certainty
  • 141. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Red Queen Hypothesis Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
  • 142. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing The need to constantly evolve in order to stand still relative to an eco- system. Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
  • 146. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Common Market • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. Competitive (componentisation) Gap • Focus on core. (outsourcing) You • Greener (efficient supply & demand) Novel Low High
  • 147. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive Shift
  • 148. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition • Management.
  • 149. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition • Management. • Trust.
  • 150. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition • Management. • Trust. • Transparency.
  • 151. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition • Management. • Trust. • Transparency. • Security of supply
  • 152. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing “as a Service” Common industry Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 153. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Transparency. • Security of supply.
  • 154. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Price competition. • Transparency. • Security of supply.
  • 155. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Price competition. • Transparency. • Lock-in. • Security of supply.
  • 156. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Price competition. • Transparency. • Lock-in. • Security of supply. • Second sourcing.
  • 157. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Adoption Barriers
  • 158. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing Common Market Vs Gap You Novel Low High
  • 159.
  • 160. Why I.T. is changing. Benefits & Risks. Canonical and the Cloud.
  • 162. Canonical and the Cloud • Fastest growing Linux-based operating system.
  • 163. Canonical and the Cloud • Fastest growing Linux-based operating system. • Over 10,000,000 users.
  • 164. Canonical and the Cloud Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Price competition. • Transparency. • Lock-in. • Security of supply. • Second sourcing.
  • 165. Canonical and the Cloud Electricity
  • 166. Canonical and the Cloud Electricity BOOM!
  • 167. Canonical and the Cloud Standard Output BOOM!
  • 168. Canonical and the Cloud Application Platform Infrastructure
  • 169. Canonical and the Cloud Application Platform Infrastructure
  • 170. Canonical and the Cloud Data You Application
  • 171. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Platform Operating Provider System (i.e. CogHead) Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 172. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Platform Operating System BOOM! Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 173. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Platform Platform Operating Operating System System BOOM! Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 174. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Multiple Platform Platform Providers Operating Operating System System Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 175. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Easy Platform Platform Switching Operating Operating System System Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 176. Canonical and the Cloud Data Application Standard Platform Platform Output Operating Operating System System Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 177. Canonical and the Cloud Paul Baran
  • 178. Canonical and the Cloud IPX / SPX Banyan Vines AppleTalk SNA Decnet
  • 179. Canonical and the Cloud IPX / SPX Banyan Vines AppleTalk TCP/IP SNA Decnet
  • 180. Canonical and the Cloud IPX / SPX Banyan Vines AppleTalk TCP/IP SNA Decnet Open
  • 181. Canonical and the Cloud IPX / SPX Banyan Vines Bind AppleTalk SendMail TCP/IP SNA Apache Decnet Open Open Source
  • 182. Canonical and the Cloud IPX / SPX Banyan Vines AppleTalk TCP/IP Innovation SNA Decnet (Componentisation)
  • 183. Canonical and the Cloud Harvey Hubbell (1857-1927)
  • 184. Canonical and the Cloud Application Platform Infrastructure
  • 185. Canonical and the Cloud Application Platform Amazon EC2
  • 186. Canonical and the Cloud Beta program for Ubuntu Server Edition on Amazon EC2. http://www.ubuntu.com/ec2
  • 187. Canonical and the Cloud 9.04 Technology Preview Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud
  • 188. Canonical and the Cloud Eucalyptus
  • 189.
  • 190. Canonical and the Cloud Private in-house cloud matching Amazon EC2 API
  • 191. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Bare Metal Private Cloud
  • 192. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal Amazon EC2 Private Cloud
  • 193. Canonical and the Cloud Easy Hypervisor Hypervisor Switching Bare Metal Bare Metal Amazon EC2 Private Cloud
  • 194. Canonical and the Cloud Common Market • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. Competitive (componentisation) Gap • Focus on core. (outsourcing) You • Greener (efficient supply & demand) Novel Low High
  • 195. Canonical and the Cloud Standard Ouptut
  • 196. Canonical and the Cloud Ecosystem
  • 197. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 198. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Bare Metal Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 199. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Bare Metal Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 200. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Price Bare Metal Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 201. Canonical and the Cloud Hypervisor Quality of Service Bare Metal Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 202. Canonical and the Cloud Common Feature Differentiation Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 203. Canonical and the Cloud Common Price vs QoS Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 204. Canonical and the Cloud Competitive Market
  • 205. Canonical and the Cloud Red Queen Hypothesis Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
  • 206. Canonical and the Cloud Creative Destruction Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 207. Recap
  • 208.
