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The Critical Need for Genuine School Reform –
            And How to Achieve It




                www.dfer.org

             September 30, 2009
Table of Contents (1)

1.    The increasing importance of education                            Page 4
2.    Despite a massive increase in spending, U.S. educational
      outcomes have stagnated                                          Page 10
3.    Achievement Gap #1: We are falling further and further
      behind our economic competitors                                  Page 19
4.    Achievement Gap #2: The achievement of low-income, minority
      students is dramatically worse than their better-off peers       Page 28
5.    Costs of our schools’ failure                                    Page 43
6.    Why are so many low-income, minority students doing so poorly?   Page 44
7.    Overview of our K-12 public school system today                  Page 45
8.    There are two general approaches to fixing our schools           Page 48
9.    Keys to KIPP’s success                                           Page 54
10.   The importance of effective school leaders                       Page 56
11.   The overwhelming importance of teacher quality                   Page 59
12.   There is enormous variation in teacher quality – and teacher
      talent is distributed unequally                                  Page 65
13.   Why is teacher talent distributed so unfairly?                   Page 76
14.   What can be done to improve teacher quality?                     Page 89
15.   The importance of high standards                                 Page 96
                                                                                 -2-
Table of Contents (2)

16. End social promotion                                           Page 97
17. The hidden teacher spending gap                                Page 99
18. Seven big myths
     •     Myth #1: Low-income, minority students don’t want
            to and/or can’t learn                                 Page 104
     •     Myth #2: Students are overworked                       Page 108
     •     Myth #3: Students are worse off today                  Page 109
     •     Myth #4: We’re not spending enough                     Page 111
     •     Myth #5: Reducing class sizes is an effective way to
           boost student achievement                              Page 116
     •     Myth #6: Teachers are underpaid                        Page 119
     •     Myth #7: NCLB is costly and unnecessary                Page 122
19. Why hasn’t more been done to improve the system?              Page 129
20. The Democrats’ Dilemma – And Obama’s Solution                 Page 139
21. Democrats for Education Reform                                Page 141
22. Race to the Top                                               Page 143
23. What you can do: do’s and don’ts                              Page 146
24. What we are fighting against: a story from the trenches       Page 148
25. Recommended reading                                           Page 152
                                                                             -3-
The Increasing Importance of Education

     Returns on education are high and rising
     Returns on education are high and rising
Education is Highly Correlated With Earnings
        Over the Course of a Lifetime, a College Grad Will Earn
        More Than $1 Million More Than a High School Grad

      $100,000
                                                                    Median Income
        $90,000

        $80,000

        $70,000

        $60,000

        $50,000

        $40,000

        $30,000

        $20,000

        $10,000

             $-
                            HS               HS              Some            Assoc.             BA        MA   Ph.D.   Prof.
                          dropout         graduate          college          degree

Source: U.S. Census Current Population Reports, Series P-60, from Digest of Education Statistics, 2005.
                                                                                                                               -5-
Wage Trends Are Ominous for Men
          Without a College Degree




Source: Inherited Opportunity for Higher Education, Association for Institutional Research, 5/16/06.
                                                                                                       -6-
New Job Trends Are Also Ominous for Those
        Without a College Degree


                            Employment Change by Education (1992 – 2002)

                    Less than HS -0.4

           High School Only                                      0.1

                 Some College                                                      2.4

            2-Year Technical                                                        2.5

            2-Year Academic                                                    2.1

                  4-Year Degree                                                                              6.3

                                              -1.0         0.0         1.0   2.0     3.0   4.0   5.0   6.0     7.0
                                                                             Millions of Jobs

Source: Employment Policy Foundation tabulations of Bureau of Labor
Statistics / Census Current Population Survey data; MTC Institute.                                                   -7-
Education is Also Highly Correlated With
        Employment and Workforce Participation


           High school dropouts today have
                                                                                          44% of high school dropouts are
           nearly 4x the unemployment rate
                                                                                            not in the labor force and an
                 of college graduates
                                                                                          additional 15% are unemployed




      August 2009:


Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (left); U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (CPS), October 2007.   -8-
Rate of Incarceration Increases as
Education Decreases




Source: Harlow, 2003.                -9-
Despite a Massive Increase in Spending,
U.S. Educational Outcomes Have Stagnated
Overall K-12 Education Spending Has Grown
         Rapidly Over Time…
         Per-Pupil Spending, Adjusted for Inflation, Has Doubled Over the Past 35 Years



             Current expenditure per pupil in public elementary and secondary schools




                            2x




Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 59.
                                                                                          -11-
The Rise in Spending Has Been Driven Mainly by a Tripling
     in the Number of Teachers Over the Past 50 Years, Which
     Has Led to a 43% Reduction in the Student-Teacher Ratio


                 200%
                              Number of Teachers                Student-Teacher Ratio
                           1955  1.1 million                            26.9
                           1965  1.7 million                            24.7
                 150%
                           1975  2.2 million                            20.4
                           1985  2.2 million                            17.9
                           1995  2.6 million                            17.3
                           2006  3.2 million                            15.5                                               Number of teachers
                 100%                                                                                                      Student-teacher ratio
      % Change




                 50%




                  0%
                    1955    1958   1961   1964    1967   1970    1973   1976   1979   1982   1985   1988   1991   1994   1997   2000    2003   2006




                 -50%




Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 98.
                                                                                                                                                      -12-
Despite a Doubling of Spending Since the Mid-1970s,
  Average Educational Attainment Has Stagnated

       Percentage of persons 25-29 years old, by highest level of educational attainment

                                                        Stagnation since 1976




Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 57.
                                                                                           -13-
SAT Scores Haven’t Budged Since the Early 1970s




              600

              580

              560
                                       Verbal
              540
                                       Math
              520

              500

              480

              460

              440

              420

              400
                 72

                        74

                               76

                                      78

                                             80

                                                    82


                                                           84

                                                                  86

                                                                         88

                                                                                90

                                                                                       92

                                                                                              94


                                                                                                     96

                                                                                                            98

                                                                                                                   00

                                                                                                                          02

                                                                                                                                 04

                                                                                                                                        06
               19

                      19

                             19

                                    19

                                           19

                                                  19


                                                         19

                                                                19

                                                                       19

                                                                              19

                                                                                     19

                                                                                            19


                                                                                                   19

                                                                                                          19

                                                                                                                 20

                                                                                                                        20

                                                                                                                               20

                                                                                                                                      20
Source: Wikipedia.
                                                                                                                                             -14-
NAEP Scores Have Stagnated As Well



                                     Reading                                                                           Math




Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of
Educational Progress (NAEP), various years, 1971–2008 Long-Term Trend Reading Assessments.                                                -15-
Why Hasn’t Additional Money Resulted in
Improved Results?

1. Teacher quality has been falling rapidly over the past few decades
2. Our school systems have become more bureaucratic and unaccountable
3. I also believe that we, as a nation, have been so rich for so long that we
   have become lazy and complacent. Our youth are spending more time
   watch TV, listening to iPods, playing video games, going to sporting events,
   etc. rather than studying hard. These two pictures capture what’s
   happening in China vs. the U.S.:




                                                                                  -16-
Americans Watch More Than Twice as Much
   TV as Any Other Country


                9

                                              Hours of Television Watched Per Day
                8


                7


                6


                5


                4


                3


                2


                1


                0
                                                                               y




                                                                               k
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                                   nd




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Source: OECD Communications Outlook 2009; http://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9309031E.PDF#page=202.
                                                                                                                                      -17-
Overall, Students At All Grade Levels Are Spending Far
More Time Watching TV Than Doing Homework

                      More than 4 hours of                              More than 1 hour
                 70
                      TV each school day                                of homework
                                                                                           70

                 60                                                                        60

  White 50                                                                      Black      50

 Students 40                                                                   Students    40

                 30                                                                        30

                 20                                                                        20

                 10                                                                        10

                  0                                                                         0
                      4th Grade             8th Grade          12th Grade                       4th Grade             8th Grade          12th Grade

                                  TV (4+ hrs)   Homew ork (>1 hr)                                           TV (4+ hrs)   Homew ork (>1 hr)


                 70                                                                        70

                 60                                                                        60
                 50                                                                        50
  Hispanic40                                                                    Asian
                                                                                           40
  Students30
                                                                               Students    30

                 20                                                                        20

                 10                                                                        10

                  0                                                                        0
                      4th Grade             8th Grade          12th Grade                       4th Grade             8th Grade          12th Grade

                              TV (4+ hrs)       Homew ork (>1 hr)                                       TV (4+ hrs)       Homew ork (>1 hr)




Source: No Excuses.
                                                                                                                                                      -18-
Achievement Gap #1

We are falling further and further behind our economic competitors
Our 15-Year-Olds Trail Nearly All Other
        OECD Countries in Math and Science




Source: OECD; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09.
                                                                                                                   -20-
We Get Very Little Bang for Our Education Buck




Source: National Center for Education Statistics; US Census Bureau; OECD; GovernmentSpending.com; McKinsey analysis;
Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09.                     -21-
Our Relative Performance is Weak – and Declines
     Dramatically the Longer Our Students Are in School

                                                              Math Performance
             100%
                80%
                60%
                40%
                20%
                    0%
                                         Grade 4                               Grade 8                 Grade 12
            Nations scoring below the U.S.             Nations scoring the same as the U.S.   Nations' scoring higher than the U.S.




Source: NCES 1999-081R, Highlights From TIMSS. Slide courtesy of Education Trust.
                                                                                                                                      -22-
U.S. Students Go to School Fewer Hours per Day and
Fewer Days Per Year Than Students in Asia


                                      250                                   Over a 13-Year
                                                                            School Career,
                                                                            Students in Asia
                                      200
                                                                            Receive 2-4 More
   Days of School
                                                                            Years Of Academic
      Per Year
                                                                            Instruction
                                      150




                                      100




                                       50




                                        0
                                             U.S.   Japan   Korea   China




Source: Business Week, James P. Lenfestey.                                                      -23-
Our High School Graduation Rate Lags
         Nearly All Other OECD Countries




                                                                                                                                      Average
                                                                                                                                      OECD: 82


Source: OECD, Education at a Glance, 2007; 2005 data; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09.
                                                                                                                                                           -24-
The U.S. Remains Among the Leaders
          in College Participation
          But it Ranks in the Bottom Half in College Completion



                                                                                             35% of our
                                                                                            young adults
                                                                                                are in
                                                                                             college, but
                                                                                            they receive
                                                                                               only 17
                                                                                            degrees/100
                                                                                            students. In
                                                                                            Portugal, the
                                                                                             ratio is 1:1.




