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Towards a Global Brain
                                      Tim O’Reilly
                                    O’Reilly Media

                                         TEDxSV
                                     May 14, 2011




Saturday, May 14, 2011
“The skill of writing is to
                          create a context in which
                          other people can think.”

                                  -Edwin Schlossberg




Saturday, May 14, 2011
The extraordinary convergence
                         of computing and human potential




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Towards a global brain




Saturday, May 14, 2011
The advent of global consciousness?




Saturday, May 14, 2011
A few key assertions
     We are building a network-mediated global mind
     It is not skynet
     It is us, augmented




Saturday, May 14, 2011
“global consciousness is
                         that thing responsible for
                         deciding that pots
                         containing decaffeinated
                         coffee should be orange”

                         – Danny Hillis (via Jeff Bezos)




                         –   http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2005/03/16/etech_3.html




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Artificial Intelligence




                          “the science and engineering
                         of making intelligent machines”
                                   -John McCarthy, 1956


Saturday, May 14, 2011
Intelligence Augmentation
        “The human mind ... operates by association. With one item in its grasp, it
        snaps instantly to the next that is suggested by the association of thoughts,
        in accordance with some intricate web of trails carried by the cells of the
        brain. It has other characteristics, of course; trails that are not frequently
        followed are prone to fade, items are not fully permanent, memory is
        transitory. Yet the speed of action, the intricacy of trails, the detail of mental
        pictures, is awe-inspiring beyond all else in nature.
        Man cannot hope fully to duplicate this mental process artificially, but he
        certainly ought to be able to learn from it. In minor ways he may even
        improve, for his records have relative permanency. The first idea, however, to
        be drawn from the analogy concerns selection. Selection by association,
        rather than indexing, may yet be mechanized. One cannot hope thus to equal
        the speed and flexibility with which the mind follows an associative trail, but
        it should be possible to beat the mind decisively in regard to the permanence
        and clarity of the items resurrected from storage.
        Consider a future device for individual use, which is a sort of mechanized
        private file and library. It needs a name, and, to coin one at random, "memex"
        will do.”
          – Vannevar Bush, As We May Think, 1945




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
A device that knows
                    where I am better than I
                    do, a knowing assistant
                    telling me where to go
                    and how to get there.




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Beyond information
                    retrieval: real time
                    connection with other
                    people and what they
                    know.




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Man-Computer Symbiosis


        “The hope is that, in not too many years, human
        brains and computing machines will be coupled
        together very tightly, and that the resulting
        partnership will think as no human brain has ever
        thought and process data in a way not approached by
        the information-handling machines we know today.”

           – Licklider, J.C.R., "Man-Computer Symbiosis", IRE Transactions on
             Human Factors in Electronics, vol. HFE-1, 4-11, Mar 1960. Eprint




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Harnessing Collective Intelligence




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
wikipedia




Saturday, May 14, 2011
A device with eyes and
                    ears, with a sense of
                    place, and motion, and
                    proximity, with memory
                    of what it’s seen and
                    where it’s been, a
                    connection to the people
                    we know and love.



Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
The spread of sensors
     sensor platform slide




Saturday, May 14, 2011
The “intelligent” devices of the future are connected to data
        “We don’t have better algorithms. We just have more
        data.” - Peter Norvig, Chief Scientist, Google




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
“Would you be willing to cross
                         the street with information that
                             was five minutes old?”
                                               -Jeff Jonas


Saturday, May 14, 2011
Resilience




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
The global brain is us,
                         connected and augmented




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Vannevar Bush’s Memex - 1945




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
“Your job as a parent is to prepare
                             your child for the future.”




Saturday, May 14, 2011
If the global brain is still a child,
                          what should we be teaching it?
                           How should we be rearing it?




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Predictive analytics in information applications
                               mirrors human learning




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Our algorithms and the goals we set for them
                            mirror human vices and virtues




Saturday, May 14, 2011
We are all Khaled Said




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
“Access to all the world’s information”

                            “How can applications be better
                               when they are social?”

