3. Agenda
§ Measures of Success
§ Recommendation
§ Analysis of Alternatives
§ Implementation Plan
§ Risk Assessment
§ Conclusion
4. Measures of Success
§ Maintain growth momentum
§ Double enterprise value in 5 years
§ Ensure stable, recurring revenue
§ Exceed replacement rate for O&M order book
§ Extend global reach
§ Increase regional diversification
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
5. Recommendation
Build core business: Water
§ Reallocate resources away from specialty materials,
energy recovery, and consumer products
§ Segment US$460 bn water utilities market by
geographic, demographic, and behavioral factors
§ Target municipalities within MENA and East Asia
§ Position Hyflux as the leading water infrastructure
solutions provider
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
6. Analysis of Alternatives
§ Alternative #1:
§ Focus on emerging concepts
§ Alternative #2:
§ Rebuild industrial manufacturing processes business
§ Alternative #3:
§ Leverage core of water utilities
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
7. 1. Emerging Concepts
§ Strong momentum from environmental movement (+)
Energy § Small scale, virtually non-existent industry base (-)
Recovery § Dependant on volatile oil prices (-)
§ Fragmented competition (+)
Specialty
Materials § Small scale (-)
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
8. 1. Emerging Concepts (Cont’d)
§ Large unserved market in developing world (+)
§ Extension of JV partnership with Marmon (+)
§ Ability to impact the lives of ordinary people (+)
Consumer
Products § Dilution of brand and managerial focus (-)
§ No expertise outside B2B market (-)
§ Questionable financial feasibility (-)
§ Limited reach of impact (-)
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
9. 2. Industrial Manufacturing
(+) § Strong momentum from environmental movement
(-) § Dependant on unpredictable regulatory changes Water
(-) § Small scale compared to municipal projects Treatment
(-) § Less likely to include O&M contract
( +) § Large, growing industrial markets
(-‐) § Ambiguity in that growth’s benefit to Hyflux Liquid
§ Limited link to core competency Separation
(-)
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
10. 3. Water Utilities
§ Recognized expertise in industry (+)
§ Large and growing market (+)
Desalination
§ Scale of individual projects (+)
§ Environmental concerns (-)
§ Large and growing market (+)
Treatment & § Strong momentum from environmental movement (+)
Recovery
§ Relatively smaller scale (-‐)
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
11. Financial Viability
2008-2013 2006-2008 Forecasted
Return on Return on
Required Actual Industry
Assets Equity
CAGR CAGR Growth
Emerging
2.7% 3.0% 248.3% -60.6% 15-27%
Concepts
Industrial
0.5% 0.6% 52.5% -8.0% Various
Manufacturing
Water Utilities 13.4% 22.0% 16.7% 224.5% 13-20%
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
13. Implementation Plan
• By region and by country
Segment Global
• Based on geographic, demographic, and
Market
behavioral factors
Countries with:
• Water needs
Target the • Low, flat, hot geographies
Segments • Stable political environment
• Willingness and ability to pay
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
14. Targeted Locations
Targeted
desalina/on
countries
Targeted
water
treatment
and
recovery
countries
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
15. Implementation Plan
• By region and by country
Segment Global
• Based on geographic, demographic, and
Market
behavioral factors
Countries with:
• Water needs
Target the • Low, flat, hot geographies
Segments • Stable political environment
• Willingness and ability to pay
• Position
as high-tech provider of
Develop
water solutions to emerging and
Superior Offering
developing economies
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
16. Developing a Superior Offering
Contract Type Ownership Structure
D-B-O-O • Expand alone when
possible
• Capture entire value
chain • Usejoint ventures
when required by
• Re-occurring
political
revenues circumstances
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
17. Developing a Superior Offering
§ Create and articulate a value proposition
§ Leverage past experience
§ Capitalize on our understanding of emerging markets
§ Communicate flexible approach (D-B-O-O/JV partnerships)
§ Continue to develop superior technologies
§ Growth relies on technological capabilities
§ Re-focus R&D spending on improving core business
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
18. Financial Summary
2006A 2007A 2008A 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E
Realistic Scenario
Revenues 142.4 192.8 554.2 697.8 841.3 984.9 1,070.3 1,155.7
% growth NM 35.4% 187.5% 25.9% 20.6% 17.1% 8.7% 8.0%
Implied EV 1,857.8 3,874.1
Optimistic Scenario
Revenues 142.4 192.8 554.2 841.3 1,128.4 1,415.5 1,586.3 1,757.2
% growth NM 35.4% 187.5% 51.8% 34.1% 25.4% 12.1% 10.8%
Implied EV 1,857.8 5,890.3
Pessimistic Scenario
Revenues 142.4 192.8 554.2 697.8 697.8 841.3 783.2 926.7
% growth NM 35.4% 187.5% 25.9% 0.0% 20.6% -6.9% 18.3%
Implied EV 1,857.8 3,106.6
Assumptions:
- Realistic scenario: 1 new project per year
- Optimistic scenario: 2 new projects per year
- Pessimistic scenario: 1 new project every 2 years
- Model plant capacity of 300,000 cubic metres per day
- O&M operating fees of S$0.78 per cubic metre
- EPC value of S$435.0 mm
- 3 year completion period
- Existing projects under construction and order books remain in place
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
19. Timeline
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
FOCUS
• Divest non-core
businesses
• Reallocate R&D to core
POSITION
• Understand Gov’t
procurement processes
• Network with Gov’t
officials
GROWTH
• Initiate new projects
• Invest R&D in core
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
20. Risk Assessment
Potential Risks Mitigating Factors
• Pursue joint ventures
Political uncertainty in • Diversification of
host country portfolio
• Negotiate flexible
Rising cost for D-B-O-O
desalination contracts contract
• Hedge energy cost
Greater environmental • Greater technology
scrutiny • Invest in R&D
• Mostcosts are variable
“Lumpiness” of revenues • Enhance market
positioning
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
21. Review of Success Measures
§ Maintain growth momentum
§ Double enterprise value in 5 years
§ Ensure stable, recurring revenue
§ Exceed replacement rate for O&M order book
§ Extend global reach
§ Increase regional diversification
SUCCESS | RECOMMENDATION | ALTERNATIVES | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
27. Appendix B - Research
Total Worldwide Water Treatment Market
Country / Territory Population % of World Population Market Value ($USD)
World 6,784,800,000 $ 394.00
China 1,333,030,000 19.65% $ 77.41
India 1,169,090,000 17.23% $ 67.89
Pakistan 167,463,500 2.47% $ 9.72
Bangladesh 162,221,000 2.39% $ 9.42
Philippines 92,222,660 1.36% $ 5.36
Vietnam 85,789,573 1.26% $ 4.98
Thailand 63,389,730 0.93% $ 3.68
28. Appendix B - Research
GDP (2008 2010 GDP Growth Federal Gov't Spending (2008 Gov't Spending as
Country / Territory $USB) (Projected) $USD) % of GDP
World
China $ 7,800.0 9.5% $ 850.5 10.90%
India $ 3,267.0 7.5% $ 205.3 6.28%
Pakistan $ 452.7 4.0% $ 32.1 7.09%
Bangladesh $ 223.4 7.2% $ 24.2 10.83%
Philippines $ 320.6 6.0% $ 26.8 8.34%
Vietnam $ 246.6 7.0% $ 24.2 9.81%
Thailand $ 553.4 3.5% $ 55.8 10.08%