Source: National Report Card on Higher Education, http://measuringup.highereducation.org.
                                                                                                             -25-
Our College Completion Rate Has Stagnated,
  Allowing Our Economic Competitors to Pass Us




Source: OECD.
                                                 -26-
American Students Score Highly in Only One Area
          Relative to Their International Peers: Self-Confidence


            We need our students to have high self-esteem that is rooted in high achievement




Source: Chester Finn, Education Next, Winter 2005.
                                                                                               -27-
Achievement Gap #2

The achievement of low-income, minority students is
The achievement of low-income, minority students is
   dramatically worse than their better-off peers
   dramatically worse than their better-off peers
The Majority of Black and Latino 4th Graders
     Are Illiterate

                                                 Reading Performance
           100%
                                      14                                                                                     Prof/Adv
                                                                    17
                                                                                                                             Basic
             80%                                                                                 43
                                                                                                                             Below Basic
                                      32
                                                                    33
             60%
                                                                                                                            “Below Basic”
             40%                                                                                 34                         readers in 4th
                                                                                                                            grade struggle
                                      54                            50                                                      to read a simple
             20%                                                                                                            children’s book
                                                                                                 23
                0%
                                   Black                       Latino                       White


Source: 2007 data, National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde                      -29-
The Achievement Gaps Widens The
      Longer Students Are in School




                          White- White-
                          Latino Black




Source: US DOE, NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) Summary Data Tables, data for public schools;
Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09.                       -30-
Black and Latino 12th Graders Read at the
  Same Level As White 8th Graders
  (The Same is True in Math)



                           100%
     Percent of Students




         % of
       Students




                            0%
                                     150              200          250            300        350
                                                            Average Scale Score
                              White 13 Year-Olds       Black 17 Year-Olds    Latino 17 Year-Olds

Source: NAEP 2005 data. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust.
                                                                                                   -31-
Minority Children Start School One Year Behind – And the
Achievement Gap Grows Every Year As Children Get Older
KIPP Schools Reverse This Trend

              12

              11        Most KIPP schools take Black and Latino
                          students entering 5th grade two years
              10         below grade level and accelerate them
               9        two grade levels per year, such that they
   Grade                leave KIPP in 8th grade two years above
         8                 grade level (and on track to college)
   level
               7
                           White students start at
               6            grade level and stay
               5           there, progressing one
                              grade level/year
               4

               3
                                                                                             Black and Latino students start one
               2                                                                            year behind and only progress ¾ of a
                                                                                           grade level/year, so they fall one grade
               1
                                                                                                level behind every four years
               0
                       K          1         2          3         4          5         6          7         8          9         10        11         12
              -1
                                                                      Year of School
Note: The entire gap achievement gap in kindergarten can be explained by the following background characteristics: socioeconomic status, number of books in the
home, gender, age, birth weight, WIC participation, and mother’s age at birth of first child. The widening of the gap cannot be explained by a change in background
characteristics.
Sources: Previous slides, KIPP data, Whitney Tilson estimates.                                                                                                        -32-
Over the Past 20 Years, the Achievement Gaps in
  Reading Have Remained Persistently Wide
                     White-Black                 White-Hispanic




Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress.
                                                                  -33-
In the Past 18 Years, the Achievement Gaps in
  Math Have Remained Persistently Wide as Well
                     White-Black                 White-Hispanic




Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress.
                                                                  -34-
There Are Large Racial Gaps in
    High School Graduation Rates


                                        As bad as
                                        these
                                        numbers are,
                                        they’re far
                                        worse for
                                        Black males in
                                        many major
                                        cities: their
                                        graduation
                                        rate is 20% in
                                        Indianapolis
                                        and Detroit,
                                        31% in
                                        Baltimore and
                                        Buffalo, 34%
                                        in Atlanta and
                                        Cleveland.


Source: The Graduation Project, 2006.                    -35-
Few Black and Latino Students Make It
        to College – And Even Fewer Graduate




                                                                            Of African-American and
                                                                            Latino students who receive
                                                                            a high school diploma, only
                                                                            28% and 16%, respectively,
                                                                            receive a bachelor’s degree.




Sources: U.S. Dept. of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, State-level Enrollment and Degree Attainment Data.
U.S. Census Bureau, 2003 Current Population Survey, Educational Attainment in the United States, June 2004. Slide courtesy of Education Trust.        -36-
Very Few Children from Low-Income Households
Are Graduating From Any Four-Year Colleges

                                        Bachelor’s Degree Attained by Age 24
               80%
               70%
               60%
               50%
               40%
               30%
               20%
               10%
                 0%
                              Top Quartile                2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile   Bottom
                                                            Household Income
                                                                                      Quartile

Notes: 2003 data. Household income limits: Top quartile: $95,040+; 2nd quartile:
$62,628-$95,040; 3rd quartile: $35,901-$62,628; Bottom quartile: <$35,901.
                                                                                                 -37-
Source: www.postsecondary.org/archives/Reports/Spreadsheets/DegreeBy24.htm
Very Few Children from Low-Income Households Are Graduating
From Any Four-Year Colleges…And There Has Been Little
Improvement Over the Past 40 Years




Source: Inherited Opportunity for Higher Education, Association for Institutional Research, 5/16/06.
                                                                                                       -38-
74% of Students at Elite Colleges Are From
        Top Quartile Households and Only 9% Are
        From Bottom Half Households

                        80%
                        70%
                        60%
     % of
   Students 50%
            40%
                        30%
                        20%
                        10%
                          0%
                                       Top Quartile               2nd Quartile                3rd Quartile              Bottom
                                                                                                                        Quartile


Notes: Elite colleges are the 146 most selective, as determined by Barron’s: Profiles of American Colleges, 24th ed.
Source: Socioeconomic Status, Race/Ethnicity, and Selective College Admissions, Carnevale & Rose, Century Foundation.              -39-
The Dearth of Low-Income Students in College
        Is in Part Due to the Rising Cost




Source: National Report Card on Higher Education, http://measuringup.highereducation.org.
                                                                                            -40-
In Spite of Rapidly Rising Costs, However, Nearly All
College-Ready High School Students Are Going to College
The Problem is That Our K-12 Schools Are Preparing Far Too Few Students – Especially Low-Income Ones – for College




Source: Education Myths, year 2000.                                                                              -41-
Even the Better Students – the Ones Who Go
     to College – Are Alarmingly Unprepared

  • Close to half of the students who enter college need remedial courses
           – At Cal State, the system admits only students with at least a B average in
             high school, yet 37% of the incoming class last year needed remedial
             math, and 45% needed remedial English
  • According to scores on the 2006 ACT college entrance exam, only
    21% of students applying to four-year institutions are ready for
    college-level work in all four areas tested: reading, writing, math and
    biology
  • Lack of preparedness leads to nearly half of all students beginning
    higher education by attending a community college, which has
    negative consequences:
           – One study showed that 73% of students entering community college
             hoped to earn four-year degrees, but only 22% had done so after six years
           – The Pew Charitable Trusts recently found that three-quarters of
             community college graduates were not literate enough to handle everyday
             tasks like comparing viewpoints in newspaper editorials or calculating the
             cost of food items per ounce


Source: At 2-Year Colleges, Students Eager but Unready, New York Times, 9/1/06, www.nytimes.com/2006/09/02/education/02college.html
                                                                                                                                      -42-
The Failure of So Many of Our Schools
Leads to Enormous Costs to Our Society

• We are paying higher and higher taxes to pay for the increasing
  cost of our public schools, yet they are failing to deliver improved
  performance
• To compensate for underprepared workers, U.S. industry spends
  about $25 billion yearly on remediation
• High school dropouts are:
   – More likely to be unemployed
   – Earn lower wages
   – Have higher rates of public assistance
   – Are more likely to be single parents
        • 52% of males who fail to finish high school father a child out of
          wedlock
    – Have children at a younger age
    – More likely to become criminals and end up in jail…or dead
        • 82% of America's prisoners are high school dropouts
        • 80% of prison inmates are functionally illiterate
        • 52% of African-American men who fail to finish high school end up
          in prison at some point in their lives
                                                                              -43-
Why Are Low-Income, Minority Students
Performing So Poorly?

• There are many reasons why low-income, minority children are
  performing so poorly academically – and many of these reasons are
  beyond the control of schools
   – Surveys show that most Americans, when asked to explain the
     achievement gap, cite lazy, unmotivated students and parents who don’t
     care about education
• There is no doubt that children from troubled communities and
  families, in which few people have completed high school, much
  less college, are a challenge to educate
• There are, however, many schools that are generating extraordinary
  academic success with precisely these children
• Thus, we must reject a “blame the victim” mentality
• To escape poverty, these children need the best schools and
  teachers, yet they get the worst. They overwhelmingly attend school
  systems that are deeply dysfunctional and unaccountable, with
  skewed incentives
                                                                              -44-
Fixing the System

To fix the system, one must first understand it
To fix the system, one must first understand it
Overview of Our K-12 Public School System Today

    •     48.1 million public school students in 98,793
          schools in 13,862 independent school
          districts
    •     Total spending approaching of $600 billion
          dollars annually, exceeding all areas of
          government spending except healthcare
    •     A high degree of state and local autonomy
             – No scale/R&D
             – No common metric of success
             – Fiscal inequity
    •     A “delivery system” that has changed little
          for generations
    •     Entrenched bureaucratic system of top-
          down governance
    •     Overall, there are a small percentage of
          excellent schools, usually serving the most
          privileged families, a wide swath of
          mediocrity, and a catastrophically failing
          system among the bottom 25% of schools,
          which victimize mostly low-income, minority
          students – though there are exceptions
Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008 (2006-07 data); chart: The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09.
                                                                                                                                                             -46-
The Government’s Obligation


•   Federal, state and local governments have a moral and practical
    responsibility to provide every family with a good local public school
    – or must provide an alternative
•   The current status quo, in which parents – mostly low-income,
    minority ones who can’t opt out of the system – are forced to send
    their children – millions of them – to schools that everyone knows
    are dangerous and chronically failing is simply unacceptable
•   Given the widespread failure at the state and local level, a greater
    role for the federal government is called for to, for example, set
    standards and demand accountability. Such a role is consistent
    with the federal role in other important breakthroughs such as
    Brown vs. Board of Education and the Great Society