                           “Changing the world by spreading
                             the knowledge of innovators”




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
How can we make the emerging global
                         consciousness not only more resilient,
                                   but more moral?




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
“Virtue is knowing what you really want”
                                                 -James O’Reilly




Saturday, May 14, 2011
εὐδαιµονία




Saturday, May 14, 2011
eudaimonia




Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Saturday, May 14, 2011
We’ve got one world. We’d better get it right.




Saturday, May 14, 2011

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Towards a Global Brain

  • 1. Towards a Global Brain Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media TEDxSV May 14, 2011 Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 2. “The skill of writing is to create a context in which other people can think.” -Edwin Schlossberg Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 3. The extraordinary convergence of computing and human potential Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 4. Towards a global brain Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 5. The advent of global consciousness? Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 6. A few key assertions  We are building a network-mediated global mind  It is not skynet  It is us, augmented Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 7. “global consciousness is that thing responsible for deciding that pots containing decaffeinated coffee should be orange” – Danny Hillis (via Jeff Bezos) – http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2005/03/16/etech_3.html Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 8. Artificial Intelligence “the science and engineering of making intelligent machines” -John McCarthy, 1956 Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 9. Intelligence Augmentation “The human mind ... operates by association. With one item in its grasp, it snaps instantly to the next that is suggested by the association of thoughts, in accordance with some intricate web of trails carried by the cells of the brain. It has other characteristics, of course; trails that are not frequently followed are prone to fade, items are not fully permanent, memory is transitory. Yet the speed of action, the intricacy of trails, the detail of mental pictures, is awe-inspiring beyond all else in nature. Man cannot hope fully to duplicate this mental process artificially, but he certainly ought to be able to learn from it. In minor ways he may even improve, for his records have relative permanency. The first idea, however, to be drawn from the analogy concerns selection. Selection by association, rather than indexing, may yet be mechanized. One cannot hope thus to equal the speed and flexibility with which the mind follows an associative trail, but it should be possible to beat the mind decisively in regard to the permanence and clarity of the items resurrected from storage. Consider a future device for individual use, which is a sort of mechanized private file and library. It needs a name, and, to coin one at random, "memex" will do.” – Vannevar Bush, As We May Think, 1945 Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 12. A device that knows where I am better than I do, a knowing assistant telling me where to go and how to get there. Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 13. Beyond information retrieval: real time connection with other people and what they know. Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 14. Man-Computer Symbiosis “The hope is that, in not too many years, human brains and computing machines will be coupled together very tightly, and that the resulting partnership will think as no human brain has ever thought and process data in a way not approached by the information-handling machines we know today.” – Licklider, J.C.R., "Man-Computer Symbiosis", IRE Transactions on Human Factors in Electronics, vol. HFE-1, 4-11, Mar 1960. Eprint Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 19. A device with eyes and ears, with a sense of place, and motion, and proximity, with memory of what it’s seen and where it’s been, a connection to the people we know and love. Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 21. The spread of sensors  sensor platform slide Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 22. The “intelligent” devices of the future are connected to data “We don’t have better algorithms. We just have more data.” - Peter Norvig, Chief Scientist, Google Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 24. “Would you be willing to cross the street with information that was five minutes old?” -Jeff Jonas Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 27. The global brain is us, connected and augmented Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 28. Vannevar Bush’s Memex - 1945 Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 30. “Your job as a parent is to prepare your child for the future.” Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 31. If the global brain is still a child, what should we be teaching it? How should we be rearing it? Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 32. Predictive analytics in information applications mirrors human learning Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 33. Our algorithms and the goals we set for them mirror human vices and virtues Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 34. We are all Khaled Said Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 36. “Access to all the world’s information” “How can applications be better when they are social?” “Changing the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators” Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 39. How can we make the emerging global consciousness not only more resilient, but more moral? Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 41. “Virtue is knowing what you really want” -James O’Reilly Saturday, May 14, 2011
  • 46. We’ve got one world. We’d better get it right. Saturday, May 14, 2011