  • 209. Recap Commoditisation Bespoke Products Services Innovation
  • 210. Recap http://www.strassmann.com/ Paul Strassmann
  • 211. Recap Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive
  • 212. Recap “as a Service” Common industry Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 213. Recap Utility Computing John McCarthy
  • 214. Recap “Cloud computing” is a consequence of economic and technological conditions that have combined to cause a disruptive change in I.T. towards a service based economy.
  • 215. Recap • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. (componentisation) • Focus on core. (outsourcing)
  • 216. Recap Common Market • Economies of scale. (volume) • Pay per use. (utility) • Speed to market. Competitive (componentisation) Gap • Focus on core. (outsourcing) You • Greener (efficient supply & demand) Novel Low High
  • 217. Recap Transition General • Management. • Suitability. • Trust. • Price competition. • Transparency. • Lock-in. • Security of supply. • Second sourcing.
  • 218. Recap Standard Output
  • 219. Recap IPX / SPX Banyan Vines Bind AppleTalk SendMail TCP/IP SNA Apache Decnet Open Open Source
  • 220. Recap Standard Hypervisor Hypervisor Output Bare Metal Bare Metal Amazon EC2 Private Cloud
  • 221. Recap 9.04 Technology Preview Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud (Eucalyptus)
  • 222.
  • 223. Recap Private in-house cloud matching Amazon EC2 API
  • 224. Recap Competitive Market
  • 225. Recap Hypervisor Bare Metal Hypervisor Bare Metal
  • 226.
  • 232. Sccott Beale/Laughing Squid : http://www.flickr.com/photos/laughingsquid/
  • 233. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 234. Good, Bad & Ugly
  • 236. The Good Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation (Componentisation)
  • 238. The Bad Application Platform Infrastructure Bespoke Products Services Innovation Disruptive Shift
  • 239. The Bad Common Widespread Ubiquity Feature Complete Novel Low High Certainty
  • 240. The Bad As IT becomes ubiquitous it has no strategic value Nicholas Carr
  • 241. The Bad Creative Destruction Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 242.
  • 243. The Ugly Utility Computing John McCarthy
  • 244.
  • 245. The Ugly Software as a Service (SaaS) Software Framework Framework as a Service (FaaS) Hardware as a Service (HaaS) Hardware 2007
  • 246. The Ugly “this is going to lead to a whole lot of aaS.” Oscon 2007 Robert Lefkowitz
  • 247. The Ugly 2007 - 2008
  • 248. The Ugly OaaS Software XaaS Application DBaaS DaaS SaaSu Framework DaaS DaaS Platform SaaSy PaaS SaaSp SaaS HaaS FaaS WaaS Hardware IaaS FaaS Infrastructure 2008
  • 249. The Ugly Application as a Service (SaaS) Application Platform Platform as a Service (PaaS) Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) Infrastructure 2009
  • 251. It’s like computers on the internet, innit.
  • 261. I only ordered half because I’d probably “choke” on a hummer
  • 262.
  • 264. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 265. Why transparency matters ...
  • 266. Transparency Joe Infrastructure as a Service
  • 267. Transparency Joe Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 268. Transparency Joe Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 269. Transparency Joe Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 270. Transparency Tom Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 271. Transparency Storage Joe Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 272. Transparency Dick PaaS Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 273. Transparency Dick Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 274. Transparency Development Platform Storage Joe Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 275. Transparency Harry Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 276. Transparency Mapping API Tom Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 277. Transparency Alice SaaS Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 278. Transparency Alice Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 279. Transparency Harry Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 280. Transparency Transport Routing Mapping API Tom Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 281. Transparency Transport Routing Mapping API Dick Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 282. Transparency Bob Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 283. Transparency Alice Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 284. Transparency Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 285. Transparency Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Joe Hypervisor Technology Bare Metal Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 286. Transparency Transport Routing Mapping API Development Platform Storage Joe Hypervisor Technology
  • 287. Transparency rm fo lat P nt Map e pm ping API o elg evn outi Hype RD rviso t spor Sto r Tec hnolran rag To e gy
  • 288. Transparency Bob Alice
  • 289. Transparency Bob Alice Tom, Dick, Harry or Joe
  • 290. Transparency Joe House House House
  • 291. Transparency Tom Security House House House
  • 292. Transparency Dick Security House House House
  • 293. Benefits & Risks of Cloud Computing http://www.flickr.com/photos/rednuht/479370088
  • 294. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 296. Complexity Common Ubiquity Innovation of CRM. Novel Low High Certainty