                                                                             -47-
There Are Two General Approaches to
  Fixing Our Schools

Improve the Current System                                Create Alternatives To It
• More choice among public schools
                                                          • Create choices outside of
• Set high standards, benchmarked against
  international standards                                   the traditional public
• Hire/train better principals and empower them             school system via charter
• Better measure student achievement and teacher            schools, tuition vouchers
  effectiveness, in part by improving collection and        and tax credits. This will
  use of data                                               both create better options
• Hold principals and teachers accountable for              for many students and
  improving student achievement, and reward those           spur the regular public
  that deliver it
                                                            schools to improve,
• Distribute teacher talent more equitably
                                                            benefiting even the
• Pay teachers more in certain high-demand subject
  areas, in hard-to-staff schools, and based on merit       students “left behind”
• Renegotiate onerous provisions of teacher
  contracts (make it harder to get tenure and easier to
  remove ineffective teachers, eliminate seniority
  “bumping” rights, etc.)
• Eliminate social promotion
• Lengthen the school day and year
• Take strong actions to address chronically
  underperforming schools                                                           -48-
We Need to Adopt Both Strategies


•   Choice programs/schools like KIPP provide critical lifelines for
    over 1 million children, and are also laboratories of innovation
    and models for change
     –    1.4 million students attended 4,600 charter schools in 40 states and
          the District of Columbia
•   Once they reach a critical mass, choice programs/schools do
    indeed create pressure for change – but this is often not
    enough
     –    “In the absence of broader organizational and institutional changes,
          choice-driven competition is unlikely to deliver the results that its
          proponents desire.” – Frederick Hess, author of Common Sense
          School Reform
•   For the foreseeable future, the vast majority of children will
    continue to be educated at their local public school
•   First and foremost, parents don’t want choice – they want a
    good local school!


                                                                                  -49-
The United States Has Two Educational Systems
  One Is Failing Miserably, While the Other Is the Envy of the World
  Charter Schools Fall Into the Latter Category

K-12 Public Schools                                   Post-Secondary System
• Only people with means can afford to                • Public, private and religious schools all
  opt out of the public schools                         compete fiercely for students
• Public schools have dominant market                 • No one type of school has dominant market
  share                                                 share
• Students and their parents typically                • Students and their parents choose among a
  have little or no choice of school; they              vast array of options which school is best,
  are assigned to one school based on                   depending on each student’s interests and
  where they live                                       needs
• Money doesn’t follow students; if they              • Money in the form of scholarships and
  don’t attend their local public school,               student loans – both public and private –
  they get nothing                                      largely follows students
    – If students or their parents are dissatisfied      – If students or their parents are dissatisfied with
      with a school, they have few options                 a school, they can easily switch schools
• Failing schools typically face few                  • Failing schools face severe consequences
  consequences                                          and/or go out of business
• Teachers, even the most ineffective                 • It takes many years for teachers to earn
  teachers, almost always get tenure                    tenure, and the process is generally rigorous
  within a few years                                    and competitive
• Very little innovation and specialization           • Tremendous innovation and specialization
  among schools                                         among schools
                                                         – Think of the differences between MIT, Amherst,
                                                           the University of Michigan, Notre Dame and
                                                           City College of New York, for example
                                                                                                                -50-
Steps to Fixing the System – Big Picture
 Most Big-City School Systems Are Caught in “Doom Loops”


  In Good to Great, Jim Collins contrasts the culture of discipline inside truly great
  organizations with those of struggling competitors. The highly successful companies found a
  "hedgehog concept" - what they could be the best in the world at - and they slowly,
  methodically built their business around this concept, gaining momentum each year. The
  image Collins uses to describe this momentum buildup is of the great companies pushing a
  huge flywheel; the first three, five, 15, 100 turns take exceptional effort, but once the flywheel
  is turning, the momentum makes it easier for each turn to go faster with less effort. The
  pattern within these companies creates sustained excellence: steps forward consistent with
  hedgehog concept, accumulation of visible results, personnel energized by results, flywheel
  builds momentum, steps forward consistent with the hedgehog concept.

  In contrast, the companies with chronically poor results were caught in devastating "doom
  loops" that were characterized by a familiar yet highly destructive pattern: disappointing
  results, reaction without understanding, new direction/program/ leader/event/fad, no
  accumulated momentum, disappointing results. Collins writes:

                “Instead of a quiet, deliberate process of figuring out what needed to be done and
                then simply doing it, the (poorly performing) companies launched new programs -
                often with great fanfare and hoopla aimed at 'motivating the troops' - only to see the
                programs fail to produce sustained results. They sought the single defining action,
                the grand program, the one killer innovation, the miracle moment that would allow
                them to skip the arduous buildup stage and jump right to the breakthrough.”

     There is no magic bullet, no 100% solution. We need 100 1% solutions.
Source: www.achievementfirst.org/about.lessons.html                                                      -51-
Too Many School Systems Today Are Dominated By
the “Three Pillars of Mediocrity”

1.   Lifetime tenure (i.e., cannot remove ineffective performers)
2.   Lockstep pay
3.   System driven by seniority (not merit)

     “These three pillars need to be replaced with a culture that
     differentiates based on merit and organizational need.” – Joel
     Klein, Chancellor, NYC public schools




                                                                      -52-
4 Steps for Fixing Any Broken System
    Successful Schools Do All of These Things

   1. Hire and train great leaders and then empower them
        • Give principals the power to manage their schools by giving them more
          control over their budgets and staff
             –   For example, renegotiate onerous provisions of teacher contracts (make it
                 harder to get tenure and easier to remove ineffective teachers, eliminate
                 seniority “bumping” rights, etc.)
   2. Adopt the right strategy and tactics
        •   Focus on improving teacher quality
        •   Use proven curricula
        •   Eliminate social promotion
        •   Extend the school day and year
   3. Measure results
        • For principals, measure overall school performance
        • For teachers, measure individual student performance
   4. Hold people accountable
        • Reward success and punish failure
        • Close or break up chronically underperforming schools
        • Ineffective principals and teachers must be put on probation, given
          training and support and, if they do not become effective, removed
Be willing to spend more money – but only if it is accompanied by major systemic reform      -53-
How Do KIPP and a Few Other Programs Succeed With the
Students Who Are Failing in Regular Public Schools?

1.   KIPP starts by identifying and training top-notch school leaders who are
     then empowered and held accountable for building outstanding schools
2.   KIPP recruits, trains and retains top 1% teachers
3.   Extended school day and school year
      – KIPP students get up to 70% more class time than they would in regular
        public schools
4.   Character and culture
      – Work hard, be nice, there are no shortcuts, we’re climbing the mountain to
        college, etc.
      – One study showed that grit and determination were twice as powerful at IQ in
        predicting life success

KIPP and a handful of other top schools are “black swans.” Just as the
existence of even one black swan proves that all swans aren’t white, even a
small number of KIPP schools proves that, without spending any additional
money, schools have the capability to change life trajectories and send nearly
all low-income, minority students to college. Thus, KIPP schools have been a
major catalyst in transforming the debate about the achievement gap, from
one focused on excuses (“we just need to spend more money”) and blaming
the victims (“it’s impossible to educate those kids”) to one that centers on how
to make every school as successful as KIPP schools.                                    -54-
KIPP Schools Share a Core Set of Operating Principles
    Known as the Five Pillars
    There Is No Reason Why Every School Couldn’t Adopt These Five Pillars

    1. High Expectations. KIPP Schools have clearly defined and measurable high
       expectations for academic achievement and conduct that make no excuses based on
       the students' backgrounds. Students, parents, teachers, and staff create and reinforce a
       culture of achievement and support through a range of formal and informal rewards and
       consequences for academic performance and behavior.
    2. Choice & Commitment. Students, their parents, and the faculty of each KIPP School
       choose to participate in the program. No one is assigned or forced to attend these
       schools. Everyone must make and uphold a commitment to the school and to each
       other to put in the time and effort required to achieve success.
    3. More Time. KIPP Schools know that there are no shortcuts when it comes to success in
       academics and life. With an extended school day, week, and year, students have more
       time in the classroom to acquire the academic knowledge and skills that will prepare
       them for competitive high schools and colleges, as well as more opportunities to engage
       in diverse extracurricular experiences.
    4. Power to Lead. The principals of KIPP Schools are effective academic and
       organizational leaders who understand that great schools require great School Leaders.
       They have control over their school budget and personnel. They are free to swiftly move
       dollars or make staffing changes, allowing them maximum effectiveness in helping
       students learn.
    5. Focus on Results. KIPP Schools relentlessly focus on high student performance on
       standardized tests and other objective measures. Just as there are no shortcuts, there
       are no excuses. Students are expected to achieve a level of academic performance that
       will enable them to succeed at the nation's best high schools and colleges.
Source: www.kipp.org/fivepillars.cfm                                                              -55-
The Importance of Effective School Leaders

 Great principals establish the right “culture” at a school
          and attract and retain great teachers
Principals Are Increasingly Being Held Accountable
     for Their Schools’ Success or Failure
     Yet in Most Urban Districts, They Have Limited Ability to Hire and Fire Staff




“Nine out of 10 times, the person that is coming is not succeeding in his or her
school . . . [E]veryone wants to keep their good teachers.” – Urban Principal
Source: Unintended Consequences, The New Teacher Project, 11/05                      -57-
We Need to Hire and Train Better School Leaders, Give Them
Greater Autonomy and Then Hold Them Accountable for Results
Case Study: New York City Empowerment Schools

 •   Principals sign performance agreements that lay out principals’ new powers,
     resources, and responsibilities in exchange for:
      –   Increased authority over instructional practices, professional development, organization,
          school schedule, and summer programming
      –   Substantially greater discretion and fewer restrictions over school budget
      –   Additional money, in place of mandatory DOE programs and services, with which to decide
          what services to purchase – either from outside vendors or the DOE itself
           •   For each school, $100,000 in newly unrestricted funds and about $150,000 in in funds previously
               managed centrally on behalf of the school
      –   Fewer administrative requirements and reduced reporting and paperwork
      –   A significant voice in selecting and evaluating a dedicated support team charged with serving each school.
          Each dedicated support team will be a partner for principals, assuring that schools’ needs are satisfactorily
          met
 •   There are annual assessments and each school receives a progress report and
     overall letter grade (A through F)
      –   Schools that receive a grade of “D” or “F” (or a grade of “C” in three consecutive years) are
          subject to consequences, including the use of intervention teams and leadership changes
 •   Empowerment School principals will form into “networks” of no more than 20 schools
      –   Networks will choose “network support leaders” who will work with small teams to help
          principals learn from each other and solve problems
      –   An Integrated Service Center will support the network support teams
 •   48 schools participated in a two-year pilot program
      –   80% met their target goals
      –   They outperformed citywide averages as well as their own past performance prior to entering
          the pilot program
 •   331 schools (including the original 48 plus 10 charter schools) – approximately 1 in 5
     schools in the city – recently volunteered to become Empowerment Schools                                             -58-
The Overwhelming Importance of Teacher Quality
    • Numerous studies have shown that the most
    • Numerous studies have shown that the most
      important determinant of student achievement, by far,
      important determinant of student achievement, by far,
      is teacher quality
      is teacher quality
    • There is enormous variability among teachers
    • There is enormous variability among teachers
One Study in Dallas Compared Two Groups of Students, Both of Which
Started 3rd Grade at About the Same Level of Math Achievement…




                        100

     Average 80
    Percentile
      Rank                                                   55                                                         57
               60

                          40

                          20

                            0
                                                        Group 1                                                   Group 2



Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust.   -60-
Three Years Later, One Group Vastly Outperformed the Other.
The Only Difference: Group 1 Had Three Effective Teachers,
While Group 2 Had Three Ineffective Teachers
(Results were similar in reading)

                         100
                                                                     76
                           80
     Average
    Percentile                                      55                                                        57
               60
      Rank
                           40
                                                                                                                               27
                           20

                             0
                                      Group 1 Assigned to Three                                 Group 2 Assigned to Three
                                        EFFECTIVE Teachers                                       INEFFECTIVE Teachers

                                                      Beginning of 3rd Grade                          End of 5th Grade


Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust.   -61-
Effective Teachers Turned Previously Low-Performing
Dallas 4th Graders Into High-Performing 7th Graders


               Low-performing students benefit the most from effective teachers

                                        100%                                                                                      Effective
        % Passing 7th Grade Math Test




                                        90%                                                                                       teachers
                                        80%                                                                                       raised low-
                                        70%                                                                                       performing
                                        60%                                                                                       students
                                        50%
                                                                                                                                  almost to
                                        40%
                                                                                                                                  the level of
                                        30%
                                                                                                                                  other
                                        20%
                                                                                                                                  students in
                                        10%
                                                                                                                                  only 3
                                         0%
                                               Low-performing 4th graders   Middle-performing 4th      High-performing 4th        years
                                                                                   graders                   graders

                                                                3 ineffective teachers    3 effective teachers



Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997.                  -62-
College Readiness Increases With Teacher Quality*


       100%                                                                                                               * The Teacher Quality
                             15%                                                                                             Index is Based on
                                                                                                                             Five Factors:
                                                         31%
                                                                                    39%                                     1. % of Teachers with
     75%                                                                                                        50%            Emergency/Provi-
                             30%                                                                                               sional Certification
  Percent of                                                                                                                2. % of Teachers from
   Students                                                                                                                    More/Most Selective
                                                         30%                                                                   Colleges
     50%                                                                                                                    3. % of Teachers With
                                                                                    29%                                        at Least 4 Yrs of
                                                                                                                               Experience
                                                                                                                26%
                                                                                                                            4. % of Teachers
                             55%                                                                                               Failing Basic Skills
         25%                                                                                                                   Test on 1st Attempt
                                                         39%                                                                5. Teachers’ Average
                                                                                    32%                                        ACT Composite and
                                                                                                                24%            English Scores

           0%
                          Lowest TQI              Lower Middle TQI            Upper Middle TQI              Highest TQI

          Not / Least                                   Somewhat / Minimally                                More / Most
          College Ready                                 College Ready                                       College Ready
Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006; Presley, J. and Gong, Y. (2005). The Demographics and Academics of College
Readiness in Illinois. Illinois Education Research Council.                                                                                           -63-
College Math Readiness Is Affected More by Teacher
Quality Than by the Level of Courses Taken

                                                                                                                                           81
                 A student who takes                                                                                                  76
           75    Algebra II with even a 3rd
                                                                                                                              67
                 quartile teacher is better
  % of Students
                 prepared for college than a                                                      57
 Most/More Ready                                                                            52
                 student who takes Calculus                                                                            48
           50    with a bottom 10% teacher                                           42


                                                                               25
                    25                       18 20
                                                           21
                                                                                                                16
                                       11
                                  6                                       6

                      0
                                      Algebra II                          Trigonometry or                                  Calculus
                       Lowest Quartile
                                                                       other advanced math
                Lowest                      Lowest                     Lower-                            Upper-                             Highest
                 10%                        11-25%                     Middle                            Middle                               TQI
                  TQI                        TQI                     TQI Quartile                      TQI Quartile                         Quartile

Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006; Presley, J. and Gong, Y. (2005). The Demographics and Academics of College
Readiness in Illinois. Illinois Education Research Council.                                                                                            -64-
There is Enormous Variation in Teacher Quality –
  And Teacher Talent Is Distributed Unequally
    • By any measure, low-income, minority students are not
    • By any measure, low-income, minority students are not
      getting their fair share of high-quality teachers
      getting their fair share of high-quality teachers
    • On average, they are much more likely to be taught by
    • On average, they are much more likely to be taught by
      teachers who: didn’t major or minor in the field they are
      teachers who: didn’t major or minor in the field they are
      teaching; are rookies; did poorly on SATs and other
      teaching; are rookies; did poorly on SATs and other
      standardized tests; got poor grades in high school and
      standardized tests; got poor grades in high school and
      college; and attended noncompetitive colleges.
      college; and attended noncompetitive colleges.
There Is Enormous Variation In Teacher Effectiveness




Source: Identifying Effective Teachers Using Performance on the Job, Hamilton Project, April 2006.   -66-
In One Study in Boston, “One-Third of the Teachers Had No Measurable
Effect on the Reading and Math Skills of Their Students”



                          16

                          14            One frustrated principal
    Average 12                          said, “About one-third of
  Improvement
    (Points) 10                         my teachers should not
                            8           be teaching”
                            6

                            4

                            2

                            0
                                              Bottom 1/3                               Middle 1/3                                Top 1/3
                          -2

                                                                                  Math         Reading

Notes: 10th grade students at non-selective Boston public schools; average student scores prior to 10th grade were comparable (670-687 range); excluded
bilingual and special education students.
Source: Boston Public Schools, Bain & Company, 3/31/98                                                                                                    -67-
Low-Performing 4th Graders in Dallas Were Far More
Likely to be Assigned to Ineffective Teachers

                           High-Performing Children Consistently Get Effective Teachers –
                          And Low-Performing Children Consistently Get Ineffective Teachers
                           90
                                  80
                                  70
             Number of Students




                                  60
                                  50
                                  40
                                  30
                                  20
                                  10
                                   0
                                       Low-performing 4th graders   Middle-performing 4th   High-performing 4th graders
                                                                           graders

                                                         3 ineffective teachers   3 effective teachers


Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004.                                                         -68-
High-Poverty Schools Have Far More Teachers Who Did
Poorly on SATs and Attended Non-Competitive Colleges


             % of Teachers With Top- and                                     % of Teachers Who Attended
             Bottom-Quartile SAT Scores                                       Non-Competitive Colleges
         40%                                                           45%

         35%                                                           40%

         30%                                                           35%

         25%                                                           30%

         20%                                                           25%

         15%                                                           20%

         10%                                                           15%

           5%                                                          10%

           0%                                                          5%
                   High-poverty schools        Low -poverty schools
                                                                       0%
                                                                              High-poverty schools   Low -poverty schools
          Top-quartile SAT scores         Bottom-quartile SAT scores




Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004.                                                           -69-
Poor and Minority High School School Students Nationwide Are More Often
Taught By Teachers Who Do Not Major or Minor in the Field They Are Teaching




Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006                  -70-
Poor High School Students Are More
Often Taught by Less-Qualified Teachers


                                                 Percentage of Teachers Who Majored or
     50%                                         Minored in the Field They Are Teaching
                                    40%

                                                                                                  31%
                          28%
                                                                       20%                  19%
                                                             14%                                          16% 18%



        0%
                               Math                           Science                       English     Social Studies

                 less than 20% Free Lunch                                           greater than 49% Free Lunch


Source: National Commission on Teaching and America’s Future,
What Matters Most: Teaching for America’s Future (p.16) 1996. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust.                                -71-
Poor High School Students Are More Often
                                                                              *
   Taught by Inexperienced Teachers


                                              High- and low-poverty schools                                    High- and low-minority schools

       25%
                                          20%                                                           21%
   Percentage of
   Inexperienced
     Teachers                                                 11%                                                           10%




          0%

                                         H igh-poverty schools                                Low-poverty schools
                                         H igh-minority schools                               Low-minority schools



*Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience. High and low refer to top and bottom quartiles.
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust.        -72-
High-Poverty Schools in Illinois and New York Have Far More
     Teachers Who Did Poorly on State Certification Exams



        •       In Illinois, children in high-poverty schools were five times more
                likely to be taught by teachers who failed the state teacher licensure
                exam at least once, and 23 times more likely to be taught by
                teachers who failed it at least five times
                   – One Chicago teacher failed on 24 of 25 tries – including all 12 of the
                     tests in the subject area in which she taught – yet is still teaching
        •       In New York, of those teaching minority students, 21% of teachers
                failed one of the state’s certification exams vs. 7% of those who
                teach white students




Source: Chicago Sun Times, 2001 (Illinois data).
                                                                                              -73-
High-Poverty Schools In New York State Have Far More
       Teachers Who Attended Non-Competitive Colleges

          •      The 10% of public schools in New York State with the highest-
                 income students have almost no teachers who attended “least-
                 competitive” colleges
          •      In the 10% of public schools with the lowest-income students,
                 more than 30% of teachers attended “least-competitive” colleges
          •      Minority students in New York are more than twice as likely as
                 white students to be taught by teachers from the least-competitive
                 colleges




Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004.
                                                                                      -74-
High-Minority Schools in Illinois Have By Far the
Lowest-Quality Teachers*

                                                                                      * The Teacher Quality
                                                                    60% of teachers      Index is Based on
                                                                    in the highest-      Five Factors:
                                                                    minority           1. % of Teachers with
                                                                                          Emergency/Provi-
                                                                    schools are in        sional Certification
                                                                    the bottom 10%     2. % of Teachers from
                                                                                          More/Most Selective
                                                                    of the Teacher        Colleges
                                                                                       3. % of Teachers With
                                                                    Quality Index*        at Least 4 Yrs of
                                                                                          Experience
                                                                                       4. % of Teachers
                                                                                          Failing Basic Skills
                                                                                          Test on 1st Attempt
                                                                                       5. Teachers’ Average
                                                                                          ACT Composite and
                                                                                          English Scores




Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004.                                                -75-
Why Is Teacher Talent Distributed So Unfairly?