  • 297. Complexity Common Uncertain Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 298. Complexity Common Uncertain Ubiquity Variable Novel Low High Certainty
  • 299. Complexity Common Uncertain Ubiquity Variable Differential Novel Low High Certainty
  • 300. Complexity Common Uncertain Ubiquity Variable Differential Novel Worth Low High Certainty
  • 301. Complexity Common Ubiquity Dynamic Novel Low High Certainty
  • 302. Complexity Common Ubiquity Agile Development Novel Low High Certainty
  • 303. Complexity Common Utility-like provision of CRM Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 304. Complexity Common “Cloud Providers” like Salesforce Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 305. Complexity Common Defined Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 306. Complexity Common Defined Repeated Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 307. Complexity Common Defined Repeated CODB Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 308. Complexity Common Defined Repeated CODB Ubiquity Cost Novel Low High Certainty
  • 309. Complexity Common Defined Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 310. Complexity Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 311. Complexity Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Agile Development Novel Low High Certainty
  • 312. Complexity Common CRM Ubiquity CRM Novel Low High Certainty
  • 313. Complexity Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 314. Complexity Common COMMODITY Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 315. Complexity Common Ubiquity INNOVATION Novel Low High Certainty
  • 316. Complexity Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Agile Development Novel Low High Certainty
  • 317. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 318. Why I.T. is complex ... Part II
  • 319. Complexity ... Part II Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Agile Development Novel Low High Certainty
  • 320. Complexity ... Part II Common Six Sigma Ubiquity INNOVATION Novel Low High Certainty
  • 321. Complexity ... Part II Common Expense Payroll Procedure Accounts Payable Company Web site Ubiquity Wiki Social Network Analysis Novel Low High Certainty
  • 322. Complexity ... Part II Common Market Competitive Ubiquity Gap You Novel Low High Certainty
  • 323. Complexity ... Part II Red Queen Hypothesis Professor Leigh M.Van Valen
  • 324. Complexity ... Part II The fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion comes from the new consumers, goods, the new methods of production or transportation, the new markets, the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates. Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883 - 1950)‫‏‬
  • 326. Complexity ... Part II Innovation Paradox Survival today requires ‘coherence, coordination and stability’ [order]. & Survival tomorrow requires the replacement of these virtues [disorder]. Salaman & Storey
  • 327. Complexity ... Part II Common Order Ubiquity Disorder Novel Low High Certainty
  • 329. Complexity ... Part II Common Six Sigma Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 330. Complexity ... Part II Common Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 331. Complexity ... Part II Common 20% Rule Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 332. Complexity ... Part II Common Rigorous defined 20% Rule procedures Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 333. Complexity ... Part II Common Cloud, SOA etc ... 20% Rule Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 334. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 336. Things to watch Application Platform Infrastructure
  • 337. Things to watch Competitive Market
  • 338. Things to watch Data Application Standard Platform Platform Output Operating Operating System System Hypervisor Hypervisor Bare Metal Bare Metal
  • 339. Things to watch Platform
  • 340. Things to watch Technology Platform Vendor
  • 341. Things to watch Provider Technology Vendor
  • 342. Things to watch Provider Technology Consumer Vendor
  • 343. Things to watch Provider Technology Consumer Vendor ISV
  • 344. Things to watch Provider Technology Consumer Vendor ISV
  • 345. Things to watch Provider Technology Consumer Locked-in Vendor ISV
  • 346. Things to watch Provider Open Consumer Standard ISV
  • 347. Things to watch Provider Consumer EXTEND ISV
  • 348. Things to watch Common Feature Differentiation Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 349. Things to watch Common Price vs QoS Ubiquity Novel Low High Certainty
  • 350. Things to watch Open Source Platform Reference Model
  • 351. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com
  • 353. Happy Clouds Three Rules happy
  • 354. Happy Clouds Three Rules happy Run the service on my own Rule 1 machines.
  • 355. Happy Clouds Three Rules happy Run the service on my own Rule 1 machines. Easily switch between my machines Rule 2 and a cloud provider.
  • 356. Happy Clouds Three Rules happy Run the service on my own Rule 1 machines. Easily switch between my machines Rule 2 and a cloud provider. Easily switch between cloud Rule 3 providers.
  • 357. Happy Clouds Hypervisor Bare Metal Private Cloud
  • 358. Happy Clouds Easy Hypervisor Hypervisor Switching Bare Metal Bare Metal Amazon EC2 Private Cloud
  • 359. Happy Clouds Competitive Market
  • 360. A. Why the Good, Bad & Ugly? B. Why Transparency Matters C. Why I.T. is complex D. Why I.T. is complex - Part II E. Things to Watch F. Happy Clouds simon.wardley@canonical.com