 • Experienced teachers use seniority to get placed at “good”
   schools
 • Rookie teachers are disproportionately assigned to schools with
   teacher shortages (i.e., those serving low-income, minority
   students)
 • The best principals (who tend to attract the best teachers) tend to
   end up at more affluent schools
 • Affluent parents demand high-quality principals and teachers –
   and know how to raise a ruckus if they don’t get them




                                                                         -76-
Overall Teacher Quality Has Been Declining
    for Decades
    This Has Exacerbated the Problem of the Unfair Distribution of Teacher Talent


  • Among high-school students who took the SAT in 1994-1995, those
    who intended to study education in college scored lower on both the
    verbal and math sections than students expressing an interest in any
    other field
  • In 1998 the mean SAT score for students who intended to major in
    education was 479 math and 485 verbal—32 and 20 points lower than
    all college-bound seniors
  • Once in college, education majors were more likely to be in the bottom
    quartile and less likely to be in the top quartile than any other major




Source: Thomas D. Snyder, et al., Digest of Education Statistics 1997, U.S. Department of Education, p. 135; Tyce Palmaffy, “Measuring the Teacher Quality
Problem,” in Better Teachers, Better Schools, edited by Marci Kanstoroom and Chester E. Finn, Jr., Thomas B. Fordham Foundation, pp. 21-22; Robin R. Henke, et
al., Out of the Lecture Hall and into the Classroom: 1992-1993 College Graduates and Elementary/Secondary School Teaching, U.S. Department of Education, p. 58.   -77-
Top-Performing High School Students
  Are Far Less Likely to Enter Teaching




Source: Teaching at Risk-Progress and Potholes, The Teaching Commission, March 2006.
                                                                                       -78-
College Seniors Who Plan to Go Into
 Education Have Very Low Test Scores

                           GRE Scores - Quantitative                                                                                           GRE Scores - Verbal
      750                                                                                                            560



                                                                                                                     540

      700
                                                                                                                     520



                                                                                                                     500
      650


                                                                                                                     480


      600
                                                                                                                     460



                                                                                                                     440
      550

                                                                                                                     420



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Source: General Test Percentage Distribution of Scores Within Intended Broad Graduate Major Field Based on Seniors and Nonenrolled College Graduates,
Educational Testing Service, www.ets.org/Media/Tests/GRE/pdf/5_01738_table_4.pdf.                                                                                                                                                         -79-
Why Has Teacher Quality Been Declining?


 There are many reasons:
    – More career opportunities for women and minorities
         • 40 years ago, 52% of college-educated working women were
           teachers; today, only 15% are
    –   Ineffective recruiting and training practices
    –   Abysmal schools of education
    –   Lack of accountability in the system
    –   Increasing difficulty of removing ineffective teachers
    –   Outstanding performance is not rewarded
         • Differential pay has all but disappeared
    – Teacher pay is determined almost entirely by two factors,
      seniority and certifications, that have little to do with student
      achievement


                                                                          -80-
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson
The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson

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The Critical Needfor Genuine School Reform Whitney Tilson

  • 1. The Critical Need for Genuine School Reform – And How to Achieve It www.dfer.org September 30, 2009
  • 2. Table of Contents (1) 1. The increasing importance of education Page 4 2. Despite a massive increase in spending, U.S. educational outcomes have stagnated Page 10 3. Achievement Gap #1: We are falling further and further behind our economic competitors Page 19 4. Achievement Gap #2: The achievement of low-income, minority students is dramatically worse than their better-off peers Page 28 5. Costs of our schools’ failure Page 43 6. Why are so many low-income, minority students doing so poorly? Page 44 7. Overview of our K-12 public school system today Page 45 8. There are two general approaches to fixing our schools Page 48 9. Keys to KIPP’s success Page 54 10. The importance of effective school leaders Page 56 11. The overwhelming importance of teacher quality Page 59 12. There is enormous variation in teacher quality – and teacher talent is distributed unequally Page 65 13. Why is teacher talent distributed so unfairly? Page 76 14. What can be done to improve teacher quality? Page 89 15. The importance of high standards Page 96 -2-
  • 3. Table of Contents (2) 16. End social promotion Page 97 17. The hidden teacher spending gap Page 99 18. Seven big myths • Myth #1: Low-income, minority students don’t want to and/or can’t learn Page 104 • Myth #2: Students are overworked Page 108 • Myth #3: Students are worse off today Page 109 • Myth #4: We’re not spending enough Page 111 • Myth #5: Reducing class sizes is an effective way to boost student achievement Page 116 • Myth #6: Teachers are underpaid Page 119 • Myth #7: NCLB is costly and unnecessary Page 122 19. Why hasn’t more been done to improve the system? Page 129 20. The Democrats’ Dilemma – And Obama’s Solution Page 139 21. Democrats for Education Reform Page 141 22. Race to the Top Page 143 23. What you can do: do’s and don’ts Page 146 24. What we are fighting against: a story from the trenches Page 148 25. Recommended reading Page 152 -3-
  • 4. The Increasing Importance of Education Returns on education are high and rising Returns on education are high and rising
  • 5. Education is Highly Correlated With Earnings Over the Course of a Lifetime, a College Grad Will Earn More Than $1 Million More Than a High School Grad $100,000 Median Income $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- HS HS Some Assoc. BA MA Ph.D. Prof. dropout graduate college degree Source: U.S. Census Current Population Reports, Series P-60, from Digest of Education Statistics, 2005. -5-
  • 6. Wage Trends Are Ominous for Men Without a College Degree Source: Inherited Opportunity for Higher Education, Association for Institutional Research, 5/16/06. -6-
  • 7. New Job Trends Are Also Ominous for Those Without a College Degree Employment Change by Education (1992 – 2002) Less than HS -0.4 High School Only 0.1 Some College 2.4 2-Year Technical 2.5 2-Year Academic 2.1 4-Year Degree 6.3 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Millions of Jobs Source: Employment Policy Foundation tabulations of Bureau of Labor Statistics / Census Current Population Survey data; MTC Institute. -7-
  • 8. Education is Also Highly Correlated With Employment and Workforce Participation High school dropouts today have 44% of high school dropouts are nearly 4x the unemployment rate not in the labor force and an of college graduates additional 15% are unemployed August 2009: Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (left); U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (CPS), October 2007. -8-
  • 9. Rate of Incarceration Increases as Education Decreases Source: Harlow, 2003. -9-
  • 10. Despite a Massive Increase in Spending, U.S. Educational Outcomes Have Stagnated
  • 11. Overall K-12 Education Spending Has Grown Rapidly Over Time… Per-Pupil Spending, Adjusted for Inflation, Has Doubled Over the Past 35 Years Current expenditure per pupil in public elementary and secondary schools 2x Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 59. -11-
  • 12. The Rise in Spending Has Been Driven Mainly by a Tripling in the Number of Teachers Over the Past 50 Years, Which Has Led to a 43% Reduction in the Student-Teacher Ratio 200% Number of Teachers Student-Teacher Ratio 1955 1.1 million 26.9 1965 1.7 million 24.7 150% 1975 2.2 million 20.4 1985 2.2 million 17.9 1995 2.6 million 17.3 2006 3.2 million 15.5 Number of teachers 100% Student-teacher ratio % Change 50% 0% 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 -50% Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 98. -12-
  • 13. Despite a Doubling of Spending Since the Mid-1970s, Average Educational Attainment Has Stagnated Percentage of persons 25-29 years old, by highest level of educational attainment Stagnation since 1976 Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008, pg. 57. -13-
  • 14. SAT Scores Haven’t Budged Since the Early 1970s 600 580 560 Verbal 540 Math 520 500 480 460 440 420 400 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 Source: Wikipedia. -14-
  • 15. NAEP Scores Have Stagnated As Well Reading Math Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), various years, 1971–2008 Long-Term Trend Reading Assessments. -15-
  • 16. Why Hasn’t Additional Money Resulted in Improved Results? 1. Teacher quality has been falling rapidly over the past few decades 2. Our school systems have become more bureaucratic and unaccountable 3. I also believe that we, as a nation, have been so rich for so long that we have become lazy and complacent. Our youth are spending more time watch TV, listening to iPods, playing video games, going to sporting events, etc. rather than studying hard. These two pictures capture what’s happening in China vs. the U.S.: -16-
  • 17. Americans Watch More Than Twice as Much TV as Any Other Country 9 Hours of Television Watched Per Day 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 y k No d ce p. US Po e UK ain nd d d Au p. ly ey a ay ia Hu a en De y d l n Cz alia ov ds ar ga an n c d Ne lan re lan an ar pa Re Re st r Ita ee an la rk na Ne nla rw n ed nm Sp rtu Ko rm ng al st r la Ja er Gr Ir e Po Tu Fr Au Ca Sw h ak Fi Ze er itz Ge ec th Sw w Sl Source: OECD Communications Outlook 2009; http://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/browseit/9309031E.PDF#page=202. -17-
  • 18. Overall, Students At All Grade Levels Are Spending Far More Time Watching TV Than Doing Homework More than 4 hours of More than 1 hour 70 TV each school day of homework 70 60 60 White 50 Black 50 Students 40 Students 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 4th Grade 8th Grade 12th Grade 4th Grade 8th Grade 12th Grade TV (4+ hrs) Homew ork (>1 hr) TV (4+ hrs) Homew ork (>1 hr) 70 70 60 60 50 50 Hispanic40 Asian 40 Students30 Students 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 4th Grade 8th Grade 12th Grade 4th Grade 8th Grade 12th Grade TV (4+ hrs) Homew ork (>1 hr) TV (4+ hrs) Homew ork (>1 hr) Source: No Excuses. -18-
  • 19. Achievement Gap #1 We are falling further and further behind our economic competitors
  • 20. Our 15-Year-Olds Trail Nearly All Other OECD Countries in Math and Science Source: OECD; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09. -20-
  • 21. We Get Very Little Bang for Our Education Buck Source: National Center for Education Statistics; US Census Bureau; OECD; GovernmentSpending.com; McKinsey analysis; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09. -21-
  • 22. Our Relative Performance is Weak – and Declines Dramatically the Longer Our Students Are in School Math Performance 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Grade 4 Grade 8 Grade 12 Nations scoring below the U.S. Nations scoring the same as the U.S. Nations' scoring higher than the U.S. Source: NCES 1999-081R, Highlights From TIMSS. Slide courtesy of Education Trust. -22-
  • 23. U.S. Students Go to School Fewer Hours per Day and Fewer Days Per Year Than Students in Asia 250 Over a 13-Year School Career, Students in Asia 200 Receive 2-4 More Days of School Years Of Academic Per Year Instruction 150 100 50 0 U.S. Japan Korea China Source: Business Week, James P. Lenfestey. -23-
  • 24. Our High School Graduation Rate Lags Nearly All Other OECD Countries Average OECD: 82 Source: OECD, Education at a Glance, 2007; 2005 data; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09. -24-
  • 25. The U.S. Remains Among the Leaders in College Participation But it Ranks in the Bottom Half in College Completion 35% of our young adults are in college, but they receive only 17 degrees/100 students. In Portugal, the ratio is 1:1. Source: National Report Card on Higher Education, http://measuringup.highereducation.org. -25-
  • 26. Our College Completion Rate Has Stagnated, Allowing Our Economic Competitors to Pass Us Source: OECD. -26-
  • 27. American Students Score Highly in Only One Area Relative to Their International Peers: Self-Confidence We need our students to have high self-esteem that is rooted in high achievement Source: Chester Finn, Education Next, Winter 2005. -27-
  • 28. Achievement Gap #2 The achievement of low-income, minority students is The achievement of low-income, minority students is dramatically worse than their better-off peers dramatically worse than their better-off peers
  • 29. The Majority of Black and Latino 4th Graders Are Illiterate Reading Performance 100% 14 Prof/Adv 17 Basic 80% 43 Below Basic 32 33 60% “Below Basic” 40% 34 readers in 4th grade struggle 54 50 to read a simple 20% children’s book 23 0% Black Latino White Source: 2007 data, National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde -29-
  • 30. The Achievement Gaps Widens The Longer Students Are in School White- White- Latino Black Source: US DOE, NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) Summary Data Tables, data for public schools; Appeared in The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09. -30-
  • 31. Black and Latino 12th Graders Read at the Same Level As White 8th Graders (The Same is True in Math) 100% Percent of Students % of Students 0% 150 200 250 300 350 Average Scale Score White 13 Year-Olds Black 17 Year-Olds Latino 17 Year-Olds Source: NAEP 2005 data. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust. -31-
  • 32. Minority Children Start School One Year Behind – And the Achievement Gap Grows Every Year As Children Get Older KIPP Schools Reverse This Trend 12 11 Most KIPP schools take Black and Latino students entering 5th grade two years 10 below grade level and accelerate them 9 two grade levels per year, such that they Grade leave KIPP in 8th grade two years above 8 grade level (and on track to college) level 7 White students start at 6 grade level and stay 5 there, progressing one grade level/year 4 3 Black and Latino students start one 2 year behind and only progress ¾ of a grade level/year, so they fall one grade 1 level behind every four years 0 K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -1 Year of School Note: The entire gap achievement gap in kindergarten can be explained by the following background characteristics: socioeconomic status, number of books in the home, gender, age, birth weight, WIC participation, and mother’s age at birth of first child. The widening of the gap cannot be explained by a change in background characteristics. Sources: Previous slides, KIPP data, Whitney Tilson estimates. -32-
  • 33. Over the Past 20 Years, the Achievement Gaps in Reading Have Remained Persistently Wide White-Black White-Hispanic Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress. -33-
  • 34. In the Past 18 Years, the Achievement Gaps in Math Have Remained Persistently Wide as Well White-Black White-Hispanic Source: NAEP 2008 Trends in Academic Progress. -34-
  • 35. There Are Large Racial Gaps in High School Graduation Rates As bad as these numbers are, they’re far worse for Black males in many major cities: their graduation rate is 20% in Indianapolis and Detroit, 31% in Baltimore and Buffalo, 34% in Atlanta and Cleveland. Source: The Graduation Project, 2006. -35-
  • 36. Few Black and Latino Students Make It to College – And Even Fewer Graduate Of African-American and Latino students who receive a high school diploma, only 28% and 16%, respectively, receive a bachelor’s degree. Sources: U.S. Dept. of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, State-level Enrollment and Degree Attainment Data. U.S. Census Bureau, 2003 Current Population Survey, Educational Attainment in the United States, June 2004. Slide courtesy of Education Trust. -36-
  • 37. Very Few Children from Low-Income Households Are Graduating From Any Four-Year Colleges Bachelor’s Degree Attained by Age 24 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Top Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Bottom Household Income Quartile Notes: 2003 data. Household income limits: Top quartile: $95,040+; 2nd quartile: $62,628-$95,040; 3rd quartile: $35,901-$62,628; Bottom quartile: <$35,901. -37- Source: www.postsecondary.org/archives/Reports/Spreadsheets/DegreeBy24.htm
  • 38. Very Few Children from Low-Income Households Are Graduating From Any Four-Year Colleges…And There Has Been Little Improvement Over the Past 40 Years Source: Inherited Opportunity for Higher Education, Association for Institutional Research, 5/16/06. -38-
  • 39. 74% of Students at Elite Colleges Are From Top Quartile Households and Only 9% Are From Bottom Half Households 80% 70% 60% % of Students 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Top Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Bottom Quartile Notes: Elite colleges are the 146 most selective, as determined by Barron’s: Profiles of American Colleges, 24th ed. Source: Socioeconomic Status, Race/Ethnicity, and Selective College Admissions, Carnevale & Rose, Century Foundation. -39-
  • 40. The Dearth of Low-Income Students in College Is in Part Due to the Rising Cost Source: National Report Card on Higher Education, http://measuringup.highereducation.org. -40-
  • 41. In Spite of Rapidly Rising Costs, However, Nearly All College-Ready High School Students Are Going to College The Problem is That Our K-12 Schools Are Preparing Far Too Few Students – Especially Low-Income Ones – for College Source: Education Myths, year 2000. -41-
  • 42. Even the Better Students – the Ones Who Go to College – Are Alarmingly Unprepared • Close to half of the students who enter college need remedial courses – At Cal State, the system admits only students with at least a B average in high school, yet 37% of the incoming class last year needed remedial math, and 45% needed remedial English • According to scores on the 2006 ACT college entrance exam, only 21% of students applying to four-year institutions are ready for college-level work in all four areas tested: reading, writing, math and biology • Lack of preparedness leads to nearly half of all students beginning higher education by attending a community college, which has negative consequences: – One study showed that 73% of students entering community college hoped to earn four-year degrees, but only 22% had done so after six years – The Pew Charitable Trusts recently found that three-quarters of community college graduates were not literate enough to handle everyday tasks like comparing viewpoints in newspaper editorials or calculating the cost of food items per ounce Source: At 2-Year Colleges, Students Eager but Unready, New York Times, 9/1/06, www.nytimes.com/2006/09/02/education/02college.html -42-
  • 43. The Failure of So Many of Our Schools Leads to Enormous Costs to Our Society • We are paying higher and higher taxes to pay for the increasing cost of our public schools, yet they are failing to deliver improved performance • To compensate for underprepared workers, U.S. industry spends about $25 billion yearly on remediation • High school dropouts are: – More likely to be unemployed – Earn lower wages – Have higher rates of public assistance – Are more likely to be single parents • 52% of males who fail to finish high school father a child out of wedlock – Have children at a younger age – More likely to become criminals and end up in jail…or dead • 82% of America's prisoners are high school dropouts • 80% of prison inmates are functionally illiterate • 52% of African-American men who fail to finish high school end up in prison at some point in their lives -43-
  • 44. Why Are Low-Income, Minority Students Performing So Poorly? • There are many reasons why low-income, minority children are performing so poorly academically – and many of these reasons are beyond the control of schools – Surveys show that most Americans, when asked to explain the achievement gap, cite lazy, unmotivated students and parents who don’t care about education • There is no doubt that children from troubled communities and families, in which few people have completed high school, much less college, are a challenge to educate • There are, however, many schools that are generating extraordinary academic success with precisely these children • Thus, we must reject a “blame the victim” mentality • To escape poverty, these children need the best schools and teachers, yet they get the worst. They overwhelmingly attend school systems that are deeply dysfunctional and unaccountable, with skewed incentives -44-
  • 45. Fixing the System To fix the system, one must first understand it To fix the system, one must first understand it
  • 46. Overview of Our K-12 Public School System Today • 48.1 million public school students in 98,793 schools in 13,862 independent school districts • Total spending approaching of $600 billion dollars annually, exceeding all areas of government spending except healthcare • A high degree of state and local autonomy – No scale/R&D – No common metric of success – Fiscal inequity • A “delivery system” that has changed little for generations • Entrenched bureaucratic system of top- down governance • Overall, there are a small percentage of excellent schools, usually serving the most privileged families, a wide swath of mediocrity, and a catastrophically failing system among the bottom 25% of schools, which victimize mostly low-income, minority students – though there are exceptions Source: Digest of Education Statistics, 2008 (2006-07 data); chart: The Economic Impact of the Achievement Gap in America’s Schools, McKinsey & Co., 4/09. -46-
  • 47. The Government’s Obligation • Federal, state and local governments have a moral and practical responsibility to provide every family with a good local public school – or must provide an alternative • The current status quo, in which parents – mostly low-income, minority ones who can’t opt out of the system – are forced to send their children – millions of them – to schools that everyone knows are dangerous and chronically failing is simply unacceptable • Given the widespread failure at the state and local level, a greater role for the federal government is called for to, for example, set standards and demand accountability. Such a role is consistent with the federal role in other important breakthroughs such as Brown vs. Board of Education and the Great Society -47-
  • 48. There Are Two General Approaches to Fixing Our Schools Improve the Current System Create Alternatives To It • More choice among public schools • Create choices outside of • Set high standards, benchmarked against international standards the traditional public • Hire/train better principals and empower them school system via charter • Better measure student achievement and teacher schools, tuition vouchers effectiveness, in part by improving collection and and tax credits. This will use of data both create better options • Hold principals and teachers accountable for for many students and improving student achievement, and reward those spur the regular public that deliver it schools to improve, • Distribute teacher talent more equitably benefiting even the • Pay teachers more in certain high-demand subject areas, in hard-to-staff schools, and based on merit students “left behind” • Renegotiate onerous provisions of teacher contracts (make it harder to get tenure and easier to remove ineffective teachers, eliminate seniority “bumping” rights, etc.) • Eliminate social promotion • Lengthen the school day and year • Take strong actions to address chronically underperforming schools -48-
  • 49. We Need to Adopt Both Strategies • Choice programs/schools like KIPP provide critical lifelines for over 1 million children, and are also laboratories of innovation and models for change – 1.4 million students attended 4,600 charter schools in 40 states and the District of Columbia • Once they reach a critical mass, choice programs/schools do indeed create pressure for change – but this is often not enough – “In the absence of broader organizational and institutional changes, choice-driven competition is unlikely to deliver the results that its proponents desire.” – Frederick Hess, author of Common Sense School Reform • For the foreseeable future, the vast majority of children will continue to be educated at their local public school • First and foremost, parents don’t want choice – they want a good local school! -49-
  • 50. The United States Has Two Educational Systems One Is Failing Miserably, While the Other Is the Envy of the World Charter Schools Fall Into the Latter Category K-12 Public Schools Post-Secondary System • Only people with means can afford to • Public, private and religious schools all opt out of the public schools compete fiercely for students • Public schools have dominant market • No one type of school has dominant market share share • Students and their parents typically • Students and their parents choose among a have little or no choice of school; they vast array of options which school is best, are assigned to one school based on depending on each student’s interests and where they live needs • Money doesn’t follow students; if they • Money in the form of scholarships and don’t attend their local public school, student loans – both public and private – they get nothing largely follows students – If students or their parents are dissatisfied – If students or their parents are dissatisfied with with a school, they have few options a school, they can easily switch schools • Failing schools typically face few • Failing schools face severe consequences consequences and/or go out of business • Teachers, even the most ineffective • It takes many years for teachers to earn teachers, almost always get tenure tenure, and the process is generally rigorous within a few years and competitive • Very little innovation and specialization • Tremendous innovation and specialization among schools among schools – Think of the differences between MIT, Amherst, the University of Michigan, Notre Dame and City College of New York, for example -50-
  • 51. Steps to Fixing the System – Big Picture Most Big-City School Systems Are Caught in “Doom Loops” In Good to Great, Jim Collins contrasts the culture of discipline inside truly great organizations with those of struggling competitors. The highly successful companies found a "hedgehog concept" - what they could be the best in the world at - and they slowly, methodically built their business around this concept, gaining momentum each year. The image Collins uses to describe this momentum buildup is of the great companies pushing a huge flywheel; the first three, five, 15, 100 turns take exceptional effort, but once the flywheel is turning, the momentum makes it easier for each turn to go faster with less effort. The pattern within these companies creates sustained excellence: steps forward consistent with hedgehog concept, accumulation of visible results, personnel energized by results, flywheel builds momentum, steps forward consistent with the hedgehog concept. In contrast, the companies with chronically poor results were caught in devastating "doom loops" that were characterized by a familiar yet highly destructive pattern: disappointing results, reaction without understanding, new direction/program/ leader/event/fad, no accumulated momentum, disappointing results. Collins writes: “Instead of a quiet, deliberate process of figuring out what needed to be done and then simply doing it, the (poorly performing) companies launched new programs - often with great fanfare and hoopla aimed at 'motivating the troops' - only to see the programs fail to produce sustained results. They sought the single defining action, the grand program, the one killer innovation, the miracle moment that would allow them to skip the arduous buildup stage and jump right to the breakthrough.” There is no magic bullet, no 100% solution. We need 100 1% solutions. Source: www.achievementfirst.org/about.lessons.html -51-
  • 52. Too Many School Systems Today Are Dominated By the “Three Pillars of Mediocrity” 1. Lifetime tenure (i.e., cannot remove ineffective performers) 2. Lockstep pay 3. System driven by seniority (not merit) “These three pillars need to be replaced with a culture that differentiates based on merit and organizational need.” – Joel Klein, Chancellor, NYC public schools -52-
  • 53. 4 Steps for Fixing Any Broken System Successful Schools Do All of These Things 1. Hire and train great leaders and then empower them • Give principals the power to manage their schools by giving them more control over their budgets and staff – For example, renegotiate onerous provisions of teacher contracts (make it harder to get tenure and easier to remove ineffective teachers, eliminate seniority “bumping” rights, etc.) 2. Adopt the right strategy and tactics • Focus on improving teacher quality • Use proven curricula • Eliminate social promotion • Extend the school day and year 3. Measure results • For principals, measure overall school performance • For teachers, measure individual student performance 4. Hold people accountable • Reward success and punish failure • Close or break up chronically underperforming schools • Ineffective principals and teachers must be put on probation, given training and support and, if they do not become effective, removed Be willing to spend more money – but only if it is accompanied by major systemic reform -53-
  • 54. How Do KIPP and a Few Other Programs Succeed With the Students Who Are Failing in Regular Public Schools? 1. KIPP starts by identifying and training top-notch school leaders who are then empowered and held accountable for building outstanding schools 2. KIPP recruits, trains and retains top 1% teachers 3. Extended school day and school year – KIPP students get up to 70% more class time than they would in regular public schools 4. Character and culture – Work hard, be nice, there are no shortcuts, we’re climbing the mountain to college, etc. – One study showed that grit and determination were twice as powerful at IQ in predicting life success KIPP and a handful of other top schools are “black swans.” Just as the existence of even one black swan proves that all swans aren’t white, even a small number of KIPP schools proves that, without spending any additional money, schools have the capability to change life trajectories and send nearly all low-income, minority students to college. Thus, KIPP schools have been a major catalyst in transforming the debate about the achievement gap, from one focused on excuses (“we just need to spend more money”) and blaming the victims (“it’s impossible to educate those kids”) to one that centers on how to make every school as successful as KIPP schools. -54-
  • 55. KIPP Schools Share a Core Set of Operating Principles Known as the Five Pillars There Is No Reason Why Every School Couldn’t Adopt These Five Pillars 1. High Expectations. KIPP Schools have clearly defined and measurable high expectations for academic achievement and conduct that make no excuses based on the students' backgrounds. Students, parents, teachers, and staff create and reinforce a culture of achievement and support through a range of formal and informal rewards and consequences for academic performance and behavior. 2. Choice & Commitment. Students, their parents, and the faculty of each KIPP School choose to participate in the program. No one is assigned or forced to attend these schools. Everyone must make and uphold a commitment to the school and to each other to put in the time and effort required to achieve success. 3. More Time. KIPP Schools know that there are no shortcuts when it comes to success in academics and life. With an extended school day, week, and year, students have more time in the classroom to acquire the academic knowledge and skills that will prepare them for competitive high schools and colleges, as well as more opportunities to engage in diverse extracurricular experiences. 4. Power to Lead. The principals of KIPP Schools are effective academic and organizational leaders who understand that great schools require great School Leaders. They have control over their school budget and personnel. They are free to swiftly move dollars or make staffing changes, allowing them maximum effectiveness in helping students learn. 5. Focus on Results. KIPP Schools relentlessly focus on high student performance on standardized tests and other objective measures. Just as there are no shortcuts, there are no excuses. Students are expected to achieve a level of academic performance that will enable them to succeed at the nation's best high schools and colleges. Source: www.kipp.org/fivepillars.cfm -55-
  • 56. The Importance of Effective School Leaders Great principals establish the right “culture” at a school and attract and retain great teachers
  • 57. Principals Are Increasingly Being Held Accountable for Their Schools’ Success or Failure Yet in Most Urban Districts, They Have Limited Ability to Hire and Fire Staff “Nine out of 10 times, the person that is coming is not succeeding in his or her school . . . [E]veryone wants to keep their good teachers.” – Urban Principal Source: Unintended Consequences, The New Teacher Project, 11/05 -57-
  • 58. We Need to Hire and Train Better School Leaders, Give Them Greater Autonomy and Then Hold Them Accountable for Results Case Study: New York City Empowerment Schools • Principals sign performance agreements that lay out principals’ new powers, resources, and responsibilities in exchange for: – Increased authority over instructional practices, professional development, organization, school schedule, and summer programming – Substantially greater discretion and fewer restrictions over school budget – Additional money, in place of mandatory DOE programs and services, with which to decide what services to purchase – either from outside vendors or the DOE itself • For each school, $100,000 in newly unrestricted funds and about $150,000 in in funds previously managed centrally on behalf of the school – Fewer administrative requirements and reduced reporting and paperwork – A significant voice in selecting and evaluating a dedicated support team charged with serving each school. Each dedicated support team will be a partner for principals, assuring that schools’ needs are satisfactorily met • There are annual assessments and each school receives a progress report and overall letter grade (A through F) – Schools that receive a grade of “D” or “F” (or a grade of “C” in three consecutive years) are subject to consequences, including the use of intervention teams and leadership changes • Empowerment School principals will form into “networks” of no more than 20 schools – Networks will choose “network support leaders” who will work with small teams to help principals learn from each other and solve problems – An Integrated Service Center will support the network support teams • 48 schools participated in a two-year pilot program – 80% met their target goals – They outperformed citywide averages as well as their own past performance prior to entering the pilot program • 331 schools (including the original 48 plus 10 charter schools) – approximately 1 in 5 schools in the city – recently volunteered to become Empowerment Schools -58-
  • 59. The Overwhelming Importance of Teacher Quality • Numerous studies have shown that the most • Numerous studies have shown that the most important determinant of student achievement, by far, important determinant of student achievement, by far, is teacher quality is teacher quality • There is enormous variability among teachers • There is enormous variability among teachers
  • 60. One Study in Dallas Compared Two Groups of Students, Both of Which Started 3rd Grade at About the Same Level of Math Achievement… 100 Average 80 Percentile Rank 55 57 60 40 20 0 Group 1 Group 2 Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust. -60-
  • 61. Three Years Later, One Group Vastly Outperformed the Other. The Only Difference: Group 1 Had Three Effective Teachers, While Group 2 Had Three Ineffective Teachers (Results were similar in reading) 100 76 80 Average Percentile 55 57 60 Rank 40 27 20 0 Group 1 Assigned to Three Group 2 Assigned to Three EFFECTIVE Teachers INEFFECTIVE Teachers Beginning of 3rd Grade End of 5th Grade Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust. -61-
  • 62. Effective Teachers Turned Previously Low-Performing Dallas 4th Graders Into High-Performing 7th Graders Low-performing students benefit the most from effective teachers 100% Effective % Passing 7th Grade Math Test 90% teachers 80% raised low- 70% performing 60% students 50% almost to 40% the level of 30% other 20% students in 10% only 3 0% Low-performing 4th graders Middle-performing 4th High-performing 4th years graders graders 3 ineffective teachers 3 effective teachers Source: Heather Jordan, Robert Mendro, and Dash Weerasinghe, The Effects of Teachers on Longitudinal Student Achievement, 1997. -62-
  • 63. College Readiness Increases With Teacher Quality* 100% * The Teacher Quality 15% Index is Based on Five Factors: 31% 39% 1. % of Teachers with 75% 50% Emergency/Provi- 30% sional Certification Percent of 2. % of Teachers from Students More/Most Selective 30% Colleges 50% 3. % of Teachers With 29% at Least 4 Yrs of Experience 26% 4. % of Teachers 55% Failing Basic Skills 25% Test on 1st Attempt 39% 5. Teachers’ Average 32% ACT Composite and 24% English Scores 0% Lowest TQI Lower Middle TQI Upper Middle TQI Highest TQI Not / Least Somewhat / Minimally More / Most College Ready College Ready College Ready Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006; Presley, J. and Gong, Y. (2005). The Demographics and Academics of College Readiness in Illinois. Illinois Education Research Council. -63-
  • 64. College Math Readiness Is Affected More by Teacher Quality Than by the Level of Courses Taken 81 A student who takes 76 75 Algebra II with even a 3rd 67 quartile teacher is better % of Students prepared for college than a 57 Most/More Ready 52 student who takes Calculus 48 50 with a bottom 10% teacher 42 25 25 18 20 21 16 11 6 6 0 Algebra II Trigonometry or Calculus Lowest Quartile other advanced math Lowest Lowest Lower- Upper- Highest 10% 11-25% Middle Middle TQI TQI TQI TQI Quartile TQI Quartile Quartile Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006; Presley, J. and Gong, Y. (2005). The Demographics and Academics of College Readiness in Illinois. Illinois Education Research Council. -64-
  • 65. There is Enormous Variation in Teacher Quality – And Teacher Talent Is Distributed Unequally • By any measure, low-income, minority students are not • By any measure, low-income, minority students are not getting their fair share of high-quality teachers getting their fair share of high-quality teachers • On average, they are much more likely to be taught by • On average, they are much more likely to be taught by teachers who: didn’t major or minor in the field they are teachers who: didn’t major or minor in the field they are teaching; are rookies; did poorly on SATs and other teaching; are rookies; did poorly on SATs and other standardized tests; got poor grades in high school and standardized tests; got poor grades in high school and college; and attended noncompetitive colleges. college; and attended noncompetitive colleges.
  • 66. There Is Enormous Variation In Teacher Effectiveness Source: Identifying Effective Teachers Using Performance on the Job, Hamilton Project, April 2006. -66-
  • 67. In One Study in Boston, “One-Third of the Teachers Had No Measurable Effect on the Reading and Math Skills of Their Students” 16 14 One frustrated principal Average 12 said, “About one-third of Improvement (Points) 10 my teachers should not 8 be teaching” 6 4 2 0 Bottom 1/3 Middle 1/3 Top 1/3 -2 Math Reading Notes: 10th grade students at non-selective Boston public schools; average student scores prior to 10th grade were comparable (670-687 range); excluded bilingual and special education students. Source: Boston Public Schools, Bain & Company, 3/31/98 -67-
  • 68. Low-Performing 4th Graders in Dallas Were Far More Likely to be Assigned to Ineffective Teachers High-Performing Children Consistently Get Effective Teachers – And Low-Performing Children Consistently Get Ineffective Teachers 90 80 70 Number of Students 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Low-performing 4th graders Middle-performing 4th High-performing 4th graders graders 3 ineffective teachers 3 effective teachers Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004. -68-
  • 69. High-Poverty Schools Have Far More Teachers Who Did Poorly on SATs and Attended Non-Competitive Colleges % of Teachers With Top- and % of Teachers Who Attended Bottom-Quartile SAT Scores Non-Competitive Colleges 40% 45% 35% 40% 30% 35% 25% 30% 20% 25% 15% 20% 10% 15% 5% 10% 0% 5% High-poverty schools Low -poverty schools 0% High-poverty schools Low -poverty schools Top-quartile SAT scores Bottom-quartile SAT scores Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004. -69-
  • 70. Poor and Minority High School School Students Nationwide Are More Often Taught By Teachers Who Do Not Major or Minor in the Field They Are Teaching Source: Teaching Inequality, Education Trust, June 2006 -70-
  • 71. Poor High School Students Are More Often Taught by Less-Qualified Teachers Percentage of Teachers Who Majored or 50% Minored in the Field They Are Teaching 40% 31% 28% 20% 19% 14% 16% 18% 0% Math Science English Social Studies less than 20% Free Lunch greater than 49% Free Lunch Source: National Commission on Teaching and America’s Future, What Matters Most: Teaching for America’s Future (p.16) 1996. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust. -71-
  • 72. Poor High School Students Are More Often * Taught by Inexperienced Teachers High- and low-poverty schools High- and low-minority schools 25% 20% 21% Percentage of Inexperienced Teachers 11% 10% 0% H igh-poverty schools Low-poverty schools H igh-minority schools Low-minority schools *Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience. High and low refer to top and bottom quartiles. Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000. Slide courtesy of Ed Trust. -72-
  • 73. High-Poverty Schools in Illinois and New York Have Far More Teachers Who Did Poorly on State Certification Exams • In Illinois, children in high-poverty schools were five times more likely to be taught by teachers who failed the state teacher licensure exam at least once, and 23 times more likely to be taught by teachers who failed it at least five times – One Chicago teacher failed on 24 of 25 tries – including all 12 of the tests in the subject area in which she taught – yet is still teaching • In New York, of those teaching minority students, 21% of teachers failed one of the state’s certification exams vs. 7% of those who teach white students Source: Chicago Sun Times, 2001 (Illinois data). -73-
  • 74. High-Poverty Schools In New York State Have Far More Teachers Who Attended Non-Competitive Colleges • The 10% of public schools in New York State with the highest- income students have almost no teachers who attended “least- competitive” colleges • In the 10% of public schools with the lowest-income students, more than 30% of teachers attended “least-competitive” colleges • Minority students in New York are more than twice as likely as white students to be taught by teachers from the least-competitive colleges Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004. -74-
  • 75. High-Minority Schools in Illinois Have By Far the Lowest-Quality Teachers* * The Teacher Quality 60% of teachers Index is Based on in the highest- Five Factors: minority 1. % of Teachers with Emergency/Provi- schools are in sional Certification the bottom 10% 2. % of Teachers from More/Most Selective of the Teacher Colleges 3. % of Teachers With Quality Index* at Least 4 Yrs of Experience 4. % of Teachers Failing Basic Skills Test on 1st Attempt 5. Teachers’ Average ACT Composite and English Scores Source: The Real Value of Teachers, Education Trust, Winter 2004. -75-
  • 76. Why Is Teacher Talent Distributed So Unfairly? • Experienced teachers use seniority to get placed at “good” schools • Rookie teachers are disproportionately assigned to schools with teacher shortages (i.e., those serving low-income, minority students) • The best principals (who tend to attract the best teachers) tend to end up at more affluent schools • Affluent parents demand high-quality principals and teachers – and know how to raise a ruckus if they don’t get them -76-
  • 77. Overall Teacher Quality Has Been Declining for Decades This Has Exacerbated the Problem of the Unfair Distribution of Teacher Talent • Among high-school students who took the SAT in 1994-1995, those who intended to study education in college scored lower on both the verbal and math sections than students expressing an interest in any other field • In 1998 the mean SAT score for students who intended to major in education was 479 math and 485 verbal—32 and 20 points lower than all college-bound seniors • Once in college, education majors were more likely to be in the bottom quartile and less likely to be in the top quartile than any other major Source: Thomas D. Snyder, et al., Digest of Education Statistics 1997, U.S. Department of Education, p. 135; Tyce Palmaffy, “Measuring the Teacher Quality Problem,” in Better Teachers, Better Schools, edited by Marci Kanstoroom and Chester E. Finn, Jr., Thomas B. Fordham Foundation, pp. 21-22; Robin R. Henke, et al., Out of the Lecture Hall and into the Classroom: 1992-1993 College Graduates and Elementary/Secondary School Teaching, U.S. Department of Education, p. 58. -77-
  • 78. Top-Performing High School Students Are Far Less Likely to Enter Teaching Source: Teaching at Risk-Progress and Potholes, The Teaching Commission, March 2006. -78-
  • 79. College Seniors Who Plan to Go Into Education Have Very Low Test Scores GRE Scores - Quantitative GRE Scores - Verbal 750 560 540 700 520 500 650 480 600 460 440 550 420 500 400 ss ss s s g s n s s g n s N ce rts N ce rts ce rin ce ce io e ce rin io e EA sin EA sin A n n at n A en n at en e e ie ie ie ie uc ne uc ne Bu & M ci Bu & M ci Sc Sc Sc Sc gi Ed lS gi Ed lS es es L L fe ial En fe ial En it i A it i a A a Li ic Li c ic c N an N an So So ys ys O O um um Ph TI Ph TI H A H A N N Source: General Test Percentage Distribution of Scores Within Intended Broad Graduate Major Field Based on Seniors and Nonenrolled College Graduates, Educational Testing Service, www.ets.org/Media/Tests/GRE/pdf/5_01738_table_4.pdf. -79-
  • 80. Why Has Teacher Quality Been Declining? There are many reasons: – More career opportunities for women and minorities • 40 years ago, 52% of college-educated working women were teachers; today, only 15% are – Ineffective recruiting and training practices – Abysmal schools of education – Lack of accountability in the system – Increasing difficulty of removing ineffective teachers – Outstanding performance is not rewarded • Differential pay has all but disappeared – Teacher pay is determined almost entirely by two factors, seniority and certifications, that have little to do with student achievement -80-